BABA

Alibaba Group Holding Limited

53
Fundamentals36/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential23/ 100

BABA's fundamentals are weak: its operating margin fell 10 points to 4.2% and free cash flow turned negative, though revenue grew 4.3%. Its PE isn't a useful guide right now because of how its recent earnings were reported.

TLF

Tandy Leather Factory, Inc.

There isn't enough reported data to score TLF yet.

BABA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Weak
Healthy

BABA's balance sheet is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.

TLF Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Under pressure
Unavailable

TLF's revenue is currently stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

BABA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.3x19x28x37x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.3x19x28x37x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap16x$69.66-26%
Fair20x$86.59-8.2%
Current21x$94.36โ€”
Expensive26x$115+22%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BABA's PE is 21x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

TLF PE Valuation

TLF has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

BABA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for BABA, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

TLF Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for TLF to show an outlook.

BABA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+33%$125.09
Downside-23%$72.35

Calculated from the latest close: $94.36 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare BABA and TLF's risk to reward.

TLF Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknownโ€”
DownsideUnknownโ€”

Calculated from the latest close: $2.27 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare BABA and TLF's risk to reward.

BABA Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $8.12Q4 2023: $6.04Q1 2024: $4.71Q2 2024: $4.29Q3 2024: $5.26Q4 2024: $7.47Q1 2025: $8.06Q2 2025: $9.27Q3 2025: $7.85Q4 2025: $5.79Q1 2026: $6.57Q2 2026: $4.42
Q3 2023: $8.12Q4 2023: $6.04Q1 2024: $4.71Q2 2024: $4.29Q3 2024: $5.26Q4 2024: $7.47Q1 2025: $8.06Q2 2025: $9.27Q3 2025: $7.85Q4 2025: $5.79Q1 2026: $6.57Q2 2026: $4.42
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$4.42-52%
Q1 2026$6.57-18%
Q4 2025$5.79-22%
Q3 2025$7.85+49%
Q2 2025$9.27+116%
Q1 2025$8.06+71%
Q4 2024$7.47+24%
Q3 2024$5.26-35%

BABA has the edge over TLF on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

TLF Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.45Q1 2024: $0.43Q2 2024: $0.38Q3 2024: $0.28Q4 2024: $0.09Q1 2025: $1.50Q2 2025: $1.47Q3 2025: $1.32Q4 2025: $1.10Q1 2026: $-0.34Q2 2026: $-0.27Q3 2026: $-0.04
Q4 2023: $0.45Q1 2024: $0.43Q2 2024: $0.38Q3 2024: $0.28Q4 2024: $0.09Q1 2025: $1.50Q2 2025: $1.47Q3 2025: $1.32Q4 2025: $1.10Q1 2026: $-0.34Q2 2026: $-0.27Q3 2026: $-0.04
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$0.04-103%
Q2 2026-$0.27-118%
Q1 2026-$0.34-123%
Q4 2025$1.10+1122%
Q3 2025$1.32+371%
Q2 2025$1.47+287%
Q1 2025$1.50+249%
Q4 2024$0.09-80%

TLF has swung to a loss: it lost $0.04 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

BABA Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $33.7BQ4 2023: $39.1BQ1 2024: $33.3BQ2 2024: $36.5BQ3 2024: $35.5BQ4 2024: $42BQ1 2025: $35.5BQ2 2025: $37.2BQ3 2025: $37.2BQ4 2025: $42.7BQ1 2026: $36.5BQ2 2026: $40.2B
Q3 2023: $33.7BQ4 2023: $39.1BQ1 2024: $33.3BQ2 2024: $36.5BQ3 2024: $35.5BQ4 2024: $42BQ1 2025: $35.5BQ2 2025: $37.2BQ3 2025: $37.2BQ4 2025: $42.7BQ1 2026: $36.5BQ2 2026: $40.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$40.2B+8.3%
Q1 2026$36.5B+2.9%
Q4 2025$42.7B+1.7%
Q3 2025$37.2B+4.8%
Q2 2025$37.2B+1.8%
Q1 2025$35.5B+6.6%
Q4 2024$42B+7.6%
Q3 2024$35.5B+5.2%

