BABA

Alibaba Group Holding Limited

53
Fundamentals36/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential23/ 100

BABA's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

PLNT

Planet Fitness, Inc.

74
Fundamentals70/ 100
Valuation89/ 100
Upside potential76/ 100
Risk potential13/ 100

PLNT has the edge over BABA overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.

BABA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Weak
Healthy

BABA's balance sheet is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.

PLNT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
Healthy
Under pressure

PLNT's profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its balance sheet is under pressure.

BABA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.3x19x28x37x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.3x19x28x37x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap16x$69.66-26%
Fair20x$86.59-8.2%
Current21x$94.36—
Expensive26x$115+22%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BABA's PE is 21x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

PLNT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE314x629x943x1257x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE314x629x943x1257x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward17x$60.15—
Current20x$60.15—
Cheap37x$110+82%
Fair51x$150+150%
Expensive148x$437+627%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

PLNT has the edge over BABA in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

BABA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for BABA, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

PLNT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for PLNT, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

BABA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+33%$125.09
Downside-23%$72.35

Calculated from the latest close: $94.36 on Nov 12.

BABA trails PLNT on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

PLNT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+41%$84.71
Downside-13%$52.52

Calculated from the latest close: $60.15 on Nov 12.

PLNT has a better modeled risk to reward balance than BABA, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

BABA Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $8.12Q4 2023: $6.04Q1 2024: $4.71Q2 2024: $4.29Q3 2024: $5.26Q4 2024: $7.47Q1 2025: $8.06Q2 2025: $9.27Q3 2025: $7.85Q4 2025: $5.79Q1 2026: $6.57Q2 2026: $4.42
Q3 2023: $8.12Q4 2023: $6.04Q1 2024: $4.71Q2 2024: $4.29Q3 2024: $5.26Q4 2024: $7.47Q1 2025: $8.06Q2 2025: $9.27Q3 2025: $7.85Q4 2025: $5.79Q1 2026: $6.57Q2 2026: $4.42
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$4.42-52%
Q1 2026$6.57-18%
Q4 2025$5.79-22%
Q3 2025$7.85+49%
Q2 2025$9.27+116%
Q1 2025$8.06+71%
Q4 2024$7.47+24%
Q3 2024$5.26-35%

BABA's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $4.42 over the past year, against $9.27 in mid-2025. Its recent earnings include one-off gains.

PLNT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.62Q1 2024: $1.74Q2 2024: $1.82Q3 2024: $1.86Q4 2024: $2.01Q1 2025: $2.12Q2 2025: $2.25Q3 2025: $2.45Q4 2025: $2.62Q1 2026: $2.77Q2 2026: $2.95Q3 2026: $2.95Forward: $3.61
Q4 2023: $1.62Q1 2024: $1.74Q2 2024: $1.82Q3 2024: $1.86Q4 2024: $2.01Q1 2025: $2.12Q2 2025: $2.25Q3 2025: $2.45Q4 2025: $2.62Q1 2026: $2.77Q2 2026: $2.95Q3 2026: $2.95Forward: $3.61
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$3.61+22%
Q3 2026$2.95+20%
Q2 2026$2.95+31%
Q1 2026$2.77+31%
Q4 2025$2.62+30%
Q3 2025$2.45+32%
Q2 2025$2.25+24%
Q1 2025$2.12+22%
Q4 2024$2.01+24%

PLNT has the edge over BABA on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

BABA Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $33.7BQ4 2023: $39.1BQ1 2024: $33.3BQ2 2024: $36.5BQ3 2024: $35.5BQ4 2024: $42BQ1 2025: $35.5BQ2 2025: $37.2BQ3 2025: $37.2BQ4 2025: $42.7BQ1 2026: $36.5BQ2 2026: $40.2B
Q3 2023: $33.7BQ4 2023: $39.1BQ1 2024: $33.3BQ2 2024: $36.5BQ3 2024: $35.5BQ4 2024: $42BQ1 2025: $35.5BQ2 2025: $37.2BQ3 2025: $37.2BQ4 2025: $42.7BQ1 2026: $36.5BQ2 2026: $40.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$40.2B+8.3%
Q1 2026$36.5B+2.9%
Q4 2025$42.7B+1.7%
Q3 2025$37.2B+4.8%
Q2 2025$37.2B+1.8%
Q1 2025$35.5B+6.6%
Q4 2024$42B+7.6%
Q3 2024$35.5B+5.2%

BABA's revenue has grown year over year for 16 quarters in a row: $40.2B last quarter, up 8.3% from the same quarter a year ago.

