BABA
Alibaba Group Holding Limited
BABA has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
RVLV
Revolve Group, Inc.
RVLV has the edge over BABA overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.
BABA Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Weak | |
| Healthy |
BABA's balance sheet is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.
RVLV Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Under pressure | |
| Strong |
RVLV's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its cash flow is under pressure.
BABA PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 16x | $69.66 | -26% |
| Fair | 20x | $86.59 | -8.2% |
| Current | 21x | $94.36 | — |
| Expensive | 26x | $115 | +22% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
BABA's PE is 21x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.
RVLV PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | 20x | $18.75 | — |
| Forward | 21x | $18.75 | — |
| Cheap | 23x | $21.58 | +15% |
| Fair | 33x | $30.57 | +63% |
| Expensive | 55x | $51.31 | +174% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
RVLV has the edge over BABA in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
BABA Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
BABA has the edge over RVLV on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.
RVLV Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for RVLV, with profitability holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
BABA Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $4.42 | -52% |
| Q1 2026 | $6.57 | -18% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.79 | -22% |
| Q3 2025 | $7.85 | +49% |
| Q2 2025 | $9.27 | +116% |
| Q1 2025 | $8.06 | +71% |
| Q4 2024 | $7.47 | +24% |
| Q3 2024 | $5.26 | -35% |
BABA's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $4.42 over the past year, against $9.27 in mid-2025. Its recent earnings include one-off gains.
RVLV Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $0.89 | -4.5% |
| Q3 2026 | $0.93 | +21% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.02 | +62% |
| Q1 2026 | $0.90 | +29% |
| Q4 2025 | $0.86 | +25% |
| Q3 2025 | $0.77 | +38% |
| Q2 2025 | $0.63 | +40% |
| Q1 2025 | $0.70 | +106% |
| Q4 2024 | $0.69 | +82% |
RVLV has the edge over BABA on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
BABA Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $40.2B | +8.3% |
| Q1 2026 | $36.5B | +2.9% |
| Q4 2025 | $42.7B | +1.7% |
| Q3 2025 | $37.2B | +4.8% |
| Q2 2025 | $37.2B | +1.8% |
| Q1 2025 | $35.5B | +6.6% |
| Q4 2024 | $42B | +7.6% |
| Q3 2024 | $35.5B | +5.2% |
BABA's revenue has grown year over year for 16 quarters in a row: $40.2B last quarter, up 8.3% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 7.2% | -6.9 points |
| Q1 2026 | -0.3% | -12 points |
| Q4 2025 | 7.1% | -7.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 2.2% | -13 points |
| Q2 2025 | 14% | -0.7 points |
| Q1 2025 | 12% | +5.4 points |
| Q4 2024 | 15% | +6.1 points |
| Q3 2024 | 15% | 0 points |
BABA has the edge over RVLV on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
RVLV Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $356M | +20% |
| Q2 2026 | $347.4M | +12% |
| Q1 2026 | $342.9M | +16% |
| Q4 2025 | $324.4M | +10% |
| Q3 2025 | $295.6M | +4.4% |
| Q2 2025 | $309M | +9.4% |
| Q1 2025 | $296.7M | +9.7% |
| Q4 2024 | $293.7M | +14% |
RVLV has the edge over BABA on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 5.3% | -1.8 points |
| Q2 2026 | 6.4% | +0.5 points |
| Q1 2026 | 4.6% | -0.4 points |
| Q4 2025 | 6.3% | +2.5 points |
| Q3 2025 | 7.1% | +2.1 points |
| Q2 2025 | 5.8% | 0 points |
| Q1 2025 | 5% | +1.5 points |
| Q4 2024 | 3.9% | +3 points |
RVLV's operating margin was 5.3% last quarter, down 1.8 points from the same quarter a year ago.
