BABA

Alibaba Group Holding Limited

53
Fundamentals36/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential23/ 100

BABA has a slight edge over SFIX overall, supported by lower modeled downside.

SFIX

Stitch Fix, Inc.

53
Fundamentals59/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential37/ 100

SFIX offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

BABA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Weak
Healthy

BABA's balance sheet is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.

SFIX Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Stable
Strong

SFIX's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue, profitability and cash flow are stable.

BABA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.3x19x28x37x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.3x19x28x37x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap16x$69.66-26%
Fair20x$86.59-8.2%
Current21x$94.36—
Expensive26x$115+22%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BABA's PE is 21x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

SFIX PE Valuation

SFIX has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

BABA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for BABA, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

SFIX Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Stable
--
Limited
--

Analysts expect SFIX's losses to shrink, with revenue holding steady.

BABA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+33%$125.09
Downside-23%$72.35

Calculated from the latest close: $94.36 on Nov 12.

BABA trails SFIX on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

SFIX Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+60%$4.50
Downside-37%$1.77

Calculated from the latest close: $2.82 on Nov 12.

SFIX has a better modeled risk to reward balance than BABA, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

BABA Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $8.12Q4 2023: $6.04Q1 2024: $4.71Q2 2024: $4.29Q3 2024: $5.26Q4 2024: $7.47Q1 2025: $8.06Q2 2025: $9.27Q3 2025: $7.85Q4 2025: $5.79Q1 2026: $6.57Q2 2026: $4.42
Q3 2023: $8.12Q4 2023: $6.04Q1 2024: $4.71Q2 2024: $4.29Q3 2024: $5.26Q4 2024: $7.47Q1 2025: $8.06Q2 2025: $9.27Q3 2025: $7.85Q4 2025: $5.79Q1 2026: $6.57Q2 2026: $4.42
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$4.42-52%
Q1 2026$6.57-18%
Q4 2025$5.79-22%
Q3 2025$7.85+49%
Q2 2025$9.27+116%
Q1 2025$8.06+71%
Q4 2024$7.47+24%
Q3 2024$5.26-35%

BABA has the edge over SFIX on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

SFIX Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.30Q1 2024: $-1.02Q2 2024: $-1.01Q3 2024: $-1.07Q4 2024: $-0.82Q1 2025: $-0.57Q2 2025: $-0.45Q3 2025: $-0.22Q4 2025: $-0.22Q1 2026: $-0.19Q2 2026: $-0.14Q3 2026: $-0.09
Q4 2023: $-1.30Q1 2024: $-1.02Q2 2024: $-1.01Q3 2024: $-1.07Q4 2024: $-0.82Q1 2025: $-0.57Q2 2025: $-0.45Q3 2025: $-0.22Q4 2025: $-0.22Q1 2026: $-0.19Q2 2026: $-0.14Q3 2026: $-0.09
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$0.09+$0.13
Q2 2026-$0.14+$0.31
Q1 2026-$0.19+$0.38
Q4 2025-$0.22+$0.60
Q3 2025-$0.22+$0.85
Q2 2025-$0.45+$0.56
Q1 2025-$0.57+$0.45
Q4 2024-$0.82+$0.48

SFIX is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.09 per share over the past year, against $2.68 at its worst in early 2023.

BABA Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $33.7BQ4 2023: $39.1BQ1 2024: $33.3BQ2 2024: $36.5BQ3 2024: $35.5BQ4 2024: $42BQ1 2025: $35.5BQ2 2025: $37.2BQ3 2025: $37.2BQ4 2025: $42.7BQ1 2026: $36.5BQ2 2026: $40.2B
Q3 2023: $33.7BQ4 2023: $39.1BQ1 2024: $33.3BQ2 2024: $36.5BQ3 2024: $35.5BQ4 2024: $42BQ1 2025: $35.5BQ2 2025: $37.2BQ3 2025: $37.2BQ4 2025: $42.7BQ1 2026: $36.5BQ2 2026: $40.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$40.2B+8.3%
Q1 2026$36.5B+2.9%
Q4 2025$42.7B+1.7%
Q3 2025$37.2B+4.8%
Q2 2025$37.2B+1.8%
Q1 2025$35.5B+6.6%
Q4 2024$42B+7.6%
Q3 2024$35.5B+5.2%

