BABA
Alibaba Group Holding Limited
BABA offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
TPR
Tapestry, Inc.
TPR has the edge over BABA overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.
BABA Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Weak | |
| Healthy |
BABA's balance sheet is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.
TPR Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
TPR's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently strong, and its revenue is stable.
BABA PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 16x | $69.66 | -26% |
| Fair | 20x | $86.59 | -8.2% |
| Current | 21x | $94.36 | — |
| Expensive | 26x | $115 | +22% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
BABA has the edge over TPR in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
TPR PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 10x | $79.97 | -40% |
| Fair | 13x | $104 | -22% |
| Forward | 16x | $133 | — |
| Current | 17x | $133 | — |
| Expensive | 39x | $303 | +128% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
TPR's PE is in its fair range at 17x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 16x next year's earnings.
BABA Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for BABA, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
TPR Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Low |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for TPR, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
BABA Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $4.42 | -52% |
| Q1 2026 | $6.57 | -18% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.79 | -22% |
| Q3 2025 | $7.85 | +49% |
| Q2 2025 | $9.27 | +116% |
| Q1 2025 | $8.06 | +71% |
| Q4 2024 | $7.47 | +24% |
| Q3 2024 | $5.26 | -35% |
BABA has the edge over TPR on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
TPR Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $8.45 | +9% |
| Q3 2026 | $7.75 | +492% |
| Q2 2026 | $7.27 | +787% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.31 | -13% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.61 | -24% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.31 | -62% |
| Q2 2025 | $0.82 | -77% |
| Q1 2025 | $3.79 | +0.3% |
| Q4 2024 | $3.44 | -13% |
TPR's earnings per share have jumped to their highest in seven years: $7.75 over the past year, up from $1.31 the year before.
BABA Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $40.2B | +8.3% |
| Q1 2026 | $36.5B | +2.9% |
| Q4 2025 | $42.7B | +1.7% |
| Q3 2025 | $37.2B | +4.8% |
| Q2 2025 | $37.2B | +1.8% |
| Q1 2025 | $35.5B | +6.6% |
| Q4 2024 | $42B | +7.6% |
| Q3 2024 | $35.5B | +5.2% |
BABA's revenue has grown year over year for 16 quarters in a row: $40.2B last quarter, up 8.3% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 7.2% | -6.9 points |
| Q1 2026 | -0.3% | -12 points |
| Q4 2025 | 7.1% | -7.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 2.2% | -13 points |
| Q2 2025 | 14% | -0.7 points |
| Q1 2025 | 12% | +5.4 points |
| Q4 2024 | 15% | +6.1 points |
| Q3 2024 | 15% | 0 points |
BABA's operating margin was 7.2% last quarter, down 6.9 points from the same quarter a year ago.
TPR Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.9B | +11% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.9B | +8.9% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.9B | +21% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.5B | +14% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.7B | +13% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.7B | +8.3% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.6B | +6.9% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.2B | +5.3% |
TPR has the edge over BABA on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 22% | +3.1 points |
| Q2 2026 | 24% | +57 points |
| Q1 2026 | 22% | +6.3 points |
| Q4 2025 | 29% | +6.2 points |
| Q3 2025 | 19% | +2.5 points |
| Q2 2025 | -34% | -49 points |
| Q1 2025 | 16% | +2.2 points |
| Q4 2024 | 22% | +1 points |
TPR has the edge over BABA on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
BABA Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$6.7B | -$4.1B |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.7B | +$1.5B |
| Q4 2025 | $1B | -90% |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.2B | -254% |
| Q2 2025 | -$2.7B | -182% |
| Q1 2025 | -$4.2B | -12231% |
| Q4 2024 | $10.4B | -4.8% |
| Q3 2024 | $2.1B | -62% |
BABA's free cash flow has turned negative after years in the green: −$11.6B over the past year.
