BABA
Alibaba Group Holding Limited
BABA's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.
SVV
Savers Value Village, Inc.
SVV has the edge over BABA overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.
BABA Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Weak | |
| Healthy |
BABA's balance sheet is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.
SVV Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Stable |
SVV's profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its revenue and balance sheet are stable.
BABA PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 16x | $69.66 | -26% |
| Fair | 20x | $86.59 | -8.2% |
| Current | 21x | $94.36 | — |
| Expensive | 26x | $115 | +22% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
BABA's PE is 21x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.
SVV PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 18x | $10.09 | — |
| Current | 25x | $10.09 | — |
| Cheap | 29x | $11.79 | +17% |
| Fair | 57x | $22.64 | +124% |
| Expensive | 72x | $28.97 | +187% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
SVV has the edge over BABA in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
BABA Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
BABA has the edge over SVV on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.
SVV Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for SVV, with profitability holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
BABA Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $4.42 | -52% |
| Q1 2026 | $6.57 | -18% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.79 | -22% |
| Q3 2025 | $7.85 | +49% |
| Q2 2025 | $9.27 | +116% |
| Q1 2025 | $8.06 | +71% |
| Q4 2024 | $7.47 | +24% |
| Q3 2024 | $5.26 | -35% |
BABA has the edge over SVV on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
SVV Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $0.57 | +43% |
| Q3 2026 | $0.40 | +$0.42 |
| Q2 2026 | $0.16 | -20% |
| Q1 2026 | $0.14 | 0% |
| Q4 2025 | $0.14 | -18% |
| Q3 2025 | -$0.02 | -104% |
| Q2 2025 | $0.20 | -13% |
| Q1 2025 | $0.14 | -66% |
| Q4 2024 | $0.17 | -50% |
SVV has returned to profit: it earned $0.40 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.
BABA Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $40.2B | +8.3% |
| Q1 2026 | $36.5B | +2.9% |
| Q4 2025 | $42.7B | +1.7% |
| Q3 2025 | $37.2B | +4.8% |
| Q2 2025 | $37.2B | +1.8% |
| Q1 2025 | $35.5B | +6.6% |
| Q4 2024 | $42B | +7.6% |
| Q3 2024 | $35.5B | +5.2% |
BABA's revenue has grown year over year for 16 quarters in a row: $40.2B last quarter, up 8.3% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 7.2% | -6.9 points |
| Q1 2026 | -0.3% | -12 points |
| Q4 2025 | 7.1% | -7.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 2.2% | -13 points |
| Q2 2025 | 14% | -0.7 points |
| Q1 2025 | 12% | +5.4 points |
| Q4 2024 | 15% | +6.1 points |
| Q3 2024 | 15% | 0 points |
BABA's operating margin was 7.2% last quarter, down 6.9 points from the same quarter a year ago.
SVV Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $463.1M | +8.5% |
| Q2 2026 | $448.2M | +7.4% |
| Q1 2026 | $403.2M | +8.9% |
| Q4 2025 | $464.7M | +16% |
| Q3 2025 | $426.9M | +8.1% |
| Q2 2025 | $417.2M | +7.9% |
| Q1 2025 | $370.1M | +4.5% |
| Q4 2024 | $402M | +5% |
SVV has the edge over BABA on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 9.8% | +1.3 points |
| Q2 2026 | 9.4% | +1.3 points |
| Q1 2026 | 3.1% | +0.3 points |
| Q4 2025 | 9.3% | +1.1 points |
| Q3 2025 | 8.5% | -3.8 points |
| Q2 2025 | 8.2% | -0.2 points |
| Q1 2025 | 2.8% | -1.8 points |
| Q4 2024 | 8.2% | -1.4 points |
SVV has the edge over BABA on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
BABA Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$6.7B | -$4.1B |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.7B | +$1.5B |
| Q4 2025 | $1B | -90% |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.2B | -254% |
| Q2 2025 | -$2.7B | -182% |
| Q1 2025 | -$4.2B | -12231% |
| Q4 2024 | $10.4B | -4.8% |
| Q3 2024 | $2.1B | -62% |
BABA's free cash flow has turned negative after years in the green: −$11.6B over the past year.
