BABA
Alibaba Group Holding Limited
BABA has the edge over RGS overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger modeled upside.
RGS
Regis Corporation
RGS offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
BABA Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Weak | |
| Healthy |
BABA's balance sheet is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.
RGS Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Under pressure | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Under pressure |
RGS's profitability and cash flow are currently stable, but its revenue and balance sheet are under pressure.
BABA PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 16x | $69.66 | -26% |
| Fair | 20x | $86.59 | -8.2% |
| Current | 21x | $94.36 | — |
| Expensive | 26x | $115 | +22% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
BABA has the edge over RGS in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
RGS PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 0.5x | $1.05 | -96% |
| Fair | 0.6x | $1.27 | -95% |
| Expensive | 0.7x | $1.39 | -94% |
| Current | 11x | $23.55 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
RGS's PE is in its expensive range at 11x.
BABA Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for BABA, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
RGS Forward outlook
There aren't enough analyst estimates for RGS to show an outlook.
BABA Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $4.42 | -52% |
| Q1 2026 | $6.57 | -18% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.79 | -22% |
| Q3 2025 | $7.85 | +49% |
| Q2 2025 | $9.27 | +116% |
| Q1 2025 | $8.06 | +71% |
| Q4 2024 | $7.47 | +24% |
| Q3 2024 | $5.26 | -35% |
BABA's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $4.42 over the past year, against $9.27 in mid-2025. Its recent earnings include one-off gains.
RGS Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $2.10 | -96% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.41 | -95% |
| Q1 2026 | $44.58 | +9.4% |
| Q4 2025 | $44.40 | +12% |
| Q3 2025 | $46.95 | +26% |
| Q2 2025 | $46.10 | +20% |
| Q1 2025 | $40.74 | +$42.71 |
| Q4 2024 | $39.66 | +$41.43 |
RGS has the edge over BABA on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
BABA Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $40.2B | +8.3% |
| Q1 2026 | $36.5B | +2.9% |
| Q4 2025 | $42.7B | +1.7% |
| Q3 2025 | $37.2B | +4.8% |
| Q2 2025 | $37.2B | +1.8% |
| Q1 2025 | $35.5B | +6.6% |
| Q4 2024 | $42B | +7.6% |
| Q3 2024 | $35.5B | +5.2% |
BABA has the edge over RGS on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 7.2% | -6.9 points |
| Q1 2026 | -0.3% | -12 points |
| Q4 2025 | 7.1% | -7.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 2.2% | -13 points |
| Q2 2025 | 14% | -0.7 points |
| Q1 2025 | 12% | +5.4 points |
| Q4 2024 | 15% | +6.1 points |
| Q3 2024 | 15% | 0 points |
BABA's operating margin was 7.2% last quarter, down 6.9 points from the same quarter a year ago.
RGS Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $54.3M | -7.8% |
| Q2 2026 | $56M | -7.3% |
| Q1 2026 | $52.4M | -8% |
| Q4 2025 | $57.1M | +22% |
| Q3 2025 | $59M | +28% |
| Q2 2025 | $60.4M | +22% |
| Q1 2025 | $57M | +16% |
| Q4 2024 | $46.7M | -8.5% |
RGS's revenue fell from its 2019 peak and has held roughly level since: $54M last quarter, down 7.8% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 9.8% | -0.3 points |
| Q2 2026 | 12% | -0.3 points |
| Q1 2026 | 11% | +2.1 points |
| Q4 2025 | 11% | -0.9 points |
| Q3 2025 | 10% | +5.4 points |
| Q2 2025 | 12% | +2.8 points |
| Q1 2025 | 8.8% | +0.5 points |
| Q4 2024 | 12% | +2.4 points |
RGS has the edge over BABA on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
BABA Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$6.7B | -$4.1B |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.7B | +$1.5B |
| Q4 2025 | $1B | -90% |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.2B | -254% |
| Q2 2025 | -$2.7B | -182% |
| Q1 2025 | -$4.2B | -12231% |
| Q4 2024 | $10.4B | -4.8% |
| Q3 2024 | $2.1B | -62% |
BABA's free cash flow has turned negative after years in the green: −$11.6B over the past year.
