BABA
Alibaba Group Holding Limited
BABA offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
MRVL
Marvell Technology, Inc.
MRVL has the edge over BABA overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.
BABA Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Weak | |
| Healthy |
BABA's balance sheet is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.
MRVL Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Healthy |
MRVL's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
BABA PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 16x | $69.66 | -26% |
| Fair | 20x | $86.59 | -8.2% |
| Current | 21x | $94.36 | — |
| Expensive | 26x | $115 | +22% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
BABA has the edge over MRVL in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
MRVL PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 17x | $51.02 | -69% |
| Fair | 25x | $75.19 | -54% |
| Forward | 25x | $164 | — |
| Current | 54x | $164 | — |
| Expensive | 71x | $215 | +31% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
MRVL's PE is in its expensive range at 54x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 25x next year's earnings, in its fair range.
BABA Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for BABA, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
MRVL Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for MRVL, with profitability improving.
BABA Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $4.42 | -52% |
| Q1 2026 | $6.57 | -18% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.79 | -22% |
| Q3 2025 | $7.85 | +49% |
| Q2 2025 | $9.27 | +116% |
| Q1 2025 | $8.06 | +71% |
| Q4 2024 | $7.47 | +24% |
| Q3 2024 | $5.26 | -35% |
BABA's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $4.42 over the past year, against $9.27 in mid-2025. Its recent earnings include one-off gains.
MRVL Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $6.51 | +116% |
| Q3 2026 | $3.02 | +$3.15 |
| Q2 2026 | $2.91 | +$3.48 |
| Q1 2026 | $3.07 | +$4.09 |
| Q4 2025 | $2.85 | +$4.55 |
| Q3 2025 | -$0.13 | +$0.98 |
| Q2 2025 | -$0.57 | +$0.56 |
| Q1 2025 | -$1.02 | +$0.06 |
| Q4 2024 | -$1.70 | -$1.05 |
MRVL has the edge over BABA on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
BABA Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $40.2B | +8.3% |
| Q1 2026 | $36.5B | +2.9% |
| Q4 2025 | $42.7B | +1.7% |
| Q3 2025 | $37.2B | +4.8% |
| Q2 2025 | $37.2B | +1.8% |
| Q1 2025 | $35.5B | +6.6% |
| Q4 2024 | $42B | +7.6% |
| Q3 2024 | $35.5B | +5.2% |
BABA's revenue has grown year over year for 16 quarters in a row: $40.2B last quarter, up 8.3% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 7.2% | -6.9 points |
| Q1 2026 | -0.3% | -12 points |
| Q4 2025 | 7.1% | -7.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 2.2% | -13 points |
| Q2 2025 | 14% | -0.7 points |
| Q1 2025 | 12% | +5.4 points |
| Q4 2024 | 15% | +6.1 points |
| Q3 2024 | 15% | 0 points |
BABA's operating margin was 7.2% last quarter, down 6.9 points from the same quarter a year ago.
MRVL Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $2.7B | +37% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.4B | +28% |
| Q1 2026 | $2.2B | +22% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.1B | +37% |
| Q3 2025 | $2B | +58% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.9B | +63% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.8B | +27% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.5B | +6.9% |
MRVL has the edge over BABA on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 17% | +2.3 points |
| Q2 2026 | 14% | -0.2 points |
| Q1 2026 | 18% | +5.3 points |
| Q4 2025 | 17% | +64 points |
| Q3 2025 | 14% | +22 points |
| Q2 2025 | 14% | +27 points |
| Q1 2025 | 13% | +15 points |
| Q4 2024 | -46% | -36 points |
MRVL has the edge over BABA on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
BABA Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$6.7B | -$4.1B |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.7B | +$1.5B |
| Q4 2025 | $1B | -90% |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.2B | -254% |
| Q2 2025 | -$2.7B | -182% |
| Q1 2025 | -$4.2B | -12231% |
| Q4 2024 | $10.4B | -4.8% |
| Q3 2024 | $2.1B | -62% |
BABA's free cash flow has turned negative after years in the green: −$11.6B over the past year.
