BABA

Alibaba Group Holding Limited

53
Fundamentals36/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential23/ 100

BABA has the edge over PLBY overall, supported by lower modeled downside.

PLBY

Playboy, Inc.

48
Fundamentals49/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential35/ 100

PLBY offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

BABA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Weak
Healthy

BABA's balance sheet is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.

PLBY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Healthy
Weak
Weak

PLBY's profitability is currently healthy, but its revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are under pressure.

BABA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.3x19x28x37x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.3x19x28x37x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap16x$69.66-26%
Fair20x$86.59-8.2%
Current21x$94.36—
Expensive26x$115+22%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BABA's PE is 21x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

PLBY PE Valuation

LevelPEPriceVs current
Current31x$1.22—
Forward31x$1.22—
Cheap49x$1.98+62%
Fair54x$2.15+76%
Expensive60x$2.39+96%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

PLBY has the edge over BABA in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

BABA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for BABA, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

PLBY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Strong growth
Growth
--
Limited
--

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for PLBY, with profitability holding steady.

BABA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+33%$125.09
Downside-23%$72.35

Calculated from the latest close: $94.36 on Nov 12.

BABA trails PLBY on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

PLBY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+54%$1.88
Downside-34%$0.80

Calculated from the latest close: $1.22 on Nov 12.

PLBY has a better modeled risk to reward balance than BABA, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

BABA Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $8.12Q4 2023: $6.04Q1 2024: $4.71Q2 2024: $4.29Q3 2024: $5.26Q4 2024: $7.47Q1 2025: $8.06Q2 2025: $9.27Q3 2025: $7.85Q4 2025: $5.79Q1 2026: $6.57Q2 2026: $4.42
Q3 2023: $8.12Q4 2023: $6.04Q1 2024: $4.71Q2 2024: $4.29Q3 2024: $5.26Q4 2024: $7.47Q1 2025: $8.06Q2 2025: $9.27Q3 2025: $7.85Q4 2025: $5.79Q1 2026: $6.57Q2 2026: $4.42
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$4.42-52%
Q1 2026$6.57-18%
Q4 2025$5.79-22%
Q3 2025$7.85+49%
Q2 2025$9.27+116%
Q1 2025$8.06+71%
Q4 2024$7.47+24%
Q3 2024$5.26-35%

BABA's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $4.42 over the past year, against $9.27 in mid-2025. Its recent earnings include one-off gains.

PLBY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-2.53Q1 2024: $-2.18Q2 2024: $-0.65Q3 2024: $-1.00Q4 2024: $-1.04Q1 2025: $-0.91Q2 2025: $-0.76Q3 2025: $-0.31Q4 2025: $-0.13Q1 2026: $-0.06Q2 2026: $0.02Q3 2026: $0.04Forward: $0.04
Q4 2023: $-2.53Q1 2024: $-2.18Q2 2024: $-0.65Q3 2024: $-1.00Q4 2024: $-1.04Q1 2025: $-0.91Q2 2025: $-0.76Q3 2025: $-0.31Q4 2025: $-0.13Q1 2026: $-0.06Q2 2026: $0.02Q3 2026: $0.04Forward: $0.04
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.040%
Q3 2026$0.04+$0.35
Q2 2026$0.02+$0.78
Q1 2026-$0.06+$0.85
Q4 2025-$0.13+$0.91
Q3 2025-$0.31+$0.69
Q2 2025-$0.76-$0.11
Q1 2025-$0.91+$1.27
Q4 2024-$1.04+$1.49

PLBY has the edge over BABA on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

BABA Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $33.7BQ4 2023: $39.1BQ1 2024: $33.3BQ2 2024: $36.5BQ3 2024: $35.5BQ4 2024: $42BQ1 2025: $35.5BQ2 2025: $37.2BQ3 2025: $37.2BQ4 2025: $42.7BQ1 2026: $36.5BQ2 2026: $40.2B
Q3 2023: $33.7BQ4 2023: $39.1BQ1 2024: $33.3BQ2 2024: $36.5BQ3 2024: $35.5BQ4 2024: $42BQ1 2025: $35.5BQ2 2025: $37.2BQ3 2025: $37.2BQ4 2025: $42.7BQ1 2026: $36.5BQ2 2026: $40.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$40.2B+8.3%
Q1 2026$36.5B+2.9%
Q4 2025$42.7B+1.7%
Q3 2025$37.2B+4.8%
Q2 2025$37.2B+1.8%
Q1 2025$35.5B+6.6%
Q4 2024$42B+7.6%
Q3 2024$35.5B+5.2%

BABA's revenue has grown year over year for 16 quarters in a row: $40.2B last quarter, up 8.3% from the same quarter a year ago.

