BABA
Alibaba Group Holding Limited
BABA has a slight edge over SABR overall, supported by lower modeled downside.
SABR
Sabre Corporation
SABR offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
BABA Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Weak | |
| Healthy |
BABA's balance sheet is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.
SABR Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Under pressure | |
| Weak |
SABR's revenue is currently stable, but its profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are under pressure.
BABA PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 16x | $69.66 | -26% |
| Fair | 20x | $86.59 | -8.2% |
| Current | 21x | $94.36 | — |
| Expensive | 26x | $115 | +22% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
BABA's PE is 21x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.
SABR PE Valuation
SABR has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 20x next year's earnings.
BABA Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
BABA has the edge over SABR on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.
SABR Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Returning to profit | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly weakening | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect SABR to return to profit, with revenue growing.
BABA Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $4.42 | -52% |
| Q1 2026 | $6.57 | -18% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.79 | -22% |
| Q3 2025 | $7.85 | +49% |
| Q2 2025 | $9.27 | +116% |
| Q1 2025 | $8.06 | +71% |
| Q4 2024 | $7.47 | +24% |
| Q3 2024 | $5.26 | -35% |
BABA has the edge over SABR on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
SABR Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $0.09 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$0.21 | -117% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.83 | +$2.75 |
| Q1 2026 | $1.27 | +$1.72 |
| Q4 2025 | $1.34 | +$2.07 |
| Q3 2025 | $1.22 | +$1.99 |
| Q2 2025 | -$0.92 | +$0.30 |
| Q1 2025 | -$0.45 | +$0.98 |
| Q4 2024 | -$0.73 | +$0.83 |
SABR has swung to a loss: it lost $0.21 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.
BABA Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $40.2B | +8.3% |
| Q1 2026 | $36.5B | +2.9% |
| Q4 2025 | $42.7B | +1.7% |
| Q3 2025 | $37.2B | +4.8% |
| Q2 2025 | $37.2B | +1.8% |
| Q1 2025 | $35.5B | +6.6% |
| Q4 2024 | $42B | +7.6% |
| Q3 2024 | $35.5B | +5.2% |
BABA has the edge over SABR on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 7.2% | -6.9 points |
| Q1 2026 | -0.3% | -12 points |
| Q4 2025 | 7.1% | -7.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 2.2% | -13 points |
| Q2 2025 | 14% | -0.7 points |
| Q1 2025 | 12% | +5.4 points |
| Q4 2024 | 15% | +6.1 points |
| Q3 2024 | 15% | 0 points |
BABA's operating margin was 7.2% last quarter, down 6.9 points from the same quarter a year ago.
SABR Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $738.4M | +3.2% |
| Q2 2026 | $712M | +3.6% |
| Q1 2026 | $760.3M | -2.1% |
| Q4 2025 | $666.5M | -6.7% |
| Q3 2025 | $715.2M | -6.5% |
| Q2 2025 | $687.1M | -10% |
| Q1 2025 | $776.6M | -0.8% |
| Q4 2024 | $714.7M | +4% |
SABR's revenue fell from its 2019 peak and has held roughly level since: $738M last quarter, up 3.2% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 15% | +1.7 points |
| Q2 2026 | 13% | +0.1 points |
| Q1 2026 | 15% | +1.9 points |
| Q4 2025 | 3.2% | -4.8 points |
| Q3 2025 | 13% | +3.9 points |
| Q2 2025 | 13% | +5 points |
| Q1 2025 | 13% | +0.8 points |
| Q4 2024 | 8% | +2.6 points |
SABR has the edge over BABA on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
BABA Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$6.7B | -$4.1B |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.7B | +$1.5B |
| Q4 2025 | $1B | -90% |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.2B | -254% |
| Q2 2025 | -$2.7B | -182% |
| Q1 2025 | -$4.2B | -12231% |
| Q4 2024 | $10.4B | -4.8% |
| Q3 2024 | $2.1B | -62% |
BABA's free cash flow has turned negative after years in the green: −$11.6B over the past year.
