BABA

Alibaba Group Holding Limited

53
Fundamentals36/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential23/ 100

BABA's fundamentals are weak: its operating margin fell 10 points to 4.2% and free cash flow turned negative, though revenue grew 4.3%. Its PE isn't a useful guide right now because of how its recent earnings were reported.

OKLO

Oklo Inc.

There isn't enough reported data to score OKLO yet.

BABA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Weak
Healthy

BABA's balance sheet is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.

OKLO Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Unavailable
Weak
Unavailable
Unavailable

OKLO's profitability is currently weak. There isn't enough data to rate its revenue, cash flow and balance sheet.

BABA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.3x19x28x37x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.3x19x28x37x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap16x$69.66-26%
Fair20x$86.59-8.2%
Current21x$94.36โ€”
Expensive26x$115+22%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BABA's PE is 21x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

OKLO PE Valuation

OKLO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

BABA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for BABA, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

OKLO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses growing
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect OKLO's losses to grow, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

BABA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+33%$125.09
Downside-23%$72.35

Calculated from the latest close: $94.36 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare BABA and OKLO's risk to reward.

OKLO Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknownโ€”
DownsideUnknownโ€”

Calculated from the latest close: $24.45 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare BABA and OKLO's risk to reward.

BABA Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $8.12Q4 2023: $6.04Q1 2024: $4.71Q2 2024: $4.29Q3 2024: $5.26Q4 2024: $7.47Q1 2025: $8.06Q2 2025: $9.27Q3 2025: $7.85Q4 2025: $5.79Q1 2026: $6.57Q2 2026: $4.42
Q3 2023: $8.12Q4 2023: $6.04Q1 2024: $4.71Q2 2024: $4.29Q3 2024: $5.26Q4 2024: $7.47Q1 2025: $8.06Q2 2025: $9.27Q3 2025: $7.85Q4 2025: $5.79Q1 2026: $6.57Q2 2026: $4.42
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$4.42-52%
Q1 2026$6.57-18%
Q4 2025$5.79-22%
Q3 2025$7.85+49%
Q2 2025$9.27+116%
Q1 2025$8.06+71%
Q4 2024$7.47+24%
Q3 2024$5.26-35%

BABA has the edge over OKLO in the latest year-over-year earnings comparison.

OKLO Earnings Per Share

Q1 2025: $-0.52Q2 2025: $-0.41Q3 2025: $-0.53Q4 2025: $-0.72Q1 2026: $-0.84Q2 2026: $-0.94Q3 2026: $-0.96
Q1 2025: $-0.52Q2 2025: $-0.41Q3 2025: $-0.53Q4 2025: $-0.72Q1 2026: $-0.84Q2 2026: $-0.94Q3 2026: $-0.96
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$0.96-$0.43
Q2 2026-$0.94-$0.53
Q1 2026-$0.84-$0.32

OKLO lost $0.96 per share over the past year, a bigger loss than the year before.

BABA Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $33.7BQ4 2023: $39.1BQ1 2024: $33.3BQ2 2024: $36.5BQ3 2024: $35.5BQ4 2024: $42BQ1 2025: $35.5BQ2 2025: $37.2BQ3 2025: $37.2BQ4 2025: $42.7BQ1 2026: $36.5BQ2 2026: $40.2B
Q3 2023: $33.7BQ4 2023: $39.1BQ1 2024: $33.3BQ2 2024: $36.5BQ3 2024: $35.5BQ4 2024: $42BQ1 2025: $35.5BQ2 2025: $37.2BQ3 2025: $37.2BQ4 2025: $42.7BQ1 2026: $36.5BQ2 2026: $40.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$40.2B+8.3%
Q1 2026$36.5B+2.9%
Q4 2025$42.7B+1.7%
Q3 2025$37.2B+4.8%
Q2 2025$37.2B+1.8%
Q1 2025$35.5B+6.6%
Q4 2024$42B+7.6%
Q3 2024$35.5B+5.2%

BABA's revenue has grown year over year for 16 quarters in a row: $40.2B last quarter, up 8.3% from the same quarter a year ago.

OKLO Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: --Q2 2026: $1MQ3 2026: $2M
Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: --Q2 2026: $1MQ3 2026: $2M

OKLO and BABA do not have enough comparable growth data to identify a winner.

BABA Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $5.4BQ4 2023: $11BQ1 2024: $34MQ2 2024: $3.2BQ3 2024: $2.1BQ4 2024: $10.4BQ1 2025: โˆ’$4.2BQ2 2025: โˆ’$2.7BQ3 2025: โˆ’$3.2BQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: โˆ’$2.7BQ2 2026: โˆ’$6.7B
Q3 2023: $5.4BQ4 2023: $11BQ1 2024: $34MQ2 2024: $3.2BQ3 2024: $2.1BQ4 2024: $10.4BQ1 2025: โˆ’$4.2BQ2 2025: โˆ’$2.7BQ3 2025: โˆ’$3.2BQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: โˆ’$2.7BQ2 2026: โˆ’$6.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026-$6.7B-$4.1B
Q1 2026-$2.7B+$1.5B
Q4 2025$1B-90%
Q3 2025-$3.2B-254%
Q2 2025-$2.7B-182%
Q1 2025-$4.2B-12231%
Q4 2024$10.4B-4.8%
Q3 2024$2.1B-62%

