BABA

Alibaba Group Holding Limited

53
Fundamentals36/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential23/ 100

BABA's fundamentals are weak: its operating margin fell 10 points to 4.2% and free cash flow turned negative, though revenue grew 4.3%. Its PE isn't a useful guide right now because of how its recent earnings were reported.

NIU

Niu Technologies

There isn't enough reported data to score NIU yet.

BABA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Weak
Healthy

BABA's balance sheet is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.

NIU Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Under pressure
Stable
Strong

NIU's revenue and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its cash flow is stable, but its profitability is under pressure.

BABA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.3x19x28x37x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.3x19x28x37x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap16x$69.66-26%
Fair20x$86.59-8.2%
Current21x$94.36โ€”
Expensive26x$115+22%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BABA's PE is 21x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

NIU PE Valuation

NIU has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

BABA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for BABA, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

NIU Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for NIU to show an outlook.

BABA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+33%$125.09
Downside-23%$72.35

Calculated from the latest close: $94.36 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare BABA and NIU's risk to reward.

NIU Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknownโ€”
DownsideUnknownโ€”

Calculated from the latest close: $1.77 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare BABA and NIU's risk to reward.

BABA Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $8.12Q4 2023: $6.04Q1 2024: $4.71Q2 2024: $4.29Q3 2024: $5.26Q4 2024: $7.47Q1 2025: $8.06Q2 2025: $9.27Q3 2025: $7.85Q4 2025: $5.79Q1 2026: $6.57Q2 2026: $4.42
Q3 2023: $8.12Q4 2023: $6.04Q1 2024: $4.71Q2 2024: $4.29Q3 2024: $5.26Q4 2024: $7.47Q1 2025: $8.06Q2 2025: $9.27Q3 2025: $7.85Q4 2025: $5.79Q1 2026: $6.57Q2 2026: $4.42
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$4.42-52%
Q1 2026$6.57-18%
Q4 2025$5.79-22%
Q3 2025$7.85+49%
Q2 2025$9.27+116%
Q1 2025$8.06+71%
Q4 2024$7.47+24%
Q3 2024$5.26-35%

BABA has the edge over NIU on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

NIU Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $-0.34Q4 2023: $-0.52Q1 2024: $-0.50Q2 2024: $-0.54Q3 2024: $-0.47Q4 2024: $-0.36Q1 2025: $-0.33Q2 2025: $-0.28Q3 2025: $-0.05Q4 2025: $-0.08Q1 2026: $-0.18Q2 2026: $-0.38
Q3 2023: $-0.34Q4 2023: $-0.52Q1 2024: $-0.50Q2 2024: $-0.54Q3 2024: $-0.47Q4 2024: $-0.36Q1 2025: $-0.33Q2 2025: $-0.28Q3 2025: $-0.05Q4 2025: $-0.08Q1 2026: $-0.18Q2 2026: $-0.38
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026-$0.38-$0.10
Q1 2026-$0.18+$0.15
Q4 2025-$0.08+$0.28
Q3 2025-$0.05+$0.42
Q2 2025-$0.28+$0.26
Q1 2025-$0.33+$0.17
Q4 2024-$0.36+$0.16
Q3 2024-$0.47-$0.13

NIU lost $0.38 per share over the past year, and its loss has widened in each of the last three quarters.

BABA Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $33.7BQ4 2023: $39.1BQ1 2024: $33.3BQ2 2024: $36.5BQ3 2024: $35.5BQ4 2024: $42BQ1 2025: $35.5BQ2 2025: $37.2BQ3 2025: $37.2BQ4 2025: $42.7BQ1 2026: $36.5BQ2 2026: $40.2B
Q3 2023: $33.7BQ4 2023: $39.1BQ1 2024: $33.3BQ2 2024: $36.5BQ3 2024: $35.5BQ4 2024: $42BQ1 2025: $35.5BQ2 2025: $37.2BQ3 2025: $37.2BQ4 2025: $42.7BQ1 2026: $36.5BQ2 2026: $40.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$40.2B+8.3%
Q1 2026$36.5B+2.9%
Q4 2025$42.7B+1.7%
Q3 2025$37.2B+4.8%
Q2 2025$37.2B+1.8%
Q1 2025$35.5B+6.6%
Q4 2024$42B+7.6%
Q3 2024$35.5B+5.2%

BABA's revenue has grown year over year for 16 quarters in a row: $40.2B last quarter, up 8.3% from the same quarter a year ago.

