BABA
Alibaba Group Holding Limited
BABA has the edge over PTLO overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and lower modeled downside.
PTLO
Portillo's Inc.
PTLO offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
BABA Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Weak | |
| Healthy |
BABA's balance sheet is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.
PTLO Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Weak |
PTLO's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently stable, but its balance sheet is weak.
BABA PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 16x | $69.66 | -26% |
| Fair | 20x | $86.59 | -8.2% |
| Current | 21x | $94.36 | — |
| Expensive | 26x | $115 | +22% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
BABA has the edge over PTLO in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
PTLO PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 19x | $4.20 | -37% |
| Forward | 26x | $6.68 | — |
| Fair | 27x | $5.84 | -13% |
| Current | 30x | $6.68 | — |
| Expensive | 64x | $14.12 | +111% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
PTLO's PE is in its fair range at 30x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 26x next year's earnings.
BABA Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
BABA has the edge over PTLO on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.
PTLO Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Stable | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect PTLO's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
BABA Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $4.42 | -52% |
| Q1 2026 | $6.57 | -18% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.79 | -22% |
| Q3 2025 | $7.85 | +49% |
| Q2 2025 | $9.27 | +116% |
| Q1 2025 | $8.06 | +71% |
| Q4 2024 | $7.47 | +24% |
| Q3 2024 | $5.26 | -35% |
BABA has the edge over PTLO on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
PTLO Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $0.25 | +16% |
| Q3 2026 | $0.22 | -39% |
| Q2 2026 | $0.18 | -60% |
| Q1 2026 | $0.21 | -51% |
| Q4 2025 | $0.27 | -41% |
| Q3 2025 | $0.36 | -16% |
| Q2 2025 | $0.45 | +15% |
| Q1 2025 | $0.43 | +4.9% |
| Q4 2024 | $0.46 | +44% |
PTLO's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.22 over the past year, against $0.46 in late 2024.
BABA Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $40.2B | +8.3% |
| Q1 2026 | $36.5B | +2.9% |
| Q4 2025 | $42.7B | +1.7% |
| Q3 2025 | $37.2B | +4.8% |
| Q2 2025 | $37.2B | +1.8% |
| Q1 2025 | $35.5B | +6.6% |
| Q4 2024 | $42B | +7.6% |
| Q3 2024 | $35.5B | +5.2% |
BABA has the edge over PTLO on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 7.2% | -6.9 points |
| Q1 2026 | -0.3% | -12 points |
| Q4 2025 | 7.1% | -7.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 2.2% | -13 points |
| Q2 2025 | 14% | -0.7 points |
| Q1 2025 | 12% | +5.4 points |
| Q4 2024 | 15% | +6.1 points |
| Q3 2024 | 15% | 0 points |
BABA has the edge over PTLO on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
PTLO Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $194.1M | +7% |
| Q2 2026 | $199M | +5.6% |
| Q1 2026 | $182.6M | +3.5% |
| Q4 2025 | $185.7M | +0.6% |
| Q3 2025 | $181.4M | +1.8% |
| Q2 2025 | $188.5M | +3.6% |
| Q1 2025 | $176.4M | +6.4% |
| Q4 2024 | $184.6M | -1.7% |
PTLO's revenue has grown year over year for seven quarters in a row: $194M last quarter, up 7% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 6.1% | +3.1 points |
| Q2 2026 | 6.9% | -2.4 points |
| Q1 2026 | 2.5% | -3.4 points |
| Q4 2025 | 5.6% | -1.9 points |
| Q3 2025 | 3% | -6 points |
| Q2 2025 | 9.3% | -0.7 points |
| Q1 2025 | 5.9% | -0.2 points |
| Q4 2024 | 7.5% | -0.2 points |
PTLO's operating margin was 6.1% last quarter, up 3.1 points from the same quarter a year ago.
