BABA
Alibaba Group Holding Limited
BABA's fundamentals are weak: its operating margin fell 10 points to 4.2% and free cash flow turned negative, though revenue grew 4.3%. Its PE isn't a useful guide right now because of how its recent earnings were reported.
NCI
Neo-Concept International Group Holdings Limited
There isn't enough reported data to score NCI yet.
BABA Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Weak | |
| Healthy |
BABA's balance sheet is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.
NCI Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Unavailable | |
| Stable | |
| Unavailable | |
| Strong |
NCI's balance sheet is currently strong, and its profitability is stable. There isn't enough data to rate its revenue and cash flow.
BABA PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 16x | $69.66 | -26% |
| Fair | 20x | $86.59 | -8.2% |
| Current | 21x | $94.36 | — |
| Expensive | 26x | $115 | +22% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
BABA has the edge over NCI in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
NCI PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 6.5x | $4.21 | -18% |
| Current | 7.9x | $5.12 | — |
| Fair | 13x | $8.38 | +64% |
| Expensive | 107x | $69.87 | +1265% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
NCI's PE is 7.8x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.
BABA Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for BABA, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
NCI Forward outlook
There aren't enough analyst estimates for NCI to show an outlook.
BABA Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $4.42 | -52% |
| Q1 2026 | $6.57 | -18% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.79 | -22% |
| Q3 2025 | $7.85 | +49% |
| Q2 2025 | $9.27 | +116% |
| Q1 2025 | $8.06 | +71% |
| Q4 2024 | $7.47 | +24% |
| Q3 2024 | $5.26 | -35% |
BABA has the edge over NCI in the latest year-over-year earnings comparison.
NCI Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q4 2025 | $0.65 | -96% |
| Q4 2024 | $16.71 | +64% |
| Q4 2023 | $10.19 | -64% |
| Q4 2022 | $28.08 | +128% |
NCI's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.65 over the past year, against $35.52 in mid-2022.
BABA Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $40.2B | +8.3% |
| Q1 2026 | $36.5B | +2.9% |
| Q4 2025 | $42.7B | +1.7% |
| Q3 2025 | $37.2B | +4.8% |
| Q2 2025 | $37.2B | +1.8% |
| Q1 2025 | $35.5B | +6.6% |
| Q4 2024 | $42B | +7.6% |
| Q3 2024 | $35.5B | +5.2% |
NCI has the stronger quarterly revenue trend. Revenue is up 8.3% for BABA versus up 77% for NCI.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 7.2% | -6.9 points |
| Q1 2026 | -0.3% | -12 points |
| Q4 2025 | 7.1% | -7.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 2.2% | -13 points |
| Q2 2025 | 14% | -0.7 points |
| Q1 2025 | 12% | +5.4 points |
| Q4 2024 | 15% | +6.1 points |
| Q3 2024 | 15% | 0 points |
BABA's operating margin was 7.2% last quarter, down 6.9 points from the same quarter a year ago.
NCI Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q4 2025 | $17.5M | -42% |
| Q4 2024 | $30M | +35% |
| Q4 2023 | $22.2M | +125% |
| Q4 2022 | $9.9M | -7.4% |
| Q3 2022 | $9.9M | -7.4% |
| Q2 2022 | $12.2M | +164% |
| Q1 2022 | $12.2M | +164% |
NCI's revenue is growing: $17M last quarter, up 77% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q4 2025 | 1.3% | -1.6 points |
| Q4 2024 | 4.9% | -2.5 points |
| Q4 2023 | 5.2% | -2.3 points |
| Q4 2022 | 3% | -0.4 points |
| Q3 2022 | 3% | -0.4 points |
| Q2 2022 | 7.5% | +9 points |
| Q1 2022 | 7.5% | +9 points |
| Q4 2021 | 3.3% | N/A |
NCI's operating margin was 1.3% last quarter, down 1.6 points from the same quarter a year ago.
