BABA

Alibaba Group Holding Limited

53
Fundamentals36/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential23/ 100

BABA's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

SE

Sea Limited

69
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation71/ 100
Upside potential71/ 100
Risk potential19/ 100

SE has the edge over BABA overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger valuation.

BABA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Weak
Healthy

BABA's balance sheet is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.

SE Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Healthy
Stable
Strong

SE's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its cash flow is stable.

BABA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.3x19x28x37x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.3x19x28x37x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap16x$69.66-26%
Fair20x$86.59-8.2%
Current21x$94.36—
Expensive26x$115+22%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BABA's PE is 21x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

SE PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE403x807x1210x1614x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE403x807x1210x1614x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current29x$74.52—
Cheap37x$95.38+28%
Fair93x$242+224%
Expensive688x$1,783+2293%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

SE has the edge over BABA in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

BABA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

BABA has the edge over SE on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

SE Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Strong growth
Stable
Limited
Low

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for SE, with profitability holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

BABA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+33%$125.09
Downside-23%$72.35

Calculated from the latest close: $94.36 on Nov 12.

BABA trails SE on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

SE Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+48%$110.15
Downside-19%$60.05

Calculated from the latest close: $74.52 on Nov 12.

SE has a better modeled risk to reward balance than BABA, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

BABA Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $8.12Q4 2023: $6.04Q1 2024: $4.71Q2 2024: $4.29Q3 2024: $5.26Q4 2024: $7.47Q1 2025: $8.06Q2 2025: $9.27Q3 2025: $7.85Q4 2025: $5.79Q1 2026: $6.57Q2 2026: $4.42
Q3 2023: $8.12Q4 2023: $6.04Q1 2024: $4.71Q2 2024: $4.29Q3 2024: $5.26Q4 2024: $7.47Q1 2025: $8.06Q2 2025: $9.27Q3 2025: $7.85Q4 2025: $5.79Q1 2026: $6.57Q2 2026: $4.42
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$4.42-52%
Q1 2026$6.57-18%
Q4 2025$5.79-22%
Q3 2025$7.85+49%
Q2 2025$9.27+116%
Q1 2025$8.06+71%
Q4 2024$7.47+24%
Q3 2024$5.26-35%

BABA's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $4.42 over the past year, against $9.27 in mid-2025. Its recent earnings include one-off gains.

SE Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $1.13Q4 2023: $0.24Q1 2024: $0.05Q2 2024: $-0.35Q3 2024: $0.17Q4 2024: $0.75Q1 2025: $1.42Q2 2025: $1.97Q3 2025: $2.30Q4 2025: $2.54Q1 2026: $2.58Q2 2026: $2.59
Q3 2023: $1.13Q4 2023: $0.24Q1 2024: $0.05Q2 2024: $-0.35Q3 2024: $0.17Q4 2024: $0.75Q1 2025: $1.42Q2 2025: $1.97Q3 2025: $2.30Q4 2025: $2.54Q1 2026: $2.58Q2 2026: $2.59
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$2.59+31%
Q1 2026$2.58+82%
Q4 2025$2.54+239%
Q3 2025$2.30+1253%
Q2 2025$1.97+$2.32
Q1 2025$1.42+2740%
Q4 2024$0.75+213%
Q3 2024$0.17-85%

SE has the edge over BABA on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

BABA Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $33.7BQ4 2023: $39.1BQ1 2024: $33.3BQ2 2024: $36.5BQ3 2024: $35.5BQ4 2024: $42BQ1 2025: $35.5BQ2 2025: $37.2BQ3 2025: $37.2BQ4 2025: $42.7BQ1 2026: $36.5BQ2 2026: $40.2B
Q3 2023: $33.7BQ4 2023: $39.1BQ1 2024: $33.3BQ2 2024: $36.5BQ3 2024: $35.5BQ4 2024: $42BQ1 2025: $35.5BQ2 2025: $37.2BQ3 2025: $37.2BQ4 2025: $42.7BQ1 2026: $36.5BQ2 2026: $40.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$40.2B+8.3%
Q1 2026$36.5B+2.9%
Q4 2025$42.7B+1.7%
Q3 2025$37.2B+4.8%
Q2 2025$37.2B+1.8%
Q1 2025$35.5B+6.6%
Q4 2024$42B+7.6%
Q3 2024$35.5B+5.2%

BABA's revenue has grown year over year for 16 quarters in a row: $40.2B last quarter, up 8.3% from the same quarter a year ago.