BABA has the edge over SFIX on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

SFIX Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $365MQ1 2024: $330MQ2 2024: $323MQ3 2024: $320MQ4 2024: $319MQ1 2025: $312MQ2 2025: $325MQ3 2025: $311MQ4 2025: $342MQ1 2026: $341MQ2 2026: $340MQ3 2026: $324M
Q4 2023: $365MQ1 2024: $330MQ2 2024: $323MQ3 2024: $320MQ4 2024: $319MQ1 2025: $312MQ2 2025: $325MQ3 2025: $311MQ4 2025: $342MQ1 2026: $341MQ2 2026: $340MQ3 2026: $324M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$324.4M+4.2%
Q2 2026$340.3M+4.7%
Q1 2026$341.3M+9.4%
Q4 2025$342.1M+7.3%
Q3 2025$311.2M-2.6%
Q2 2025$325M+0.7%
Q1 2025$312.1M-5.5%
Q4 2024$318.8M-13%

SFIX's revenue has grown year over year for four quarters in a row: $324M last quarter, up 4.2% from the same quarter a year ago.

BABA Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $5.4BQ4 2023: $11BQ1 2024: $34MQ2 2024: $3.2BQ3 2024: $2.1BQ4 2024: $10.4BQ1 2025: −$4.2BQ2 2025: −$2.7BQ3 2025: −$3.2BQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: −$2.7BQ2 2026: −$6.7B
Q3 2023: $5.4BQ4 2023: $11BQ1 2024: $34MQ2 2024: $3.2BQ3 2024: $2.1BQ4 2024: $10.4BQ1 2025: −$4.2BQ2 2025: −$2.7BQ3 2025: −$3.2BQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: −$2.7BQ2 2026: −$6.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026-$6.7B-$4.1B
Q1 2026-$2.7B+$1.5B
Q4 2025$1B-90%
Q3 2025-$3.2B-254%
Q2 2025-$2.7B-182%
Q1 2025-$4.2B-12231%
Q4 2024$10.4B-4.8%
Q3 2024$2.1B-62%

BABA's free cash flow has turned negative after years in the green: −$11.6B over the past year.

SFIX Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $17MQ1 2024: −$26MQ2 2024: $19MQ3 2024: $4MQ4 2024: $10MQ1 2025: −$19MQ2 2025: $16MQ3 2025: $3MQ4 2025: $6MQ1 2026: $3MQ2 2026: $7MQ3 2026: $4M
Q4 2023: $17MQ1 2024: −$26MQ2 2024: $19MQ3 2024: $4MQ4 2024: $10MQ1 2025: −$19MQ2 2025: $16MQ3 2025: $3MQ4 2025: $6MQ1 2026: $3MQ2 2026: $7MQ3 2026: $4M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$4.4M+59%
Q2 2026$6.5M-59%
Q1 2026$3.4M+$22.8M
Q4 2025$5.6M-44%
Q3 2025$2.8M-38%
Q2 2025$16M-15%
Q1 2025-$19.4M+$6.6M
Q4 2024$9.9M-41%

SFIX has the edge over BABA on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

BABA Total Shares

Q3 2023: 2.6BQ4 2023: 2.5BQ1 2024: 2.5BQ2 2024: 2.4BQ3 2024: 2.4BQ4 2024: 2.4BQ1 2025: 2.4BQ2 2025: 2.4BQ3 2025: 2.4BQ4 2025: 2.4BQ1 2026: 2.4BQ2 2026: 2.4B
Q3 2023: 2.6BQ4 2023: 2.5BQ1 2024: 2.5BQ2 2024: 2.4BQ3 2024: 2.4BQ4 2024: 2.4BQ1 2025: 2.4BQ2 2025: 2.4BQ3 2025: 2.4BQ4 2025: 2.4BQ1 2026: 2.4BQ2 2026: 2.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.5%+11.1M shares
1 year+0.9%+21.4M shares
3 years-6.2%-161M shares
5 years-12%-339M shares
Available history-8.4%-221M shares