BABA Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$6.7B | -$4.1B |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.7B | +$1.5B |
| Q4 2025 | $1B | -90% |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.2B | -254% |
| Q2 2025 | -$2.7B | -182% |
| Q1 2025 | -$4.2B | -12231% |
| Q4 2024 | $10.4B | -4.8% |
| Q3 2024 | $2.1B | -62% |
BABA's free cash flow has turned negative after years in the green: −$11.6B over the past year.
PTLO Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $16.8M | +$21.7M |
| Q2 2026 | $5.9M | +13% |
| Q1 2026 | -$907K | +$8.7M |
| Q4 2025 | -$9.2M | -$3.6M |
| Q3 2025 | -$5M | -164% |
| Q2 2025 | $5.2M | -67% |
| Q1 2025 | -$9.6M | -$1.7M |
| Q4 2024 | -$5.6M | +$7.5M |
PTLO has the edge over BABA on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
BABA Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.5% | +11.1M shares |
| 1 year | +0.9% | +21.4M shares |
| 3 years | -6.2% | -161M shares |
| 5 years | -12% | -339M shares |
| Available history | -8.4% | -221M shares |
BABA has 2.4B diluted shares, up 0.9% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | $269.8M |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
BABA spent $270M buying back its own shares over the past year, after none the year before.
PTLO Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.4% | +262K shares |
| 1 year | -0.7% | -541K shares |
| 3 years | +25% | +14.7M shares |
| 5 years | +119% | +39.9M shares |
PTLO has the edge over BABA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2021 | — |
| Q1 2021 | — |
| Q4 2020 | — |
| Q3 2020 | — |
| Q2 2020 | — |
| Q1 2020 | — |
BABA Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.8x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q3 2024 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
BABA has the edge over PTLO on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
PTLO Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 4.1x | High |
| Q2 2026 | 4.9x | High |
| Q1 2026 | 4.8x | High |
| Q4 2025 | 4.3x | High |
| Q3 2025 | 4.1x | High |
| Q2 2025 | 3.5x | Elevated |
| Q1 2025 | 3.6x | Elevated |
| Q4 2024 | 3.4x | Elevated |
PTLO's net debt is about 4.1 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.
BABA Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 38.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 12.7 | Oversold |
BABA's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 13 (oversold).
PTLO Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 65.8 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 85.6 | Overbought |
PTLO's weekly RSI is 66 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 86 (overbought).
BABA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | BABA | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 21x | 18x | 19% above |
| PE % | 60 | 47 | 13 pts above |
BABA has the edge over PTLO on valuation relative to its sector.
PTLO PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | PTLO | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 30x | 18x | 68% above |
| PE % | 59 | 56 | 3 pts above |
PTLO is trading at 30x earnings, a 68% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
BABA Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $104.7 | 9.9% below |
| 20 week MA | $111.1 | 15% below |
| 50 week MA | $128.0 | 26% below |
| 100 week MA | $127.7 | 26% below |
| 200 week MA | $106.4 | 11% below |
BABA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 11% below its 200-week average.
PTLO Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $4.76 | 40% above |
| 20 week MA | $4.64 | 44% above |
| 50 week MA | $4.93 | 35% above |
| 100 week MA | $7.39 | 9.6% below |
| 200 week MA | $11.5 | 42% below |
PTLO has the edge over BABA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
BABA Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $215.5 | $222.0 | +3% |
| 2021 | $222.0 | $118.7 | -47% |
| 2022 | $118.7 | $85.7 | -28% |
| 2023 | $85.7 | $77.5 | -9.5% |
| 2024 | $77.5 | $85.1 | +9.7% |
| 2025 | $85.1 | $152.2 | +79% |
| 2026 YTD | $152.2 | $94.4 | -38% |
BABA has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 38% so far in 2026.
PTLO Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $37.4 | $38.3 | +2.4% |
| 2022 | $38.3 | $17.2 | -55% |
| 2023 | $17.2 | $15.9 | -7.3% |
| 2024 | $15.9 | $8.98 | -44% |
| 2025 | $8.98 | $4.71 | -48% |
| 2026 YTD | $4.71 | $6.68 | +42% |
PTLO has the edge over BABA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.