BABA

Alibaba Group Holding Limited

53
Fundamentals36/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential23/ 100

BABA's fundamentals are weak: its operating margin fell 10 points to 4.2% and free cash flow turned negative, though revenue grew 4.3%. Its PE isn't a useful guide right now because of how its recent earnings were reported.

MNSO

MINISO Group Holding Limited

There isn't enough reported data to score MNSO yet.

BABA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Weak
Healthy

BABA's balance sheet is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.

MNSO Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Stable
Stable
Strong

MNSO's revenue and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its profitability and cash flow are stable.

BABA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.3x19x28x37x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.3x19x28x37x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap16x$69.66-26%
Fair20x$86.59-8.2%
Current21x$94.36โ€”
Expensive26x$115+22%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BABA's PE is 21x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

MNSO PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE25x50x75x101x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE25x50x75x101x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap16x$9.54-13%
Current18x$10.94โ€”
Fair20x$12.49+14%
Expensive49x$29.81+173%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MNSO has the edge over BABA in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

BABA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for BABA, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

MNSO Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for MNSO to show an outlook.

BABA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+33%$125.09
Downside-23%$72.35

Calculated from the latest close: $94.36 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare BABA and MNSO's risk to reward.

MNSO Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknownโ€”
DownsideUnknownโ€”

Calculated from the latest close: $10.94 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare BABA and MNSO's risk to reward.

BABA Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $8.12Q4 2023: $6.04Q1 2024: $4.71Q2 2024: $4.29Q3 2024: $5.26Q4 2024: $7.47Q1 2025: $8.06Q2 2025: $9.27Q3 2025: $7.85Q4 2025: $5.79Q1 2026: $6.57Q2 2026: $4.42
Q3 2023: $8.12Q4 2023: $6.04Q1 2024: $4.71Q2 2024: $4.29Q3 2024: $5.26Q4 2024: $7.47Q1 2025: $8.06Q2 2025: $9.27Q3 2025: $7.85Q4 2025: $5.79Q1 2026: $6.57Q2 2026: $4.42
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$4.42-52%
Q1 2026$6.57-18%
Q4 2025$5.79-22%
Q3 2025$7.85+49%
Q2 2025$9.27+116%
Q1 2025$8.06+71%
Q4 2024$7.47+24%
Q3 2024$5.26-35%

BABA has the edge over MNSO on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MNSO Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $0.84Q4 2023: $1.06Q1 2024: $1.14Q2 2024: $1.16Q3 2024: $1.18Q4 2024: $1.26Q1 2025: $1.18Q2 2025: $1.13Q3 2025: $1.04Q4 2025: $0.58Q1 2026: $0.99Q2 2026: $0.61
Q3 2023: $0.84Q4 2023: $1.06Q1 2024: $1.14Q2 2024: $1.16Q3 2024: $1.18Q4 2024: $1.26Q1 2025: $1.18Q2 2025: $1.13Q3 2025: $1.04Q4 2025: $0.58Q1 2026: $0.99Q2 2026: $0.61
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$0.61-46%
Q1 2026$0.99-16%
Q4 2025$0.58-54%
Q3 2025$1.04-12%
Q2 2025$1.13-2.6%
Q1 2025$1.18+3.5%
Q4 2024$1.26+19%
Q3 2024$1.18+40%

MNSO's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.61 over the past year, against $1.26 in late 2024.

BABA Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $33.7BQ4 2023: $39.1BQ1 2024: $33.3BQ2 2024: $36.5BQ3 2024: $35.5BQ4 2024: $42BQ1 2025: $35.5BQ2 2025: $37.2BQ3 2025: $37.2BQ4 2025: $42.7BQ1 2026: $36.5BQ2 2026: $40.2B
Q3 2023: $33.7BQ4 2023: $39.1BQ1 2024: $33.3BQ2 2024: $36.5BQ3 2024: $35.5BQ4 2024: $42BQ1 2025: $35.5BQ2 2025: $37.2BQ3 2025: $37.2BQ4 2025: $42.7BQ1 2026: $36.5BQ2 2026: $40.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$40.2B+8.3%
Q1 2026$36.5B+2.9%
Q4 2025$42.7B+1.7%
Q3 2025$37.2B+4.8%
Q2 2025$37.2B+1.8%
Q1 2025$35.5B+6.6%
Q4 2024$42B+7.6%
Q3 2024$35.5B+5.2%

BABA's revenue has grown year over year for 16 quarters in a row: $40.2B last quarter, up 8.3% from the same quarter a year ago.