SVV Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $29.2M | +$35.5M |
| Q2 2026 | $44.8M | +104% |
| Q1 2026 | -$9.9M | +$10.3M |
| Q4 2025 | $53.2M | +77% |
| Q3 2025 | -$6.3M | -$3.3M |
| Q2 2025 | $21.9M | -26% |
| Q1 2025 | -$20.2M | +$8.1M |
| Q4 2024 | $30.1M | -44% |
SVV has the edge over BABA on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
BABA Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.5% | +11.1M shares |
| 1 year | +0.9% | +21.4M shares |
| 3 years | -6.2% | -161M shares |
| 5 years | -12% | -339M shares |
| Available history | -8.4% | -221M shares |
BABA has the edge over SVV on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | $269.8M |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
BABA spent $270M buying back its own shares over the past year, after none the year before.
SVV Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | 0% | +63K shares |
| 1 year | +2.2% | +3.4M shares |
| 3 years | -0.7% | -1.1M shares |
| 5 years | -0.8% | -1.3M shares |
| Available history | -0.8% | -1.3M shares |
SVV has 159M diluted shares, up 2.2% from a year ago, despite $40M in buybacks over the past year.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $10M |
| Q2 2026 | $10.2M |
| Q1 2026 | $10.3M |
| Q4 2025 | $9.6M |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | $23.8M |
| Q1 2025 | $11.8M |
| Q4 2024 | $10.7M |
SVV spent $40M buying back its own shares over the past year, down 14% from the year before.
BABA Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.8x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q3 2024 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
BABA has the edge over SVV on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
SVV Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 2.5x | Moderate |
| Q2 2026 | 2.8x | Moderate |
| Q1 2026 | 3.1x | Elevated |
| Q4 2025 | 3.1x | Elevated |
| Q3 2025 | 3.6x | Elevated |
| Q2 2025 | 3.2x | Elevated |
| Q1 2025 | 3.2x | Elevated |
| Q4 2024 | 3.0x | Moderate |
SVV's net debt is about 2.5 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 3.5 years a year ago.
BABA Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 38.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 12.7 | Oversold |
BABA's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 13 (oversold).
SVV Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 53.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 28.0 | Neutral |
SVV's weekly RSI is 53 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 28 (neutral).
BABA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | BABA | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 21x | 18x | 19% above |
| PE % | 60 | 47 | 13 pts above |
BABA has the edge over SVV on valuation relative to its sector.
SVV PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | SVV | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 25x | 18x | 40% above |
| PE % | 13 | 35 | 22 pts below |
SVV is trading at 25x earnings, a 40% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
BABA Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $104.7 | 9.9% below |
| 20 week MA | $111.1 | 15% below |
| 50 week MA | $128.0 | 26% below |
| 100 week MA | $127.7 | 26% below |
| 200 week MA | $106.4 | 11% below |
SVV has stronger trend alignment. BABA is above 0 of 5 weekly averages versus SVV above 4 of 4.
SVV Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $9.56 | 5.5% above |
| 20 week MA | $9.95 | 1.4% above |
| 50 week MA | $9.48 | 6.4% above |
| 100 week MA | $9.88 | 2.1% above |
SVV is in an uptrend: it's above all four of its weekly moving averages, and 2.1% above its 100-week average.
BABA Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $215.5 | $222.0 | +3% |
| 2021 | $222.0 | $118.7 | -47% |
| 2022 | $118.7 | $85.7 | -28% |
| 2023 | $85.7 | $77.5 | -9.5% |
| 2024 | $77.5 | $85.1 | +9.7% |
| 2025 | $85.1 | $152.2 | +79% |
| 2026 YTD | $152.2 | $94.4 | -38% |
BABA has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 38% so far in 2026.
SVV Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | $23.7 | $17.4 | -27% |
| 2024 | $17.4 | $10.3 | -41% |
| 2025 | $10.3 | $9.43 | -8.5% |
| 2026 YTD | $9.43 | $10.1 | +7% |
SVV has the edge over BABA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.