BABA
Alibaba Group Holding Limited
BABA's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.
SMP
Standard Motor Products, Inc.
SMP has the edge over BABA overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger valuation.
BABA Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Weak | |
| Healthy |
BABA's balance sheet is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.
SMP Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Healthy |
SMP's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.
BABA PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 16x | $69.66 | -26% |
| Fair | 20x | $86.59 | -8.2% |
| Current | 21x | $94.36 | — |
| Expensive | 26x | $115 | +22% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
BABA's PE is 21x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.
SMP PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 9.2x | $43.95 | — |
| Cheap | 13x | $39.94 | -9.1% |
| Current | 14x | $43.95 | — |
| Fair | 18x | $54.47 | +24% |
| Expensive | 23x | $68.65 | +56% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
SMP has the edge over BABA in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
BABA Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
BABA has the edge over SMP on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.
SMP Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect SMP's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.
BABA Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $4.42 | -52% |
| Q1 2026 | $6.57 | -18% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.79 | -22% |
| Q3 2025 | $7.85 | +49% |
| Q2 2025 | $9.27 | +116% |
| Q1 2025 | $8.06 | +71% |
| Q4 2024 | $7.47 | +24% |
| Q3 2024 | $5.26 | -35% |
BABA's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $4.42 over the past year, against $9.27 in mid-2025. Its recent earnings include one-off gains.
SMP Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $4.80 | +58% |
| Q3 2026 | $3.04 | +116% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.23 | +26% |
| Q1 2026 | $2.03 | +44% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.84 | +48% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.41 | -13% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.77 | +1.1% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.41 | +1.4% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.24 | -19% |
SMP has the edge over BABA on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
BABA Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $40.2B | +8.3% |
| Q1 2026 | $36.5B | +2.9% |
| Q4 2025 | $42.7B | +1.7% |
| Q3 2025 | $37.2B | +4.8% |
| Q2 2025 | $37.2B | +1.8% |
| Q1 2025 | $35.5B | +6.6% |
| Q4 2024 | $42B | +7.6% |
| Q3 2024 | $35.5B | +5.2% |
BABA's revenue has grown year over year for 16 quarters in a row: $40.2B last quarter, up 8.3% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 7.2% | -6.9 points |
| Q1 2026 | -0.3% | -12 points |
| Q4 2025 | 7.1% | -7.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 2.2% | -13 points |
| Q2 2025 | 14% | -0.7 points |
| Q1 2025 | 12% | +5.4 points |
| Q4 2024 | 15% | +6.1 points |
| Q3 2024 | 15% | 0 points |
BABA's operating margin was 7.2% last quarter, down 6.9 points from the same quarter a year ago.
SMP Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $507.8M | +1.8% |
| Q2 2026 | $501.6M | +1.6% |
| Q1 2026 | $451.2M | +9.1% |
| Q4 2025 | $385.1M | +12% |
| Q3 2025 | $498.8M | +25% |
| Q2 2025 | $493.9M | +27% |
| Q1 2025 | $413.4M | +25% |
| Q4 2024 | $343.4M | +18% |
SMP has the edge over BABA on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 9.9% | +0.3 points |
| Q2 2026 | 10% | +1.5 points |
| Q1 2026 | 7.6% | +1.6 points |
| Q4 2025 | 5.6% | +4.5 points |
| Q3 2025 | 9.6% | +0.3 points |
| Q2 2025 | 8.7% | +2.3 points |
| Q1 2025 | 5.9% | +1.5 points |
| Q4 2024 | 1.1% | -2.3 points |
SMP has the edge over BABA on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
BABA Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$6.7B | -$4.1B |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.7B | +$1.5B |
| Q4 2025 | $1B | -90% |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.2B | -254% |
| Q2 2025 | -$2.7B | -182% |
| Q1 2025 | -$4.2B | -12231% |
| Q4 2024 | $10.4B | -4.8% |
| Q3 2024 | $2.1B | -62% |
BABA's free cash flow has turned negative after years in the green: −$11.6B over the past year.