MNSO Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $569MQ4 2023: $576MQ1 2024: $559MQ2 2024: $606MQ3 2024: $679MQ4 2024: $707MQ1 2025: $664MQ2 2025: $745MQ3 2025: $870MQ4 2025: $926MQ1 2026: $849MQ2 2026: $870M
Q3 2023: $569MQ4 2023: $576MQ1 2024: $559MQ2 2024: $606MQ3 2024: $679MQ4 2024: $707MQ1 2025: $664MQ2 2025: $745MQ3 2025: $870MQ4 2025: $926MQ1 2026: $849MQ2 2026: $870M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$869.5M+17%
Q1 2026$848.5M+28%
Q4 2025$925.6M+31%
Q3 2025$869.9M+28%
Q2 2025$745.3M+23%
Q1 2025$664.4M+19%
Q4 2024$707.2M+23%
Q3 2024$678.7M+19%

MNSO has the edge over BABA on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

BABA Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $5.4BQ4 2023: $11BQ1 2024: $34MQ2 2024: $3.2BQ3 2024: $2.1BQ4 2024: $10.4BQ1 2025: โˆ’$4.2BQ2 2025: โˆ’$2.7BQ3 2025: โˆ’$3.2BQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: โˆ’$2.7BQ2 2026: โˆ’$6.7B
Q3 2023: $5.4BQ4 2023: $11BQ1 2024: $34MQ2 2024: $3.2BQ3 2024: $2.1BQ4 2024: $10.4BQ1 2025: โˆ’$4.2BQ2 2025: โˆ’$2.7BQ3 2025: โˆ’$3.2BQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: โˆ’$2.7BQ2 2026: โˆ’$6.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026-$6.7B-$4.1B
Q1 2026-$2.7B+$1.5B
Q4 2025$1B-90%
Q3 2025-$3.2B-254%
Q2 2025-$2.7B-182%
Q1 2025-$4.2B-12231%
Q4 2024$10.4B-4.8%
Q3 2024$2.1B-62%

BABA has the edge over MNSO on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MNSO Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $0Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $0Q2 2024: $0Q3 2024: $0Q4 2024: $0Q1 2025: $0Q2 2025: $0Q3 2025: $0Q4 2025: $0Q1 2026: $0Q2 2026: --
Q3 2023: $0Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $0Q2 2024: $0Q3 2024: $0Q4 2024: $0Q1 2025: $0Q2 2025: $0Q3 2025: $0Q4 2025: $0Q1 2026: $0Q2 2026: --
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q1 2026$0$0
Q4 2025$0$0
Q3 2025$0$0
Q2 2025$0$0
Q1 2025$0$0
Q4 2024$0$0
Q3 2024$0$0
Q2 2024$0$0

MNSO's free cash flow was $0 over the past year, against $0 the year before.

BABA Total Shares

Q3 2023: 2.6BQ4 2023: 2.5BQ1 2024: 2.5BQ2 2024: 2.4BQ3 2024: 2.4BQ4 2024: 2.4BQ1 2025: 2.4BQ2 2025: 2.4BQ3 2025: 2.4BQ4 2025: 2.4BQ1 2026: 2.4BQ2 2026: 2.4B
Q3 2023: 2.6BQ4 2023: 2.5BQ1 2024: 2.5BQ2 2024: 2.4BQ3 2024: 2.4BQ4 2024: 2.4BQ1 2025: 2.4BQ2 2025: 2.4BQ3 2025: 2.4BQ4 2025: 2.4BQ1 2026: 2.4BQ2 2026: 2.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.5%+11.1M shares
1 year+0.9%+21.4M shares
3 years-6.2%-161M shares
5 years-12%-339M shares
Available history-8.4%-221M shares

BABA has 2.4B diluted shares, up 0.9% from a year ago.