BABA Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$6.7B | -$4.1B |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.7B | +$1.5B |
| Q4 2025 | $1B | -90% |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.2B | -254% |
| Q2 2025 | -$2.7B | -182% |
| Q1 2025 | -$4.2B | -12231% |
| Q4 2024 | $10.4B | -4.8% |
| Q3 2024 | $2.1B | -62% |
NCI has the stronger cash trend. Its trailing FCF is down 156% versus its history, compared with BABA at down 158%.
NCI Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q4 2025 | $2.2M | +$2.7M |
| Q4 2024 | -$473.3K | +$6M |
| Q4 2023 | -$6.4M | -$1.6M |
| Q4 2022 | -$4.8M | -883% |
| Q3 2022 | -$4.8M | -883% |
| Q2 2022 | $2.1M | +5597% |
| Q1 2022 | $2.1M | +5597% |
NCI's free cash flow was −$9M over the past year, against −$45,684 the year before.
BABA Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.5% | +11.1M shares |
| 1 year | +0.9% | +21.4M shares |
| 3 years | -6.2% | -161M shares |
| 5 years | -12% | -339M shares |
| Available history | -8.4% | -221M shares |
BABA has the edge over NCI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | $269.8M |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
BABA spent $270M buying back its own shares over the past year, after none the year before.
NCI Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +3.7% | +2.2K shares |
| 1 year | +13% | +7.3K shares |
NCI has 63,500 diluted shares, up 13% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2022 | — |
| Q3 2022 | — |
| Q2 2022 | — |
| Q1 2022 | — |
| Q4 2021 | — |
| Q3 2021 | — |
| Q2 2021 | — |
| Q1 2021 | — |
BABA Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.8x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q3 2024 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
BABA's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).
NCI Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q4 2025 | 0.4x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 1.3x | Healthy |
| Q4 2023 | 2.7x | Moderate |
| Q4 2022 | 4.0x | Elevated |
| Q2 2022 | 1.4x | Healthy |
| Q4 2021 | 5.8x | High |
NCI's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 1.4 years a year ago.
BABA Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 38.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 12.7 | Oversold |
BABA's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 13 (oversold).
NCI Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 33.9 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 1.9 | Oversold |
NCI's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 2 (oversold).
BABA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | BABA | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 21x | 18x | 19% above |
| PE % | 60 | 47 | 13 pts above |
BABA is trading at 21x earnings, a 19% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x, though its earnings don't support one.
NCI PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | NCI | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 7.9x | 18x | 56% below |
| PE % | 34 | 24 | 10 pts above |
NCI has the edge over BABA on valuation relative to its sector.
BABA Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $104.7 | 9.9% below |
| 20 week MA | $111.1 | 15% below |
| 50 week MA | $128.0 | 26% below |
| 100 week MA | $127.7 | 26% below |
| 200 week MA | $106.4 | 11% below |
NCI has stronger trend alignment. BABA is above 0 of 5 weekly averages versus NCI above 0 of 4.
NCI Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $19.7 | 74% below |
| 20 week MA | $67.8 | 92% below |
| 50 week MA | $117.5 | 96% below |
| 100 week MA | $125.3 | 96% below |
NCI is in a downtrend: it's below all four of its weekly moving averages, and 96% below its 100-week average.
BABA Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $215.5 | $222.0 | +3% |
| 2021 | $222.0 | $118.7 | -47% |
| 2022 | $118.7 | $85.7 | -28% |
| 2023 | $85.7 | $77.5 | -9.5% |
| 2024 | $77.5 | $85.1 | +9.7% |
| 2025 | $85.1 | $152.2 | +79% |
| 2026 YTD | $152.2 | $94.4 | -38% |
BABA has the edge over NCI on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
NCI Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | $601.6 | $167.0 | -72% |
| 2025 | $167.0 | $78.1 | -53% |
| 2026 YTD | $78.1 | $5.12 | -93% |
NCI has finished every year since 2024 lower, and it's down 93% so far in 2026.