SE Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $3.3BQ4 2023: $3.6BQ1 2024: $3.7BQ2 2024: $3.8BQ3 2024: $4.3BQ4 2024: $5BQ1 2025: $4.8BQ2 2025: $5.3BQ3 2025: $6BQ4 2025: $6.9BQ1 2026: $7.1BQ2 2026: $7.8B
Q3 2023: $3.3BQ4 2023: $3.6BQ1 2024: $3.7BQ2 2024: $3.8BQ3 2024: $4.3BQ4 2024: $5BQ1 2025: $4.8BQ2 2025: $5.3BQ3 2025: $6BQ4 2025: $6.9BQ1 2026: $7.1BQ2 2026: $7.8B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$7.8B+48%
Q1 2026$7.1B+47%
Q4 2025$6.9B+38%
Q3 2025$6B+38%
Q2 2025$5.3B+38%
Q1 2025$4.8B+30%
Q4 2024$5B+37%
Q3 2024$4.3B+31%

SE has the edge over BABA on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

BABA Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $5.4BQ4 2023: $11BQ1 2024: $34MQ2 2024: $3.2BQ3 2024: $2.1BQ4 2024: $10.4BQ1 2025: −$4.2BQ2 2025: −$2.7BQ3 2025: −$3.2BQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: −$2.7BQ2 2026: −$6.7B
Q3 2023: $5.4BQ4 2023: $11BQ1 2024: $34MQ2 2024: $3.2BQ3 2024: $2.1BQ4 2024: $10.4BQ1 2025: −$4.2BQ2 2025: −$2.7BQ3 2025: −$3.2BQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: −$2.7BQ2 2026: −$6.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026-$6.7B-$4.1B
Q1 2026-$2.7B+$1.5B
Q4 2025$1B-90%
Q3 2025-$3.2B-254%
Q2 2025-$2.7B-182%
Q1 2025-$4.2B-12231%
Q4 2024$10.4B-4.8%
Q3 2024$2.1B-62%

BABA's free cash flow has turned negative after years in the green: −$11.6B over the past year.

SE Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $556MQ4 2023: $264MQ1 2024: $440MQ2 2024: $552MQ3 2024: $1BQ4 2024: $932MQ1 2025: $757MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $1BQ4 2025: $0Q1 2026: $919MQ2 2026: $1.1B
Q3 2023: $556MQ4 2023: $264MQ1 2024: $440MQ2 2024: $552MQ3 2024: $1BQ4 2024: $932MQ1 2025: $757MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $1BQ4 2025: $0Q1 2026: $919MQ2 2026: $1.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$1.1B-18%
Q1 2026$918.9M+21%
Q4 2025$0-100%
Q3 2025$1B+0.8%
Q2 2025$1.4B+153%
Q1 2025$756.9M+72%
Q4 2024$931.8M+252%
Q3 2024$1B+86%

SE has the edge over BABA on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

BABA Total Shares

Q3 2023: 2.6BQ4 2023: 2.5BQ1 2024: 2.5BQ2 2024: 2.4BQ3 2024: 2.4BQ4 2024: 2.4BQ1 2025: 2.4BQ2 2025: 2.4BQ3 2025: 2.4BQ4 2025: 2.4BQ1 2026: 2.4BQ2 2026: 2.4B
Q3 2023: 2.6BQ4 2023: 2.5BQ1 2024: 2.5BQ2 2024: 2.4BQ3 2024: 2.4BQ4 2024: 2.4BQ1 2025: 2.4BQ2 2025: 2.4BQ3 2025: 2.4BQ4 2025: 2.4BQ1 2026: 2.4BQ2 2026: 2.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.5%+11.1M shares
1 year+0.9%+21.4M shares
3 years-6.2%-161M shares
5 years-12%-339M shares
Available history-8.4%-221M shares

BABA has the edge over SE on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

