BABA

Alibaba Group Holding Limited

53
Fundamentals36/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential23/ 100

BABA has a slight edge over MMYT overall, supported by stronger valuation and lower modeled downside.

MMYT

MakeMyTrip Limited

52
Fundamentals52/ 100
Valuation40/ 100
Upside potential59/ 100
Risk potential28/ 100

MMYT offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

BABA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Weak
Healthy

BABA's balance sheet is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.

MMYT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Under pressure
Weak

MMYT's profitability is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its cash flow and balance sheet are under pressure.

BABA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.3x19x28x37x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.3x19x28x37x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap16x$69.66-26%
Fair20x$86.59-8.2%
Current21x$94.36—
Expensive26x$115+22%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BABA has the edge over MMYT in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

MMYT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE66x132x199x265x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE66x132x199x265x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward41x$51.01—
Cheap56x$18.60-64%
Fair113x$37.14-27%
Expensive155x$51.30+0.6%
Current156x$51.01—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MMYT's PE is in its expensive range at 156x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 41x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

BABA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for BABA, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

MMYT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for MMYT, with profitability improving.

BABA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+33%$125.09
Downside-23%$72.35

Calculated from the latest close: $94.36 on Nov 12.

BABA trails MMYT on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

MMYT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+40%$71.35
Downside-28%$36.97

Calculated from the latest close: $51.01 on Nov 12.

MMYT has a better modeled risk to reward balance than BABA, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

BABA Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $8.12Q4 2023: $6.04Q1 2024: $4.71Q2 2024: $4.29Q3 2024: $5.26Q4 2024: $7.47Q1 2025: $8.06Q2 2025: $9.27Q3 2025: $7.85Q4 2025: $5.79Q1 2026: $6.57Q2 2026: $4.42
Q3 2023: $8.12Q4 2023: $6.04Q1 2024: $4.71Q2 2024: $4.29Q3 2024: $5.26Q4 2024: $7.47Q1 2025: $8.06Q2 2025: $9.27Q3 2025: $7.85Q4 2025: $5.79Q1 2026: $6.57Q2 2026: $4.42
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$4.42-52%
Q1 2026$6.57-18%
Q4 2025$5.79-22%
Q3 2025$7.85+49%
Q2 2025$9.27+116%
Q1 2025$8.06+71%
Q4 2024$7.47+24%
Q3 2024$5.26-35%

BABA has the edge over MMYT on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MMYT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.46Q1 2024: $1.67Q2 2024: $1.69Q3 2024: $1.83Q4 2024: $1.84Q1 2025: $0.83Q2 2025: $0.86Q3 2025: $0.64Q4 2025: $0.49Q1 2026: $0.47Q2 2026: $0.33Q3 2026: $0.33Forward: $1.24
Q4 2023: $0.46Q1 2024: $1.67Q2 2024: $1.69Q3 2024: $1.83Q4 2024: $1.84Q1 2025: $0.83Q2 2025: $0.86Q3 2025: $0.64Q4 2025: $0.49Q1 2026: $0.47Q2 2026: $0.33Q3 2026: $0.33Forward: $1.24
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.24+276%
Q3 2026$0.33-48%
Q2 2026$0.33-62%
Q1 2026$0.47-43%
Q4 2025$0.49-73%
Q3 2025$0.64-65%
Q2 2025$0.86-49%
Q1 2025$0.83-50%
Q4 2024$1.84+300%

MMYT's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.33 over the past year, against $1.84 in late 2024.

BABA Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $33.7BQ4 2023: $39.1BQ1 2024: $33.3BQ2 2024: $36.5BQ3 2024: $35.5BQ4 2024: $42BQ1 2025: $35.5BQ2 2025: $37.2BQ3 2025: $37.2BQ4 2025: $42.7BQ1 2026: $36.5BQ2 2026: $40.2B
Q3 2023: $33.7BQ4 2023: $39.1BQ1 2024: $33.3BQ2 2024: $36.5BQ3 2024: $35.5BQ4 2024: $42BQ1 2025: $35.5BQ2 2025: $37.2BQ3 2025: $37.2BQ4 2025: $42.7BQ1 2026: $36.5BQ2 2026: $40.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$40.2B+8.3%
Q1 2026$36.5B+2.9%
Q4 2025$42.7B+1.7%
Q3 2025$37.2B+4.8%
Q2 2025$37.2B+1.8%
Q1 2025$35.5B+6.6%
Q4 2024$42B+7.6%
Q3 2024$35.5B+5.2%

BABA's revenue has grown year over year for 16 quarters in a row: $40.2B last quarter, up 8.3% from the same quarter a year ago.

