BABA

Alibaba Group Holding Limited

53
Fundamentals36/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential23/ 100

BABA's fundamentals are weak: its operating margin fell 10 points to 4.2% and free cash flow turned negative, though revenue grew 4.3%. Its PE isn't a useful guide right now because of how its recent earnings were reported.

PSNY

Polestar Automotive Holding UK PLC

There isn't enough reported data to score PSNY yet.

BABA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Weak
Healthy

BABA's balance sheet is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.

PSNY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Unavailable
Weak
Unavailable
Stable

PSNY's balance sheet is currently stable, but its profitability is weak. There isn't enough data to rate its revenue and cash flow.

BABA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.3x19x28x37x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.3x19x28x37x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap16x$69.66-26%
Fair20x$86.59-8.2%
Current21x$94.36โ€”
Expensive26x$115+22%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BABA's PE is 21x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

PSNY PE Valuation

PSNY has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

BABA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

BABA has the edge over PSNY on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.

PSNY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses growing
Decline
Strongly weakening
Limited
High

Analysts expect PSNY's losses to grow, with revenue declining.

BABA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+33%$125.09
Downside-23%$72.35

Calculated from the latest close: $94.36 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare BABA and PSNY's risk to reward.

PSNY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknownโ€”
DownsideUnknownโ€”

Calculated from the latest close: $4.26 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare BABA and PSNY's risk to reward.

BABA Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $8.12Q4 2023: $6.04Q1 2024: $4.71Q2 2024: $4.29Q3 2024: $5.26Q4 2024: $7.47Q1 2025: $8.06Q2 2025: $9.27Q3 2025: $7.85Q4 2025: $5.79Q1 2026: $6.57Q2 2026: $4.42
Q3 2023: $8.12Q4 2023: $6.04Q1 2024: $4.71Q2 2024: $4.29Q3 2024: $5.26Q4 2024: $7.47Q1 2025: $8.06Q2 2025: $9.27Q3 2025: $7.85Q4 2025: $5.79Q1 2026: $6.57Q2 2026: $4.42
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$4.42-52%
Q1 2026$6.57-18%
Q4 2025$5.79-22%
Q3 2025$7.85+49%
Q2 2025$9.27+116%
Q1 2025$8.06+71%
Q4 2024$7.47+24%
Q3 2024$5.26-35%

BABA's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $4.42 over the past year, against $9.27 in mid-2025. Its recent earnings include one-off gains.

PSNY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2020: $-36.60Q4 2022: $-6.90Q4 2023: $-16.80
Q4 2020: $-36.60Q4 2022: $-6.90Q4 2023: $-16.80
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q4 2023-$16.80-$9.90

PSNY and BABA do not have enough comparable growth data to identify a winner.

BABA Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $33.7BQ4 2023: $39.1BQ1 2024: $33.3BQ2 2024: $36.5BQ3 2024: $35.5BQ4 2024: $42BQ1 2025: $35.5BQ2 2025: $37.2BQ3 2025: $37.2BQ4 2025: $42.7BQ1 2026: $36.5BQ2 2026: $40.2B
Q3 2023: $33.7BQ4 2023: $39.1BQ1 2024: $33.3BQ2 2024: $36.5BQ3 2024: $35.5BQ4 2024: $42BQ1 2025: $35.5BQ2 2025: $37.2BQ3 2025: $37.2BQ4 2025: $42.7BQ1 2026: $36.5BQ2 2026: $40.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$40.2B+8.3%
Q1 2026$36.5B+2.9%
Q4 2025$42.7B+1.7%
Q3 2025$37.2B+4.8%
Q2 2025$37.2B+1.8%
Q1 2025$35.5B+6.6%
Q4 2024$42B+7.6%
Q3 2024$35.5B+5.2%

PSNY has the stronger quarterly revenue trend. Revenue is up 8.3% for BABA versus up 16% for PSNY.

PSNY Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2020: $295MQ4 2020: $295MQ1 2021: $267MQ2 2021: $267MQ3 2021: $213MQ4 2021: $590MQ4 2022: $2.5BQ2 2023: $1.2BQ4 2023: $1.1BQ2 2024: $906MQ4 2024: $1.1BQ2 2025: $1.4B
Q3 2020: $295MQ4 2020: $295MQ1 2021: $267MQ2 2021: $267MQ3 2021: $213MQ4 2021: $590MQ4 2022: $2.5BQ2 2023: $1.2BQ4 2023: $1.1BQ2 2024: $906MQ4 2024: $1.1BQ2 2025: $1.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2025$1.4B+57%
Q4 2024$1.1B-0.2%
Q2 2024$905.8M-26%
Q4 2023$1.1B-54%
Q4 2022$2.5B+318%
Q4 2021$589.5M+100%
Q3 2021$212.9M-28%
Q2 2021$267.4M+2573%

PSNY's revenue is recovering but still below its 2022 peak: $1.4B last quarter, up 16% from the same quarter a year ago.

BABA Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $5.4BQ4 2023: $11BQ1 2024: $34MQ2 2024: $3.2BQ3 2024: $2.1BQ4 2024: $10.4BQ1 2025: โˆ’$4.2BQ2 2025: โˆ’$2.7BQ3 2025: โˆ’$3.2BQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: โˆ’$2.7BQ2 2026: โˆ’$6.7B
Q3 2023: $5.4BQ4 2023: $11BQ1 2024: $34MQ2 2024: $3.2BQ3 2024: $2.1BQ4 2024: $10.4BQ1 2025: โˆ’$4.2BQ2 2025: โˆ’$2.7BQ3 2025: โˆ’$3.2BQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: โˆ’$2.7BQ2 2026: โˆ’$6.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026-$6.7B-$4.1B
Q1 2026-$2.7B+$1.5B
Q4 2025$1B-90%
Q3 2025-$3.2B-254%
Q2 2025-$2.7B-182%
Q1 2025-$4.2B-12231%
Q4 2024$10.4B-4.8%
Q3 2024$2.1B-62%

PSNY has the stronger cash trend. Its trailing FCF is down 120% versus its history, compared with BABA at down 158%.

