BABA
Alibaba Group Holding Limited
BABA has the edge over PHM overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.
PHM
PulteGroup, Inc.
PHM trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.
BABA Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Weak | |
| Healthy |
BABA's balance sheet is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.
PHM Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Under pressure | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Strong |
PHM's balance sheet is currently strong, and its profitability and cash flow are stable, but its revenue is under pressure.
BABA PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 16x | $69.66 | -26% |
| Fair | 20x | $86.59 | -8.2% |
| Current | 21x | $94.36 | — |
| Expensive | 26x | $115 | +22% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
BABA has the edge over PHM in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
PHM PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 5.8x | $54.71 | -57% |
| Fair | 8.8x | $82.04 | -35% |
| Expensive | 11x | $99.83 | -21% |
| Current | 14x | $127 | — |
| Forward | 14x | $127 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
PHM's PE is in its expensive range at 13.6x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 13.7x.
BABA Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
BABA has the edge over PHM on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.
PHM Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Weakening | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect PHM's profitability to weaken, with its earnings and revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
BABA Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $4.42 | -52% |
| Q1 2026 | $6.57 | -18% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.79 | -22% |
| Q3 2025 | $7.85 | +49% |
| Q2 2025 | $9.27 | +116% |
| Q1 2025 | $8.06 | +71% |
| Q4 2024 | $7.47 | +24% |
| Q3 2024 | $5.26 | -35% |
BABA has the edge over PHM on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
PHM Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $9.29 | -0.7% |
| Q3 2026 | $9.36 | -28% |
| Q2 2026 | $9.79 | -27% |
| Q1 2026 | $10.34 | -27% |
| Q4 2025 | $11.12 | -24% |
| Q3 2025 | $12.97 | -4.2% |
| Q2 2025 | $13.36 | +2.1% |
| Q1 2025 | $14.16 | +14% |
| Q4 2024 | $14.69 | +25% |
PHM's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $9.36 over the past year, against $14.69 in late 2024.
BABA Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $40.2B | +8.3% |
| Q1 2026 | $36.5B | +2.9% |
| Q4 2025 | $42.7B | +1.7% |
| Q3 2025 | $37.2B | +4.8% |
| Q2 2025 | $37.2B | +1.8% |
| Q1 2025 | $35.5B | +6.6% |
| Q4 2024 | $42B | +7.6% |
| Q3 2024 | $35.5B | +5.2% |
BABA has the edge over PHM on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 7.2% | -6.9 points |
| Q1 2026 | -0.3% | -12 points |
| Q4 2025 | 7.1% | -7.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 2.2% | -13 points |
| Q2 2025 | 14% | -0.7 points |
| Q1 2025 | 12% | +5.4 points |
| Q4 2024 | 15% | +6.1 points |
| Q3 2024 | 15% | 0 points |
BABA's operating margin was 7.2% last quarter, down 6.9 points from the same quarter a year ago.
PHM Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $4B | -9.8% |
| Q2 2026 | $4B | -9.6% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.4B | -12% |
| Q4 2025 | $4.6B | -6.3% |
| Q3 2025 | $4.4B | -1.6% |
| Q2 2025 | $4.4B | -4.3% |
| Q1 2025 | $3.9B | -1.4% |
| Q4 2024 | $4.9B | +15% |
PHM's revenue has slid since its 2022 peak: $4B last quarter, down 9.8% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 16% | -1.7 points |
| Q2 2026 | 16% | -2.7 points |
| Q1 2026 | 13% | -4.3 points |
| Q4 2025 | 14% | -9.8 points |
| Q3 2025 | 17% | -2.8 points |
| Q2 2025 | 18% | -4.5 points |
| Q1 2025 | 18% | -4.5 points |
| Q4 2024 | 24% | +2 points |
PHM has the edge over BABA on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
BABA Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$6.7B | -$4.1B |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.7B | +$1.5B |
| Q4 2025 | $1B | -90% |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.2B | -254% |
| Q2 2025 | -$2.7B | -182% |
| Q1 2025 | -$4.2B | -12231% |
| Q4 2024 | $10.4B | -4.8% |
| Q3 2024 | $2.1B | -62% |
BABA's free cash flow has turned negative after years in the green: −$11.6B over the past year.
