BABA

Alibaba Group Holding Limited

53
Fundamentals36/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential23/ 100

BABA's fundamentals are weak: its operating margin fell 10 points to 4.2% and free cash flow turned negative, though revenue grew 4.3%. Its PE isn't a useful guide right now because of how its recent earnings were reported.

TOUR

Tuniu Corporation

There isn't enough reported data to score TOUR yet.

BABA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Weak
Healthy

BABA's balance sheet is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.

TOUR Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Stable
Under pressure
Healthy

TOUR's revenue and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable, but its cash flow is under pressure.

BABA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.3x19x28x37x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.3x19x28x37x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap16x$69.66-26%
Fair20x$86.59-8.2%
Current21x$94.36โ€”
Expensive26x$115+22%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BABA's PE is 21x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

TOUR PE Valuation

TOUR has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

BABA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for BABA, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

TOUR Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for TOUR to show an outlook.

BABA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+33%$125.09
Downside-23%$72.35

Calculated from the latest close: $94.36 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare BABA and TOUR's risk to reward.

TOUR Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknownโ€”
DownsideUnknownโ€”

Calculated from the latest close: $4.69 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare BABA and TOUR's risk to reward.

BABA Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $8.12Q4 2023: $6.04Q1 2024: $4.71Q2 2024: $4.29Q3 2024: $5.26Q4 2024: $7.47Q1 2025: $8.06Q2 2025: $9.27Q3 2025: $7.85Q4 2025: $5.79Q1 2026: $6.57Q2 2026: $4.42
Q3 2023: $8.12Q4 2023: $6.04Q1 2024: $4.71Q2 2024: $4.29Q3 2024: $5.26Q4 2024: $7.47Q1 2025: $8.06Q2 2025: $9.27Q3 2025: $7.85Q4 2025: $5.79Q1 2026: $6.57Q2 2026: $4.42
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$4.42-52%
Q1 2026$6.57-18%
Q4 2025$5.79-22%
Q3 2025$7.85+49%
Q2 2025$9.27+116%
Q1 2025$8.06+71%
Q4 2024$7.47+24%
Q3 2024$5.26-35%

BABA's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $4.42 over the past year, against $9.27 in mid-2025. Its recent earnings include one-off gains.

TOUR Earnings Per Share

Q3 2025: $0.23Q4 2025: $1.23
Q3 2025: $0.23Q4 2025: $1.23

TOUR and BABA do not have enough comparable growth data to identify a winner.

BABA Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $33.7BQ4 2023: $39.1BQ1 2024: $33.3BQ2 2024: $36.5BQ3 2024: $35.5BQ4 2024: $42BQ1 2025: $35.5BQ2 2025: $37.2BQ3 2025: $37.2BQ4 2025: $42.7BQ1 2026: $36.5BQ2 2026: $40.2B
Q3 2023: $33.7BQ4 2023: $39.1BQ1 2024: $33.3BQ2 2024: $36.5BQ3 2024: $35.5BQ4 2024: $42BQ1 2025: $35.5BQ2 2025: $37.2BQ3 2025: $37.2BQ4 2025: $42.7BQ1 2026: $36.5BQ2 2026: $40.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$40.2B+8.3%
Q1 2026$36.5B+2.9%
Q4 2025$42.7B+1.7%
Q3 2025$37.2B+4.8%
Q2 2025$37.2B+1.8%
Q1 2025$35.5B+6.6%
Q4 2024$42B+7.6%
Q3 2024$35.5B+5.2%

BABA's revenue has grown year over year for 16 quarters in a row: $40.2B last quarter, up 8.3% from the same quarter a year ago.

TOUR Quarterly Revenue

Q2 2023: $15MQ3 2023: $27MQ4 2023: $15MQ1 2024: $16MQ2 2024: $18MQ3 2024: $28MQ4 2024: $15MQ1 2025: $18MQ2 2025: $20MQ3 2025: $30MQ4 2025: $19MQ1 2026: $20M
Q2 2023: $15MQ3 2023: $27MQ4 2023: $15MQ1 2024: $16MQ2 2024: $18MQ3 2024: $28MQ4 2024: $15MQ1 2025: $18MQ2 2025: $20MQ3 2025: $30MQ4 2025: $19MQ1 2026: $20M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q1 2026$19.9M+13%
Q4 2025$18.5M+20%
Q3 2025$30.3M+8.6%
Q2 2025$20.2M+15%
Q1 2025$17.6M+8.9%
Q4 2024$15.4M+2.8%
Q3 2024$27.9M+4.4%
Q2 2024$17.5M+17%

TOUR has the edge over BABA on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

BABA Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $5.4BQ4 2023: $11BQ1 2024: $34MQ2 2024: $3.2BQ3 2024: $2.1BQ4 2024: $10.4BQ1 2025: โˆ’$4.2BQ2 2025: โˆ’$2.7BQ3 2025: โˆ’$3.2BQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: โˆ’$2.7BQ2 2026: โˆ’$6.7B
Q3 2023: $5.4BQ4 2023: $11BQ1 2024: $34MQ2 2024: $3.2BQ3 2024: $2.1BQ4 2024: $10.4BQ1 2025: โˆ’$4.2BQ2 2025: โˆ’$2.7BQ3 2025: โˆ’$3.2BQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: โˆ’$2.7BQ2 2026: โˆ’$6.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026-$6.7B-$4.1B
Q1 2026-$2.7B+$1.5B
Q4 2025$1B-90%
Q3 2025-$3.2B-254%
Q2 2025-$2.7B-182%
Q1 2025-$4.2B-12231%
Q4 2024$10.4B-4.8%
Q3 2024$2.1B-62%

TOUR has the stronger cash trend. Its trailing FCF is down 100% versus its history, compared with BABA at down 158%.