SMP Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $140.3M | +72% |
| Q2 2026 | $92M | +108% |
| Q1 2026 | -$48.7M | +$20.7M |
| Q4 2025 | -$37.6M | -$26.2M |
| Q3 2025 | $81.5M | +5.7% |
| Q2 2025 | $44.2M | +94% |
| Q1 2025 | -$69.4M | -$13.6M |
| Q4 2024 | -$11.4M | -1702% |
SMP has the edge over BABA on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
BABA Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.5% | +11.1M shares |
| 1 year | +0.9% | +21.4M shares |
| 3 years | -6.2% | -161M shares |
| 5 years | -12% | -339M shares |
| Available history | -8.4% | -221M shares |
BABA has the edge over SMP on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | $269.8M |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
BABA spent $270M buying back its own shares over the past year, after none the year before.
SMP Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.4% | +102K shares |
| 1 year | +1.8% | +395K shares |
| 3 years | +3.2% | +713K shares |
| 5 years | +1.9% | +423K shares |
| Available history | +0.6% | +148K shares |
SMP has 23M diluted shares, up 1.8% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $37,000 |
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | $283,000 |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | $19,000 |
SMP has spent almost nothing on buybacks in the past year.
BABA Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.8x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q3 2024 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
BABA has the edge over SMP on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
SMP Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 1.9x | Healthy |
| Q2 2026 | 2.6x | Moderate |
| Q1 2026 | 3.1x | Elevated |
| Q4 2025 | 3.0x | Elevated |
| Q3 2025 | 3.1x | Elevated |
| Q2 2025 | 4.0x | Elevated |
| Q1 2025 | 4.8x | High |
| Q4 2024 | 4.6x | High |
SMP's net debt is about 1.9 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 3.1 years a year ago.
BABA Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 38.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 12.7 | Oversold |
BABA's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 13 (oversold).
SMP Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 62.5 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 79.6 | Neutral |
SMP's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 80 (neutral).
BABA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | BABA | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 21x | 18x | 19% above |
| PE % | 60 | 47 | 13 pts above |
BABA is trading at 21x earnings, a 19% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x, though its earnings don't support one.
SMP PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | SMP | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 14x | 18x | 20% below |
| PE % | 24 | 47 | 23 pts below |
SMP has the edge over BABA on valuation relative to its sector.
BABA Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $104.7 | 9.9% below |
| 20 week MA | $111.1 | 15% below |
| 50 week MA | $128.0 | 26% below |
| 100 week MA | $127.7 | 26% below |
| 200 week MA | $106.4 | 11% below |
BABA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 11% below its 200-week average.
SMP Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $39.6 | 11% above |
| 20 week MA | $39.0 | 13% above |
| 50 week MA | $38.8 | 13% above |
| 100 week MA | $35.7 | 23% above |
| 200 week MA | $35.2 | 25% above |
SMP has the edge over BABA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
BABA Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $215.5 | $222.0 | +3% |
| 2021 | $222.0 | $118.7 | -47% |
| 2022 | $118.7 | $85.7 | -28% |
| 2023 | $85.7 | $77.5 | -9.5% |
| 2024 | $77.5 | $85.1 | +9.7% |
| 2025 | $85.1 | $152.2 | +79% |
| 2026 YTD | $152.2 | $94.4 | -38% |
BABA has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 38% so far in 2026.
SMP Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $53.4 | $41.4 | -22% |
| 2021 | $41.4 | $51.9 | +25% |
| 2022 | $51.9 | $35.0 | -32% |
| 2023 | $35.0 | $39.8 | +14% |
| 2024 | $39.8 | $31.0 | -22% |
| 2025 | $31.0 | $37.5 | +21% |
| 2026 YTD | $37.5 | $44.0 | +17% |
SMP has the edge over BABA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.