PLBY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $39MQ1 2024: $28MQ2 2024: $25MQ3 2024: $13MQ4 2024: $83MQ1 2025: $29MQ2 2025: $28MQ3 2025: $29MQ4 2025: $35MQ1 2026: $30MQ2 2026: $31MQ3 2026: $32M
Q4 2023: $39MQ1 2024: $28MQ2 2024: $25MQ3 2024: $13MQ4 2024: $83MQ1 2025: $29MQ2 2025: $28MQ3 2025: $29MQ4 2025: $35MQ1 2026: $30MQ2 2026: $31MQ3 2026: $32M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$31.7M+9.4%
Q2 2026$31.2M+11%
Q1 2026$30.2M+4.7%
Q4 2025$34.9M-58%
Q3 2025$29M+125%
Q2 2025$28.1M+13%
Q1 2025$28.9M+2%
Q4 2024$83.3M+112%

PLBY's revenue is recovering but still below its 2021 peak: $32M last quarter, up 9.4% from the same quarter a year ago.

BABA Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $5.4BQ4 2023: $11BQ1 2024: $34MQ2 2024: $3.2BQ3 2024: $2.1BQ4 2024: $10.4BQ1 2025: −$4.2BQ2 2025: −$2.7BQ3 2025: −$3.2BQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: −$2.7BQ2 2026: −$6.7B
Q3 2023: $5.4BQ4 2023: $11BQ1 2024: $34MQ2 2024: $3.2BQ3 2024: $2.1BQ4 2024: $10.4BQ1 2025: −$4.2BQ2 2025: −$2.7BQ3 2025: −$3.2BQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: −$2.7BQ2 2026: −$6.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026-$6.7B-$4.1B
Q1 2026-$2.7B+$1.5B
Q4 2025$1B-90%
Q3 2025-$3.2B-254%
Q2 2025-$2.7B-182%
Q1 2025-$4.2B-12231%
Q4 2024$10.4B-4.8%
Q3 2024$2.1B-62%

BABA's free cash flow has turned negative after years in the green: −$11.6B over the past year.

PLBY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$4MQ1 2024: −$10MQ2 2024: −$4MQ3 2024: −$7MQ4 2024: −$743,000Q1 2025: −$8MQ2 2025: −$4MQ3 2025: $10MQ4 2025: $1MQ1 2026: −$9MQ2 2026: −$571,000Q3 2026: $548,000
Q4 2023: −$4MQ1 2024: −$10MQ2 2024: −$4MQ3 2024: −$7MQ4 2024: −$743,000Q1 2025: −$8MQ2 2025: −$4MQ3 2025: $10MQ4 2025: $1MQ1 2026: −$9MQ2 2026: −$571,000Q3 2026: $548,000
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$548K-94%
Q2 2026-$571K+$3.7M
Q1 2026-$8.7M-$1M
Q4 2025$1.1M+$1.9M
Q3 2025$9.8M+$16.4M
Q2 2025-$4.3M-$603K
Q1 2025-$7.7M+$2.7M
Q4 2024-$743K+$3.3M

PLBY has the edge over BABA on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

BABA Total Shares

Q3 2023: 2.6BQ4 2023: 2.5BQ1 2024: 2.5BQ2 2024: 2.4BQ3 2024: 2.4BQ4 2024: 2.4BQ1 2025: 2.4BQ2 2025: 2.4BQ3 2025: 2.4BQ4 2025: 2.4BQ1 2026: 2.4BQ2 2026: 2.4B
Q3 2023: 2.6BQ4 2023: 2.5BQ1 2024: 2.5BQ2 2024: 2.4BQ3 2024: 2.4BQ4 2024: 2.4BQ1 2025: 2.4BQ2 2025: 2.4BQ3 2025: 2.4BQ4 2025: 2.4BQ1 2026: 2.4BQ2 2026: 2.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.5%+11.1M shares
1 year+0.9%+21.4M shares
3 years-6.2%-161M shares
5 years-12%-339M shares
Available history-8.4%-221M shares

BABA has 2.4B diluted shares, up 0.9% from a year ago.

