BABA
Alibaba Group Holding Limited
BABA has the edge over SKY overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.
SKY
Champion Homes, Inc.
SKY offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
BABA Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Weak | |
| Healthy |
BABA's balance sheet is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.
SKY Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong |
SKY's cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and profitability are stable.
BABA PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 16x | $69.66 | -26% |
| Fair | 20x | $86.59 | -8.2% |
| Current | 21x | $94.36 | — |
| Expensive | 26x | $115 | +22% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
BABA has the edge over SKY in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
SKY PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 11x | $38.27 | -59% |
| Fair | 23x | $77.11 | -16% |
| Current | 27x | $92.29 | — |
| Expensive | 34x | $115 | +24% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
SKY's PE is in its fair range at 27x.
BABA Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for BABA, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
SKY Forward outlook
There aren't enough analyst estimates for SKY to show an outlook.
BABA Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $4.42 | -52% |
| Q1 2026 | $6.57 | -18% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.79 | -22% |
| Q3 2025 | $7.85 | +49% |
| Q2 2025 | $9.27 | +116% |
| Q1 2025 | $8.06 | +71% |
| Q4 2024 | $7.47 | +24% |
| Q3 2024 | $5.26 | -35% |
BABA's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $4.42 over the past year, against $9.27 in mid-2025. Its recent earnings include one-off gains.
SKY Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $3.36 | -13% |
| Q2 2026 | $3.42 | -9% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.66 | +7% |
| Q4 2025 | $3.76 | +33% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.85 | +49% |
| Q2 2025 | $3.76 | +55% |
| Q1 2025 | $3.42 | +35% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.83 | -19% |
SKY has the edge over BABA on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
BABA Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $40.2B | +8.3% |
| Q1 2026 | $36.5B | +2.9% |
| Q4 2025 | $42.7B | +1.7% |
| Q3 2025 | $37.2B | +4.8% |
| Q2 2025 | $37.2B | +1.8% |
| Q1 2025 | $35.5B | +6.6% |
| Q4 2024 | $42B | +7.6% |
| Q3 2024 | $35.5B | +5.2% |
BABA's revenue has grown year over year for 16 quarters in a row: $40.2B last quarter, up 8.3% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 7.2% | -6.9 points |
| Q1 2026 | -0.3% | -12 points |
| Q4 2025 | 7.1% | -7.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 2.2% | -13 points |
| Q2 2025 | 14% | -0.7 points |
| Q1 2025 | 12% | +5.4 points |
| Q4 2024 | 15% | +6.1 points |
| Q3 2024 | 15% | 0 points |
BABA's operating margin was 7.2% last quarter, down 6.9 points from the same quarter a year ago.
SKY Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $727M | +6.2% |
| Q2 2026 | $710.2M | +1.3% |
| Q1 2026 | $621.3M | +4.6% |
| Q4 2025 | $656.6M | +1.8% |
| Q3 2025 | $684.4M | +11% |
| Q2 2025 | $701.3M | +12% |
| Q1 2025 | $593.9M | +11% |
| Q4 2024 | $644.9M | +15% |
SKY has the edge over BABA on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 9.1% | -1.9 points |
| Q2 2026 | 8.5% | -2.7 points |
| Q1 2026 | 5.8% | -1.3 points |
| Q4 2025 | 9.5% | -1.8 points |
| Q3 2025 | 11% | +0.1 points |
| Q2 2025 | 11% | +2.4 points |
| Q1 2025 | 7.1% | +5.6 points |
| Q4 2024 | 11% | +1.3 points |
SKY has the edge over BABA on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
BABA Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$6.7B | -$4.1B |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.7B | +$1.5B |
| Q4 2025 | $1B | -90% |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.2B | -254% |
| Q2 2025 | -$2.7B | -182% |
| Q1 2025 | -$4.2B | -12231% |
| Q4 2024 | $10.4B | -4.8% |
| Q3 2024 | $2.1B | -62% |
BABA's free cash flow has turned negative after years in the green: −$11.6B over the past year.
SKY Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $30.8M | -54% |
| Q2 2026 | $62.6M | -5.7% |
| Q1 2026 | $43.5M | +30% |
| Q4 2025 | $92.9M | +149% |
| Q3 2025 | $67M | +46% |
| Q2 2025 | $66.4M | -10% |
| Q1 2025 | $33.4M | +$41.3M |
| Q4 2024 | $37.3M | -48% |
SKY has the edge over BABA on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
BABA Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.5% | +11.1M shares |
| 1 year | +0.9% | +21.4M shares |
| 3 years | -6.2% | -161M shares |
| 5 years | -12% | -339M shares |
| Available history | -8.4% | -221M shares |
BABA has 2.4B diluted shares, up 0.9% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | $269.8M |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
BABA spent $270M buying back its own shares over the past year, after none the year before.
SKY Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -1.2% | -680K shares |
| 1 year | -3.9% | -2.2M shares |
| 3 years | -5.6% | -3.2M shares |
| 5 years | -4.8% | -2.7M shares |
| Available history | -4.1% | -2.3M shares |
SKY has the edge over BABA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $50M |
| Q2 2026 | $50M |
| Q1 2026 | $50M |
| Q4 2025 | $50M |
| Q3 2025 | $50M |
| Q2 2025 | $50M |
| Q1 2025 | $20M |
| Q4 2024 | $20M |
SKY spent $200M buying back its own shares over the past year, up 43% from the year before.
BABA Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.8x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q3 2024 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
BABA's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).
SKY Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -2.5x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -2.7x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -2.1x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -2.1x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -1.9x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -1.9x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -2.1x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -2.3x | Net Cash |
SKY has the edge over BABA on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
BABA Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 38.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 12.7 | Oversold |
BABA's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 13 (oversold).
SKY Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 58.3 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 66.0 | Neutral |
SKY's weekly RSI is 58 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 66 (neutral).
BABA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | BABA | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 21x | 18x | 19% above |
| PE % | 60 | 47 | 13 pts above |
BABA has the edge over SKY on valuation relative to its sector.
SKY PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | SKY | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 27x | 18x | 52% above |
| PE % | 63 | 47 | 16 pts above |
SKY is trading at 27x earnings, a 52% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
BABA Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $104.7 | 9.9% below |
| 20 week MA | $111.1 | 15% below |
| 50 week MA | $128.0 | 26% below |
| 100 week MA | $127.7 | 26% below |
| 200 week MA | $106.4 | 11% below |
BABA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 11% below its 200-week average.
SKY Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $85.1 | 8.5% above |
| 20 week MA | $85.8 | 7.6% above |
| 50 week MA | $83.7 | 10% above |
| 100 week MA | $82.3 | 12% above |
| 200 week MA | $78.5 | 18% above |
SKY has the edge over BABA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
BABA Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $215.5 | $222.0 | +3% |
| 2021 | $222.0 | $118.7 | -47% |
| 2022 | $118.7 | $85.7 | -28% |
| 2023 | $85.7 | $77.5 | -9.5% |
| 2024 | $77.5 | $85.1 | +9.7% |
| 2025 | $85.1 | $152.2 | +79% |
| 2026 YTD | $152.2 | $94.4 | -38% |
BABA has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 38% so far in 2026.
SKY Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $31.4 | $31.7 | +0.7% |
| 2021 | $31.7 | $76.2 | +141% |
| 2022 | $76.2 | $52.6 | -31% |
| 2023 | $52.6 | $74.3 | +41% |
| 2024 | $74.3 | $88.4 | +19% |
| 2025 | $88.4 | $85.5 | -3.2% |
| 2026 YTD | $85.5 | $92.3 | +7.9% |
SKY has the edge over BABA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.