TPR Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $149M | +86% |
| Q2 2026 | $469M | +14% |
| Q1 2026 | $225.8M | +99% |
| Q4 2025 | $1B | +118% |
| Q3 2025 | $80.2M | -15% |
| Q2 2025 | $411.5M | +96% |
| Q1 2025 | $113.4M | +44% |
| Q4 2024 | $475.1M | -41% |
TPR has the edge over BABA on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
BABA Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.5% | +11.1M shares |
| 1 year | +0.9% | +21.4M shares |
| 3 years | -6.2% | -161M shares |
| 5 years | -12% | -339M shares |
| Available history | -8.4% | -221M shares |
BABA has 2.4B diluted shares, up 0.9% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | $269.8M |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
BABA spent $270M buying back its own shares over the past year, after none the year before.
TPR Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -2.7% | -5.7M shares |
| 1 year | -5.1% | -11M shares |
| 3 years | -12% | -28M shares |
| 5 years | -28% | -80.7M shares |
| Available history | -26% | -72.2M shares |
TPR has the edge over BABA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $603M |
| Q2 2026 | $302.7M |
| Q1 2026 | $150.2M |
| Q4 2025 | $403.5M |
| Q3 2025 | $698.2M |
| Q2 2025 | $53.4M |
| Q1 2025 | $52.3M |
| Q2 2024 | — |
TPR spent $1.5B buying back its own shares over the past year.
BABA Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.8x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q3 2024 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
BABA has the edge over TPR on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
TPR Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.9x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.7x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 1.3x | Healthy |
| Q4 2025 | 1.6x | Healthy |
| Q3 2025 | 3.0x | Moderate |
| Q2 2025 | 2.3x | Moderate |
| Q1 2025 | 1.2x | Healthy |
| Q4 2024 | 1.3x | Healthy |
TPR's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 3.0 years a year ago.
BABA Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 38.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 12.7 | Oversold |
BABA's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 13 (oversold).
TPR Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 52.7 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 32.5 | Neutral |
TPR's weekly RSI is 53 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 33 (neutral).
BABA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | BABA | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 21x | 18x | 19% above |
| PE % | 60 | 47 | 13 pts above |
BABA is trading at 21x earnings, a 19% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x, though its earnings don't support one.
TPR PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | TPR | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 17x | 18x | 5% below |
| PE % | 65 | 47 | 18 pts above |
TPR has the edge over BABA on valuation relative to its sector.
BABA Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $104.7 | 9.9% below |
| 20 week MA | $111.1 | 15% below |
| 50 week MA | $128.0 | 26% below |
| 100 week MA | $127.7 | 26% below |
| 200 week MA | $106.4 | 11% below |
BABA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 11% below its 200-week average.
TPR Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $120.1 | 10% above |
| 20 week MA | $129.2 | 2.6% above |
| 50 week MA | $135.5 | 2.1% below |
| 100 week MA | $112.0 | 18% above |
| 200 week MA | $76.6 | 73% above |
TPR has the edge over BABA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
BABA Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $215.5 | $222.0 | +3% |
| 2021 | $222.0 | $118.7 | -47% |
| 2022 | $118.7 | $85.7 | -28% |
| 2023 | $85.7 | $77.5 | -9.5% |
| 2024 | $77.5 | $85.1 | +9.7% |
| 2025 | $85.1 | $152.2 | +79% |
| 2026 YTD | $152.2 | $94.4 | -38% |
BABA has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 38% so far in 2026.
TPR Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $26.9 | $30.9 | +15% |
| 2021 | $30.9 | $41.3 | +34% |
| 2022 | $41.3 | $37.4 | -9.3% |
| 2023 | $37.4 | $36.8 | -1.6% |
| 2024 | $36.8 | $65.9 | +79% |
| 2025 | $65.9 | $131.3 | +99% |
| 2026 YTD | $131.3 | $132.6 | +1% |
TPR has the edge over BABA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.