BABA

Alibaba Group Holding Limited

53
Fundamentals36/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential23/ 100

BABA has the edge over NWTG overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger fundamentals.

NWTG

Newton Golf Company

43
Fundamentals17/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential45/ 100

NWTG offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

BABA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Weak
Healthy

BABA's balance sheet is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.

NWTG Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Weak
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

NWTG's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

BABA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.3x19x28x37x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.3x19x28x37x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap16x$69.66-26%
Fair20x$86.59-8.2%
Current21x$94.36—
Expensive26x$115+22%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BABA's PE is 21x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

NWTG PE Valuation

NWTG has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

BABA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for BABA, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

NWTG Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect NWTG's losses to shrink, with revenue growing.

BABA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+33%$125.09
Downside-23%$72.35

Calculated from the latest close: $94.36 on Nov 12.

BABA trails NWTG on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

NWTG Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+82%$1.77
Downside-45%$0.53

Calculated from the latest close: $0.97 on Nov 12.

NWTG has a better modeled risk to reward balance than BABA, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

BABA Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $8.12Q4 2023: $6.04Q1 2024: $4.71Q2 2024: $4.29Q3 2024: $5.26Q4 2024: $7.47Q1 2025: $8.06Q2 2025: $9.27Q3 2025: $7.85Q4 2025: $5.79Q1 2026: $6.57Q2 2026: $4.42
Q3 2023: $8.12Q4 2023: $6.04Q1 2024: $4.71Q2 2024: $4.29Q3 2024: $5.26Q4 2024: $7.47Q1 2025: $8.06Q2 2025: $9.27Q3 2025: $7.85Q4 2025: $5.79Q1 2026: $6.57Q2 2026: $4.42
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$4.42-52%
Q1 2026$6.57-18%
Q4 2025$5.79-22%
Q3 2025$7.85+49%
Q2 2025$9.27+116%
Q1 2025$8.06+71%
Q4 2024$7.47+24%
Q3 2024$5.26-35%

BABA has the edge over NWTG on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

NWTG Earnings Per Share

Q1 2024: $-112.53Q2 2024: $-118.23Q3 2024: $-113.13Q4 2024: $-246.33Q1 2025: $-222.88Q2 2025: $-199.52Q3 2025: $-177.96Q4 2025: $-1.63Q1 2026: $-1.66Q2 2026: $-1.81Q3 2026: $-1.70
Q1 2024: $-112.53Q2 2024: $-118.23Q3 2024: $-113.13Q4 2024: $-246.33Q1 2025: $-222.88Q2 2025: $-199.52Q3 2025: $-177.96Q4 2025: $-1.63Q1 2026: $-1.66Q2 2026: $-1.81Q3 2026: $-1.70
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$1.70+$176.26
Q2 2026-$1.81+$197.71
Q1 2026-$1.66+$221.22
Q4 2025-$1.63+$244.70
Q3 2025-$177.96-$64.83
Q2 2025-$199.52-$81.29
Q1 2025-$222.88-$110.35

NWTG is still losing money, but far less than before: $1.70 per share over the past year, against $246.33 at its worst in late 2024.

BABA Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $33.7BQ4 2023: $39.1BQ1 2024: $33.3BQ2 2024: $36.5BQ3 2024: $35.5BQ4 2024: $42BQ1 2025: $35.5BQ2 2025: $37.2BQ3 2025: $37.2BQ4 2025: $42.7BQ1 2026: $36.5BQ2 2026: $40.2B
Q3 2023: $33.7BQ4 2023: $39.1BQ1 2024: $33.3BQ2 2024: $36.5BQ3 2024: $35.5BQ4 2024: $42BQ1 2025: $35.5BQ2 2025: $37.2BQ3 2025: $37.2BQ4 2025: $42.7BQ1 2026: $36.5BQ2 2026: $40.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$40.2B+8.3%
Q1 2026$36.5B+2.9%
Q4 2025$42.7B+1.7%
Q3 2025$37.2B+4.8%
Q2 2025$37.2B+1.8%
Q1 2025$35.5B+6.6%
Q4 2024$42B+7.6%
Q3 2024$35.5B+5.2%

BABA's revenue has grown year over year for 16 quarters in a row: $40.2B last quarter, up 8.3% from the same quarter a year ago.

NWTG Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $117,000Q1 2024: $350,000Q2 2024: $813,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $1MQ1 2025: $1MQ2 2025: $2MQ3 2025: $3MQ4 2025: $2MQ1 2026: $991,000Q2 2026: $1MQ3 2026: $1M
Q4 2023: $117,000Q1 2024: $350,000Q2 2024: $813,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $1MQ1 2025: $1MQ2 2025: $2MQ3 2025: $3MQ4 2025: $2MQ1 2026: $991,000Q2 2026: $1MQ3 2026: $1M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.4M-47%
Q2 2026$1.3M-36%
Q1 2026$991K-18%
Q4 2025$2.3M+112%
Q3 2025$2.6M+113%
Q2 2025$2.1M+154%
Q1 2025$1.2M+246%
Q4 2024$1.1M+815%

NWTG's revenue has slid since its 2025 peak: $1M last quarter, down 47% from the same quarter a year ago.