SABR Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$47.5M | -454% |
| Q2 2026 | $9.7M | +$232.2M |
| Q1 2026 | -$155.4M | -$56.9M |
| Q4 2025 | $115.8M | +74% |
| Q3 2025 | $13.4M | +78% |
| Q2 2025 | -$222.5M | -2877% |
| Q1 2025 | -$98.5M | -$2.7M |
| Q4 2024 | $66.6M | -14% |
SABR has the edge over BABA on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
BABA Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.5% | +11.1M shares |
| 1 year | +0.9% | +21.4M shares |
| 3 years | -6.2% | -161M shares |
| 5 years | -12% | -339M shares |
| Available history | -8.4% | -221M shares |
BABA has 2.4B diluted shares, up 0.9% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | $269.8M |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
BABA spent $270M buying back its own shares over the past year, after none the year before.
SABR Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +1.1% | +4.3M shares |
| 1 year | -6% | -25.6M shares |
| 3 years | +17% | +58.5M shares |
| 5 years | +25% | +80.9M shares |
| Available history | +46% | +127M shares |
SABR has the edge over BABA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2020 | — |
| Q3 2020 | — |
| Q2 2020 | — |
| Q1 2020 | — |
| Q4 2019 | — |
BABA Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.8x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q3 2024 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
BABA has the edge over SABR on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
SABR Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 8.4x | High |
| Q2 2026 | 8.4x | High |
| Q1 2026 | 8.6x | High |
| Q4 2025 | 8.6x | High |
| Q3 2025 | 7.9x | High |
| Q2 2025 | 10.6x | High |
| Q1 2025 | 10.7x | High |
| Q4 2024 | 10.4x | High |
SABR's net debt is about 8.4 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 7.9 years a year ago.
BABA Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 38.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 12.7 | Oversold |
BABA's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 13 (oversold).
SABR Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 51.2 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 26.2 | Neutral |
SABR's weekly RSI is 51 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 26 (neutral).
BABA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | BABA | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 21x | 18x | 19% above |
| PE % | 60 | 47 | 13 pts above |
BABA is trading at 21x earnings, a 19% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x, though its earnings don't support one.
SABR PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | SABR | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 0.9x | 18x | 95% below |
| PE % | 5 | 47 | 42 pts below |
SABR has the edge over BABA on valuation relative to its sector.
BABA Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $104.7 | 9.9% below |
| 20 week MA | $111.1 | 15% below |
| 50 week MA | $128.0 | 26% below |
| 100 week MA | $127.7 | 26% below |
| 200 week MA | $106.4 | 11% below |
BABA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 11% below its 200-week average.
SABR Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $1.81 | 5% above |
| 20 week MA | $1.94 | 2.1% below |
| 50 week MA | $1.69 | 12% above |
| 100 week MA | $2.18 | 13% below |
| 200 week MA | $2.98 | 36% below |
SABR has the edge over BABA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
BABA Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $215.5 | $222.0 | +3% |
| 2021 | $222.0 | $118.7 | -47% |
| 2022 | $118.7 | $85.7 | -28% |
| 2023 | $85.7 | $77.5 | -9.5% |
| 2024 | $77.5 | $85.1 | +9.7% |
| 2025 | $85.1 | $152.2 | +79% |
| 2026 YTD | $152.2 | $94.4 | -38% |
BABA has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 38% so far in 2026.
SABR Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $22.9 | $11.4 | -50% |
| 2021 | $11.4 | $8.91 | -22% |
| 2022 | $8.91 | $5.94 | -33% |
| 2023 | $5.94 | $4.40 | -26% |
| 2024 | $4.40 | $3.67 | -17% |
| 2025 | $3.67 | $1.39 | -62% |
| 2026 YTD | $1.39 | $1.90 | +37% |
SABR has the edge over BABA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.