BABA

Alibaba Group Holding Limited

53
Fundamentals36/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential23/ 100

BABA's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

TILE

Interface, Inc.

65
Fundamentals68/ 100
Valuation58/ 100
Upside potential60/ 100
Risk potential20/ 100

TILE has the edge over BABA overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger valuation.

BABA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Weak
Healthy

BABA's balance sheet is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.

TILE Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Healthy
Strong

TILE's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.

BABA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.3x19x28x37x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.3x19x28x37x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap16x$69.66-26%
Fair20x$86.59-8.2%
Current21x$94.36—
Expensive26x$115+22%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BABA has the edge over TILE in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

TILE PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE175x349x524x699x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE175x349x524x699x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap13x$30.05-4.1%
Current13x$31.35—
Fair15x$36.50+16%
Expensive24x$56.17+79%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

TILE's PE is in its cheap range at 13x.

BABA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for BABA, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

TILE Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for TILE to show an outlook.

BABA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+33%$125.09
Downside-23%$72.35

Calculated from the latest close: $94.36 on Nov 12.

BABA trails TILE on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

TILE Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+30%$40.70
Downside-20%$25.21

Calculated from the latest close: $31.35 on Nov 12.

TILE has a better modeled risk to reward balance than BABA, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

BABA Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $8.12Q4 2023: $6.04Q1 2024: $4.71Q2 2024: $4.29Q3 2024: $5.26Q4 2024: $7.47Q1 2025: $8.06Q2 2025: $9.27Q3 2025: $7.85Q4 2025: $5.79Q1 2026: $6.57Q2 2026: $4.42
Q3 2023: $8.12Q4 2023: $6.04Q1 2024: $4.71Q2 2024: $4.29Q3 2024: $5.26Q4 2024: $7.47Q1 2025: $8.06Q2 2025: $9.27Q3 2025: $7.85Q4 2025: $5.79Q1 2026: $6.57Q2 2026: $4.42
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$4.42-52%
Q1 2026$6.57-18%
Q4 2025$5.79-22%
Q3 2025$7.85+49%
Q2 2025$9.27+116%
Q1 2025$8.06+71%
Q4 2024$7.47+24%
Q3 2024$5.26-35%

BABA's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $4.42 over the past year, against $9.27 in mid-2025. Its recent earnings include one-off gains.

TILE Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.76Q1 2024: $1.01Q2 2024: $1.12Q3 2024: $1.43Q4 2024: $1.48Q1 2025: $1.46Q2 2025: $1.63Q3 2025: $1.93Q4 2025: $1.96Q2 2026: $2.14Q3 2026: $2.47Q4 2026: $2.36
Q4 2023: $0.76Q1 2024: $1.01Q2 2024: $1.12Q3 2024: $1.43Q4 2024: $1.48Q1 2025: $1.46Q2 2025: $1.63Q3 2025: $1.93Q4 2025: $1.96Q2 2026: $2.14Q3 2026: $2.47Q4 2026: $2.36
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$2.36+22%
Q2 2026$2.47+52%
Q1 2026$2.14+47%
Q4 2025$1.96+32%
Q3 2025$1.93+35%
Q2 2025$1.63+46%
Q1 2025$1.46+45%
Q4 2024$1.48+95%

TILE has the edge over BABA on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

BABA Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $33.7BQ4 2023: $39.1BQ1 2024: $33.3BQ2 2024: $36.5BQ3 2024: $35.5BQ4 2024: $42BQ1 2025: $35.5BQ2 2025: $37.2BQ3 2025: $37.2BQ4 2025: $42.7BQ1 2026: $36.5BQ2 2026: $40.2B
Q3 2023: $33.7BQ4 2023: $39.1BQ1 2024: $33.3BQ2 2024: $36.5BQ3 2024: $35.5BQ4 2024: $42BQ1 2025: $35.5BQ2 2025: $37.2BQ3 2025: $37.2BQ4 2025: $42.7BQ1 2026: $36.5BQ2 2026: $40.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$40.2B+8.3%
Q1 2026$36.5B+2.9%
Q4 2025$42.7B+1.7%
Q3 2025$37.2B+4.8%
Q2 2025$37.2B+1.8%
Q1 2025$35.5B+6.6%
Q4 2024$42B+7.6%
Q3 2024$35.5B+5.2%

