BABA
Alibaba Group Holding Limited
BABA has the edge over RRR overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.
RRR
Red Rock Resorts, Inc.
RRR's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.
BABA Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Weak | |
| Healthy |
BABA's balance sheet is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.
RRR Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Under pressure | |
| Weak |
RRR's profitability is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its cash flow and balance sheet are under pressure.
BABA PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 16x | $69.66 | -26% |
| Fair | 20x | $86.59 | -8.2% |
| Current | 21x | $94.36 | — |
| Expensive | 26x | $115 | +22% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
BABA has the edge over RRR in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
RRR PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 12x | $23.83 | -52% |
| Fair | 18x | $35.23 | -28% |
| Forward | 19x | $49.19 | — |
| Expensive | 21x | $40.91 | -17% |
| Current | 25x | $49.19 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
RRR's PE is in its expensive range at 25x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 19x next year's earnings, in its fair range.
BABA Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
BABA has the edge over RRR on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.
RRR Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for RRR, with profitability holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
BABA Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $4.42 | -52% |
| Q1 2026 | $6.57 | -18% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.79 | -22% |
| Q3 2025 | $7.85 | +49% |
| Q2 2025 | $9.27 | +116% |
| Q1 2025 | $8.06 | +71% |
| Q4 2024 | $7.47 | +24% |
| Q3 2024 | $5.26 | -35% |
BABA has the edge over RRR on earnings, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
RRR Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.63 | +34% |
| Q3 2026 | $1.97 | -38% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.82 | -4.7% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.10 | +19% |
| Q4 2025 | $3.12 | +23% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.16 | +17% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.96 | +5.3% |
| Q1 2025 | $2.60 | -9.4% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.53 | -14% |
RRR's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $1.97 over the past year, against $4.53 in early 2022.
BABA Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $40.2B | +8.3% |
| Q1 2026 | $36.5B | +2.9% |
| Q4 2025 | $42.7B | +1.7% |
| Q3 2025 | $37.2B | +4.8% |
| Q2 2025 | $37.2B | +1.8% |
| Q1 2025 | $35.5B | +6.6% |
| Q4 2024 | $42B | +7.6% |
| Q3 2024 | $35.5B | +5.2% |
BABA has the edge over RRR on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 7.2% | -6.9 points |
| Q1 2026 | -0.3% | -12 points |
| Q4 2025 | 7.1% | -7.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 2.2% | -13 points |
| Q2 2025 | 14% | -0.7 points |
| Q1 2025 | 12% | +5.4 points |
| Q4 2024 | 15% | +6.1 points |
| Q3 2024 | 15% | 0 points |
BABA has the edge over RRR on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
RRR Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $488.7M | +2.8% |
| Q2 2026 | $510.3M | -3% |
| Q1 2026 | $507.3M | +1.9% |
| Q4 2025 | $511.8M | +3.2% |
| Q3 2025 | $475.6M | +1.6% |
| Q2 2025 | $526.3M | +8.2% |
| Q1 2025 | $497.9M | +1.8% |
| Q4 2024 | $495.7M | +7.1% |
RRR's revenue grew through 2024 and has held roughly level since: $489M last quarter, up 2.8% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 5.5% | -22 points |
| Q2 2026 | 27% | -5.3 points |
| Q1 2026 | 28% | -2.7 points |
| Q4 2025 | 28% | -0.7 points |
| Q3 2025 | 28% | -0.3 points |
| Q2 2025 | 32% | +3.1 points |
| Q1 2025 | 31% | -0.8 points |
| Q4 2024 | 29% | -8.4 points |
RRR's operating margin was 5.5% last quarter, down 22 points from the same quarter a year ago.
BABA Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$6.7B | -$4.1B |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.7B | +$1.5B |
| Q4 2025 | $1B | -90% |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.2B | -254% |
| Q2 2025 | -$2.7B | -182% |
| Q1 2025 | -$4.2B | -12231% |
| Q4 2024 | $10.4B | -4.8% |
| Q3 2024 | $2.1B | -62% |
BABA's free cash flow has turned negative after years in the green: −$11.6B over the past year.