TOUR Free Cash Flow

Q2 2023: $256,400Q3 2023: $250,463Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $0Q2 2024: $0Q3 2024: $0Q4 2024: $0Q1 2025: $0Q2 2025: $0Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: --
Q2 2023: $256,400Q3 2023: $250,463Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $0Q2 2024: $0Q3 2024: $0Q4 2024: $0Q1 2025: $0Q2 2025: $0Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: --
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2025$0$0
Q1 2025$0$0
Q4 2024$0$0
Q3 2024$0-100%
Q2 2024$0-100%
Q1 2024$0-100%
Q4 2023$0-100%
Q3 2023$250.5K-44%

TOUR's free cash flow has been positive every quarter since mid-2020: $0 over the past year, against $250,463 the year before.

BABA Total Shares

Q3 2023: 2.6BQ4 2023: 2.5BQ1 2024: 2.5BQ2 2024: 2.4BQ3 2024: 2.4BQ4 2024: 2.4BQ1 2025: 2.4BQ2 2025: 2.4BQ3 2025: 2.4BQ4 2025: 2.4BQ1 2026: 2.4BQ2 2026: 2.4B
Q3 2023: 2.6BQ4 2023: 2.5BQ1 2024: 2.5BQ2 2024: 2.4BQ3 2024: 2.4BQ4 2024: 2.4BQ1 2025: 2.4BQ2 2025: 2.4BQ3 2025: 2.4BQ4 2025: 2.4BQ1 2026: 2.4BQ2 2026: 2.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.5%+11.1M shares
1 year+0.9%+21.4M shares
3 years-6.2%-161M shares
5 years-12%-339M shares
Available history-8.4%-221M shares

BABA has 2.4B diluted shares, up 0.9% from a year ago.

TOUR Total Shares

Q4 2024: 4MQ1 2025: 4MQ2 2025: 4MQ3 2025: 4MQ4 2025: 4M
Q4 2024: 4MQ1 2025: 4MQ2 2025: 4MQ3 2025: 4MQ4 2025: 4M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-2.3%-88.5K shares
1 year-5.8%-230K shares

TOUR has the edge over BABA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

BABA Net Leverage

Q3 2023: -0.6xQ4 2023: -0.8xQ1 2024: -0.4xQ2 2024: -0.4xQ3 2024: -0.2xQ4 2024: 0.1xQ1 2025: 0.3xQ2 2025: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.8xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.5xQ2 2026: 0.5x
Q3 2023: -0.6xQ4 2023: -0.8xQ1 2024: -0.4xQ2 2024: -0.4xQ3 2024: -0.2xQ4 2024: 0.1xQ1 2025: 0.3xQ2 2025: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.8xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.5xQ2 2026: 0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20260.5xVery low
Q1 20260.5xVery low
Q4 20250.6xVery low
Q3 20250.8xVery low
Q2 20250.2xVery low
Q1 20250.3xVery low
Q4 20240.1xVery low
Q3 2024-0.2xNet Cash

BABA's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

TOUR Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -2.3xQ1 2024: -4.9xQ2 2024: -6.7xQ3 2024: -3.8xQ4 2024: -5.9xQ1 2025: -16.8xQ2 2025: -14.7xQ3 2025: -34.6xQ4 2025: -3.2xQ1 2026: -5.8x
Q4 2023: -2.3xQ1 2024: -4.9xQ2 2024: -6.7xQ3 2024: -3.8xQ4 2024: -5.9xQ1 2025: -16.8xQ2 2025: -14.7xQ3 2025: -34.6xQ4 2025: -3.2xQ1 2026: -5.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q1 2026-5.8xNet Cash
Q4 2025-3.2xNet Cash
Q3 2025-34.6xNet Cash
Q2 2025-14.7xNet Cash
Q1 2025-16.8xNet Cash
Q4 2024-5.9xNet Cash
Q3 2024-3.8xNet Cash
Q2 2024-6.7xNet Cash

TOUR has the edge over BABA on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

BABA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI38.0Neutral
Stochastic12.7Oversold

BABA's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 13 (oversold).

TOUR Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI34.1Neutral
Stochastic12.5Oversold

TOUR's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).

BABA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricBABASector medianRelative
PE21x18x19% above
PE %604713 pts above

BABA is trading at 21x earnings, a 19% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x, though its earnings don't support one.

TOUR PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

TOUR has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

BABA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$104.79.9% below
20 week MA$111.115% below
50 week MA$128.026% below
100 week MA$127.726% below
200 week MA$106.411% below

BABA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 11% below its 200-week average.

TOUR Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$4.863.5% below
20 week MA$4.955.3% below
50 week MA$5.9421% below
100 week MA$7.5338% below
200 week MA$9.6351% below

TOUR is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 51% below its 200-week average.

BABA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$215.5$222.0+3%
2021$222.0$118.7-47%
2022$118.7$85.7-28%
2023$85.7$77.5-9.5%
2024$77.5$85.1+9.7%
2025$85.1$152.2+79%
2026 YTD$152.2$94.4-38%

BABA has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 38% so far in 2026.

TOUR Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$23.5$19.2-18%
2021$19.2$9.78-49%
2022$9.78$16.7+71%
2023$16.7$6.71-60%
2024$6.71$9.85+47%
2025$9.85$7.25-26%
2026 YTD$7.25$4.69-35%

TOUR has the edge over BABA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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