BABA

Alibaba Group Holding Limited

53
Fundamentals36/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential23/ 100

BABA has a slight edge over MNRO overall, supported by lower modeled downside.

MNRO

Monro, Inc.

50
Fundamentals54/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential60/ 100
Risk potential34/ 100

MNRO offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

BABA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Weak
Healthy

BABA's balance sheet is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.

MNRO Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Under pressure
Healthy

MNRO's balance sheet is currently healthy, and its revenue and profitability are stable, but its cash flow is under pressure.

BABA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.3x19x28x37x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.3x19x28x37x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap16x$69.66-26%
Fair20x$86.59-8.2%
Current21x$94.36—
Expensive26x$115+22%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BABA's PE is 21x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

MNRO PE Valuation

MNRO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

BABA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

BABA has the edge over MNRO on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.

MNRO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Turning to a loss
Stable
Weakening
Limited
High

Analysts expect MNRO's earnings and profitability to decline, with its revenue holding steady.

BABA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+33%$125.09
Downside-23%$72.35

Calculated from the latest close: $94.36 on Nov 12.

BABA trails MNRO on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

MNRO Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+50%$15.51
Downside-34%$6.88

Calculated from the latest close: $10.36 on Nov 12.

MNRO has a better modeled risk to reward balance than BABA, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

BABA Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $8.12Q4 2023: $6.04Q1 2024: $4.71Q2 2024: $4.29Q3 2024: $5.26Q4 2024: $7.47Q1 2025: $8.06Q2 2025: $9.27Q3 2025: $7.85Q4 2025: $5.79Q1 2026: $6.57Q2 2026: $4.42
Q3 2023: $8.12Q4 2023: $6.04Q1 2024: $4.71Q2 2024: $4.29Q3 2024: $5.26Q4 2024: $7.47Q1 2025: $8.06Q2 2025: $9.27Q3 2025: $7.85Q4 2025: $5.79Q1 2026: $6.57Q2 2026: $4.42
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$4.42-52%
Q1 2026$6.57-18%
Q4 2025$5.79-22%
Q3 2025$7.85+49%
Q2 2025$9.27+116%
Q1 2025$8.06+71%
Q4 2024$7.47+24%
Q3 2024$5.26-35%

BABA has the edge over MNRO on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MNRO Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.08Q1 2024: $1.18Q2 2024: $1.09Q3 2024: $0.87Q4 2024: $0.64Q1 2025: $-0.22Q2 2025: $-0.69Q3 2025: $-0.69Q4 2025: $-0.49Q1 2026: $0.03Q2 2026: $0.23Q3 2026: $0.00
Q4 2023: $1.08Q1 2024: $1.18Q2 2024: $1.09Q3 2024: $0.87Q4 2024: $0.64Q1 2025: $-0.22Q2 2025: $-0.69Q3 2025: $-0.69Q4 2025: $-0.49Q1 2026: $0.03Q2 2026: $0.23Q3 2026: $0.00
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$0.00+$0.69
Q2 2026$0.23+$0.92
Q1 2026$0.03+$0.25
Q4 2025-$0.49-177%
Q3 2025-$0.69-179%
Q2 2025-$0.69-163%
Q1 2025-$0.22-119%
Q4 2024$0.64-41%

MNRO is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.00 per share over the past year, against $0.69 at its worst in mid-2025.

BABA Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $33.7BQ4 2023: $39.1BQ1 2024: $33.3BQ2 2024: $36.5BQ3 2024: $35.5BQ4 2024: $42BQ1 2025: $35.5BQ2 2025: $37.2BQ3 2025: $37.2BQ4 2025: $42.7BQ1 2026: $36.5BQ2 2026: $40.2B
Q3 2023: $33.7BQ4 2023: $39.1BQ1 2024: $33.3BQ2 2024: $36.5BQ3 2024: $35.5BQ4 2024: $42BQ1 2025: $35.5BQ2 2025: $37.2BQ3 2025: $37.2BQ4 2025: $42.7BQ1 2026: $36.5BQ2 2026: $40.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$40.2B+8.3%
Q1 2026$36.5B+2.9%
Q4 2025$42.7B+1.7%
Q3 2025$37.2B+4.8%
Q2 2025$37.2B+1.8%
Q1 2025$35.5B+6.6%
Q4 2024$42B+7.6%
Q3 2024$35.5B+5.2%

