BABA
Alibaba Group Holding Limited
BABA has the edge over OI overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger fundamentals.
OI
O-I Glass, Inc.
OI offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
BABA Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Weak | |
| Healthy |
BABA's balance sheet is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.
OI Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Weak | |
| Under pressure | |
| Weak |
OI's revenue is currently stable, but its profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are under pressure.
BABA PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 16x | $69.66 | -26% |
| Fair | 20x | $86.59 | -8.2% |
| Current | 21x | $94.36 | — |
| Expensive | 26x | $115 | +22% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
BABA's PE is 21x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.
OI PE Valuation
OI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
BABA Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
BABA has the edge over OI on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.
OI Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong decline | |
| Stable | |
| Weakening | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect OI's earnings and profitability to decline, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
BABA Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $4.42 | -52% |
| Q1 2026 | $6.57 | -18% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.79 | -22% |
| Q3 2025 | $7.85 | +49% |
| Q2 2025 | $9.27 | +116% |
| Q1 2025 | $8.06 | +71% |
| Q4 2024 | $7.47 | +24% |
| Q3 2024 | $5.26 | -35% |
BABA has the edge over OI on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
OI Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $0.51 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$7.79 | -$6.87 |
| Q2 2026 | -$7.52 | -$5.89 |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.22 | +$0.02 |
| Q4 2025 | -$0.84 | -$0.15 |
| Q3 2025 | -$0.92 | +$1.76 |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.63 | +$0.21 |
| Q1 2025 | -$1.24 | +$0.27 |
| Q4 2024 | -$0.69 | -$0.02 |
OI lost $7.79 per share over the past year, and its loss has widened in each of the last three quarters.
BABA Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $40.2B | +8.3% |
| Q1 2026 | $36.5B | +2.9% |
| Q4 2025 | $42.7B | +1.7% |
| Q3 2025 | $37.2B | +4.8% |
| Q2 2025 | $37.2B | +1.8% |
| Q1 2025 | $35.5B | +6.6% |
| Q4 2024 | $42B | +7.6% |
| Q3 2024 | $35.5B | +5.2% |
BABA has the edge over OI on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 7.2% | -6.9 points |
| Q1 2026 | -0.3% | -12 points |
| Q4 2025 | 7.1% | -7.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 2.2% | -13 points |
| Q2 2025 | 14% | -0.7 points |
| Q1 2025 | 12% | +5.4 points |
| Q4 2024 | 15% | +6.1 points |
| Q3 2024 | 15% | 0 points |
BABA has the edge over OI on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
OI Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.6B | -1.8% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.7B | -2.2% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.5B | -1.7% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.5B | -1.9% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.7B | -1.5% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.7B | -1.3% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.6B | -1.6% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.5B | -6.8% |
OI's revenue has held roughly level: $1.6B last quarter, down 1.8% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 2.1% | -1.4 points |
| Q2 2026 | -50% | -50 points |
| Q1 2026 | -3.4% | -4.6 points |
| Q4 2025 | -48% | -40 points |
| Q3 2025 | 3.5% | +6.9 points |
| Q2 2025 | 0.4% | -5.6 points |
| Q1 2025 | 1.1% | -6.2 points |
| Q4 2024 | -8.2% | +19 points |
OI's operating margin was 2.1% last quarter, down 1.4 points from the same quarter a year ago.
BABA Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$6.7B | -$4.1B |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.7B | +$1.5B |
| Q4 2025 | $1B | -90% |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.2B | -254% |
| Q2 2025 | -$2.7B | -182% |
| Q1 2025 | -$4.2B | -12231% |
| Q4 2024 | $10.4B | -4.8% |
| Q3 2024 | $2.1B | -62% |
BABA's free cash flow has turned negative after years in the green: −$11.6B over the past year.
OI Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $84M | -26% |
| Q2 2026 | -$1M | -102% |
| Q1 2026 | -$436M | -$130M |
| Q4 2025 | $309M | +47% |
| Q3 2025 | $114M | +107% |
| Q2 2025 | $51M | -43% |
| Q1 2025 | -$306M | +$177M |
| Q4 2024 | $210M | +33% |
OI has the edge over BABA on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
BABA Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.5% | +11.1M shares |
| 1 year | +0.9% | +21.4M shares |
| 3 years | -6.2% | -161M shares |
| 5 years | -12% | -339M shares |
| Available history | -8.4% | -221M shares |
BABA has 2.4B diluted shares, up 0.9% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | $269.8M |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
BABA spent $270M buying back its own shares over the past year, after none the year before.
OI Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.2% | +314K shares |
| 1 year | -0.9% | -1.4M shares |
| 3 years | -3.4% | -5.5M shares |
| 5 years | -4.2% | -6.7M shares |
| Available history | -0.9% | -1.4M shares |
OI has the edge over BABA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | $10M |
| Q4 2025 | $10M |
| Q3 2025 | $10M |
| Q2 2025 | $10M |
| Q1 2025 | $10M |
| Q4 2024 | $10M |
OI spent $20M buying back its own shares over the past year, down 50% from the year before.
BABA Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.8x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q3 2024 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
BABA's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).
OI Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2025 | 10.9x | High |
| Q2 2025 | 14.9x | High |
| Q1 2025 | 11.0x | High |
| Q4 2024 | 8.1x | High |
| Q3 2024 | 20.8x | High |
| Q2 2024 | 12.6x | High |
| Q1 2024 | 11.2x | High |
| Q4 2023 | 7.3x | High |
OI's net debt is about 11 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from more than 20 years a year ago.
BABA Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 38.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 12.7 | Oversold |
BABA's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 13 (oversold).
OI Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 29.8 | Oversold |
| Stochastic | 5.3 | Oversold |
OI's weekly RSI is 30 (oversold) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).
BABA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | BABA | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 21x | 18x | 19% above |
| PE % | 60 | 47 | 13 pts above |
BABA is trading at 21x earnings, a 19% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x, though its earnings don't support one.
OI PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | OI | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | 18x | — |
OI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
BABA Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $104.7 | 9.9% below |
| 20 week MA | $111.1 | 15% below |
| 50 week MA | $128.0 | 26% below |
| 100 week MA | $127.7 | 26% below |
| 200 week MA | $106.4 | 11% below |
BABA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 11% below its 200-week average.
OI Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $5.63 | 13% below |
| 20 week MA | $6.90 | 29% below |
| 50 week MA | $10.0 | 51% below |
| 100 week MA | $11.3 | 57% below |
| 200 week MA | $13.9 | 65% below |
OI is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 65% below its 200-week average.
BABA Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $215.5 | $222.0 | +3% |
| 2021 | $222.0 | $118.7 | -47% |
| 2022 | $118.7 | $85.7 | -28% |
| 2023 | $85.7 | $77.5 | -9.5% |
| 2024 | $77.5 | $85.1 | +9.7% |
| 2025 | $85.1 | $152.2 | +79% |
| 2026 YTD | $152.2 | $94.4 | -38% |
BABA has the edge over OI on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
OI Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $11.9 | $11.5 | -3.3% |
| 2021 | $11.5 | $11.5 | +0.3% |
| 2022 | $11.5 | $16.9 | +46% |
| 2023 | $16.9 | $16.4 | -2.9% |
| 2024 | $16.4 | $10.3 | -37% |
| 2025 | $10.3 | $14.9 | +45% |
| 2026 YTD | $14.9 | $4.88 | -67% |
OI has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 67% so far in 2026.