BABA
Alibaba Group Holding Limited
BABA's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.
QSR
Restaurant Brands International Inc.
QSR has the edge over BABA overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger valuation.
BABA Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Weak | |
| Healthy |
BABA's balance sheet is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.
QSR Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Strong | |
| Healthy | |
| Weak |
QSR's profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its balance sheet is weak.
BABA PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 16x | $69.66 | -26% |
| Fair | 20x | $86.59 | -8.2% |
| Current | 21x | $94.36 | — |
| Expensive | 26x | $115 | +22% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
BABA's PE is 21x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.
QSR PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | 18x | $75.48 | — |
| Forward | 18x | $75.48 | — |
| Cheap | 19x | $82.16 | +8.8% |
| Fair | 23x | $99.03 | +31% |
| Expensive | 28x | $121 | +61% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
QSR has the edge over BABA in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
BABA Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
BABA has the edge over QSR on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.
QSR Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect QSR's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.
BABA Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $4.42 | -52% |
| Q1 2026 | $6.57 | -18% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.79 | -22% |
| Q3 2025 | $7.85 | +49% |
| Q2 2025 | $9.27 | +116% |
| Q1 2025 | $8.06 | +71% |
| Q4 2024 | $7.47 | +24% |
| Q3 2024 | $5.26 | -35% |
BABA has the edge over QSR on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
QSR Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $4.30 | +0.3% |
| Q3 2026 | $4.29 | +53% |
| Q2 2026 | $3.71 | +41% |
| Q1 2026 | $2.83 | -4.1% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.35 | -26% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.81 | -29% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.64 | -34% |
| Q1 2025 | $2.95 | -24% |
| Q4 2024 | $3.18 | -15% |
QSR earned $4.29 per share over the past year, up 53% from the year before.
BABA Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $40.2B | +8.3% |
| Q1 2026 | $36.5B | +2.9% |
| Q4 2025 | $42.7B | +1.7% |
| Q3 2025 | $37.2B | +4.8% |
| Q2 2025 | $37.2B | +1.8% |
| Q1 2025 | $35.5B | +6.6% |
| Q4 2024 | $42B | +7.6% |
| Q3 2024 | $35.5B | +5.2% |
BABA's revenue has grown year over year for 16 quarters in a row: $40.2B last quarter, up 8.3% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 7.2% | -6.9 points |
| Q1 2026 | -0.3% | -12 points |
| Q4 2025 | 7.1% | -7.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 2.2% | -13 points |
| Q2 2025 | 14% | -0.7 points |
| Q1 2025 | 12% | +5.4 points |
| Q4 2024 | 15% | +6.1 points |
| Q3 2024 | 15% | 0 points |
BABA's operating margin was 7.2% last quarter, down 6.9 points from the same quarter a year ago.
QSR Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $2.5B | +3.1% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.5B | +4.6% |
| Q1 2026 | $2.3B | +7.3% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.5B | +7.4% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.4B | +6.9% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.4B | +16% |
| Q1 2025 | $2.1B | +21% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.3B | +26% |
QSR has the edge over BABA on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 28% | +0.5 points |
| Q2 2026 | 28% | +8.4 points |
| Q1 2026 | 27% | +6.1 points |
| Q4 2025 | 25% | -2.5 points |
| Q3 2025 | 27% | +1.9 points |
| Q2 2025 | 20% | -12 points |
| Q1 2025 | 21% | -11 points |
| Q4 2024 | 28% | +1.9 points |
QSR has the edge over BABA on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
BABA Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$6.7B | -$4.1B |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.7B | +$1.5B |
| Q4 2025 | $1B | -90% |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.2B | -254% |
| Q2 2025 | -$2.7B | -182% |
| Q1 2025 | -$4.2B | -12231% |
| Q4 2024 | $10.4B | -4.8% |
| Q3 2024 | $2.1B | -62% |
BABA's free cash flow has turned negative after years in the green: −$11.6B over the past year.
QSR Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $479M | -9.8% |
| Q2 2026 | $479M | +17% |
| Q1 2026 | $169M | +213% |
| Q4 2025 | $453M | +12% |
| Q3 2025 | $531M | +9.5% |
| Q2 2025 | $411M | +41% |
| Q1 2025 | $54M | -56% |
| Q4 2024 | $404M | +13% |
QSR has the edge over BABA on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
BABA Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.5% | +11.1M shares |
| 1 year | +0.9% | +21.4M shares |
| 3 years | -6.2% | -161M shares |
| 5 years | -12% | -339M shares |
| Available history | -8.4% | -221M shares |
BABA has 2.4B diluted shares, up 0.9% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | $269.8M |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
BABA spent $270M buying back its own shares over the past year, after none the year before.
QSR Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.7% | -3M shares |
| 1 year | 0% | -- |
| 3 years | +0.7% | +3M shares |
| 5 years | -2.6% | -12M shares |
QSR has the edge over BABA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $274M |
| Q2 2026 | $138M |
| Q1 2026 | $32M |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q4 2023 | $385M |
| Q3 2023 | $115M |
| Q2 2023 | — |
| Q1 2023 | — |
BABA Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.8x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q3 2024 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
BABA has the edge over QSR on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
QSR Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 4.2x | High |
| Q2 2026 | 4.2x | High |
| Q1 2026 | 4.6x | High |
| Q4 2025 | 4.8x | High |
| Q3 2025 | 4.9x | High |
| Q2 2025 | 5.2x | High |
| Q1 2025 | 4.9x | High |
| Q4 2024 | 4.6x | High |
QSR's net debt is about 4.2 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 4.9 years a year ago.
BABA Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 38.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 12.7 | Oversold |
BABA's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 13 (oversold).
QSR Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 51.6 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 48.0 | Neutral |
QSR's weekly RSI is 52 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 48 (neutral).
BABA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | BABA | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 21x | 18x | 19% above |
| PE % | 60 | 47 | 13 pts above |
BABA is trading at 21x earnings, a 19% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x, though its earnings don't support one.
QSR PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | QSR | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 18x | 18x | 2.4% below |
| PE % | 7 | 47 | 40 pts below |
QSR has the edge over BABA on valuation relative to its sector.
BABA Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $104.7 | 9.9% below |
| 20 week MA | $111.1 | 15% below |
| 50 week MA | $128.0 | 26% below |
| 100 week MA | $127.7 | 26% below |
| 200 week MA | $106.4 | 11% below |
BABA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 11% below its 200-week average.
QSR Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $73.5 | 2.7% above |
| 20 week MA | $75.0 | 0.6% above |
| 50 week MA | $73.8 | 2.3% above |
| 100 week MA | $69.9 | 8% above |
| 200 week MA | $70.5 | 7% above |
QSR has the edge over BABA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
BABA Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $215.5 | $222.0 | +3% |
| 2021 | $222.0 | $118.7 | -47% |
| 2022 | $118.7 | $85.7 | -28% |
| 2023 | $85.7 | $77.5 | -9.5% |
| 2024 | $77.5 | $85.1 | +9.7% |
| 2025 | $85.1 | $152.2 | +79% |
| 2026 YTD | $152.2 | $94.4 | -38% |
BABA has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 38% so far in 2026.
QSR Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $64.5 | $60.7 | -5.9% |
| 2021 | $60.7 | $59.3 | -2.3% |
| 2022 | $59.3 | $65.0 | +9.6% |
| 2023 | $65.0 | $78.1 | +20% |
| 2024 | $78.1 | $65.5 | -16% |
| 2025 | $65.5 | $69.9 | +6.6% |
| 2026 YTD | $69.9 | $75.5 | +8% |
QSR has the edge over BABA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.