MRVL Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $478.8M | +16% |
| Q2 2026 | $483.1M | +126% |
| Q1 2026 | $259.4M | -42% |
| Q4 2025 | $508.8M | +10% |
| Q3 2025 | $414.1M | +60% |
| Q2 2025 | $214.1M | -8.1% |
| Q1 2025 | $444.1M | -6.6% |
| Q4 2024 | $461.3M | +2.8% |
MRVL has the edge over BABA on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
BABA Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.5% | +11.1M shares |
| 1 year | +0.9% | +21.4M shares |
| 3 years | -6.2% | -161M shares |
| 5 years | -12% | -339M shares |
| Available history | -8.4% | -221M shares |
BABA has the edge over MRVL on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | $269.8M |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
BABA spent $270M buying back its own shares over the past year, after none the year before.
MRVL Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +3.1% | +27.9M shares |
| 1 year | +5.8% | +50.8M shares |
| 3 years | +7% | +60.3M shares |
| 5 years | +12% | +100M shares |
| Available history | +38% | +253M shares |
MRVL has 921M diluted shares, up 5.8% from a year ago, despite $1.9B in buybacks over the past year.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $200M |
| Q2 2026 | $200M |
| Q1 2026 | $200.1M |
| Q4 2025 | $1.3B |
| Q3 2025 | $200M |
| Q2 2025 | $340M |
| Q1 2025 | $200M |
| Q4 2024 | $200M |
MRVL spent $1.9B buying back its own shares over the past year, up 102% from the year before.
BABA Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.8x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q3 2024 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
BABA's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).
MRVL Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q1 2021 | 1.5x | Healthy |
| Q4 2020 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q3 2020 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q2 2020 | 0.7x | Very low |
| Q1 2020 | 0.7x | Very low |
| Q4 2019 | 5.3x | High |
MRVL's net debt is about 1.5 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from less than a year a year ago.
BABA Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 38.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 12.7 | Oversold |
BABA's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 13 (oversold).
MRVL Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 41.9 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 16.1 | Oversold |
MRVL's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).
BABA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | BABA | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 21x | 18x | 19% above |
| PE % | 60 | 47 | 13 pts above |
BABA has the edge over MRVL on valuation relative to its sector.
MRVL PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | MRVL | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 54x | 28x | 95% above |
| PE % | 75 | 35 | 40 pts above |
MRVL is trading at 54x earnings, a 95% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.
BABA Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $104.7 | 9.9% below |
| 20 week MA | $111.1 | 15% below |
| 50 week MA | $128.0 | 26% below |
| 100 week MA | $127.7 | 26% below |
| 200 week MA | $106.4 | 11% below |
BABA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 11% below its 200-week average.
MRVL Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $221.0 | 26% below |
| 20 week MA | $220.9 | 26% below |
| 50 week MA | $168.8 | 2.5% below |
| 100 week MA | $124.8 | 32% above |
| 200 week MA | $93.8 | 75% above |
MRVL has the edge over BABA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
BABA Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $215.5 | $222.0 | +3% |
| 2021 | $222.0 | $118.7 | -47% |
| 2022 | $118.7 | $85.7 | -28% |
| 2023 | $85.7 | $77.5 | -9.5% |
| 2024 | $77.5 | $85.1 | +9.7% |
| 2025 | $85.1 | $152.2 | +79% |
| 2026 YTD | $152.2 | $94.4 | -38% |
BABA has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 38% so far in 2026.
MRVL Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $26.7 | $47.1 | +76% |
| 2021 | $47.1 | $87.7 | +86% |
| 2022 | $87.7 | $37.2 | -58% |
| 2023 | $37.2 | $60.3 | +62% |
| 2024 | $60.3 | $113.6 | +88% |
| 2025 | $113.6 | $86.3 | -24% |
| 2026 YTD | $86.3 | $164.5 | +90% |
MRVL has the edge over BABA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.