BABA
Alibaba Group Holding Limited
BABA has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
NET
Cloudflare, Inc.
NET has the edge over BABA overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.
BABA Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Weak | |
| Healthy |
BABA's balance sheet is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.
NET Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Weak | |
| Strong | |
| Unavailable |
NET's revenue and cash flow are currently strong, but its profitability is weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
BABA PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 16x | $69.66 | -26% |
| Fair | 20x | $86.59 | -8.2% |
| Current | 21x | $94.36 | — |
| Expensive | 26x | $115 | +22% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
BABA's PE is 21x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.
NET PE Valuation
NET has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
BABA Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for BABA, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
NET Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Low |
Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for NET, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
BABA Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $4.42 | -52% |
| Q1 2026 | $6.57 | -18% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.79 | -22% |
| Q3 2025 | $7.85 | +49% |
| Q2 2025 | $9.27 | +116% |
| Q1 2025 | $8.06 | +71% |
| Q4 2024 | $7.47 | +24% |
| Q3 2024 | $5.26 | -35% |
BABA has the edge over NET on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
NET Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $1.75 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$0.68 | -$0.37 |
| Q2 2026 | -$0.58 | -$0.23 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.25 | -$0.01 |
| Q4 2025 | -$0.29 | -$0.06 |
| Q3 2025 | -$0.31 | -$0.05 |
| Q2 2025 | -$0.35 | -$0.06 |
| Q1 2025 | -$0.24 | +$0.29 |
| Q4 2024 | -$0.23 | +$0.32 |
NET is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $0.68 per share over the past year, against $0.91 at its worst in mid-2022.
BABA Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $40.2B | +8.3% |
| Q1 2026 | $36.5B | +2.9% |
| Q4 2025 | $42.7B | +1.7% |
| Q3 2025 | $37.2B | +4.8% |
| Q2 2025 | $37.2B | +1.8% |
| Q1 2025 | $35.5B | +6.6% |
| Q4 2024 | $42B | +7.6% |
| Q3 2024 | $35.5B | +5.2% |
BABA's revenue has grown year over year for 16 quarters in a row: $40.2B last quarter, up 8.3% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 7.2% | -6.9 points |
| Q1 2026 | -0.3% | -12 points |
| Q4 2025 | 7.1% | -7.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 2.2% | -13 points |
| Q2 2025 | 14% | -0.7 points |
| Q1 2025 | 12% | +5.4 points |
| Q4 2024 | 15% | +6.1 points |
| Q3 2024 | 15% | 0 points |
BABA has the edge over NET on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
NET Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $782.5M | +39% |
| Q2 2026 | $696.1M | +36% |
| Q1 2026 | $639.8M | +34% |
| Q4 2025 | $614.5M | +34% |
| Q3 2025 | $562M | +31% |
| Q2 2025 | $512.3M | +28% |
| Q1 2025 | $479.1M | +27% |
| Q4 2024 | $459.9M | +27% |
NET has the edge over BABA on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -8.7% | -2 points |
| Q2 2026 | -30% | -16 points |
| Q1 2026 | -9.7% | +1.4 points |
| Q4 2025 | -8% | -0.5 points |
| Q3 2025 | -6.7% | +0.5 points |
| Q2 2025 | -13% | -4.5 points |
| Q1 2025 | -11% | +3.3 points |
| Q4 2024 | -7.5% | +4.3 points |
NET's operating margin was −8.7% last quarter, down 2 points from the same quarter a year ago.
BABA Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$6.7B | -$4.1B |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.7B | +$1.5B |
| Q4 2025 | $1B | -90% |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.2B | -254% |
| Q2 2025 | -$2.7B | -182% |
| Q1 2025 | -$4.2B | -12231% |
| Q4 2024 | $10.4B | -4.8% |
| Q3 2024 | $2.1B | -62% |
BABA's free cash flow has turned negative after years in the green: −$11.6B over the past year.
NET Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $93.6M | +13% |
| Q2 2026 | $67.6M | +69% |
| Q1 2026 | $93.1M | +55% |
| Q4 2025 | $105.2M | +94% |
| Q3 2025 | $82.5M | +51% |
| Q2 2025 | $39.9M | -12% |
| Q1 2025 | $59.9M | +44% |
| Q4 2024 | $54.2M | -0.9% |
NET has the edge over BABA on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
BABA Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.5% | +11.1M shares |
| 1 year | +0.9% | +21.4M shares |
| 3 years | -6.2% | -161M shares |
| 5 years | -12% | -339M shares |
| Available history | -8.4% | -221M shares |
BABA has the edge over NET on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | $269.8M |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
BABA spent $270M buying back its own shares over the past year, after none the year before.
NET Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.8% | +2.8M shares |
| 1 year | +2.2% | +7.8M shares |
| 3 years | +6.7% | +22.5M shares |
| 5 years | +14% | +42.6M shares |
| Available history | +144% | +211M shares |
NET has 357M diluted shares, up 2.2% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
| Q4 2023 | — |
| Q3 2023 | — |
| Q2 2023 | $34,000 |
| Q1 2023 | — |
| Q4 2022 | — |
| Q3 2022 | — |
BABA Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.8x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q3 2024 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
BABA's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).
NET Net Leverage
NET's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
BABA Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 38.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 12.7 | Oversold |
BABA's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 13 (oversold).
NET Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 55.9 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 37.6 | Neutral |
NET's weekly RSI is 56 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 38 (neutral).
BABA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | BABA | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 21x | 18x | 19% above |
| PE % | 60 | 47 | 13 pts above |
BABA is trading at 21x earnings, a 19% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x, though its earnings don't support one.
NET PE vs Technology Sector
NET has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
BABA Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $104.7 | 9.9% below |
| 20 week MA | $111.1 | 15% below |
| 50 week MA | $128.0 | 26% below |
| 100 week MA | $127.7 | 26% below |
| 200 week MA | $106.4 | 11% below |
BABA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 11% below its 200-week average.
NET Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $318.6 | 0% below |
| 20 week MA | $299.8 | 6.2% above |
| 50 week MA | $241.0 | 32% above |
| 100 week MA | $204.9 | 55% above |
| 200 week MA | $139.8 | 128% above |
NET has the edge over BABA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
BABA Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $215.5 | $222.0 | +3% |
| 2021 | $222.0 | $118.7 | -47% |
| 2022 | $118.7 | $85.7 | -28% |
| 2023 | $85.7 | $77.5 | -9.5% |
| 2024 | $77.5 | $85.1 | +9.7% |
| 2025 | $85.1 | $152.2 | +79% |
| 2026 YTD | $152.2 | $94.4 | -38% |
BABA has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 38% so far in 2026.
NET Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $16.7 | $85.0 | +409% |
| 2021 | $85.0 | $137.3 | +62% |
| 2022 | $137.3 | $43.8 | -68% |
| 2023 | $43.8 | $83.3 | +90% |
| 2024 | $83.3 | $110.6 | +33% |
| 2025 | $110.6 | $202.4 | +83% |
| 2026 YTD | $202.4 | $318.5 | +57% |
NET has the edge over BABA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.