BABA
Alibaba Group Holding Limited
BABA has the edge over MPAA overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger fundamentals.
MPAA
Motorcar Parts of America, Inc.
MPAA offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
BABA Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Weak | |
| Healthy |
BABA's balance sheet is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.
MPAA Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Under pressure | |
| Under pressure | |
| Under pressure | |
| Under pressure |
MPAA's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently under pressure.
BABA PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 16x | $69.66 | -26% |
| Fair | 20x | $86.59 | -8.2% |
| Current | 21x | $94.36 | — |
| Expensive | 26x | $115 | +22% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
BABA's PE is 21x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.
MPAA PE Valuation
MPAA has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
BABA Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
BABA has the edge over MPAA on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.
MPAA Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Stable | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect MPAA's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.
BABA Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $4.42 | -52% |
| Q1 2026 | $6.57 | -18% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.79 | -22% |
| Q3 2025 | $7.85 | +49% |
| Q2 2025 | $9.27 | +116% |
| Q1 2025 | $8.06 | +71% |
| Q4 2024 | $7.47 | +24% |
| Q3 2024 | $5.26 | -35% |
BABA has the edge over MPAA on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
MPAA Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $1.61 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$0.16 | -233% |
| Q2 2026 | -$0.24 | -400% |
| Q1 2026 | $0.62 | +$1.61 |
| Q4 2025 | $0.10 | +$1.00 |
| Q3 2025 | $0.12 | +$3.53 |
| Q2 2025 | $0.08 | +$3.44 |
| Q1 2025 | -$0.99 | +$1.52 |
| Q4 2024 | -$0.90 | +$1.59 |
MPAA has swung to a loss: it lost $0.16 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.
BABA Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $40.2B | +8.3% |
| Q1 2026 | $36.5B | +2.9% |
| Q4 2025 | $42.7B | +1.7% |
| Q3 2025 | $37.2B | +4.8% |
| Q2 2025 | $37.2B | +1.8% |
| Q1 2025 | $35.5B | +6.6% |
| Q4 2024 | $42B | +7.6% |
| Q3 2024 | $35.5B | +5.2% |
BABA has the edge over MPAA on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 7.2% | -6.9 points |
| Q1 2026 | -0.3% | -12 points |
| Q4 2025 | 7.1% | -7.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 2.2% | -13 points |
| Q2 2025 | 14% | -0.7 points |
| Q1 2025 | 12% | +5.4 points |
| Q4 2024 | 15% | +6.1 points |
| Q3 2024 | 15% | 0 points |
BABA has the edge over MPAA on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
MPAA Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $169.2M | -24% |
| Q2 2026 | $168M | -11% |
| Q1 2026 | $212.3M | +9.9% |
| Q4 2025 | $167.7M | -9.9% |
| Q3 2025 | $221.5M | +6.4% |
| Q2 2025 | $188.4M | +11% |
| Q1 2025 | $193.1M | +1.9% |
| Q4 2024 | $186.2M | +8.3% |
MPAA's revenue has slid since its 2025 peak: $169M last quarter, down 24% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 5.9% | -1.5 points |
| Q2 2026 | 2.1% | -8.6 points |
| Q1 2026 | 9.9% | +1.5 points |
| Q4 2025 | 5% | -4.5 points |
| Q3 2025 | 7.4% | +1.4 points |
| Q2 2025 | 11% | +14 points |
| Q1 2025 | 8.4% | +2 points |
| Q4 2024 | 9.4% | +3.9 points |
MPAA's operating margin was 5.9% last quarter, down 1.5 points from the same quarter a year ago.
BABA Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$6.7B | -$4.1B |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.7B | +$1.5B |
| Q4 2025 | $1B | -90% |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.2B | -254% |
| Q2 2025 | -$2.7B | -182% |
| Q1 2025 | -$4.2B | -12231% |
| Q4 2024 | $10.4B | -4.8% |
| Q3 2024 | $2.1B | -62% |
BABA's free cash flow has turned negative after years in the green: −$11.6B over the past year.