MNSO Total Shares

Q3 2023: 313MQ4 2023: 311MQ1 2024: 310MQ2 2024: 313MQ3 2024: 313MQ4 2024: 312MQ1 2025: 312MQ2 2025: 309MQ3 2025: 312MQ4 2025: 295MQ1 2026: 307MQ2 2026: 310M
Q3 2023: 313MQ4 2023: 311MQ1 2024: 310MQ2 2024: 313MQ3 2024: 313MQ4 2024: 312MQ1 2025: 312MQ2 2025: 309MQ3 2025: 312MQ4 2025: 295MQ1 2026: 307MQ2 2026: 310M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+1%+3.1M shares
1 year+0.1%+218K shares
3 years-1.2%-3.9M shares
5 years+6.6%+19.3M shares
Available history-1.3%-4.2M shares

MNSO has the edge over BABA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

BABA Net Leverage

Q3 2023: -0.6xQ4 2023: -0.8xQ1 2024: -0.4xQ2 2024: -0.4xQ3 2024: -0.2xQ4 2024: 0.1xQ1 2025: 0.3xQ2 2025: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.8xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.5xQ2 2026: 0.5x
Q3 2023: -0.6xQ4 2023: -0.8xQ1 2024: -0.4xQ2 2024: -0.4xQ3 2024: -0.2xQ4 2024: 0.1xQ1 2025: 0.3xQ2 2025: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.8xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.5xQ2 2026: 0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20260.5xVery low
Q1 20260.5xVery low
Q4 20250.6xVery low
Q3 20250.8xVery low
Q2 20250.2xVery low
Q1 20250.3xVery low
Q4 20240.1xVery low
Q3 2024-0.2xNet Cash

BABA's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

MNSO Net Leverage

Q3 2023: -1.9xQ4 2023: -1.7xQ1 2024: -1.7xQ2 2024: -1.3xQ3 2024: 0.1xQ4 2024: -0.9xQ1 2025: 0.7xQ2 2025: 1.0xQ3 2025: 2.5xQ4 2025: 1.6xQ1 2026: 1.6xQ2 2026: 0.1x
Q3 2023: -1.9xQ4 2023: -1.7xQ1 2024: -1.7xQ2 2024: -1.3xQ3 2024: 0.1xQ4 2024: -0.9xQ1 2025: 0.7xQ2 2025: 1.0xQ3 2025: 2.5xQ4 2025: 1.6xQ1 2026: 1.6xQ2 2026: 0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20260.1xVery low
Q1 20261.6xHealthy
Q4 20251.6xHealthy
Q3 20252.5xModerate
Q2 20251.0xVery low
Q1 20250.7xVery low
Q4 2024-0.9xNet Cash
Q3 20240.1xVery low

MNSO has the edge over BABA on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

BABA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI38.0Neutral
Stochastic12.7Oversold

BABA's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 13 (oversold).

MNSO Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI44.6Neutral
Stochastic50.4Neutral

MNSO's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 50 (neutral).

BABA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricBABASector medianRelative
PE21x18x19% above
PE %604713 pts above

BABA is trading at 21x earnings, a 19% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x, though its earnings don't support one.

MNSO PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricMNSOSector medianRelative
PE18x18x0.1% above
PE %344814 pts below

MNSO has the edge over BABA on valuation relative to its sector.

BABA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$104.79.9% below
20 week MA$111.115% below
50 week MA$128.026% below
100 week MA$127.726% below
200 week MA$106.411% below

BABA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 11% below its 200-week average.

MNSO Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$9.969.8% above
20 week MA$10.72.2% above
50 week MA$14.323% below
100 week MA$17.537% below
200 week MA$18.641% below

MNSO has the edge over BABA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

BABA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$215.5$222.0+3%
2021$222.0$118.7-47%
2022$118.7$85.7-28%
2023$85.7$77.5-9.5%
2024$77.5$85.1+9.7%
2025$85.1$152.2+79%
2026 YTD$152.2$94.4-38%

BABA has the edge over MNSO on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

MNSO Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$23.2$31.0+34%
2021$31.0$10.1-68%
2022$10.1$11.3+12%
2023$11.3$20.4+81%
2024$20.4$24.1+18%
2025$24.1$19.6-18%
2026 YTD$19.6$10.9-44%

MNSO is down 44% so far in 2026, after finishing higher in four of the previous six years.

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