BABA

Alibaba Group Holding Limited

53
Fundamentals36/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential23/ 100

BABA's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

RDNW

RideNow Group, Inc.

56
Fundamentals58/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potentialUnknown
Risk potentialUnknown

RDNW has a slight edge over BABA overall, supported by stronger fundamentals.

BABA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Weak
Healthy

BABA's balance sheet is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.

RDNW Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Stable
Under pressure
Weak

RDNW's profitability is currently stable, but its revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are under pressure.

BABA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.3x19x28x37x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.3x19x28x37x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap16x$69.66-26%
Fair20x$86.59-8.2%
Current21x$94.36—
Expensive26x$115+22%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BABA's PE is 21x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

RDNW PE Valuation

RDNW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 50x next year's earnings.

BABA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

BABA has the edge over RDNW on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.

RDNW Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Stable
Improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect RDNW to return to profit, with revenue holding steady.

BABA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+33%$125.09
Downside-23%$72.35

Calculated from the latest close: $94.36 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare BABA and RDNW's risk to reward.

RDNW Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknown—
DownsideUnknown—

Calculated from the latest close: $4.70 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare BABA and RDNW's risk to reward.

BABA Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $8.12Q4 2023: $6.04Q1 2024: $4.71Q2 2024: $4.29Q3 2024: $5.26Q4 2024: $7.47Q1 2025: $8.06Q2 2025: $9.27Q3 2025: $7.85Q4 2025: $5.79Q1 2026: $6.57Q2 2026: $4.42
Q3 2023: $8.12Q4 2023: $6.04Q1 2024: $4.71Q2 2024: $4.29Q3 2024: $5.26Q4 2024: $7.47Q1 2025: $8.06Q2 2025: $9.27Q3 2025: $7.85Q4 2025: $5.79Q1 2026: $6.57Q2 2026: $4.42
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$4.42-52%
Q1 2026$6.57-18%
Q4 2025$5.79-22%
Q3 2025$7.85+49%
Q2 2025$9.27+116%
Q1 2025$8.06+71%
Q4 2024$7.47+24%
Q3 2024$5.26-35%

BABA has the edge over RDNW on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

RDNW Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-12.15Q1 2024: $-11.40Q2 2024: $-10.59Q3 2024: $-9.93Q4 2024: $-2.22Q1 2025: $-2.19Q2 2025: $-3.02Q3 2025: $-2.81Q4 2025: $-1.38Q1 2026: $-1.23Q2 2026: $-0.22Q3 2026: $-0.47Forward: $0.09
Q4 2023: $-12.15Q1 2024: $-11.40Q2 2024: $-10.59Q3 2024: $-9.93Q4 2024: $-2.22Q1 2025: $-2.19Q2 2025: $-3.02Q3 2025: $-2.81Q4 2025: $-1.38Q1 2026: $-1.23Q2 2026: $-0.22Q3 2026: $-0.47Forward: $0.09
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.09—
Q3 2026-$0.47+$2.34
Q2 2026-$0.22+$2.80
Q1 2026-$1.23+$0.96
Q4 2025-$1.38+$0.84
Q3 2025-$2.81+$7.12
Q2 2025-$3.02+$7.57
Q1 2025-$2.19+$9.21
Q4 2024-$2.22+$9.93

RDNW is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.47 per share over the past year, against $43.38 at its worst in early 2020.

BABA Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $33.7BQ4 2023: $39.1BQ1 2024: $33.3BQ2 2024: $36.5BQ3 2024: $35.5BQ4 2024: $42BQ1 2025: $35.5BQ2 2025: $37.2BQ3 2025: $37.2BQ4 2025: $42.7BQ1 2026: $36.5BQ2 2026: $40.2B
Q3 2023: $33.7BQ4 2023: $39.1BQ1 2024: $33.3BQ2 2024: $36.5BQ3 2024: $35.5BQ4 2024: $42BQ1 2025: $35.5BQ2 2025: $37.2BQ3 2025: $37.2BQ4 2025: $42.7BQ1 2026: $36.5BQ2 2026: $40.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$40.2B+8.3%
Q1 2026$36.5B+2.9%
Q4 2025$42.7B+1.7%
Q3 2025$37.2B+4.8%
Q2 2025$37.2B+1.8%
Q1 2025$35.5B+6.6%
Q4 2024$42B+7.6%
Q3 2024$35.5B+5.2%