BABA Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$6.7B | -$4.1B |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.7B | +$1.5B |
| Q4 2025 | $1B | -90% |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.2B | -254% |
| Q2 2025 | -$2.7B | -182% |
| Q1 2025 | -$4.2B | -12231% |
| Q4 2024 | $10.4B | -4.8% |
| Q3 2024 | $2.1B | -62% |
BABA's free cash flow has turned negative after years in the green: −$11.6B over the past year.
RVLV Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$27.4M | -465% |
| Q2 2026 | -$11.1M | -206% |
| Q1 2026 | $44.5M | +2.5% |
| Q4 2025 | -$13.3M | -736% |
| Q3 2025 | $7.5M | -6.5% |
| Q2 2025 | $10.4M | +$36.1M |
| Q1 2025 | $43.4M | +18% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.1M | +$7M |
RVLV has the edge over BABA on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
BABA Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.5% | +11.1M shares |
| 1 year | +0.9% | +21.4M shares |
| 3 years | -6.2% | -161M shares |
| 5 years | -12% | -339M shares |
| Available history | -8.4% | -221M shares |
BABA has 2.4B diluted shares, up 0.9% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | $269.8M |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
BABA spent $270M buying back its own shares over the past year, after none the year before.
RVLV Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.2% | -140K shares |
| 1 year | -0.2% | -145K shares |
| 3 years | -2.5% | -1.9M shares |
| 5 years | -4% | -3M shares |
| Available history | -0.1% | -45K shares |
RVLV has the edge over BABA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $73,000 |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | $283,000 |
| Q4 2024 | $98,000 |
| Q3 2024 | $1.9M |
| Q2 2024 | $1.9M |
| Q1 2024 | $8.1M |
| Q4 2023 | $18.3M |
BABA Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.8x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q3 2024 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
BABA's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).
RVLV Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -3.4x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -3.7x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -4.2x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -3.7x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -4.5x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -5.0x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -4.9x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -4.6x | Net Cash |
RVLV has the edge over BABA on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
BABA Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 38.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 12.7 | Oversold |
BABA's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 13 (oversold).
RVLV Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 37.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 19.2 | Oversold |
RVLV's weekly RSI is 37 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 19 (oversold).
BABA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | BABA | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 21x | 18x | 19% above |
| PE % | 60 | 47 | 13 pts above |
BABA is trading at 21x earnings, a 19% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x, though its earnings don't support one.
RVLV PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | RVLV | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 20x | 18x | 12% above |
| PE % | 2 | 47 | 45 pts below |
RVLV has the edge over BABA on valuation relative to its sector.
BABA Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $104.7 | 9.9% below |
| 20 week MA | $111.1 | 15% below |
| 50 week MA | $128.0 | 26% below |
| 100 week MA | $127.7 | 26% below |
| 200 week MA | $106.4 | 11% below |
BABA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 11% below its 200-week average.
RVLV Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $21.1 | 11% below |
| 20 week MA | $22.4 | 16% below |
| 50 week MA | $23.9 | 21% below |
| 100 week MA | $23.7 | 21% below |
| 200 week MA | $21.9 | 14% below |
RVLV is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 14% below its 200-week average.
BABA Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $215.5 | $222.0 | +3% |
| 2021 | $222.0 | $118.7 | -47% |
| 2022 | $118.7 | $85.7 | -28% |
| 2023 | $85.7 | $77.5 | -9.5% |
| 2024 | $77.5 | $85.1 | +9.7% |
| 2025 | $85.1 | $152.2 | +79% |
| 2026 YTD | $152.2 | $94.4 | -38% |
BABA has the edge over RVLV on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
RVLV Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $19.0 | $30.5 | +61% |
| 2021 | $30.5 | $56.4 | +85% |
| 2022 | $56.4 | $23.4 | -59% |
| 2023 | $23.4 | $16.6 | -29% |
| 2024 | $16.6 | $33.6 | +103% |
| 2025 | $33.6 | $30.4 | -9.4% |
| 2026 YTD | $30.4 | $18.8 | -38% |
RVLV's yearly returns have swung widely, from +103% in 2024 to −59% in 2022. It's down 38% so far in 2026.