BABA has the edge over MNRO on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MNRO Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $318MQ1 2024: $310MQ2 2024: $293MQ3 2024: $301MQ4 2024: $306MQ1 2025: $295MQ2 2025: $301MQ3 2025: $289MQ4 2025: $293MQ1 2026: $274MQ2 2026: $287MQ3 2026: $284M
Q4 2023: $318MQ1 2024: $310MQ2 2024: $293MQ3 2024: $301MQ4 2024: $306MQ1 2025: $295MQ2 2025: $301MQ3 2025: $289MQ4 2025: $293MQ1 2026: $274MQ2 2026: $287MQ3 2026: $284M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$283.6M-1.8%
Q2 2026$287.1M-4.6%
Q1 2026$273.8M-7.2%
Q4 2025$293.4M-4%
Q3 2025$288.9M-4.1%
Q2 2025$301M+2.7%
Q1 2025$295M-4.9%
Q4 2024$305.8M-3.7%

MNRO's revenue has slid since its 2022 peak: $284M last quarter, down 1.8% from the same quarter a year ago.

BABA Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $5.4BQ4 2023: $11BQ1 2024: $34MQ2 2024: $3.2BQ3 2024: $2.1BQ4 2024: $10.4BQ1 2025: −$4.2BQ2 2025: −$2.7BQ3 2025: −$3.2BQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: −$2.7BQ2 2026: −$6.7B
Q3 2023: $5.4BQ4 2023: $11BQ1 2024: $34MQ2 2024: $3.2BQ3 2024: $2.1BQ4 2024: $10.4BQ1 2025: −$4.2BQ2 2025: −$2.7BQ3 2025: −$3.2BQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: −$2.7BQ2 2026: −$6.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026-$6.7B-$4.1B
Q1 2026-$2.7B+$1.5B
Q4 2025$1B-90%
Q3 2025-$3.2B-254%
Q2 2025-$2.7B-182%
Q1 2025-$4.2B-12231%
Q4 2024$10.4B-4.8%
Q3 2024$2.1B-62%

BABA's free cash flow has turned negative after years in the green: −$11.6B over the past year.

MNRO Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $29MQ1 2024: −$12MQ2 2024: $17MQ3 2024: $58MQ4 2024: $8MQ1 2025: $23MQ2 2025: −$9MQ3 2025: $27MQ4 2025: $9MQ1 2026: $12MQ2 2026: −$38MQ3 2026: $29M
Q4 2023: $29MQ1 2024: −$12MQ2 2024: $17MQ3 2024: $58MQ4 2024: $8MQ1 2025: $23MQ2 2025: −$9MQ3 2025: $27MQ4 2025: $9MQ1 2026: $12MQ2 2026: −$38MQ3 2026: $29M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$28.8M+8.2%
Q2 2026-$37.9M-$28.6M
Q1 2026$12.4M-47%
Q4 2025$9.1M+15%
Q3 2025$26.6M-54%
Q2 2025-$9.3M-156%
Q1 2025$23.2M+$35.1M
Q4 2024$7.9M-73%

MNRO has the edge over BABA on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

BABA Total Shares

Q3 2023: 2.6BQ4 2023: 2.5BQ1 2024: 2.5BQ2 2024: 2.4BQ3 2024: 2.4BQ4 2024: 2.4BQ1 2025: 2.4BQ2 2025: 2.4BQ3 2025: 2.4BQ4 2025: 2.4BQ1 2026: 2.4BQ2 2026: 2.4B
Q3 2023: 2.6BQ4 2023: 2.5BQ1 2024: 2.5BQ2 2024: 2.4BQ3 2024: 2.4BQ4 2024: 2.4BQ1 2025: 2.4BQ2 2025: 2.4BQ3 2025: 2.4BQ4 2025: 2.4BQ1 2026: 2.4BQ2 2026: 2.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.5%+11.1M shares
1 year+0.9%+21.4M shares
3 years-6.2%-161M shares
5 years-12%-339M shares
Available history-8.4%-221M shares

BABA has 2.4B diluted shares, up 0.9% from a year ago.