BABA has the edge over SFIX on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

SFIX Total Shares

Q4 2023: 117MQ1 2024: 119MQ2 2024: 121MQ3 2024: 120MQ4 2024: 126MQ1 2025: 128MQ2 2025: 130MQ3 2025: 129MQ4 2025: 133MQ1 2026: 135MQ2 2026: 135MQ3 2026: 134M
Q4 2023: 117MQ1 2024: 119MQ2 2024: 121MQ3 2024: 120MQ4 2024: 126MQ1 2025: 128MQ2 2025: 130MQ3 2025: 129MQ4 2025: 133MQ1 2026: 135MQ2 2026: 135MQ3 2026: 134M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.8%-1.1M shares
1 year+4.2%+5.5M shares
3 years+17%+19.6M shares
5 years+27%+28.3M shares
Available history+32%+32.7M shares

SFIX has 134M diluted shares, up 4.2% from a year ago.

BABA Net Leverage

Q3 2023: -0.6xQ4 2023: -0.8xQ1 2024: -0.4xQ2 2024: -0.4xQ3 2024: -0.2xQ4 2024: 0.1xQ1 2025: 0.3xQ2 2025: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.8xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.5xQ2 2026: 0.5x
Q3 2023: -0.6xQ4 2023: -0.8xQ1 2024: -0.4xQ2 2024: -0.4xQ3 2024: -0.2xQ4 2024: 0.1xQ1 2025: 0.3xQ2 2025: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.8xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.5xQ2 2026: 0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20260.5xVery low
Q1 20260.5xVery low
Q4 20250.6xVery low
Q3 20250.8xVery low
Q2 20250.2xVery low
Q1 20250.3xVery low
Q4 20240.1xVery low
Q3 2024-0.2xNet Cash

BABA's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

SFIX Net Leverage

Q3 2026: -102.3x
Q3 2026: -102.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-102.3xNet Cash
Q1 2020-6.4xNet Cash
Q4 2019-5.0xNet Cash

SFIX has the edge over BABA on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

BABA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI38.0Neutral
Stochastic12.7Oversold

BABA's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 13 (oversold).

SFIX Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI44.5Neutral
Stochastic29.7Neutral

SFIX's weekly RSI is 44 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 30 (neutral).

BABA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricBABASector medianRelative
PE21x18x19% above
PE %604713 pts above

BABA is trading at 21x earnings, a 19% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x, though its earnings don't support one.

SFIX PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricSFIXSector medianRelative
PEN/A18x—

SFIX has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

BABA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$104.79.9% below
20 week MA$111.115% below
50 week MA$128.026% below
100 week MA$127.726% below
200 week MA$106.411% below

BABA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 11% below its 200-week average.

SFIX Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$2.627.6% above
20 week MA$3.1410% below
50 week MA$3.6823% below
100 week MA$4.0030% below
200 week MA$3.8326% below

SFIX has the edge over BABA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

BABA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$215.5$222.0+3%
2021$222.0$118.7-47%
2022$118.7$85.7-28%
2023$85.7$77.5-9.5%
2024$77.5$85.1+9.7%
2025$85.1$152.2+79%
2026 YTD$152.2$94.4-38%

BABA has the edge over SFIX on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

SFIX Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$25.4$69.3+173%
2021$69.3$19.7-72%
2022$19.7$2.96-85%
2023$2.96$3.57+21%
2024$3.57$4.15+16%
2025$4.15$5.19+25%
2026 YTD$5.19$2.82-46%

SFIX's yearly returns have swung widely, from +173% in 2020 to −85% in 2022. It's down 46% so far in 2026.

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