BABA Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $5.4BQ4 2023: $11BQ1 2024: $34MQ2 2024: $3.2BQ3 2024: $2.1BQ4 2024: $10.4BQ1 2025: −$4.2BQ2 2025: −$2.7BQ3 2025: −$3.2BQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: −$2.7BQ2 2026: −$6.7B
Q3 2023: $5.4BQ4 2023: $11BQ1 2024: $34MQ2 2024: $3.2BQ3 2024: $2.1BQ4 2024: $10.4BQ1 2025: −$4.2BQ2 2025: −$2.7BQ3 2025: −$3.2BQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: −$2.7BQ2 2026: −$6.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026-$6.7B-$4.1B
Q1 2026-$2.7B+$1.5B
Q4 2025$1B-90%
Q3 2025-$3.2B-254%
Q2 2025-$2.7B-182%
Q1 2025-$4.2B-12231%
Q4 2024$10.4B-4.8%
Q3 2024$2.1B-62%

BABA's free cash flow has turned negative after years in the green: −$11.6B over the past year.

NWTG Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$1MQ1 2024: −$1MQ2 2024: −$1MQ3 2024: −$1MQ4 2024: −$2MQ1 2025: −$2MQ2 2025: −$1MQ3 2025: −$1MQ4 2025: −$1MQ1 2026: −$1MQ2 2026: −$2MQ3 2026: −$2M
Q4 2023: −$1MQ1 2024: −$1MQ2 2024: −$1MQ3 2024: −$1MQ4 2024: −$2MQ1 2025: −$2MQ2 2025: −$1MQ3 2025: −$1MQ4 2025: −$1MQ1 2026: −$1MQ2 2026: −$2MQ3 2026: −$2M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1.9M-$501K
Q2 2026-$1.8M-$429K
Q1 2026-$1.2M+$513K
Q4 2025-$1.2M+$387K
Q3 2025-$1.4M-$52K
Q2 2025-$1.4M-$78K
Q1 2025-$1.7M-$461K
Q4 2024-$1.5M-$107K

NWTG has the edge over BABA on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

BABA Total Shares

Q3 2023: 2.6BQ4 2023: 2.5BQ1 2024: 2.5BQ2 2024: 2.4BQ3 2024: 2.4BQ4 2024: 2.4BQ1 2025: 2.4BQ2 2025: 2.4BQ3 2025: 2.4BQ4 2025: 2.4BQ1 2026: 2.4BQ2 2026: 2.4B
Q3 2023: 2.6BQ4 2023: 2.5BQ1 2024: 2.5BQ2 2024: 2.4BQ3 2024: 2.4BQ4 2024: 2.4BQ1 2025: 2.4BQ2 2025: 2.4BQ3 2025: 2.4BQ4 2025: 2.4BQ1 2026: 2.4BQ2 2026: 2.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.5%+11.1M shares
1 year+0.9%+21.4M shares
3 years-6.2%-161M shares
5 years-12%-339M shares
Available history-8.4%-221M shares

BABA has the edge over NWTG on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

NWTG Total Shares

Q4 2023: 40,791Q1 2024: 48,653Q2 2024: 48,653Q3 2024: 48,653Q1 2025: 953,959Q2 2025: 5MQ3 2025: 5MQ4 2025: 4MQ1 2026: 5MQ2 2026: 5MQ3 2026: 5M
Q4 2023: 40,791Q1 2024: 48,653Q2 2024: 48,653Q3 2024: 48,653Q1 2025: 953,959Q2 2025: 5MQ3 2025: 5MQ4 2025: 4MQ1 2026: 5MQ2 2026: 5MQ3 2026: 5M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+17%+772K shares
1 year+17%+776K shares
3 years+14792%+5.3M shares

NWTG has 5M diluted shares, up 17% from a year ago.

BABA Net Leverage

Q3 2023: -0.6xQ4 2023: -0.8xQ1 2024: -0.4xQ2 2024: -0.4xQ3 2024: -0.2xQ4 2024: 0.1xQ1 2025: 0.3xQ2 2025: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.8xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.5xQ2 2026: 0.5x
Q3 2023: -0.6xQ4 2023: -0.8xQ1 2024: -0.4xQ2 2024: -0.4xQ3 2024: -0.2xQ4 2024: 0.1xQ1 2025: 0.3xQ2 2025: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.8xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.5xQ2 2026: 0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20260.5xVery low
Q1 20260.5xVery low
Q4 20250.6xVery low
Q3 20250.8xVery low
Q2 20250.2xVery low
Q1 20250.3xVery low
Q4 20240.1xVery low
Q3 2024-0.2xNet Cash

BABA's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

NWTG Net Leverage

NWTG's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

BABA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI38.0Neutral
Stochastic12.7Oversold

BABA's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 13 (oversold).

NWTG Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI44.3Neutral
Stochastic25.5Neutral

NWTG's weekly RSI is 44 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 25 (neutral).

BABA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricBABASector medianRelative
PE21x18x19% above
PE %604713 pts above

BABA is trading at 21x earnings, a 19% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x, though its earnings don't support one.

NWTG PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

NWTG has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

BABA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$104.79.9% below
20 week MA$111.115% below
50 week MA$128.026% below
100 week MA$127.726% below
200 week MA$106.411% below

NWTG has stronger trend alignment. BABA is above 0 of 5 weekly averages versus NWTG above 0 of 4.

NWTG Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$0.992% below
20 week MA$1.0911% below
50 week MA$1.2824% below
100 week MA$2.8366% below

NWTG is in a downtrend: it's below all four of its weekly moving averages, and 66% below its 100-week average.

BABA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$215.5$222.0+3%
2021$222.0$118.7-47%
2022$118.7$85.7-28%
2023$85.7$77.5-9.5%
2024$77.5$85.1+9.7%
2025$85.1$152.2+79%
2026 YTD$152.2$94.4-38%

BABA has the edge over NWTG on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

NWTG Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2023$753.0$206.1-73%
2024$206.1$10.9-95%
2025$10.9$1.58-85%
2026 YTD$1.58$0.97-39%

NWTG has finished every year since 2023 lower, and it's down 39% so far in 2026.

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