BABA has the edge over TILE on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

TILE Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $325MQ1 2024: $290MQ2 2024: $347MQ3 2024: $344MQ4 2024: $335MQ1 2025: $297MQ2 2025: $376MQ3 2025: $365MQ4 2025: $349MQ2 2026: $331MQ3 2026: $396MQ4 2026: $367M
Q4 2023: $325MQ1 2024: $290MQ2 2024: $347MQ3 2024: $344MQ4 2024: $335MQ1 2025: $297MQ2 2025: $376MQ3 2025: $365MQ4 2025: $349MQ2 2026: $331MQ3 2026: $396MQ4 2026: $367M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$366.7M+0.6%
Q2 2026$395.7M+5.4%
Q1 2026$331M+11%
Q4 2025$349.4M+4.3%
Q3 2025$364.5M+5.9%
Q2 2025$375.5M+8.3%
Q1 2025$297.4M+2.6%
Q4 2024$335M+3%

TILE's revenue has grown year over year for 10 quarters in a row: $367M last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.

BABA Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $5.4BQ4 2023: $11BQ1 2024: $34MQ2 2024: $3.2BQ3 2024: $2.1BQ4 2024: $10.4BQ1 2025: −$4.2BQ2 2025: −$2.7BQ3 2025: −$3.2BQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: −$2.7BQ2 2026: −$6.7B
Q3 2023: $5.4BQ4 2023: $11BQ1 2024: $34MQ2 2024: $3.2BQ3 2024: $2.1BQ4 2024: $10.4BQ1 2025: −$4.2BQ2 2025: −$2.7BQ3 2025: −$3.2BQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: −$2.7BQ2 2026: −$6.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026-$6.7B-$4.1B
Q1 2026-$2.7B+$1.5B
Q4 2025$1B-90%
Q3 2025-$3.2B-254%
Q2 2025-$2.7B-182%
Q1 2025-$4.2B-12231%
Q4 2024$10.4B-4.8%
Q3 2024$2.1B-62%

BABA's free cash flow has turned negative after years in the green: −$11.6B over the past year.

TILE Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $19MQ1 2024: $9MQ2 2024: $12MQ3 2024: $70MQ4 2024: $24MQ1 2025: $4MQ2 2025: $23MQ3 2025: $66MQ4 2025: $29MQ2 2026: $3MQ3 2026: $26MQ4 2026: $77M
Q4 2023: $19MQ1 2024: $9MQ2 2024: $12MQ3 2024: $70MQ4 2024: $24MQ1 2025: $4MQ2 2025: $23MQ3 2025: $66MQ4 2025: $29MQ2 2026: $3MQ3 2026: $26MQ4 2026: $77M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$77.2M+17%
Q2 2026$26.2M+15%
Q1 2026$3.2M-25%
Q4 2025$28.6M+17%
Q3 2025$66.1M-5.2%
Q2 2025$22.8M+90%
Q1 2025$4.3M-50%
Q4 2024$24.4M+29%

TILE has the edge over BABA on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

BABA Total Shares

Q3 2023: 2.6BQ4 2023: 2.5BQ1 2024: 2.5BQ2 2024: 2.4BQ3 2024: 2.4BQ4 2024: 2.4BQ1 2025: 2.4BQ2 2025: 2.4BQ3 2025: 2.4BQ4 2025: 2.4BQ1 2026: 2.4BQ2 2026: 2.4B
Q3 2023: 2.6BQ4 2023: 2.5BQ1 2024: 2.5BQ2 2024: 2.4BQ3 2024: 2.4BQ4 2024: 2.4BQ1 2025: 2.4BQ2 2025: 2.4BQ3 2025: 2.4BQ4 2025: 2.4BQ1 2026: 2.4BQ2 2026: 2.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.5%+11.1M shares
1 year+0.9%+21.4M shares
3 years-6.2%-161M shares
5 years-12%-339M shares
Available history-8.4%-221M shares

BABA has 2.4B diluted shares, up 0.9% from a year ago.