BABA has the edge over RDNW on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

RDNW Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $311MQ1 2024: $308MQ2 2024: $337MQ3 2024: $295MQ4 2024: $270MQ1 2025: $245MQ2 2025: $300MQ3 2025: $281MQ4 2025: $257MQ1 2026: $260MQ2 2026: $297MQ3 2026: $244M
Q4 2023: $311MQ1 2024: $308MQ2 2024: $337MQ3 2024: $295MQ4 2024: $270MQ1 2025: $245MQ2 2025: $300MQ3 2025: $281MQ4 2025: $257MQ1 2026: $260MQ2 2026: $297MQ3 2026: $244M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$244.3M-13%
Q2 2026$296.8M-1%
Q1 2026$260.4M+6.4%
Q4 2025$256.9M-4.7%
Q3 2025$281M-4.7%
Q2 2025$299.9M-11%
Q1 2025$244.7M-21%
Q4 2024$269.6M-13%

RDNW's revenue fell from its 2022 peak and has held roughly level since: $244M last quarter, down 13% from the same quarter a year ago.

BABA Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $5.4BQ4 2023: $11BQ1 2024: $34MQ2 2024: $3.2BQ3 2024: $2.1BQ4 2024: $10.4BQ1 2025: −$4.2BQ2 2025: −$2.7BQ3 2025: −$3.2BQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: −$2.7BQ2 2026: −$6.7B
Q3 2023: $5.4BQ4 2023: $11BQ1 2024: $34MQ2 2024: $3.2BQ3 2024: $2.1BQ4 2024: $10.4BQ1 2025: −$4.2BQ2 2025: −$2.7BQ3 2025: −$3.2BQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: −$2.7BQ2 2026: −$6.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026-$6.7B-$4.1B
Q1 2026-$2.7B+$1.5B
Q4 2025$1B-90%
Q3 2025-$3.2B-254%
Q2 2025-$2.7B-182%
Q1 2025-$4.2B-12231%
Q4 2024$10.4B-4.8%
Q3 2024$2.1B-62%

BABA's free cash flow has turned negative after years in the green: −$11.6B over the past year.

RDNW Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$25MQ1 2024: $2MQ2 2024: $26MQ3 2024: $39MQ4 2024: $30MQ1 2025: −$7MQ2 2025: $9MQ3 2025: $9MQ4 2025: −$200,000Q1 2026: −$28MQ2 2026: −$2MQ3 2026: −$14M
Q4 2023: −$25MQ1 2024: $2MQ2 2024: $26MQ3 2024: $39MQ4 2024: $30MQ1 2025: −$7MQ2 2025: $9MQ3 2025: $9MQ4 2025: −$200,000Q1 2026: −$28MQ2 2026: −$2MQ3 2026: −$14M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$14.4M-253%
Q2 2026-$1.6M-119%
Q1 2026-$28.2M-$20.8M
Q4 2025-$200K-101%
Q3 2025$9.4M-76%
Q2 2025$8.5M-68%
Q1 2025-$7.4M-470%
Q4 2024$30.4M+$55.9M

RDNW has burned cash in most quarters: −$44M over the past year, against $41M the year before.

BABA Total Shares

Q3 2023: 2.6BQ4 2023: 2.5BQ1 2024: 2.5BQ2 2024: 2.4BQ3 2024: 2.4BQ4 2024: 2.4BQ1 2025: 2.4BQ2 2025: 2.4BQ3 2025: 2.4BQ4 2025: 2.4BQ1 2026: 2.4BQ2 2026: 2.4B
Q3 2023: 2.6BQ4 2023: 2.5BQ1 2024: 2.5BQ2 2024: 2.4BQ3 2024: 2.4BQ4 2024: 2.4BQ1 2025: 2.4BQ2 2025: 2.4BQ3 2025: 2.4BQ4 2025: 2.4BQ1 2026: 2.4BQ2 2026: 2.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.5%+11.1M shares
1 year+0.9%+21.4M shares
3 years-6.2%-161M shares
5 years-12%-339M shares
Available history-8.4%-221M shares