MMYT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $214MQ1 2024: $203MQ2 2024: $255MQ3 2024: $211MQ4 2024: $267MQ1 2025: $245MQ2 2025: $269MQ3 2025: $229MQ4 2025: $296MQ1 2026: $250MQ2 2026: $286MQ3 2026: $229M
Q4 2023: $214MQ1 2024: $203MQ2 2024: $255MQ3 2024: $211MQ4 2024: $267MQ1 2025: $245MQ2 2025: $269MQ3 2025: $229MQ4 2025: $296MQ1 2026: $250MQ2 2026: $286MQ3 2026: $229M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$229.3M0%
Q2 2026$285.6M+6.2%
Q1 2026$250.1M+1.9%
Q4 2025$295.7M+11%
Q3 2025$229.3M+8.7%
Q2 2025$268.8M+5.6%
Q1 2025$245.5M+21%
Q4 2024$267.4M+25%

MMYT's revenue is growing: $229M last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.

BABA Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $5.4BQ4 2023: $11BQ1 2024: $34MQ2 2024: $3.2BQ3 2024: $2.1BQ4 2024: $10.4BQ1 2025: −$4.2BQ2 2025: −$2.7BQ3 2025: −$3.2BQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: −$2.7BQ2 2026: −$6.7B
Q3 2023: $5.4BQ4 2023: $11BQ1 2024: $34MQ2 2024: $3.2BQ3 2024: $2.1BQ4 2024: $10.4BQ1 2025: −$4.2BQ2 2025: −$2.7BQ3 2025: −$3.2BQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: −$2.7BQ2 2026: −$6.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026-$6.7B-$4.1B
Q1 2026-$2.7B+$1.5B
Q4 2025$1B-90%
Q3 2025-$3.2B-254%
Q2 2025-$2.7B-182%
Q1 2025-$4.2B-12231%
Q4 2024$10.4B-4.8%
Q3 2024$2.1B-62%

BABA's free cash flow has turned negative after years in the green: −$11.6B over the past year.

MMYT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $72MQ1 2024: −$7MQ2 2024: $72MQ3 2024: $36MQ4 2024: −$11MQ1 2025: $88MQ2 2025: $42MQ3 2025: $49MQ4 2025: $46MQ1 2026: $0Q2 2026: $0Q3 2026: $0
Q4 2023: $72MQ1 2024: −$7MQ2 2024: $72MQ3 2024: $36MQ4 2024: −$11MQ1 2025: $88MQ2 2025: $42MQ3 2025: $49MQ4 2025: $46MQ1 2026: $0Q2 2026: $0Q3 2026: $0
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$0-100%
Q2 2026$0-100%
Q1 2026$0-100%
Q4 2025$45.6M+$56.1M
Q3 2025$48.7M+37%
Q2 2025$41.8M-42%
Q1 2025$87.8M+$94.4M
Q4 2024-$10.5M-115%

MMYT has the edge over BABA on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

BABA Total Shares

Q3 2023: 2.6BQ4 2023: 2.5BQ1 2024: 2.5BQ2 2024: 2.4BQ3 2024: 2.4BQ4 2024: 2.4BQ1 2025: 2.4BQ2 2025: 2.4BQ3 2025: 2.4BQ4 2025: 2.4BQ1 2026: 2.4BQ2 2026: 2.4B
Q3 2023: 2.6BQ4 2023: 2.5BQ1 2024: 2.5BQ2 2024: 2.4BQ3 2024: 2.4BQ4 2024: 2.4BQ1 2025: 2.4BQ2 2025: 2.4BQ3 2025: 2.4BQ4 2025: 2.4BQ1 2026: 2.4BQ2 2026: 2.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.5%+11.1M shares
1 year+0.9%+21.4M shares
3 years-6.2%-161M shares
5 years-12%-339M shares
Available history-8.4%-221M shares

BABA has 2.4B diluted shares, up 0.9% from a year ago.