BABA has the edge over OKLO on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

OKLO Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: โˆ’$8MQ4 2024: โˆ’$14MQ1 2025: โˆ’$13MQ2 2025: โˆ’$19MQ3 2025: โˆ’$23MQ4 2025: โˆ’$60MQ1 2026: โˆ’$51MQ2 2026: โˆ’$142MQ3 2026: โˆ’$199M
Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: โˆ’$8MQ4 2024: โˆ’$14MQ1 2025: โˆ’$13MQ2 2025: โˆ’$19MQ3 2025: โˆ’$23MQ4 2025: โˆ’$60MQ1 2026: โˆ’$51MQ2 2026: โˆ’$142MQ3 2026: โˆ’$199M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$199.5M-$176.4M
Q2 2026-$141.7M-$122.3M
Q1 2026-$50.7M-$38.1M
Q4 2025-$60.4M-$46.8M
Q3 2025-$23.1M-$15.1M

OKLO has burned cash in almost every quarter: โˆ’$452M over the past year, against โˆ’$69M the year before.

BABA Total Shares

Q3 2023: 2.6BQ4 2023: 2.5BQ1 2024: 2.5BQ2 2024: 2.4BQ3 2024: 2.4BQ4 2024: 2.4BQ1 2025: 2.4BQ2 2025: 2.4BQ3 2025: 2.4BQ4 2025: 2.4BQ1 2026: 2.4BQ2 2026: 2.4B
Q3 2023: 2.6BQ4 2023: 2.5BQ1 2024: 2.5BQ2 2024: 2.4BQ3 2024: 2.4BQ4 2024: 2.4BQ1 2025: 2.4BQ2 2025: 2.4BQ3 2025: 2.4BQ4 2025: 2.4BQ1 2026: 2.4BQ2 2026: 2.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.5%+11.1M shares
1 year+0.9%+21.4M shares
3 years-6.2%-161M shares
5 years-12%-339M shares
Available history-8.4%-221M shares

BABA has the edge over OKLO on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

OKLO Total Shares

Q2 2024: 100MQ3 2024: 122MQ1 2025: 138MQ2 2025: 140MQ3 2025: 150MQ4 2025: 146MQ1 2026: 170MQ2 2026: 176MQ3 2026: 189M
Q2 2024: 100MQ3 2024: 122MQ1 2025: 138MQ2 2025: 140MQ3 2025: 150MQ4 2025: 146MQ1 2026: 170MQ2 2026: 176MQ3 2026: 189M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+7%+12.4M shares
1 year+25%+38.2M shares

OKLO has 189M diluted shares, up 25% from a year ago.

BABA Net Leverage

Q3 2023: -0.6xQ4 2023: -0.8xQ1 2024: -0.4xQ2 2024: -0.4xQ3 2024: -0.2xQ4 2024: 0.1xQ1 2025: 0.3xQ2 2025: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.8xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.5xQ2 2026: 0.5x
Q3 2023: -0.6xQ4 2023: -0.8xQ1 2024: -0.4xQ2 2024: -0.4xQ3 2024: -0.2xQ4 2024: 0.1xQ1 2025: 0.3xQ2 2025: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.8xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.5xQ2 2026: 0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20260.5xVery low
Q1 20260.5xVery low
Q4 20250.6xVery low
Q3 20250.8xVery low
Q2 20250.2xVery low
Q1 20250.3xVery low
Q4 20240.1xVery low
Q3 2024-0.2xNet Cash

BABA's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

OKLO Net Leverage

OKLO's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

BABA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI38.0Neutral
Stochastic12.7Oversold

BABA's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 13 (oversold).

OKLO Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI30.2Neutral
Stochastic13.1Oversold

OKLO's weekly RSI is 30 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 13 (oversold).

BABA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricBABASector medianRelative
PE21x18x19% above
PE %604713 pts above

BABA is trading at 21x earnings, a 19% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x, though its earnings don't support one.

OKLO PE vs Utilities Sector

OKLO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

BABA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$104.79.9% below
20 week MA$111.115% below
50 week MA$128.026% below
100 week MA$127.726% below
200 week MA$106.411% below

BABA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 11% below its 200-week average.

OKLO Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$29.517% below
20 week MA$37.435% below
50 week MA$56.657% below
100 week MA$59.459% below
200 week MA$35.231% below

OKLO is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 31% below its 200-week average.

BABA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$215.5$222.0+3%
2021$222.0$118.7-47%
2022$118.7$85.7-28%
2023$85.7$77.5-9.5%
2024$77.5$85.1+9.7%
2025$85.1$152.2+79%
2026 YTD$152.2$94.4-38%

BABA has the edge over OKLO on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

OKLO Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$10.1$9.79-2.6%
2022$9.79$9.88+0.9%
2023$9.88$10.6+6.9%
2024$10.6$22.8+116%
2025$22.8$76.9+238%
2026 YTD$76.9$24.5-68%

OKLO is down 68% so far in 2026, after finishing higher in four of the previous five years.

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