BABA
Alibaba Group Holding Limited
BABA's fundamentals are weak: its operating margin fell 10 points to 4.2% and free cash flow turned negative, though revenue grew 4.3%. Its PE isn't a useful guide right now because of how its recent earnings were reported.
MSTR
Strategy Inc
There isn't enough reported data to score MSTR yet.
BABA Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Weak | |
| Healthy |
BABA's balance sheet is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.
MSTR Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Weak | |
| Under pressure | |
| Strong |
MSTR's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.
BABA PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 16x | $69.66 | -26% |
| Fair | 20x | $86.59 | -8.2% |
| Current | 21x | $94.36 | — |
| Expensive | 26x | $115 | +22% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
BABA's PE is 21x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.
MSTR PE Valuation
MSTR has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
BABA Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for BABA, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
MSTR Forward outlook
There aren't enough analyst estimates for MSTR to show an outlook.
BABA Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $4.42 | -52% |
| Q1 2026 | $6.57 | -18% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.79 | -22% |
| Q3 2025 | $7.85 | +49% |
| Q2 2025 | $9.27 | +116% |
| Q1 2025 | $8.06 | +71% |
| Q4 2024 | $7.47 | +24% |
| Q3 2024 | $5.26 | -35% |
BABA has the edge over MSTR on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
MSTR Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$57.71 | -374% |
| Q2 2026 | -$94.04 | -960% |
| Q1 2026 | -$36.99 | -$14.75 |
| Q4 2025 | -$15.23 | -$9.17 |
| Q3 2025 | $21.07 | +$23.35 |
| Q2 2025 | $10.93 | +$12.50 |
| Q1 2025 | -$22.24 | -$21.39 |
| Q4 2024 | -$6.06 | -330% |
MSTR has swung to a loss: it lost $57.71 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.
BABA Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $40.2B | +8.3% |
| Q1 2026 | $36.5B | +2.9% |
| Q4 2025 | $42.7B | +1.7% |
| Q3 2025 | $37.2B | +4.8% |
| Q2 2025 | $37.2B | +1.8% |
| Q1 2025 | $35.5B | +6.6% |
| Q4 2024 | $42B | +7.6% |
| Q3 2024 | $35.5B | +5.2% |
BABA has the edge over MSTR on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 7.2% | -6.9 points |
| Q1 2026 | -0.3% | -12 points |
| Q4 2025 | 7.1% | -7.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 2.2% | -13 points |
| Q2 2025 | 14% | -0.7 points |
| Q1 2025 | 12% | +5.4 points |
| Q4 2024 | 15% | +6.1 points |
| Q3 2024 | 15% | 0 points |
BABA's operating margin was 7.2% last quarter, down 6.9 points from the same quarter a year ago.
MSTR Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $125.4M | -2.5% |
| Q2 2026 | $122.4M | +6.9% |
| Q1 2026 | $124.3M | +12% |
| Q4 2025 | $123M | +1.9% |
| Q3 2025 | $128.7M | +11% |
| Q2 2025 | $114.5M | +2.7% |
| Q1 2025 | $111.1M | -3.6% |
| Q4 2024 | $120.7M | -3% |
MSTR's revenue has picked up after five years of holding roughly level: $125M last quarter, down 2.5% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 16671% | +13648 points |
| Q2 2026 | -6808% | -19064 points |
| Q1 2026 | -11642% | -6310 points |
| Q4 2025 | -14185% | -13343 points |
| Q3 2025 | 3023% | +3396 points |
| Q2 2025 | 12256% | +12436 points |
| Q1 2025 | -5331% | -5155 points |
| Q4 2024 | -842% | -808 points |
MSTR has the edge over BABA on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
BABA Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$6.7B | -$4.1B |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.7B | +$1.5B |
| Q4 2025 | $1B | -90% |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.2B | -254% |
| Q2 2025 | -$2.7B | -182% |
| Q1 2025 | -$4.2B | -12231% |
| Q4 2024 | $10.4B | -4.8% |
| Q3 2024 | $2.1B | -62% |
BABA's free cash flow has turned negative after years in the green: −$11.6B over the past year.