SE Total Shares

Q3 2023: 565MQ4 2023: 570MQ1 2024: 571MQ2 2024: 574MQ3 2024: 574MQ4 2024: 610MQ1 2025: 635MQ2 2025: 592MQ3 2025: 636MQ4 2025: 640MQ1 2026: 636MQ2 2026: 654M
Q3 2023: 565MQ4 2023: 570MQ1 2024: 571MQ2 2024: 574MQ3 2024: 574MQ4 2024: 610MQ1 2025: 635MQ2 2025: 592MQ3 2025: 636MQ4 2025: 640MQ1 2026: 636MQ2 2026: 654M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+2.9%+18.3M shares
1 year+11%+62.4M shares
3 years+9.3%+55.7M shares
5 years+25%+131M shares
Available history+41%+191M shares

SE has 654M diluted shares, up 11% from a year ago, despite $578M in buybacks over the past year.

BABA Net Leverage

Q3 2023: -0.6xQ4 2023: -0.8xQ1 2024: -0.4xQ2 2024: -0.4xQ3 2024: -0.2xQ4 2024: 0.1xQ1 2025: 0.3xQ2 2025: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.8xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.5xQ2 2026: 0.5x
Q3 2023: -0.6xQ4 2023: -0.8xQ1 2024: -0.4xQ2 2024: -0.4xQ3 2024: -0.2xQ4 2024: 0.1xQ1 2025: 0.3xQ2 2025: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.8xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.5xQ2 2026: 0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20260.5xVery low
Q1 20260.5xVery low
Q4 20250.6xVery low
Q3 20250.8xVery low
Q2 20250.2xVery low
Q1 20250.3xVery low
Q4 20240.1xVery low
Q3 2024-0.2xNet Cash

BABA's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

SE Net Leverage

Q3 2023: 0.9xQ4 2023: 1.7xQ1 2024: 2.1xQ2 2024: 3.0xQ3 2024: 2.2xQ4 2024: 1.4xQ1 2025: 1.2xQ2 2025: 1.0xQ3 2025: 0.5xQ4 2025: -1.2xQ1 2026: -1.0xQ2 2026: 0.2x
Q3 2023: 0.9xQ4 2023: 1.7xQ1 2024: 2.1xQ2 2024: 3.0xQ3 2024: 2.2xQ4 2024: 1.4xQ1 2025: 1.2xQ2 2025: 1.0xQ3 2025: 0.5xQ4 2025: -1.2xQ1 2026: -1.0xQ2 2026: 0.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20260.2xVery low
Q1 2026-1.0xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.2xNet Cash
Q3 20250.5xVery low
Q2 20251.0xHealthy
Q1 20251.2xHealthy
Q4 20241.4xHealthy
Q3 20242.2xModerate

SE has the edge over BABA on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

BABA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI38.0Neutral
Stochastic12.7Oversold

BABA's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 13 (oversold).

SE Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI32.3Neutral
Stochastic5.6Oversold

SE's weekly RSI is 32 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 6 (oversold).

BABA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricBABASector medianRelative
PE21x18x19% above
PE %604713 pts above

BABA has the edge over SE on valuation relative to its sector.

SE PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricSESector medianRelative
PE29x18x60% above
PE %14746 pts below

SE is trading at 29x earnings, a 60% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

BABA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$104.79.9% below
20 week MA$111.115% below
50 week MA$128.026% below
100 week MA$127.726% below
200 week MA$106.411% below

BABA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 11% below its 200-week average.

SE Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$85.413% below
20 week MA$100.025% below
50 week MA$100.926% below
100 week MA$123.840% below
200 week MA$94.221% below

SE is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 21% below its 200-week average.

BABA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$215.5$222.0+3%
2021$222.0$118.7-47%
2022$118.7$85.7-28%
2023$85.7$77.5-9.5%
2024$77.5$85.1+9.7%
2025$85.1$152.2+79%
2026 YTD$152.2$94.4-38%

BABA has the edge over SE on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

SE Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$39.3$193.2+392%
2021$193.2$222.1+15%
2022$222.1$49.9-78%
2023$49.9$40.5-19%
2024$40.5$108.7+168%
2025$108.7$127.9+18%
2026 YTD$127.9$74.5-42%

SE's yearly returns have swung widely, from +392% in 2020 to −78% in 2022. It's down 42% so far in 2026.

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