PLNT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $285MQ1 2024: $248MQ2 2024: $301MQ3 2024: $292MQ4 2024: $340MQ1 2025: $277MQ2 2025: $341MQ3 2025: $330MQ4 2025: $376MQ1 2026: $337MQ2 2026: $365MQ3 2026: $360M
Q4 2023: $285MQ1 2024: $248MQ2 2024: $301MQ3 2024: $292MQ4 2024: $340MQ1 2025: $277MQ2 2025: $341MQ3 2025: $330MQ4 2025: $376MQ1 2026: $337MQ2 2026: $365MQ3 2026: $360M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$360M+9%
Q2 2026$365.2M+7.1%
Q1 2026$337.2M+22%
Q4 2025$376.3M+11%
Q3 2025$330.3M+13%
Q2 2025$340.9M+13%
Q1 2025$276.7M+12%
Q4 2024$340.5M+19%

PLNT has the edge over BABA on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

BABA Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $5.4BQ4 2023: $11BQ1 2024: $34MQ2 2024: $3.2BQ3 2024: $2.1BQ4 2024: $10.4BQ1 2025: −$4.2BQ2 2025: −$2.7BQ3 2025: −$3.2BQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: −$2.7BQ2 2026: −$6.7B
Q3 2023: $5.4BQ4 2023: $11BQ1 2024: $34MQ2 2024: $3.2BQ3 2024: $2.1BQ4 2024: $10.4BQ1 2025: −$4.2BQ2 2025: −$2.7BQ3 2025: −$3.2BQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: −$2.7BQ2 2026: −$6.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026-$6.7B-$4.1B
Q1 2026-$2.7B+$1.5B
Q4 2025$1B-90%
Q3 2025-$3.2B-254%
Q2 2025-$2.7B-182%
Q1 2025-$4.2B-12231%
Q4 2024$10.4B-4.8%
Q3 2024$2.1B-62%

BABA's free cash flow has turned negative after years in the green: −$11.6B over the past year.

PLNT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $12MQ1 2024: $63MQ2 2024: $40MQ3 2024: $78MQ4 2024: $7MQ1 2025: $109MQ2 2025: $10MQ3 2025: $77MQ4 2025: $59MQ1 2026: $122MQ2 2026: $4MQ3 2026: $29M
Q4 2023: $12MQ1 2024: $63MQ2 2024: $40MQ3 2024: $78MQ4 2024: $7MQ1 2025: $109MQ2 2025: $10MQ3 2025: $77MQ4 2025: $59MQ1 2026: $122MQ2 2026: $4MQ3 2026: $29M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$28.9M-62%
Q2 2026$4M-59%
Q1 2026$122M+12%
Q4 2025$59M+738%
Q3 2025$76.7M-1.9%
Q2 2025$9.7M-76%
Q1 2025$109.4M+72%
Q4 2024$7M-41%

PLNT has the edge over BABA on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

BABA Total Shares

Q3 2023: 2.6BQ4 2023: 2.5BQ1 2024: 2.5BQ2 2024: 2.4BQ3 2024: 2.4BQ4 2024: 2.4BQ1 2025: 2.4BQ2 2025: 2.4BQ3 2025: 2.4BQ4 2025: 2.4BQ1 2026: 2.4BQ2 2026: 2.4B
Q3 2023: 2.6BQ4 2023: 2.5BQ1 2024: 2.5BQ2 2024: 2.4BQ3 2024: 2.4BQ4 2024: 2.4BQ1 2025: 2.4BQ2 2025: 2.4BQ3 2025: 2.4BQ4 2025: 2.4BQ1 2026: 2.4BQ2 2026: 2.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.5%+11.1M shares
1 year+0.9%+21.4M shares
3 years-6.2%-161M shares
5 years-12%-339M shares
Available history-8.4%-221M shares

BABA has 2.4B diluted shares, up 0.9% from a year ago.