MPAA Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$4.8M | -123% |
| Q2 2026 | -$12.4M | -235% |
| Q1 2026 | -$6M | -195% |
| Q4 2025 | -$8.6M | -126% |
| Q3 2025 | $20.8M | -6.5% |
| Q2 2025 | $9.2M | +$30.6M |
| Q1 2025 | $6.2M | +$16.1M |
| Q4 2024 | $33.7M | -37% |
MPAA has the edge over BABA on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
BABA Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.5% | +11.1M shares |
| 1 year | +0.9% | +21.4M shares |
| 3 years | -6.2% | -161M shares |
| 5 years | -12% | -339M shares |
| Available history | -8.4% | -221M shares |
BABA has the edge over MPAA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | $269.8M |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
BABA spent $270M buying back its own shares over the past year, after none the year before.
MPAA Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +19% | +3.6M shares |
| 1 year | +16% | +3.1M shares |
| 3 years | +15% | +2.9M shares |
| 5 years | +15% | +2.9M shares |
| Available history | +16% | +3.2M shares |
MPAA has 22M diluted shares, up 16% from a year ago, despite $10M in buybacks over the past year.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | $1.9M |
| Q1 2026 | $3M |
| Q4 2025 | $5M |
| Q3 2025 | $1.4M |
| Q2 2025 | $2M |
| Q1 2025 | $2.7M |
| Q1 2023 | — |
MPAA spent $10M buying back its own shares over the past year.
BABA Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.8x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q3 2024 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
BABA's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).
MPAA Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2024 | 3.0x | Elevated |
| Q2 2024 | 3.5x | Elevated |
| Q1 2024 | 2.0x | Moderate |
| Q4 2023 | 1.5x | Healthy |
| Q3 2023 | 2.5x | Moderate |
| Q2 2023 | 3.1x | Elevated |
| Q1 2023 | 2.8x | Moderate |
| Q1 2020 | 3.9x | Elevated |
MPAA's net debt is about 3.0 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 2.5 years a year ago.
BABA Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 38.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 12.7 | Oversold |
BABA's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 13 (oversold).
MPAA Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 26.6 | Oversold |
| Stochastic | 11.6 | Oversold |
MPAA's weekly RSI is 27 (oversold) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).
BABA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | BABA | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 21x | 18x | 19% above |
| PE % | 60 | 47 | 13 pts above |
BABA is trading at 21x earnings, a 19% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x, though its earnings don't support one.
MPAA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | MPAA | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | 18x | — |
MPAA has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
BABA Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $104.7 | 9.9% below |
| 20 week MA | $111.1 | 15% below |
| 50 week MA | $128.0 | 26% below |
| 100 week MA | $127.7 | 26% below |
| 200 week MA | $106.4 | 11% below |
BABA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 11% below its 200-week average.
MPAA Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $10.1 | 24% below |
| 20 week MA | $11.7 | 34% below |
| 50 week MA | $11.9 | 35% below |
| 100 week MA | $11.6 | 34% below |
| 200 week MA | $9.65 | 20% below |
MPAA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 20% below its 200-week average.
BABA Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $215.5 | $222.0 | +3% |
| 2021 | $222.0 | $118.7 | -47% |
| 2022 | $118.7 | $85.7 | -28% |
| 2023 | $85.7 | $77.5 | -9.5% |
| 2024 | $77.5 | $85.1 | +9.7% |
| 2025 | $85.1 | $152.2 | +79% |
| 2026 YTD | $152.2 | $94.4 | -38% |
BABA has the edge over MPAA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
MPAA Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $21.9 | $19.9 | -9.2% |
| 2021 | $19.9 | $16.7 | -16% |
| 2022 | $16.7 | $11.3 | -32% |
| 2023 | $11.3 | $9.34 | -17% |
| 2024 | $9.34 | $8.05 | -14% |
| 2025 | $8.05 | $12.5 | +55% |
| 2026 YTD | $12.5 | $7.71 | -38% |
MPAA has finished lower in five of the last six years. It's down 38% so far in 2026.