PSNY Free Cash Flow

Q3 2020: $12MQ4 2020: $12MQ1 2021: โˆ’$5MQ2 2021: โˆ’$8MQ3 2021: โˆ’$56MQ4 2021: โˆ’$215MQ4 2022: โˆ’$1.1BQ2 2023: โˆ’$704MQ4 2023: โˆ’$1.3BQ2 2024: โˆ’$254MQ4 2024: โˆ’$886MQ2 2025: โˆ’$586M
Q3 2020: $12MQ4 2020: $12MQ1 2021: โˆ’$5MQ2 2021: โˆ’$8MQ3 2021: โˆ’$56MQ4 2021: โˆ’$215MQ4 2022: โˆ’$1.1BQ2 2023: โˆ’$704MQ4 2023: โˆ’$1.3BQ2 2024: โˆ’$254MQ4 2024: โˆ’$886MQ2 2025: โˆ’$586M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2025-$585.7M-$332.1M
Q4 2024-$885.6M+$442.5M
Q2 2024-$253.5M+$450.1M
Q4 2023-$1.3B-$212.4M
Q4 2022-$1.1B-$901.1M
Q4 2021-$214.6M-1961%
Q3 2021-$55.5M-581%
Q2 2021-$8.3M+$56.5M

PSNY has burned cash in almost every quarter: โˆ’$3.1B over the past year, against โˆ’$2.1B the year before.

BABA Total Shares

Q3 2023: 2.6BQ4 2023: 2.5BQ1 2024: 2.5BQ2 2024: 2.4BQ3 2024: 2.4BQ4 2024: 2.4BQ1 2025: 2.4BQ2 2025: 2.4BQ3 2025: 2.4BQ4 2025: 2.4BQ1 2026: 2.4BQ2 2026: 2.4B
Q3 2023: 2.6BQ4 2023: 2.5BQ1 2024: 2.5BQ2 2024: 2.4BQ3 2024: 2.4BQ4 2024: 2.4BQ1 2025: 2.4BQ2 2025: 2.4BQ3 2025: 2.4BQ4 2025: 2.4BQ1 2026: 2.4BQ2 2026: 2.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.5%+11.1M shares
1 year+0.9%+21.4M shares
3 years-6.2%-161M shares
5 years-12%-339M shares
Available history-8.4%-221M shares

BABA has 2.4B diluted shares, up 0.9% from a year ago.

PSNY Total Shares

Q3 2020: 31MQ4 2020: 31MQ3 2021: 71MQ4 2021: 71MQ4 2022: 68MQ2 2023: 70MQ2 2025: 70M
Q3 2020: 31MQ4 2020: 31MQ3 2021: 71MQ4 2021: 71MQ4 2022: 68MQ2 2023: 70MQ2 2025: 70M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+163K shares
1 year0%-14.9K shares

PSNY has the edge over BABA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

BABA Net Leverage

Q3 2023: -0.6xQ4 2023: -0.8xQ1 2024: -0.4xQ2 2024: -0.4xQ3 2024: -0.2xQ4 2024: 0.1xQ1 2025: 0.3xQ2 2025: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.8xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.5xQ2 2026: 0.5x
Q3 2023: -0.6xQ4 2023: -0.8xQ1 2024: -0.4xQ2 2024: -0.4xQ3 2024: -0.2xQ4 2024: 0.1xQ1 2025: 0.3xQ2 2025: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.8xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.5xQ2 2026: 0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20260.5xVery low
Q1 20260.5xVery low
Q4 20250.6xVery low
Q3 20250.8xVery low
Q2 20250.2xVery low
Q1 20250.3xVery low
Q4 20240.1xVery low
Q3 2024-0.2xNet Cash

BABA's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

PSNY Net Leverage

Q2 2021: 2.6x
Q2 2021: 2.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20212.6xModerate

PSNY's net debt is about 2.6 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

BABA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI38.0Neutral
Stochastic12.7Oversold

BABA's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 13 (oversold).

PSNY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI26.9Oversold
Stochastic8.4Oversold

PSNY's weekly RSI is 27 (oversold) and its Stochastic is 8 (oversold).

BABA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricBABASector medianRelative
PE21x18x19% above
PE %604713 pts above

BABA is trading at 21x earnings, a 19% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x, though its earnings don't support one.

PSNY PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

PSNY has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

BABA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$104.79.9% below
20 week MA$111.115% below
50 week MA$128.026% below
100 week MA$127.726% below
200 week MA$106.411% below

BABA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 11% below its 200-week average.

PSNY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$4.8312% below
20 week MA$10.057% below
50 week MA$15.272% below
100 week MA$22.981% below
200 week MA$47.991% below

PSNY is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 91% below its 200-week average.

BABA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$215.5$222.0+3%
2021$222.0$118.7-47%
2022$118.7$85.7-28%
2023$85.7$77.5-9.5%
2024$77.5$85.1+9.7%
2025$85.1$152.2+79%
2026 YTD$152.2$94.4-38%

BABA has the edge over PSNY on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

PSNY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$292.8$346.5+18%
2022$346.5$146.4-58%
2023$146.4$67.8-54%
2024$67.8$33.3-51%
2025$33.3$17.5-47%
2026 YTD$17.5$4.26-76%

PSNY has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 76% so far in 2026.

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