RRR Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$67.7M | -191% |
| Q2 2026 | $18.2M | -77% |
| Q1 2026 | $22.6M | -61% |
| Q4 2025 | $77.7M | -36% |
| Q3 2025 | $74.6M | +47% |
| Q2 2025 | $80.3M | +25% |
| Q1 2025 | $58M | +104% |
| Q4 2024 | $121.4M | +$149.4M |
RRR has the edge over BABA on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
BABA Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.5% | +11.1M shares |
| 1 year | +0.9% | +21.4M shares |
| 3 years | -6.2% | -161M shares |
| 5 years | -12% | -339M shares |
| Available history | -8.4% | -221M shares |
BABA has 2.4B diluted shares, up 0.9% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | $269.8M |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
BABA spent $270M buying back its own shares over the past year, after none the year before.
RRR Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -1.3% | -740K shares |
| 1 year | -43% | -44.6M shares |
| 3 years | -44% | -45.1M shares |
| 5 years | -50% | -58.4M shares |
| Available history | -17% | -11.5M shares |
RRR has the edge over BABA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $26.7M |
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | $38.3M |
| Q4 2025 | $48.2M |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
| Q4 2023 | — |
RRR spent $113M buying back its own shares over the past year.
BABA Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.8x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q3 2024 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
BABA has the edge over RRR on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
RRR Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 5.3x | High |
| Q2 2026 | 4.5x | High |
| Q1 2026 | 4.3x | High |
| Q4 2025 | 4.1x | High |
| Q3 2025 | 4.1x | High |
| Q2 2025 | 4.1x | High |
| Q1 2025 | 4.3x | High |
| Q4 2024 | 4.3x | High |
RRR's net debt is about 5.3 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 4.1 years a year ago.
BABA Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 38.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 12.7 | Oversold |
BABA's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 13 (oversold).
RRR Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 35.5 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 11.4 | Oversold |
RRR's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 11 (oversold).
BABA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | BABA | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 21x | 18x | 19% above |
| PE % | 60 | 47 | 13 pts above |
BABA has the edge over RRR on valuation relative to its sector.
RRR PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | RRR | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 25x | 18x | 39% above |
| PE % | 90 | 47 | 43 pts above |
RRR is trading at 25x earnings, a 39% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
BABA Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $104.7 | 9.9% below |
| 20 week MA | $111.1 | 15% below |
| 50 week MA | $128.0 | 26% below |
| 100 week MA | $127.7 | 26% below |
| 200 week MA | $106.4 | 11% below |
BABA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 11% below its 200-week average.
RRR Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $49.5 | 0.6% below |
| 20 week MA | $56.3 | 13% below |
| 50 week MA | $58.1 | 15% below |
| 100 week MA | $54.8 | 10% below |
| 200 week MA | $52.3 | 6% below |
RRR is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 6% below its 200-week average.
BABA Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $215.5 | $222.0 | +3% |
| 2021 | $222.0 | $118.7 | -47% |
| 2022 | $118.7 | $85.7 | -28% |
| 2023 | $85.7 | $77.5 | -9.5% |
| 2024 | $77.5 | $85.1 | +9.7% |
| 2025 | $85.1 | $152.2 | +79% |
| 2026 YTD | $152.2 | $94.4 | -38% |
BABA has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 38% so far in 2026.
RRR Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $24.0 | $25.5 | +6.4% |
| 2021 | $25.5 | $52.7 | +106% |
| 2022 | $52.7 | $40.1 | -24% |
| 2023 | $40.1 | $53.3 | +33% |
| 2024 | $53.3 | $46.2 | -13% |
| 2025 | $46.2 | $62.7 | +36% |
| 2026 YTD | $62.7 | $49.2 | -22% |
RRR has the edge over BABA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.