BABA
Alibaba Group Holding Limited
BABA has the edge over STRT overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.
STRT
Strattec Security Corporation
STRT offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
BABA Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Weak | |
| Healthy |
BABA's balance sheet is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.
STRT Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Strong |
STRT's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue, profitability and cash flow are stable.
BABA PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 16x | $69.66 | -26% |
| Fair | 20x | $86.59 | -8.2% |
| Current | 21x | $94.36 | — |
| Expensive | 26x | $115 | +22% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
BABA has the edge over STRT in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
STRT PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 11x | $43.33 | -31% |
| Forward | 13x | $62.38 | — |
| Fair | 14x | $56.31 | -9.7% |
| Current | 15x | $62.38 | — |
| Expensive | 28x | $116 | +85% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
STRT's PE is in its fair range at 15x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 13x.
BABA Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
BABA has the edge over STRT on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.
STRT Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Decline | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect STRT's earnings to decline, with its revenue and profitability holding steady.
BABA Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $4.42 | -52% |
| Q1 2026 | $6.57 | -18% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.79 | -22% |
| Q3 2025 | $7.85 | +49% |
| Q2 2025 | $9.27 | +116% |
| Q1 2025 | $8.06 | +71% |
| Q4 2024 | $7.47 | +24% |
| Q3 2024 | $5.26 | -35% |
BABA's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $4.42 over the past year, against $9.27 in mid-2025. Its recent earnings include one-off gains.
STRT Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $4.75 | +15% |
| Q3 2026 | $4.12 | -28% |
| Q2 2026 | $5.00 | +9.2% |
| Q1 2026 | $6.07 | +23% |
| Q4 2025 | $6.61 | +65% |
| Q3 2025 | $5.73 | +45% |
| Q2 2025 | $4.58 | +13% |
| Q1 2025 | $4.95 | +400% |
| Q4 2024 | $4.00 | +7900% |
STRT has the edge over BABA on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
BABA Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $40.2B | +8.3% |
| Q1 2026 | $36.5B | +2.9% |
| Q4 2025 | $42.7B | +1.7% |
| Q3 2025 | $37.2B | +4.8% |
| Q2 2025 | $37.2B | +1.8% |
| Q1 2025 | $35.5B | +6.6% |
| Q4 2024 | $42B | +7.6% |
| Q3 2024 | $35.5B | +5.2% |
BABA has the edge over STRT on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 7.2% | -6.9 points |
| Q1 2026 | -0.3% | -12 points |
| Q4 2025 | 7.1% | -7.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 2.2% | -13 points |
| Q2 2025 | 14% | -0.7 points |
| Q1 2025 | 12% | +5.4 points |
| Q4 2024 | 15% | +6.1 points |
| Q3 2024 | 15% | 0 points |
BABA has the edge over STRT on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
STRT Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $147.2M | -3.4% |
| Q2 2026 | $151.8M | -0.1% |
| Q1 2026 | $137.6M | -4.5% |
| Q4 2025 | $137.5M | +5.9% |
| Q3 2025 | $152.4M | +9.6% |
| Q2 2025 | $152M | +6.3% |
| Q1 2025 | $144.1M | +2.4% |
| Q4 2024 | $129.9M | +9.6% |
STRT's revenue grew through 2024 and has held roughly level since: $147M last quarter, down 3.4% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 4.4% | -2.5 points |
| Q2 2026 | 4.1% | -1.5 points |
| Q1 2026 | 3.7% | -1.3 points |
| Q4 2025 | 3.5% | +1.9 points |
| Q3 2025 | 6.9% | +3.2 points |
| Q2 2025 | 5.6% | -1.2 points |
| Q1 2025 | 4.9% | +3.5 points |
| Q4 2024 | 1.6% | +1.6 points |
STRT's operating margin was 4.4% last quarter, down 2.5 points from the same quarter a year ago.
BABA Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$6.7B | -$4.1B |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.7B | +$1.5B |
| Q4 2025 | $1B | -90% |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.2B | -254% |
| Q2 2025 | -$2.7B | -182% |
| Q1 2025 | -$4.2B | -12231% |
| Q4 2024 | $10.4B | -4.8% |
| Q3 2024 | $2.1B | -62% |
BABA's free cash flow has turned negative after years in the green: −$11.6B over the past year.
STRT Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $9.6M | -2.2% |
| Q2 2026 | $8.2M | -70% |
| Q1 2026 | $9.7M | -50% |
| Q4 2025 | $11.3M | +32% |
| Q3 2025 | $9.8M | +5.8% |
| Q2 2025 | $27.2M | +72% |
| Q1 2025 | $19.6M | +$21.5M |
| Q4 2024 | $8.5M | +$13M |
STRT has the edge over BABA on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
BABA Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.5% | +11.1M shares |
| 1 year | +0.9% | +21.4M shares |
| 3 years | -6.2% | -161M shares |
| 5 years | -12% | -339M shares |
| Available history | -8.4% | -221M shares |
BABA has 2.4B diluted shares, up 0.9% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | $269.8M |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
BABA spent $270M buying back its own shares over the past year, after none the year before.
STRT Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -1.7% | -69K shares |
| 1 year | -1.8% | -74K shares |
| 3 years | +2% | +79K shares |
| 5 years | +4.1% | +160K shares |
| Available history | +8.3% | +312K shares |
STRT has the edge over BABA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $5M |
BABA Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.8x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q3 2024 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
BABA's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).
STRT Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -3.0x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -2.6x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -2.4x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -2.1x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -2.0x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -2.0x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -1.3x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -0.9x | Net Cash |
STRT has the edge over BABA on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
BABA Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 38.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 12.7 | Oversold |
BABA's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 13 (oversold).
STRT Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 36.2 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 8.9 | Oversold |
STRT's weekly RSI is 36 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 9 (oversold).
BABA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | BABA | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 21x | 18x | 19% above |
| PE % | 60 | 47 | 13 pts above |
BABA is trading at 21x earnings, a 19% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x, though its earnings don't support one.
STRT PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | STRT | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 15x | 18x | 16% below |
| PE % | 64 | 47 | 17 pts above |
STRT has the edge over BABA on valuation relative to its sector.
BABA Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $104.7 | 9.9% below |
| 20 week MA | $111.1 | 15% below |
| 50 week MA | $128.0 | 26% below |
| 100 week MA | $127.7 | 26% below |
| 200 week MA | $106.4 | 11% below |
BABA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 11% below its 200-week average.
STRT Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $63.1 | 1.2% below |
| 20 week MA | $72.9 | 14% below |
| 50 week MA | $76.6 | 19% below |
| 100 week MA | $65.4 | 4.7% below |
| 200 week MA | $45.6 | 37% above |
STRT has the edge over BABA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
BABA Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $215.5 | $222.0 | +3% |
| 2021 | $222.0 | $118.7 | -47% |
| 2022 | $118.7 | $85.7 | -28% |
| 2023 | $85.7 | $77.5 | -9.5% |
| 2024 | $77.5 | $85.1 | +9.7% |
| 2025 | $85.1 | $152.2 | +79% |
| 2026 YTD | $152.2 | $94.4 | -38% |
BABA has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 38% so far in 2026.
STRT Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $22.0 | $51.4 | +134% |
| 2021 | $51.4 | $37.4 | -27% |
| 2022 | $37.4 | $20.4 | -45% |
| 2023 | $20.4 | $25.3 | +24% |
| 2024 | $25.3 | $41.3 | +63% |
| 2025 | $41.3 | $79.5 | +92% |
| 2026 YTD | $79.5 | $62.4 | -22% |
STRT has the edge over BABA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.