BABA
Alibaba Group Holding Limited
BABA's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.
OPLN
OPENLANE, Inc.
OPLN has the edge over BABA overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.
BABA Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Weak | |
| Healthy |
BABA's balance sheet is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.
OPLN Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Under pressure | |
| Strong | |
| Healthy |
OPLN's revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its profitability is under pressure.
BABA PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 16x | $69.66 | -26% |
| Fair | 20x | $86.59 | -8.2% |
| Current | 21x | $94.36 | — |
| Expensive | 26x | $115 | +22% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
BABA's PE is 21x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.
OPLN PE Valuation
OPLN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
BABA Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
BABA has the edge over OPLN on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.
OPLN Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for OPLN, with profitability holding steady.
BABA Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $4.42 | -52% |
| Q1 2026 | $6.57 | -18% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.79 | -22% |
| Q3 2025 | $7.85 | +49% |
| Q2 2025 | $9.27 | +116% |
| Q1 2025 | $8.06 | +71% |
| Q4 2024 | $7.47 | +24% |
| Q3 2024 | $5.26 | -35% |
BABA has the edge over OPLN on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
OPLN Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $1.66 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$0.74 | -185% |
| Q2 2026 | -$0.85 | -215% |
| Q4 2021 | $0.12 | +$0.35 |
| Q3 2021 | -$0.05 | -136% |
| Q2 2021 | $0.28 | +56% |
| Q1 2021 | $0.00 | -100% |
| Q4 2020 | -$0.23 | -122% |
OPLN has swung to a loss: it lost $0.74 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.
BABA Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $40.2B | +8.3% |
| Q1 2026 | $36.5B | +2.9% |
| Q4 2025 | $42.7B | +1.7% |
| Q3 2025 | $37.2B | +4.8% |
| Q2 2025 | $37.2B | +1.8% |
| Q1 2025 | $35.5B | +6.6% |
| Q4 2024 | $42B | +7.6% |
| Q3 2024 | $35.5B | +5.2% |
BABA's revenue has grown year over year for 16 quarters in a row: $40.2B last quarter, up 8.3% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 7.2% | -6.9 points |
| Q1 2026 | -0.3% | -12 points |
| Q4 2025 | 7.1% | -7.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 2.2% | -13 points |
| Q2 2025 | 14% | -0.7 points |
| Q1 2025 | 12% | +5.4 points |
| Q4 2024 | 15% | +6.1 points |
| Q3 2024 | 15% | 0 points |
BABA's operating margin was 7.2% last quarter, down 6.9 points from the same quarter a year ago.
OPLN Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $561.2M | +13% |
| Q2 2026 | $554.6M | +15% |
| Q1 2026 | $527.9M | +15% |
| Q4 2025 | $494.3M | +8.6% |
| Q3 2025 | $498.4M | +11% |
| Q2 2025 | $481.7M | +12% |
| Q1 2025 | $460.1M | +11% |
| Q4 2024 | $455M | +16% |
OPLN has the edge over BABA on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 13% | +1.5 points |
| Q2 2026 | 12% | +2.3 points |
| Q1 2026 | 14% | +2.7 points |
| Q4 2025 | 8.6% | -8.8 points |
| Q3 2025 | 11% | -5.3 points |
| Q2 2025 | 9.8% | -3.1 points |
| Q1 2025 | 11% | -5.4 points |
| Q4 2024 | 17% | +2.7 points |
OPLN has the edge over BABA on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
BABA Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$6.7B | -$4.1B |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.7B | +$1.5B |
| Q4 2025 | $1B | -90% |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.2B | -254% |
| Q2 2025 | -$2.7B | -182% |
| Q1 2025 | -$4.2B | -12231% |
| Q4 2024 | $10.4B | -4.8% |
| Q3 2024 | $2.1B | -62% |
BABA's free cash flow has turned negative after years in the green: −$11.6B over the past year.
OPLN Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $83.3M | +45% |
| Q2 2026 | $39M | -32% |
| Q1 2026 | $146.5M | +32% |
| Q4 2025 | $110.8M | +493% |
| Q3 2025 | $57.6M | -47% |
| Q2 2025 | $57.4M | +134% |
| Q1 2025 | $110.7M | +27% |
| Q4 2024 | $18.7M | +117% |
OPLN has the edge over BABA on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
BABA Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.5% | +11.1M shares |
| 1 year | +0.9% | +21.4M shares |
| 3 years | -6.2% | -161M shares |
| 5 years | -12% | -339M shares |
| Available history | -8.4% | -221M shares |
BABA has the edge over OPLN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | $269.8M |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
BABA spent $270M buying back its own shares over the past year, after none the year before.
OPLN Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +7% | +8.2M shares |
| 1 year | +16% | +17.1M shares |
| 3 years | +7.8% | +9.1M shares |
| 5 years | -3% | -3.9M shares |
| Available history | -5.6% | -7.5M shares |
OPLN has 125M diluted shares, up 16% from a year ago, despite $101M in buybacks over the past year.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $43.3M |
| Q2 2026 | $22.5M |
| Q1 2026 | $25.7M |
| Q4 2025 | $9.8M |
| Q3 2025 | $26.4M |
| Q2 2025 | $9.3M |
| Q1 2025 | $100,000 |
| Q4 2024 | — |
OPLN spent $101M buying back its own shares over the past year, up 183% from the year before.
BABA Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.8x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q3 2024 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
BABA has the edge over OPLN on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
OPLN Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.8x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 1.1x | Healthy |
| Q1 2026 | 1.2x | Healthy |
| Q4 2025 | 1.4x | Healthy |
| Q3 2025 | -0.3x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | 0.0x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.2x | Very low |
OPLN's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), after holding more cash than debt a year ago.
BABA Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 38.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 12.7 | Oversold |
BABA's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 13 (oversold).
OPLN Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 47.6 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 32.5 | Neutral |
OPLN's weekly RSI is 48 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 33 (neutral).
BABA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | BABA | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 21x | 18x | 19% above |
| PE % | 60 | 47 | 13 pts above |
BABA is trading at 21x earnings, a 19% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x, though its earnings don't support one.
OPLN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | OPLN | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | 18x | — |
OPLN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
BABA Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $104.7 | 9.9% below |
| 20 week MA | $111.1 | 15% below |
| 50 week MA | $128.0 | 26% below |
| 100 week MA | $127.7 | 26% below |
| 200 week MA | $106.4 | 11% below |
BABA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 11% below its 200-week average.
OPLN Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $36.2 | 4.1% below |
| 20 week MA | $36.7 | 5.4% below |
| 50 week MA | $33.6 | 3.3% above |
| 100 week MA | $28.5 | 22% above |
| 200 week MA | $22.2 | 57% above |
OPLN has the edge over BABA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
BABA Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $215.5 | $222.0 | +3% |
| 2021 | $222.0 | $118.7 | -47% |
| 2022 | $118.7 | $85.7 | -28% |
| 2023 | $85.7 | $77.5 | -9.5% |
| 2024 | $77.5 | $85.1 | +9.7% |
| 2025 | $85.1 | $152.2 | +79% |
| 2026 YTD | $152.2 | $94.4 | -38% |
BABA has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 38% so far in 2026.
OPLN Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $21.6 | $18.2 | -16% |
| 2021 | $18.2 | $15.5 | -15% |
| 2022 | $15.5 | $12.8 | -18% |
| 2023 | $12.8 | $14.8 | +16% |
| 2024 | $14.8 | $20.1 | +36% |
| 2025 | $20.1 | $31.0 | +54% |
| 2026 YTD | $31.0 | $34.7 | +12% |
OPLN has the edge over BABA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.