BABA has the edge over RDNW on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RDNW Total Shares

Q4 2023: 18MQ1 2024: 35MQ2 2024: 35MQ3 2024: 35MQ4 2024: 35MQ1 2025: 38MQ2 2025: 38MQ3 2025: 38MQ4 2025: 38MQ1 2026: 38MQ2 2026: 39MQ3 2026: 39M
Q4 2023: 18MQ1 2024: 35MQ2 2024: 35MQ3 2024: 35MQ4 2024: 35MQ1 2025: 38MQ2 2025: 38MQ3 2025: 38MQ4 2025: 38MQ1 2026: 38MQ2 2026: 39MQ3 2026: 39M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%-3K shares
1 year+2.4%+901K shares
3 years+134%+22.3M shares
5 years+461%+32M shares
Available history+3394%+37.8M shares

RDNW has 39M diluted shares, up 2.4% from a year ago.

BABA Net Leverage

Q3 2023: -0.6xQ4 2023: -0.8xQ1 2024: -0.4xQ2 2024: -0.4xQ3 2024: -0.2xQ4 2024: 0.1xQ1 2025: 0.3xQ2 2025: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.8xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.5xQ2 2026: 0.5x
Q3 2023: -0.6xQ4 2023: -0.8xQ1 2024: -0.4xQ2 2024: -0.4xQ3 2024: -0.2xQ4 2024: 0.1xQ1 2025: 0.3xQ2 2025: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.8xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.5xQ2 2026: 0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20260.5xVery low
Q1 20260.5xVery low
Q4 20250.6xVery low
Q3 20250.8xVery low
Q2 20250.2xVery low
Q1 20250.3xVery low
Q4 20240.1xVery low
Q3 2024-0.2xNet Cash

BABA has the edge over RDNW on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

RDNW Net Leverage

Q4 2025: 20.2xQ1 2026: 14.8xQ2 2026: 3.4xQ3 2026: 4.4x
Q4 2025: 20.2xQ1 2026: 14.8xQ2 2026: 3.4xQ3 2026: 4.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20264.4xHigh
Q2 20263.4xElevated
Q1 202614.8xHigh
Q4 202520.2xHigh
Q3 20221.3xHealthy
Q2 20221.1xHealthy
Q1 20222.7xModerate
Q1 202196.2xHigh

RDNW's net debt is about 4.4 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 1.3 years a year ago.

BABA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI38.0Neutral
Stochastic12.7Oversold

BABA's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 13 (oversold).

RDNW Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI44.2Neutral
Stochastic13.8Oversold

RDNW's weekly RSI is 44 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 14 (oversold).

BABA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricBABASector medianRelative
PE21x18x19% above
PE %604713 pts above

BABA is trading at 21x earnings, a 19% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x, though its earnings don't support one.

RDNW PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricRDNWSector medianRelative
PEN/A18x—

RDNW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

BABA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$104.79.9% below
20 week MA$111.115% below
50 week MA$128.026% below
100 week MA$127.726% below
200 week MA$106.411% below

BABA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 11% below its 200-week average.

RDNW Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$5.2310% below
20 week MA$6.3526% below
50 week MA$4.358% above
100 week MA$4.494.7% above
200 week MA$7.2335% below

RDNW has the edge over BABA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

BABA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$215.5$222.0+3%
2021$222.0$118.7-47%
2022$118.7$85.7-28%
2023$85.7$77.5-9.5%
2024$77.5$85.1+9.7%
2025$85.1$152.2+79%
2026 YTD$152.2$94.4-38%

BABA has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 38% so far in 2026.

RDNW Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$17.7$30.2+70%
2021$30.2$39.7+31%
2022$39.7$6.45-84%
2023$6.45$8.14+26%
2024$8.14$5.48-33%
2025$5.48$5.30-3.3%
2026 YTD$5.30$4.70-11%

RDNW has the edge over BABA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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