BABA has the edge over TLF on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

TLF Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $21MQ1 2024: $19MQ2 2024: $17MQ3 2024: $17MQ4 2024: $20MQ1 2025: $19MQ2 2025: $18MQ3 2025: $17MQ4 2025: $22MQ1 2026: $20MQ2 2026: $18MQ3 2026: $19M
Q4 2023: $21MQ1 2024: $19MQ2 2024: $17MQ3 2024: $17MQ4 2024: $20MQ1 2025: $19MQ2 2025: $18MQ3 2025: $17MQ4 2025: $22MQ1 2026: $20MQ2 2026: $18MQ3 2026: $19M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$18.5M+7.3%
Q2 2026$18M+1.5%
Q1 2026$19.7M+3.2%
Q4 2025$22.3M+8.7%
Q3 2025$17.3M-0.5%
Q2 2025$17.8M+2.8%
Q1 2025$19M-1.2%
Q4 2024$20.5M-1.8%

TLF's revenue is recovering but still below its 2021 peak: $19M last quarter, up 7.3% from the same quarter a year ago.

BABA Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $5.4BQ4 2023: $11BQ1 2024: $34MQ2 2024: $3.2BQ3 2024: $2.1BQ4 2024: $10.4BQ1 2025: โˆ’$4.2BQ2 2025: โˆ’$2.7BQ3 2025: โˆ’$3.2BQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: โˆ’$2.7BQ2 2026: โˆ’$6.7B
Q3 2023: $5.4BQ4 2023: $11BQ1 2024: $34MQ2 2024: $3.2BQ3 2024: $2.1BQ4 2024: $10.4BQ1 2025: โˆ’$4.2BQ2 2025: โˆ’$2.7BQ3 2025: โˆ’$3.2BQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: โˆ’$2.7BQ2 2026: โˆ’$6.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026-$6.7B-$4.1B
Q1 2026-$2.7B+$1.5B
Q4 2025$1B-90%
Q3 2025-$3.2B-254%
Q2 2025-$2.7B-182%
Q1 2025-$4.2B-12231%
Q4 2024$10.4B-4.8%
Q3 2024$2.1B-62%

BABA's free cash flow has turned negative after years in the green: โˆ’$11.6B over the past year.

TLF Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $3MQ1 2024: โˆ’$141,000Q2 2024: โˆ’$715,000Q3 2024: โˆ’$1MQ4 2024: $4MQ1 2025: โˆ’$2MQ2 2025: โˆ’$7MQ3 2025: โˆ’$3MQ4 2025: $4MQ1 2026: $319,000Q2 2026: โˆ’$4MQ3 2026: โˆ’$772,000
Q4 2023: $3MQ1 2024: โˆ’$141,000Q2 2024: โˆ’$715,000Q3 2024: โˆ’$1MQ4 2024: $4MQ1 2025: โˆ’$2MQ2 2025: โˆ’$7MQ3 2025: โˆ’$3MQ4 2025: $4MQ1 2026: $319,000Q2 2026: โˆ’$4MQ3 2026: โˆ’$772,000
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$772K+$2.2M
Q2 2026-$3.7M+$3.6M
Q1 2026$319K+$2.2M
Q4 2025$4M+4.9%
Q3 2025-$3M-$1.5M
Q2 2025-$7.3M-$6.6M
Q1 2025-$1.9M-$1.7M
Q4 2024$3.8M+24%

TLF has the edge over BABA on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