PHM Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $437.2M | -33% |
| Q2 2026 | -$12.9M | -105% |
| Q1 2026 | $134.4M | +28% |
| Q4 2025 | $739.8M | +36% |
| Q3 2025 | $651.1M | +56% |
| Q2 2025 | $253M | -35% |
| Q1 2025 | $104.6M | -51% |
| Q4 2024 | $543.1M | +106% |
PHM has the edge over BABA on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
BABA Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.5% | +11.1M shares |
| 1 year | +0.9% | +21.4M shares |
| 3 years | -6.2% | -161M shares |
| 5 years | -12% | -339M shares |
| Available history | -8.4% | -221M shares |
BABA has 2.4B diluted shares, up 0.9% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | $269.8M |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
BABA spent $270M buying back its own shares over the past year, after none the year before.
PHM Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -1.4% | -2.7M shares |
| 1 year | -5.2% | -10.3M shares |
| 3 years | -14% | -31.8M shares |
| 5 years | -27% | -71.1M shares |
| Available history | -31% | -83.6M shares |
PHM has the edge over BABA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $350.4M |
| Q2 2026 | $373M |
| Q1 2026 | $308.2M |
| Q4 2025 | $300M |
| Q3 2025 | $300M |
| Q2 2025 | $300M |
| Q1 2025 | $300M |
| Q4 2024 | $320M |
PHM spent $1.3B buying back its own shares over the past year, up 9.1% from the year before.
BABA Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.8x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q3 2024 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
BABA's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).
PHM Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | -0.0x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -0.6x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | 0.0x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
PHM has the edge over BABA on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
BABA Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 38.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 12.7 | Oversold |
BABA's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 13 (oversold).
PHM Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 53.2 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 66.1 | Neutral |
PHM's weekly RSI is 53 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 66 (neutral).
BABA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | BABA | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 21x | 18x | 19% above |
| PE % | 60 | 47 | 13 pts above |
BABA is trading at 21x earnings, a 19% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x, though its earnings don't support one.
PHM PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | PHM | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 14x | 18x | 25% below |
| PE % | 99 | 47 | 52 pts above |
PHM has the edge over BABA on valuation relative to its sector.
BABA Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $104.7 | 9.9% below |
| 20 week MA | $111.1 | 15% below |
| 50 week MA | $128.0 | 26% below |
| 100 week MA | $127.7 | 26% below |
| 200 week MA | $106.4 | 11% below |
BABA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 11% below its 200-week average.
PHM Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $120.8 | 5% above |
| 20 week MA | $124.3 | 2.1% above |
| 50 week MA | $124.4 | 2% above |
| 100 week MA | $118.8 | 6.8% above |
| 200 week MA | $107.7 | 18% above |
PHM has the edge over BABA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
BABA Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $215.5 | $222.0 | +3% |
| 2021 | $222.0 | $118.7 | -47% |
| 2022 | $118.7 | $85.7 | -28% |
| 2023 | $85.7 | $77.5 | -9.5% |
| 2024 | $77.5 | $85.1 | +9.7% |
| 2025 | $85.1 | $152.2 | +79% |
| 2026 YTD | $152.2 | $94.4 | -38% |
BABA has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 38% so far in 2026.
PHM Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $38.8 | $45.2 | +17% |
| 2021 | $45.2 | $54.7 | +21% |
| 2022 | $54.7 | $45.8 | -16% |
| 2023 | $45.8 | $103.2 | +125% |
| 2024 | $103.2 | $109.5 | +6.1% |
| 2025 | $109.5 | $119.2 | +8.8% |
| 2026 YTD | $119.2 | $126.9 | +6.5% |
PHM has the edge over BABA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.