TILE Total Shares

Q4 2023: 58MQ1 2024: 59MQ2 2024: 59MQ3 2024: 59MQ4 2024: 59MQ1 2025: 59MQ2 2025: 59MQ3 2025: 59MQ4 2025: 59MQ2 2026: 59MQ3 2026: 58MQ4 2026: 58M
Q4 2023: 58MQ1 2024: 59MQ2 2024: 59MQ3 2024: 59MQ4 2024: 59MQ1 2025: 59MQ2 2025: 59MQ3 2025: 59MQ4 2025: 59MQ2 2026: 59MQ3 2026: 58MQ4 2026: 58M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.1%+80K shares
1 year-1.3%-758K shares
3 years+0.1%+34K shares
5 years-1.2%-681K shares
Available history-1%-572K shares

TILE has the edge over BABA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

BABA Net Leverage

Q3 2023: -0.6xQ4 2023: -0.8xQ1 2024: -0.4xQ2 2024: -0.4xQ3 2024: -0.2xQ4 2024: 0.1xQ1 2025: 0.3xQ2 2025: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.8xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.5xQ2 2026: 0.5x
Q3 2023: -0.6xQ4 2023: -0.8xQ1 2024: -0.4xQ2 2024: -0.4xQ3 2024: -0.2xQ4 2024: 0.1xQ1 2025: 0.3xQ2 2025: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.8xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.5xQ2 2026: 0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20260.5xVery low
Q1 20260.5xVery low
Q4 20250.6xVery low
Q3 20250.8xVery low
Q2 20250.2xVery low
Q1 20250.3xVery low
Q4 20240.1xVery low
Q3 2024-0.2xNet Cash

BABA's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

TILE Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.1xQ1 2024: 1.9xQ2 2024: 1.7xQ3 2024: 1.2xQ4 2024: 1.2xQ1 2025: 1.2xQ2 2025: 1.0xQ3 2025: 0.6xQ4 2025: 0.5xQ2 2026: 0.6xQ3 2026: 0.5xQ4 2026: 0.2x
Q4 2023: 2.1xQ1 2024: 1.9xQ2 2024: 1.7xQ3 2024: 1.2xQ4 2024: 1.2xQ1 2025: 1.2xQ2 2025: 1.0xQ3 2025: 0.6xQ4 2025: 0.5xQ2 2026: 0.6xQ3 2026: 0.5xQ4 2026: 0.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.2xVery low
Q2 20260.5xVery low
Q1 20260.6xVery low
Q4 20250.5xVery low
Q3 20250.6xVery low
Q2 20251.0xVery low
Q1 20251.2xHealthy
Q4 20241.2xHealthy

TILE has the edge over BABA on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

BABA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI38.0Neutral
Stochastic12.7Oversold

BABA's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 13 (oversold).

TILE Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI43.0Neutral
Stochastic28.0Neutral

TILE's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 28 (neutral).

BABA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricBABASector medianRelative
PE21x18x19% above
PE %604713 pts above

BABA is trading at 21x earnings, a 19% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x, though its earnings don't support one.

TILE PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricTILESector medianRelative
PE13x18x26% below
PE %204727 pts below

TILE has the edge over BABA on valuation relative to its sector.

BABA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$104.79.9% below
20 week MA$111.115% below
50 week MA$128.026% below
100 week MA$127.726% below
200 week MA$106.411% below

BABA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 11% below its 200-week average.

TILE Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$34.69.3% below
20 week MA$35.311% below
50 week MA$31.81.4% below
100 week MA$27.514% above
200 week MA$20.454% above

TILE has the edge over BABA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

BABA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$215.5$222.0+3%
2021$222.0$118.7-47%
2022$118.7$85.7-28%
2023$85.7$77.5-9.5%
2024$77.5$85.1+9.7%
2025$85.1$152.2+79%
2026 YTD$152.2$94.4-38%

BABA has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 38% so far in 2026.

TILE Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$16.5$9.76-41%
2021$9.76$15.8+62%
2022$15.8$9.82-38%
2023$9.82$12.6+29%
2024$12.6$25.0+98%
2025$25.0$28.5+14%
2026 YTD$28.5$31.4+10%

TILE has the edge over BABA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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