BABA Total Shares

Q3 2023: 2.6BQ4 2023: 2.5BQ1 2024: 2.5BQ2 2024: 2.4BQ3 2024: 2.4BQ4 2024: 2.4BQ1 2025: 2.4BQ2 2025: 2.4BQ3 2025: 2.4BQ4 2025: 2.4BQ1 2026: 2.4BQ2 2026: 2.4B
Q3 2023: 2.6BQ4 2023: 2.5BQ1 2024: 2.5BQ2 2024: 2.4BQ3 2024: 2.4BQ4 2024: 2.4BQ1 2025: 2.4BQ2 2025: 2.4BQ3 2025: 2.4BQ4 2025: 2.4BQ1 2026: 2.4BQ2 2026: 2.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.5%+11.1M shares
1 year+0.9%+21.4M shares
3 years-6.2%-161M shares
5 years-12%-339M shares
Available history-8.4%-221M shares

BABA has 2.4B diluted shares, up 0.9% from a year ago.

TLF Total Shares

Q4 2023: 8MQ1 2024: 9MQ2 2024: 9MQ3 2024: 9MQ4 2024: 9MQ1 2025: 9MQ2 2025: 8MQ3 2025: 8MQ4 2025: 8MQ1 2026: 8MQ2 2026: 8MQ3 2026: 8M
Q4 2023: 8MQ1 2024: 9MQ2 2024: 9MQ3 2024: 9MQ4 2024: 9MQ1 2025: 9MQ2 2025: 8MQ3 2025: 8MQ4 2025: 8MQ1 2026: 8MQ2 2026: 8MQ3 2026: 8M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.5%+38K shares
1 year+0.6%+50.1K shares
3 years-2.5%-212K shares
5 years-5.4%-471K shares
Available history-9.2%-828K shares

TLF has the edge over BABA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

BABA Net Leverage

Q3 2023: -0.6xQ4 2023: -0.8xQ1 2024: -0.4xQ2 2024: -0.4xQ3 2024: -0.2xQ4 2024: 0.1xQ1 2025: 0.3xQ2 2025: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.8xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.5xQ2 2026: 0.5x
Q3 2023: -0.6xQ4 2023: -0.8xQ1 2024: -0.4xQ2 2024: -0.4xQ3 2024: -0.2xQ4 2024: 0.1xQ1 2025: 0.3xQ2 2025: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.8xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.5xQ2 2026: 0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20260.5xVery low
Q1 20260.5xVery low
Q4 20250.6xVery low
Q3 20250.8xVery low
Q2 20250.2xVery low
Q1 20250.3xVery low
Q4 20240.1xVery low
Q3 2024-0.2xNet Cash

BABA's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

TLF Net Leverage

TLF's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

BABA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI38.0Neutral
Stochastic12.7Oversold

BABA's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 13 (oversold).

TLF Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI42.4Neutral
Stochastic30.6Neutral

TLF's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 31 (neutral).

BABA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricBABASector medianRelative
PE21x18x19% above
PE %604713 pts above

BABA is trading at 21x earnings, a 19% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x, though its earnings don't support one.

TLF PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricTLFSector medianRelative
PEN/A18xโ€”

TLF has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

BABA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$104.79.9% below
20 week MA$111.115% below
50 week MA$128.026% below
100 week MA$127.726% below
200 week MA$106.411% below

BABA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 11% below its 200-week average.

TLF Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$2.343% below
20 week MA$2.447% below
50 week MA$2.509.2% below
100 week MA$2.9423% below
200 week MA$3.6738% below

TLF is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 38% below its 200-week average.

BABA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$215.5$222.0+3%
2021$222.0$118.7-47%
2022$118.7$85.7-28%
2023$85.7$77.5-9.5%
2024$77.5$85.1+9.7%
2025$85.1$152.2+79%
2026 YTD$152.2$94.4-38%

BABA has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 38% so far in 2026.

TLF Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$5.39$3.20-41%
2021$3.20$5.05+58%
2022$5.05$4.52-10%
2023$4.52$4.26-5.8%
2024$4.26$4.84+14%
2025$4.84$2.69-44%
2026 YTD$2.69$2.27-16%

TLF has the edge over BABA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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