PLNT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 86MQ1 2024: 87MQ2 2024: 87MQ3 2024: 85MQ4 2024: 84MQ1 2025: 84MQ2 2025: 84MQ3 2025: 84MQ4 2025: 83MQ1 2026: 80MQ2 2026: 77MQ3 2026: 75M
Q4 2023: 86MQ1 2024: 87MQ2 2024: 87MQ3 2024: 85MQ4 2024: 84MQ1 2025: 84MQ2 2025: 84MQ3 2025: 84MQ4 2025: 83MQ1 2026: 80MQ2 2026: 77MQ3 2026: 75M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-3.4%-2.6M shares
1 year-11%-9.2M shares
3 years-12%-10.4M shares
5 years-11%-9.4M shares
Available history-8.5%-6.9M shares

PLNT has the edge over BABA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

BABA Net Leverage

Q3 2023: -0.6xQ4 2023: -0.8xQ1 2024: -0.4xQ2 2024: -0.4xQ3 2024: -0.2xQ4 2024: 0.1xQ1 2025: 0.3xQ2 2025: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.8xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.5xQ2 2026: 0.5x
Q3 2023: -0.6xQ4 2023: -0.8xQ1 2024: -0.4xQ2 2024: -0.4xQ3 2024: -0.2xQ4 2024: 0.1xQ1 2025: 0.3xQ2 2025: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.8xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.5xQ2 2026: 0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20260.5xVery low
Q1 20260.5xVery low
Q4 20250.6xVery low
Q3 20250.8xVery low
Q2 20250.2xVery low
Q1 20250.3xVery low
Q4 20240.1xVery low
Q3 2024-0.2xNet Cash

BABA has the edge over PLNT on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

PLNT Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 4.7xQ1 2024: 4.5xQ2 2024: 4.9xQ3 2024: 4.7xQ4 2024: 4.5xQ1 2025: 4.3xQ2 2025: 4.2xQ3 2025: 4.0xQ4 2025: 4.5xQ1 2026: 4.2xQ2 2026: 4.4xQ3 2026: 3.7x
Q4 2023: 4.7xQ1 2024: 4.5xQ2 2024: 4.9xQ3 2024: 4.7xQ4 2024: 4.5xQ1 2025: 4.3xQ2 2025: 4.2xQ3 2025: 4.0xQ4 2025: 4.5xQ1 2026: 4.2xQ2 2026: 4.4xQ3 2026: 3.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20263.7xElevated
Q2 20264.4xHigh
Q1 20264.2xHigh
Q4 20254.5xHigh
Q3 20254.0xHigh
Q2 20254.2xHigh
Q1 20254.3xHigh
Q4 20244.5xHigh

PLNT's net debt is about 3.7 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 4.0 years a year ago.

BABA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI38.0Neutral
Stochastic12.7Oversold

BABA's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 13 (oversold).

PLNT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI55.5Neutral
Stochastic89.1Overbought

PLNT's weekly RSI is 55 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 89 (overbought).

BABA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricBABASector medianRelative
PE21x18x19% above
PE %604713 pts above

BABA is trading at 21x earnings, a 19% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x, though its earnings don't support one.

PLNT PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricPLNTSector medianRelative
PE20x18x13% above
PE %84739 pts below

PLNT has the edge over BABA on valuation relative to its sector.

BABA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$104.79.9% below
20 week MA$111.115% below
50 week MA$128.026% below
100 week MA$127.726% below
200 week MA$106.411% below

BABA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 11% below its 200-week average.

PLNT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$51.317% above
20 week MA$51.816% above
50 week MA$67.911% below
100 week MA$85.029% below
200 week MA$78.123% below

PLNT has the edge over BABA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

BABA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$215.5$222.0+3%
2021$222.0$118.7-47%
2022$118.7$85.7-28%
2023$85.7$77.5-9.5%
2024$77.5$85.1+9.7%
2025$85.1$152.2+79%
2026 YTD$152.2$94.4-38%

BABA has the edge over PLNT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

PLNT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$75.5$77.7+3%
2021$77.7$91.0+17%
2022$91.0$79.1-13%
2023$79.1$73.0-7.7%
2024$73.0$99.8+37%
2025$99.8$109.1+9.3%
2026 YTD$109.1$60.2-45%

PLNT is down 45% so far in 2026, after finishing higher in four of the previous six years.

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