NIU Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $139MQ4 2023: $72MQ1 2024: $76MQ2 2024: $141MQ3 2024: $154MQ4 2024: $123MQ1 2025: $102MQ2 2025: $188MQ3 2025: $254MQ4 2025: $100MQ1 2026: $136MQ2 2026: $216M
Q3 2023: $139MQ4 2023: $72MQ1 2024: $76MQ2 2024: $141MQ3 2024: $154MQ4 2024: $123MQ1 2025: $102MQ2 2025: $188MQ3 2025: $254MQ4 2025: $100MQ1 2026: $136MQ2 2026: $216M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$216.2M+15%
Q1 2026$135.7M+33%
Q4 2025$100.1M-19%
Q3 2025$254.2M+65%
Q2 2025$188.4M+34%
Q1 2025$102.3M+35%
Q4 2024$122.9M+71%
Q3 2024$153.7M+10%

NIU's revenue is growing: $216M last quarter, up 15% from the same quarter a year ago.

BABA Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $5.4BQ4 2023: $11BQ1 2024: $34MQ2 2024: $3.2BQ3 2024: $2.1BQ4 2024: $10.4BQ1 2025: โˆ’$4.2BQ2 2025: โˆ’$2.7BQ3 2025: โˆ’$3.2BQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: โˆ’$2.7BQ2 2026: โˆ’$6.7B
Q3 2023: $5.4BQ4 2023: $11BQ1 2024: $34MQ2 2024: $3.2BQ3 2024: $2.1BQ4 2024: $10.4BQ1 2025: โˆ’$4.2BQ2 2025: โˆ’$2.7BQ3 2025: โˆ’$3.2BQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: โˆ’$2.7BQ2 2026: โˆ’$6.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026-$6.7B-$4.1B
Q1 2026-$2.7B+$1.5B
Q4 2025$1B-90%
Q3 2025-$3.2B-254%
Q2 2025-$2.7B-182%
Q1 2025-$4.2B-12231%
Q4 2024$10.4B-4.8%
Q3 2024$2.1B-62%

BABA has the edge over NIU on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NIU Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $0Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $0Q2 2024: $0Q3 2024: $0Q4 2024: $0Q1 2025: $0Q2 2025: $0Q3 2025: $0Q4 2025: $0Q1 2026: $0Q2 2026: $0
Q3 2023: $0Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $0Q2 2024: $0Q3 2024: $0Q4 2024: $0Q1 2025: $0Q2 2025: $0Q3 2025: $0Q4 2025: $0Q1 2026: $0Q2 2026: $0
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$0$0
Q1 2026$0$0
Q4 2025$0$0
Q3 2025$0$0
Q2 2025$0$0
Q1 2025$0$0
Q4 2024$0$0
Q3 2024$0$0

NIU's free cash flow has been positive every quarter since mid-2020: $0 over the past year, against $0 the year before.

BABA Total Shares

Q3 2023: 2.6BQ4 2023: 2.5BQ1 2024: 2.5BQ2 2024: 2.4BQ3 2024: 2.4BQ4 2024: 2.4BQ1 2025: 2.4BQ2 2025: 2.4BQ3 2025: 2.4BQ4 2025: 2.4BQ1 2026: 2.4BQ2 2026: 2.4B
Q3 2023: 2.6BQ4 2023: 2.5BQ1 2024: 2.5BQ2 2024: 2.4BQ3 2024: 2.4BQ4 2024: 2.4BQ1 2025: 2.4BQ2 2025: 2.4BQ3 2025: 2.4BQ4 2025: 2.4BQ1 2026: 2.4BQ2 2026: 2.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.5%+11.1M shares
1 year+0.9%+21.4M shares
3 years-6.2%-161M shares
5 years-12%-339M shares
Available history-8.4%-221M shares

BABA has 2.4B diluted shares, up 0.9% from a year ago.