PLBY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 71MQ1 2024: 73MQ2 2024: 73MQ3 2024: 75MQ4 2024: 76MQ1 2025: 93MQ2 2025: 94MQ3 2025: 113MQ4 2025: 100MQ1 2026: 114MQ2 2026: 115MQ3 2026: 106M
Q4 2023: 71MQ1 2024: 73MQ2 2024: 73MQ3 2024: 75MQ4 2024: 76MQ1 2025: 93MQ2 2025: 94MQ3 2025: 113MQ4 2025: 100MQ1 2026: 114MQ2 2026: 115MQ3 2026: 106M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-7.5%-8.6M shares
1 year-5.7%-6.4M shares
3 years+44%+32.2M shares
5 years+189%+69.4M shares
Available history+2622%+102M shares

PLBY has the edge over BABA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

BABA Net Leverage

Q3 2023: -0.6xQ4 2023: -0.8xQ1 2024: -0.4xQ2 2024: -0.4xQ3 2024: -0.2xQ4 2024: 0.1xQ1 2025: 0.3xQ2 2025: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.8xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.5xQ2 2026: 0.5x
Q3 2023: -0.6xQ4 2023: -0.8xQ1 2024: -0.4xQ2 2024: -0.4xQ3 2024: -0.2xQ4 2024: 0.1xQ1 2025: 0.3xQ2 2025: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.8xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.5xQ2 2026: 0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20260.5xVery low
Q1 20260.5xVery low
Q4 20250.6xVery low
Q3 20250.8xVery low
Q2 20250.2xVery low
Q1 20250.3xVery low
Q4 20240.1xVery low
Q3 2024-0.2xNet Cash

BABA has the edge over PLBY on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

PLBY Net Leverage

Q2 2026: 14.5xQ3 2026: 11.2x
Q2 2026: 14.5xQ3 2026: 11.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 202611.2xHigh
Q2 202614.5xHigh
Q1 20200.0xVery low
Q4 201968.5xHigh

PLBY's net debt is about 11 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

BABA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI38.0Neutral
Stochastic12.7Oversold

BABA's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 13 (oversold).

PLBY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI48.7Neutral
Stochastic43.0Neutral

PLBY's weekly RSI is 49 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 43 (neutral).

BABA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricBABASector medianRelative
PE21x18x19% above
PE %604713 pts above

BABA has the edge over PLBY on valuation relative to its sector.

PLBY PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricPLBYSector medianRelative
PE31x18x69% above

PLBY is trading at 31x earnings, a 69% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x, though its earnings don't support one.

BABA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$104.79.9% below
20 week MA$111.115% below
50 week MA$128.026% below
100 week MA$127.726% below
200 week MA$106.411% below

BABA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 11% below its 200-week average.

PLBY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1.119.9% above
20 week MA$1.156.1% above
50 week MA$1.4818% below
100 week MA$1.5119% below
200 week MA$1.3610% below

PLBY has the edge over BABA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

BABA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$215.5$222.0+3%
2021$222.0$118.7-47%
2022$118.7$85.7-28%
2023$85.7$77.5-9.5%
2024$77.5$85.1+9.7%
2025$85.1$152.2+79%
2026 YTD$152.2$94.4-38%

BABA has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 38% so far in 2026.

PLBY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$10.0$10.7+6.5%
2021$10.7$28.9+171%
2022$28.9$2.91-90%
2023$2.91$1.00-66%
2024$1.00$1.50+50%
2025$1.50$1.87+25%
2026 YTD$1.87$1.22-35%

PLBY has the edge over BABA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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