MSTR Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $4M | +$15.1M |
| Q2 2026 | -$5.9M | +$31.1M |
| Q1 2026 | $13M | +$18.2M |
| Q4 2025 | -$22.2M | -$4.6M |
| Q3 2025 | -$11.1M | +$30.3M |
| Q2 2025 | -$37M | -$13M |
| Q1 2025 | -$5.1M | -119% |
| Q4 2024 | -$17.6M | -2204% |
MSTR has the edge over BABA on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
BABA Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.5% | +11.1M shares |
| 1 year | +0.9% | +21.4M shares |
| 3 years | -6.2% | -161M shares |
| 5 years | -12% | -339M shares |
| Available history | -8.4% | -221M shares |
BABA has the edge over MSTR on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | $269.8M |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
BABA spent $270M buying back its own shares over the past year, after none the year before.
MSTR Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +21% | +75.5M shares |
| 1 year | +36% | +113M shares |
| 3 years | +201% | +286M shares |
| 5 years | +328% | +328M shares |
| Available history | +314% | +325M shares |
MSTR has 428M diluted shares, up 36% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2021 | — |
| Q3 2021 | — |
| Q2 2021 | — |
| Q1 2021 | — |
| Q4 2020 | $744,000 |
| Q3 2020 | $60.6M |
| Q2 2020 | $11.1M |
| Q1 2020 | $50.7M |
BABA Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.8x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q3 2024 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
BABA's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).
MSTR Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2025 | 0.7x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 1.2x | Healthy |
| Q3 2020 | -5.2x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2020 | -11.9x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2020 | -17.1x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2019 | -29.1x | Net Cash |
MSTR's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), after holding more cash than debt a year ago.
BABA Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 38.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 12.7 | Oversold |
BABA's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 13 (oversold).
MSTR Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 42.4 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 42.1 | Neutral |
MSTR's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 42 (neutral).
BABA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | BABA | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 21x | 18x | 19% above |
| PE % | 60 | 47 | 13 pts above |
BABA is trading at 21x earnings, a 19% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x, though its earnings don't support one.
MSTR PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | MSTR | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | 28x | — |
MSTR has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
BABA Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $104.7 | 9.9% below |
| 20 week MA | $111.1 | 15% below |
| 50 week MA | $128.0 | 26% below |
| 100 week MA | $127.7 | 26% below |
| 200 week MA | $106.4 | 11% below |
BABA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 11% below its 200-week average.
MSTR Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $141.2 | 19% below |
| 20 week MA | $123.6 | 7.4% below |
| 50 week MA | $138.1 | 17% below |
| 100 week MA | $235.9 | 52% below |
| 200 week MA | $168.2 | 32% below |
MSTR is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 32% below its 200-week average.
BABA Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $215.5 | $222.0 | +3% |
| 2021 | $222.0 | $118.7 | -47% |
| 2022 | $118.7 | $85.7 | -28% |
| 2023 | $85.7 | $77.5 | -9.5% |
| 2024 | $77.5 | $85.1 | +9.7% |
| 2025 | $85.1 | $152.2 | +79% |
| 2026 YTD | $152.2 | $94.4 | -38% |
BABA has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 38% so far in 2026.
MSTR Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $14.5 | $32.3 | +123% |
| 2021 | $32.3 | $59.7 | +85% |
| 2022 | $59.7 | $16.3 | -73% |
| 2023 | $16.3 | $63.2 | +288% |
| 2024 | $63.2 | $330.0 | +422% |
| 2025 | $330.0 | $158.8 | -52% |
| 2026 YTD | $158.8 | $114.4 | -28% |
MSTR has the edge over BABA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.