MNRO Total Shares

Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 32MQ2 2024: 31MQ3 2024: 31MQ4 2024: 31MQ1 2025: 30MQ2 2025: 30MQ3 2025: 31MQ4 2025: 31MQ1 2026: 30MQ2 2026: 30MQ3 2026: 31M
Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 32MQ2 2024: 31MQ3 2024: 31MQ4 2024: 31MQ1 2025: 30MQ2 2025: 30MQ3 2025: 31MQ4 2025: 31MQ1 2026: 30MQ2 2026: 30MQ3 2026: 31M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.8%+1.1M shares
1 year-0.2%-68K shares
3 years-3%-977K shares
5 years-8%-2.7M shares
Available history-7.9%-2.7M shares

MNRO has the edge over BABA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

BABA Net Leverage

Q3 2023: -0.6xQ4 2023: -0.8xQ1 2024: -0.4xQ2 2024: -0.4xQ3 2024: -0.2xQ4 2024: 0.1xQ1 2025: 0.3xQ2 2025: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.8xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.5xQ2 2026: 0.5x
Q3 2023: -0.6xQ4 2023: -0.8xQ1 2024: -0.4xQ2 2024: -0.4xQ3 2024: -0.2xQ4 2024: 0.1xQ1 2025: 0.3xQ2 2025: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.8xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.5xQ2 2026: 0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20260.5xVery low
Q1 20260.5xVery low
Q4 20250.6xVery low
Q3 20250.8xVery low
Q2 20250.2xVery low
Q1 20250.3xVery low
Q4 20240.1xVery low
Q3 2024-0.2xNet Cash

BABA has the edge over MNRO on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

MNRO Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.8xQ1 2024: 0.9xQ2 2024: 1.0xQ3 2024: 0.6xQ4 2024: 0.8xQ1 2025: 1.0xQ2 2025: 1.7xQ3 2025: 1.5xQ4 2025: 1.2xQ1 2026: 1.0xQ2 2026: 1.5xQ3 2026: 1.5x
Q4 2023: 0.8xQ1 2024: 0.9xQ2 2024: 1.0xQ3 2024: 0.6xQ4 2024: 0.8xQ1 2025: 1.0xQ2 2025: 1.7xQ3 2025: 1.5xQ4 2025: 1.2xQ1 2026: 1.0xQ2 2026: 1.5xQ3 2026: 1.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.5xHealthy
Q2 20261.5xHealthy
Q1 20261.0xHealthy
Q4 20251.2xHealthy
Q3 20251.5xHealthy
Q2 20251.7xHealthy
Q1 20251.0xVery low
Q4 20240.8xVery low

MNRO's net debt is about 1.5 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

BABA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI38.0Neutral
Stochastic12.7Oversold

BABA's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 13 (oversold).

MNRO Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI34.0Neutral
Stochastic5.4Oversold

MNRO's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).

BABA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricBABASector medianRelative
PE21x18x19% above
PE %604713 pts above

BABA has the edge over MNRO on valuation relative to its sector.

MNRO PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricMNROSector medianRelative
PE58x18x219% above
PE %854738 pts above

MNRO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

BABA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$104.79.9% below
20 week MA$111.115% below
50 week MA$128.026% below
100 week MA$127.726% below
200 week MA$106.411% below

BABA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 11% below its 200-week average.

MNRO Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$12.718% below
20 week MA$13.523% below
50 week MA$16.437% below
100 week MA$16.838% below
200 week MA$25.159% below

MNRO is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 59% below its 200-week average.

BABA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$215.5$222.0+3%
2021$222.0$118.7-47%
2022$118.7$85.7-28%
2023$85.7$77.5-9.5%
2024$77.5$85.1+9.7%
2025$85.1$152.2+79%
2026 YTD$152.2$94.4-38%

BABA has the edge over MNRO on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

MNRO Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$78.9$53.1-33%
2021$53.1$59.2+11%
2022$59.2$45.2-24%
2023$45.2$29.3-35%
2024$29.3$24.8-16%
2025$24.8$20.8-16%
2026 YTD$20.8$10.4-50%

MNRO has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 50% so far in 2026.

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