NIU Total Shares

Q3 2023: 79MQ4 2023: 79MQ1 2024: 79MQ2 2024: 79MQ3 2024: 79MQ4 2024: 79MQ1 2025: 80MQ2 2025: 82MQ3 2025: 83MQ4 2025: 80MQ1 2026: 81MQ2 2026: 81M
Q3 2023: 79MQ4 2023: 79MQ1 2024: 79MQ2 2024: 79MQ3 2024: 79MQ4 2024: 79MQ1 2025: 80MQ2 2025: 82MQ3 2025: 83MQ4 2025: 80MQ1 2026: 81MQ2 2026: 81M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.3%+248K shares
1 year-1.6%-1.3M shares
3 years+3.4%+2.7M shares
5 years+0.8%+667K shares
Available history+5.9%+4.5M shares

NIU has the edge over BABA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

BABA Net Leverage

Q3 2023: -0.6xQ4 2023: -0.8xQ1 2024: -0.4xQ2 2024: -0.4xQ3 2024: -0.2xQ4 2024: 0.1xQ1 2025: 0.3xQ2 2025: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.8xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.5xQ2 2026: 0.5x
Q3 2023: -0.6xQ4 2023: -0.8xQ1 2024: -0.4xQ2 2024: -0.4xQ3 2024: -0.2xQ4 2024: 0.1xQ1 2025: 0.3xQ2 2025: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.8xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.5xQ2 2026: 0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20260.5xVery low
Q1 20260.5xVery low
Q4 20250.6xVery low
Q3 20250.8xVery low
Q2 20250.2xVery low
Q1 20250.3xVery low
Q4 20240.1xVery low
Q3 2024-0.2xNet Cash

BABA's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

NIU Net Leverage

QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2022-11.3xNet Cash
Q2 2022-0.0xNet Cash
Q1 20221.0xVery low
Q4 20210.5xVery low
Q3 2021-0.1xNet Cash
Q2 2021-0.3xNet Cash
Q1 20210.1xVery low
Q4 2020-0.2xNet Cash

NIU has more cash than debt.

BABA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI38.0Neutral
Stochastic12.7Oversold

BABA's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 13 (oversold).

NIU Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI34.4Neutral
Stochastic9.1Oversold

NIU's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 9 (oversold).

BABA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricBABASector medianRelative
PE21x18x19% above
PE %604713 pts above

BABA is trading at 21x earnings, a 19% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x, though its earnings don't support one.

NIU PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricNIUSector medianRelative
PEN/A18xโ€”

NIU has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

BABA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$104.79.9% below
20 week MA$111.115% below
50 week MA$128.026% below
100 week MA$127.726% below
200 week MA$106.411% below

BABA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 11% below its 200-week average.

NIU Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1.885.9% below
20 week MA$2.0815% below
50 week MA$2.6433% below
100 week MA$3.0141% below
200 week MA$2.8738% below

NIU is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 38% below its 200-week average.

BABA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$215.5$222.0+3%
2021$222.0$118.7-47%
2022$118.7$85.7-28%
2023$85.7$77.5-9.5%
2024$77.5$85.1+9.7%
2025$85.1$152.2+79%
2026 YTD$152.2$94.4-38%

BABA has the edge over NIU on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

NIU Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$8.46$28.3+235%
2021$28.3$16.0-44%
2022$16.0$5.00-69%
2023$5.00$2.19-56%
2024$2.19$1.89-14%
2025$1.89$3.39+79%
2026 YTD$3.39$1.77-48%

NIU's yearly returns have swung widely, from +235% in 2020 to โˆ’69% in 2022. It's down 48% so far in 2026.

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