BABA
Alibaba Group Holding Limited
BABA has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
RSI
Rush Street Interactive, Inc.
RSI has the edge over BABA overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.
BABA Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Weak | |
| Healthy |
BABA's balance sheet is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.
RSI Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
RSI's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
BABA PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 16x | $69.66 | -26% |
| Fair | 20x | $86.59 | -8.2% |
| Current | 21x | $94.36 | — |
| Expensive | 26x | $115 | +22% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
BABA's PE is 21x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.
RSI PE Valuation
RSI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
BABA Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for BABA, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
RSI Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for RSI, with profitability improving.
BABA Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $4.42 | -52% |
| Q1 2026 | $6.57 | -18% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.79 | -22% |
| Q3 2025 | $7.85 | +49% |
| Q2 2025 | $9.27 | +116% |
| Q1 2025 | $8.06 | +71% |
| Q4 2024 | $7.47 | +24% |
| Q3 2024 | $5.26 | -35% |
RSI has the stronger earnings trend. Trailing diluted EPS is down 52% for BABA versus RSI up 1,200%.
RSI Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $0.73 | +179% |
| Q3 2025 | $0.26 | +$0.28 |
| Q2 2025 | $0.21 | +$0.30 |
| Q1 2025 | $0.09 | +$0.26 |
| Q4 2024 | $0.03 | +$0.30 |
| Q3 2024 | -$0.02 | +$0.37 |
| Q2 2024 | -$0.09 | +$0.34 |
| Q1 2024 | -$0.17 | +$0.31 |
| Q4 2023 | -$0.27 | +$0.34 |
RSI has returned to profit: it earned $0.26 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.
BABA Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $40.2B | +8.3% |
| Q1 2026 | $36.5B | +2.9% |
| Q4 2025 | $42.7B | +1.7% |
| Q3 2025 | $37.2B | +4.8% |
| Q2 2025 | $37.2B | +1.8% |
| Q1 2025 | $35.5B | +6.6% |
| Q4 2024 | $42B | +7.6% |
| Q3 2024 | $35.5B | +5.2% |
BABA's revenue has grown year over year for 16 quarters in a row: $40.2B last quarter, up 8.3% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 7.2% | -6.9 points |
| Q1 2026 | -0.3% | -12 points |
| Q4 2025 | 7.1% | -7.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 2.2% | -13 points |
| Q2 2025 | 14% | -0.7 points |
| Q1 2025 | 12% | +5.4 points |
| Q4 2024 | 15% | +6.1 points |
| Q3 2024 | 15% | 0 points |
BABA's operating margin was 7.2% last quarter, down 6.9 points from the same quarter a year ago.
RSI Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $385.9M | +39% |
| Q2 2026 | $393.8M | +46% |
| Q1 2026 | $370.4M | +41% |
| Q4 2025 | $324.9M | +28% |
| Q3 2025 | $277.9M | +20% |
| Q2 2025 | $269.2M | +22% |
| Q1 2025 | $262.4M | +21% |
| Q4 2024 | $254.2M | +31% |
RSI has the edge over BABA on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 11% | +4 points |
| Q2 2026 | 12% | +2.7 points |
| Q1 2026 | 12% | +6 points |
| Q4 2025 | 8.8% | +4.1 points |
| Q3 2025 | 7% | +4.2 points |
| Q2 2025 | 9% | +7.1 points |
| Q1 2025 | 5.6% | +4.9 points |
| Q4 2024 | 4.8% | +6.6 points |
RSI has the edge over BABA on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
BABA Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$6.7B | -$4.1B |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.7B | +$1.5B |
| Q4 2025 | $1B | -90% |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.2B | -254% |
| Q2 2025 | -$2.7B | -182% |
| Q1 2025 | -$4.2B | -12231% |
| Q4 2024 | $10.4B | -4.8% |
| Q3 2024 | $2.1B | -62% |
BABA's free cash flow has turned negative after years in the green: −$11.6B over the past year.
RSI Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $70.3M | +71% |
| Q2 2026 | $51.7M | +102% |
| Q1 2026 | $19.9M | -30% |
| Q4 2025 | $68.9M | +168% |
| Q3 2025 | $41.2M | +41% |
| Q2 2025 | $25.6M | +29% |
| Q1 2025 | $28.6M | -6.8% |
| Q4 2024 | $25.7M | +4612% |
RSI has the edge over BABA on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
BABA Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.5% | +11.1M shares |
| 1 year | +0.9% | +21.4M shares |
| 3 years | -6.2% | -161M shares |
| 5 years | -12% | -339M shares |
| Available history | -8.4% | -221M shares |
BABA has 2.4B diluted shares, up 0.9% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | $269.8M |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
BABA spent $270M buying back its own shares over the past year, after none the year before.
RSI Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +4.2% | +4.9M shares |
| 1 year | -49% | -116M shares |
| 3 years | +79% | +53.5M shares |
| 5 years | +104% | +61.7M shares |
RSI has the edge over BABA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $13.5M |
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | $2.5M |
| Q1 2025 | $5.2M |
| Q4 2022 | — |
RSI spent $14M buying back its own shares over the past year.
BABA Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.8x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q3 2024 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
BABA's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).
RSI Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -1.9x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -1.9x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -2.1x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -2.7x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -2.5x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -2.6x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -3.2x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -4.1x | Net Cash |
RSI has the edge over BABA on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
BABA Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 38.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 12.7 | Oversold |
BABA's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 13 (oversold).
RSI Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 23.5 | Oversold |
| Stochastic | 3.4 | Oversold |
RSI's weekly RSI is 24 (oversold) and its Stochastic is 3 (oversold).
BABA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | BABA | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 21x | 18x | 19% above |
| PE % | 60 | 47 | 13 pts above |
BABA is trading at 21x earnings, a 19% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x, though its earnings don't support one.
RSI PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | RSI | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | 18x | — |
RSI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
BABA Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $104.7 | 9.9% below |
| 20 week MA | $111.1 | 15% below |
| 50 week MA | $128.0 | 26% below |
| 100 week MA | $127.7 | 26% below |
| 200 week MA | $106.4 | 11% below |
BABA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 11% below its 200-week average.
RSI Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $16.2 | 27% below |
| 20 week MA | $23.2 | 49% below |
| 50 week MA | $22.6 | 48% below |
| 100 week MA | $19.0 | 38% below |
| 200 week MA | $12.6 | 6.4% below |
RSI is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 6.4% below its 200-week average.
BABA Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $215.5 | $222.0 | +3% |
| 2021 | $222.0 | $118.7 | -47% |
| 2022 | $118.7 | $85.7 | -28% |
| 2023 | $85.7 | $77.5 | -9.5% |
| 2024 | $77.5 | $85.1 | +9.7% |
| 2025 | $85.1 | $152.2 | +79% |
| 2026 YTD | $152.2 | $94.4 | -38% |
BABA has the edge over RSI on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
RSI Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $9.62 | $23.9 | +149% |
| 2021 | $23.9 | $17.0 | -29% |
| 2022 | $17.0 | $3.02 | -82% |
| 2023 | $3.02 | $4.49 | +49% |
| 2024 | $4.49 | $13.7 | +206% |
| 2025 | $13.7 | $19.5 | +42% |
| 2026 YTD | $19.5 | $11.8 | -39% |
RSI's yearly returns have swung widely, from +206% in 2024 to −82% in 2022. It's down 39% so far in 2026.