BABA
Alibaba Group Holding Limited
BABA has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
RAVE
RAVE Restaurant Group, Inc.
RAVE has a slight edge over BABA overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger valuation.
BABA Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Weak | |
| Healthy |
BABA's balance sheet is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.
RAVE Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
RAVE's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.
BABA PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 16x | $69.66 | -26% |
| Fair | 20x | $86.59 | -8.2% |
| Current | 21x | $94.36 | — |
| Expensive | 26x | $115 | +22% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
BABA has the edge over RAVE in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
RAVE PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 4.8x | $0.95 | -55% |
| Current | 11x | $2.11 | — |
| Fair | 14x | $2.71 | +28% |
| Expensive | 17x | $3.36 | +59% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
RAVE's PE is in its cheap range at 11x.
BABA Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for BABA, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
RAVE Forward outlook
There aren't enough analyst estimates for RAVE to show an outlook.
BABA Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $4.42 | -52% |
| Q1 2026 | $6.57 | -18% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.79 | -22% |
| Q3 2025 | $7.85 | +49% |
| Q2 2025 | $9.27 | +116% |
| Q1 2025 | $8.06 | +71% |
| Q4 2024 | $7.47 | +24% |
| Q3 2024 | $5.26 | -35% |
BABA's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $4.42 over the past year, against $9.27 in mid-2025. Its recent earnings include one-off gains.
RAVE Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $0.20 | 0% |
| Q2 2026 | $0.20 | +5.3% |
| Q1 2026 | $0.21 | +11% |
| Q4 2025 | $0.20 | +11% |
| Q3 2025 | $0.20 | +11% |
| Q2 2025 | $0.19 | +12% |
| Q1 2025 | $0.19 | +27% |
| Q4 2024 | $0.18 | +38% |
RAVE has the edge over BABA on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
BABA Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $40.2B | +8.3% |
| Q1 2026 | $36.5B | +2.9% |
| Q4 2025 | $42.7B | +1.7% |
| Q3 2025 | $37.2B | +4.8% |
| Q2 2025 | $37.2B | +1.8% |
| Q1 2025 | $35.5B | +6.6% |
| Q4 2024 | $42B | +7.6% |
| Q3 2024 | $35.5B | +5.2% |
BABA has the edge over RAVE on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 7.2% | -6.9 points |
| Q1 2026 | -0.3% | -12 points |
| Q4 2025 | 7.1% | -7.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 2.2% | -13 points |
| Q2 2025 | 14% | -0.7 points |
| Q1 2025 | 12% | +5.4 points |
| Q4 2024 | 15% | +6.1 points |
| Q3 2024 | 15% | 0 points |
BABA's operating margin was 7.2% last quarter, down 6.9 points from the same quarter a year ago.
RAVE Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $3.3M | +3.4% |
| Q2 2026 | $3.4M | +8.8% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.2M | +8.7% |
| Q4 2025 | $3M | +6% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.2M | +5.3% |
| Q2 2025 | $3.2M | -6% |
| Q1 2025 | $3M | +0.1% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.9M | +2.8% |
RAVE's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $3M last quarter, up 3.4% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 23% | -0.5 points |
| Q2 2026 | 30% | -9 points |
| Q1 2026 | 30% | -2.3 points |
| Q4 2025 | 24% | -1.8 points |
| Q3 2025 | 23% | +0.6 points |
| Q2 2025 | 39% | +3.6 points |
| Q1 2025 | 32% | +3.2 points |
| Q4 2024 | 26% | +6.8 points |
RAVE has the edge over BABA on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
BABA Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$6.7B | -$4.1B |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.7B | +$1.5B |
| Q4 2025 | $1B | -90% |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.2B | -254% |
| Q2 2025 | -$2.7B | -182% |
| Q1 2025 | -$4.2B | -12231% |
| Q4 2024 | $10.4B | -4.8% |
| Q3 2024 | $2.1B | -62% |
BABA's free cash flow has turned negative after years in the green: −$11.6B over the past year.
RAVE Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.1M | +88% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.5M | +24% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.1M | +16% |
| Q4 2025 | $297K | -54% |
| Q3 2025 | $600K | +15% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.2M | -13% |
| Q1 2025 | $953K | -4.3% |
| Q4 2024 | $651K | +$990K |
RAVE has the edge over BABA on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
BABA Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.5% | +11.1M shares |
| 1 year | +0.9% | +21.4M shares |
| 3 years | -6.2% | -161M shares |
| 5 years | -12% | -339M shares |
| Available history | -8.4% | -221M shares |
BABA has the edge over RAVE on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | $269.8M |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
BABA spent $270M buying back its own shares over the past year, after none the year before.
RAVE Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.8% | +118K shares |
| 1 year | +1% | +145K shares |
| 3 years | -2.3% | -340K shares |
| 5 years | -23% | -4.4M shares |
| Available history | -9.5% | -1.5M shares |
RAVE has 14M diluted shares, up 1% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q2 2025 | $1,000 |
| Q2 2024 | — |
| Q1 2024 | — |
| Q4 2023 | — |
| Q3 2023 | — |
| Q2 2023 | — |
| Q1 2023 | — |
BABA Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.8x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q3 2024 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
BABA's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).
RAVE Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.3x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -0.3x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -0.3x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -0.8x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -0.8x | Net Cash |
RAVE has the edge over BABA on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
BABA Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 38.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 12.7 | Oversold |
BABA's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 13 (oversold).
RAVE Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 28.9 | Oversold |
| Stochastic | 5.2 | Oversold |
RAVE's weekly RSI is 29 (oversold) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).
BABA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | BABA | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 21x | 18x | 19% above |
| PE % | 60 | 47 | 13 pts above |
BABA is trading at 21x earnings, a 19% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x, though its earnings don't support one.
RAVE PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | RAVE | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 11x | 18x | 41% below |
| PE % | 32 | 47 | 15 pts below |
RAVE has the edge over BABA on valuation relative to its sector.
BABA Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $104.7 | 9.9% below |
| 20 week MA | $111.1 | 15% below |
| 50 week MA | $128.0 | 26% below |
| 100 week MA | $127.7 | 26% below |
| 200 week MA | $106.4 | 11% below |
BABA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 11% below its 200-week average.
RAVE Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $2.20 | 4.1% below |
| 20 week MA | $2.76 | 24% below |
| 50 week MA | $2.87 | 26% below |
| 100 week MA | $2.83 | 25% below |
| 200 week MA | $2.42 | 13% below |
RAVE is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 13% below its 200-week average.
BABA Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $215.5 | $222.0 | +3% |
| 2021 | $222.0 | $118.7 | -47% |
| 2022 | $118.7 | $85.7 | -28% |
| 2023 | $85.7 | $77.5 | -9.5% |
| 2024 | $77.5 | $85.1 | +9.7% |
| 2025 | $85.1 | $152.2 | +79% |
| 2026 YTD | $152.2 | $94.4 | -38% |
BABA has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 38% so far in 2026.
RAVE Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $1.71 | $0.90 | -47% |
| 2021 | $0.90 | $1.14 | +27% |
| 2022 | $1.14 | $1.40 | +23% |
| 2023 | $1.40 | $2.23 | +59% |
| 2024 | $2.23 | $2.67 | +20% |
| 2025 | $2.67 | $3.29 | +23% |
| 2026 YTD | $3.29 | $2.11 | -36% |
RAVE has the edge over BABA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.