RGS Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $2.1M | +11% |
| Q2 2026 | $3.6M | -42% |
| Q1 2026 | $4.8M | -19% |
| Q4 2025 | $891K | -48% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.9M | +$3.2M |
| Q2 2025 | $6.2M | +23% |
| Q1 2025 | $5.9M | +$6.2M |
| Q4 2024 | $1.7M | +$5.9M |
RGS has the edge over BABA on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
BABA Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.5% | +11.1M shares |
| 1 year | +0.9% | +21.4M shares |
| 3 years | -6.2% | -161M shares |
| 5 years | -12% | -339M shares |
| Available history | -8.4% | -221M shares |
BABA has the edge over RGS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | $269.8M |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
BABA spent $270M buying back its own shares over the past year, after none the year before.
RGS Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +1.5% | +44K shares |
| 1 year | +5.1% | +142K shares |
| 3 years | +24% | +561K shares |
| 5 years | +59% | +1.1M shares |
| Available history | +63% | +1.1M shares |
RGS has 3M diluted shares, up 5.1% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2021 | — |
| Q1 2021 | — |
| Q4 2020 | — |
| Q3 2020 | — |
| Q2 2020 | — |
| Q1 2020 | — |
| Q4 2019 | $1,000 |
BABA Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.8x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q3 2024 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
BABA has the edge over RGS on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
RGS Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 3.2x | Elevated |
| Q2 2026 | 3.2x | Elevated |
| Q1 2026 | 3.2x | Elevated |
| Q4 2025 | 3.4x | Elevated |
| Q3 2025 | 3.5x | Elevated |
| Q2 2025 | 4.1x | High |
| Q1 2025 | 4.8x | High |
| Q4 2024 | 5.2x | High |
RGS's net debt is about 3.2 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 3.5 years a year ago.
BABA Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 38.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 12.7 | Oversold |
BABA's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 13 (oversold).
RGS Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 36.3 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 35.1 | Neutral |
RGS's weekly RSI is 36 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 35 (neutral).
BABA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | BABA | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 21x | 18x | 19% above |
| PE % | 60 | 47 | 13 pts above |
BABA is trading at 21x earnings, a 19% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x, though its earnings don't support one.
RGS PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | RGS | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 11x | 18x | 38% below |
| PE % | 92 | 47 | 45 pts above |
RGS has the edge over BABA on valuation relative to its sector.
BABA Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $104.7 | 9.9% below |
| 20 week MA | $111.1 | 15% below |
| 50 week MA | $128.0 | 26% below |
| 100 week MA | $127.7 | 26% below |
| 200 week MA | $106.4 | 11% below |
BABA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 11% below its 200-week average.
RGS Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $27.8 | 15% below |
| 20 week MA | $27.7 | 15% below |
| 50 week MA | $26.5 | 11% below |
| 100 week MA | $24.8 | 5% below |
| 200 week MA | $21.2 | 11% above |
RGS has the edge over BABA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
BABA Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $215.5 | $222.0 | +3% |
| 2021 | $222.0 | $118.7 | -47% |
| 2022 | $118.7 | $85.7 | -28% |
| 2023 | $85.7 | $77.5 | -9.5% |
| 2024 | $77.5 | $85.1 | +9.7% |
| 2025 | $85.1 | $152.2 | +79% |
| 2026 YTD | $152.2 | $94.4 | -38% |
BABA has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 38% so far in 2026.
RGS Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $359.0 | $189.6 | -47% |
| 2021 | $189.6 | $33.8 | -82% |
| 2022 | $33.8 | $24.2 | -28% |
| 2023 | $24.2 | $9.45 | -61% |
| 2024 | $9.45 | $25.5 | +170% |
| 2025 | $25.5 | $27.4 | +7.4% |
| 2026 YTD | $27.4 | $23.6 | -14% |
RGS has the edge over BABA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.