MMYT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 113MQ1 2024: 119MQ2 2024: 113MQ3 2024: 115MQ4 2024: 115MQ1 2025: 115MQ2 2025: 117MQ3 2025: 98MQ4 2025: 99MQ1 2026: 105MQ2 2026: 98MQ3 2026: 98M
Q4 2023: 113MQ1 2024: 119MQ2 2024: 113MQ3 2024: 115MQ4 2024: 115MQ1 2025: 115MQ2 2025: 117MQ3 2025: 98MQ4 2025: 99MQ1 2026: 105MQ2 2026: 98MQ3 2026: 98M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.2%-220K shares
1 year0%--
3 years-13%-14.5M shares
5 years-9.7%-10.5M shares
Available history-6.9%-7.3M shares

MMYT has the edge over BABA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

BABA Net Leverage

Q3 2023: -0.6xQ4 2023: -0.8xQ1 2024: -0.4xQ2 2024: -0.4xQ3 2024: -0.2xQ4 2024: 0.1xQ1 2025: 0.3xQ2 2025: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.8xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.5xQ2 2026: 0.5x
Q3 2023: -0.6xQ4 2023: -0.8xQ1 2024: -0.4xQ2 2024: -0.4xQ3 2024: -0.2xQ4 2024: 0.1xQ1 2025: 0.3xQ2 2025: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.8xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.5xQ2 2026: 0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20260.5xVery low
Q1 20260.5xVery low
Q4 20250.6xVery low
Q3 20250.8xVery low
Q2 20250.2xVery low
Q1 20250.3xVery low
Q4 20240.1xVery low
Q3 2024-0.2xNet Cash

BABA has the edge over MMYT on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

MMYT Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.8xQ1 2024: -0.8xQ2 2024: -0.8xQ3 2024: -1.0xQ4 2024: -0.9xQ1 2025: -1.7xQ2 2025: 5.1xQ3 2025: 6.3xQ4 2025: 6.7xQ1 2026: 4.7xQ2 2026: 6.2xQ3 2026: 6.3x
Q4 2023: -0.8xQ1 2024: -0.8xQ2 2024: -0.8xQ3 2024: -1.0xQ4 2024: -0.9xQ1 2025: -1.7xQ2 2025: 5.1xQ3 2025: 6.3xQ4 2025: 6.7xQ1 2026: 4.7xQ2 2026: 6.2xQ3 2026: 6.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20266.3xHigh
Q2 20266.2xHigh
Q1 20264.7xHigh
Q4 20256.7xHigh
Q3 20256.3xHigh
Q2 20255.1xHigh
Q1 2025-1.7xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.9xNet Cash

MMYT's net debt is about 6.3 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

BABA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI38.0Neutral
Stochastic12.7Oversold

BABA's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 13 (oversold).

MMYT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI49.8Neutral
Stochastic37.3Neutral

MMYT's weekly RSI is 50 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 37 (neutral).

BABA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricBABASector medianRelative
PE21x18x19% above
PE %604713 pts above

BABA has the edge over MMYT on valuation relative to its sector.

MMYT PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricMMYTSector medianRelative
PE156x18x763% above
PE %834736 pts above

MMYT is trading at 156x earnings, a 763% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

BABA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$104.79.9% below
20 week MA$111.115% below
50 week MA$128.026% below
100 week MA$127.726% below
200 week MA$106.411% below

BABA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 11% below its 200-week average.

MMYT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$46.210% above
20 week MA$52.02% below
50 week MA$54.46.2% below
100 week MA$76.133% below
200 week MA$66.924% below

MMYT has the edge over BABA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

BABA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$215.5$222.0+3%
2021$222.0$118.7-47%
2022$118.7$85.7-28%
2023$85.7$77.5-9.5%
2024$77.5$85.1+9.7%
2025$85.1$152.2+79%
2026 YTD$152.2$94.4-38%

BABA has the edge over MMYT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

MMYT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$23.6$27.2+15%
2021$27.2$28.3+4.1%
2022$28.3$28.0-1.1%
2023$28.0$47.0+68%
2024$47.0$114.5+144%
2025$114.5$83.3-27%
2026 YTD$83.3$51.0-39%

MMYT is down 39% so far in 2026, after finishing higher in four of the previous six years.

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