BABA
Alibaba Group Holding Limited
BABA offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
MLR
Miller Industries, Inc.
MLR has a slight edge over BABA overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and lower modeled downside.
BABA Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Weak | |
| Healthy |
BABA's balance sheet is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.
MLR Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
MLR's cash flow and balance sheet are currently strong, and its revenue and profitability are stable.
BABA PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 16x | $69.66 | -26% |
| Fair | 20x | $86.59 | -8.2% |
| Current | 21x | $94.36 | — |
| Expensive | 26x | $115 | +22% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
BABA has the edge over MLR in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
MLR PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 9.6x | $14.45 | -70% |
| Fair | 14x | $20.88 | -57% |
| Forward | 17x | $48.71 | — |
| Expensive | 21x | $31.75 | -35% |
| Current | 32x | $48.71 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
MLR's PE is in its expensive range at 32x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 17x next year's earnings.
BABA Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for BABA, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
MLR Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for MLR, with profitability improving.
BABA Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $4.42 | -52% |
| Q1 2026 | $6.57 | -18% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.79 | -22% |
| Q3 2025 | $7.85 | +49% |
| Q2 2025 | $9.27 | +116% |
| Q1 2025 | $8.06 | +71% |
| Q4 2024 | $7.47 | +24% |
| Q3 2024 | $5.26 | -35% |
BABA has the edge over MLR on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
MLR Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.85 | +90% |
| Q3 2026 | $1.50 | -42% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.24 | -66% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.34 | -71% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.98 | -64% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.58 | -57% |
| Q2 2025 | $3.64 | -41% |
| Q1 2025 | $4.69 | -18% |
| Q4 2024 | $5.47 | +7.9% |
MLR's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $1.50 over the past year, against $6.22 in mid-2024.
BABA Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $40.2B | +8.3% |
| Q1 2026 | $36.5B | +2.9% |
| Q4 2025 | $42.7B | +1.7% |
| Q3 2025 | $37.2B | +4.8% |
| Q2 2025 | $37.2B | +1.8% |
| Q1 2025 | $35.5B | +6.6% |
| Q4 2024 | $42B | +7.6% |
| Q3 2024 | $35.5B | +5.2% |
BABA has the edge over MLR on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 7.2% | -6.9 points |
| Q1 2026 | -0.3% | -12 points |
| Q4 2025 | 7.1% | -7.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 2.2% | -13 points |
| Q2 2025 | 14% | -0.7 points |
| Q1 2025 | 12% | +5.4 points |
| Q4 2024 | 15% | +6.1 points |
| Q3 2024 | 15% | 0 points |
BABA has the edge over MLR on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
MLR Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $212.2M | +19% |
| Q2 2026 | $240M | +12% |
| Q1 2026 | $180.9M | -20% |
| Q4 2025 | $171.9M | -23% |
| Q3 2025 | $178.7M | -43% |
| Q2 2025 | $214M | -42% |
| Q1 2025 | $225.7M | -36% |
| Q4 2024 | $221.9M | -25% |
MLR's revenue is recovering but still below its 2024 peak: $212M last quarter, up 19% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 3.5% | +1.1 points |
| Q2 2026 | 4.2% | -1.1 points |
| Q1 2026 | 0.9% | -3.9 points |
| Q4 2025 | 2.9% | -2.8 points |
| Q3 2025 | 2.4% | -3.9 points |
| Q2 2025 | 5.3% | -1.8 points |
| Q1 2025 | 4.8% | -1.4 points |
| Q4 2024 | 5.7% | -1.4 points |
MLR's operating margin was 3.5% last quarter, up 1.1 points from the same quarter a year ago.
BABA Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$6.7B | -$4.1B |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.7B | +$1.5B |
| Q4 2025 | $1B | -90% |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.2B | -254% |
| Q2 2025 | -$2.7B | -182% |
| Q1 2025 | -$4.2B | -12231% |
| Q4 2024 | $10.4B | -4.8% |
| Q3 2024 | $2.1B | -62% |
BABA's free cash flow has turned negative after years in the green: −$11.6B over the past year.
MLR Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $13.7M | -25% |
| Q2 2026 | $28M | +9.7% |
| Q1 2026 | $22.8M | +$25.2M |
| Q4 2025 | $43.8M | +$56.7M |
| Q3 2025 | $18.1M | -25% |
| Q2 2025 | $25.6M | +$39.4M |
| Q1 2025 | -$2.4M | -156% |
| Q4 2024 | -$13M | -396% |
MLR has the edge over BABA on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
BABA Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.5% | +11.1M shares |
| 1 year | +0.9% | +21.4M shares |
| 3 years | -6.2% | -161M shares |
| 5 years | -12% | -339M shares |
| Available history | -8.4% | -221M shares |
BABA has 2.4B diluted shares, up 0.9% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | $269.8M |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
BABA spent $270M buying back its own shares over the past year, after none the year before.
MLR Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.3% | -36.5K shares |
| 1 year | -0.9% | -110K shares |
| 3 years | -0.3% | -30K shares |
| 5 years | +0.6% | +74K shares |
| Available history | +0.7% | +85K shares |
MLR has the edge over BABA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $2.7M |
| Q2 2026 | $2.5M |
| Q1 2026 | $2.2M |
| Q4 2025 | $2.2M |
| Q3 2025 | $1.2M |
| Q2 2025 | $500,000 |
| Q1 2025 | $2.1M |
| Q4 2024 | — |
MLR spent $10M buying back its own shares over the past year, up 155% from the year before.
BABA Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.8x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q3 2024 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
BABA's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).
MLR Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -1.4x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -1.4x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -0.8x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -0.3x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.4x | Very low |
MLR has the edge over BABA on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
BABA Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 38.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 12.7 | Oversold |
BABA's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 13 (oversold).
MLR Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 44.5 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 20.2 | Neutral |
MLR's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 20 (neutral).
BABA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | BABA | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 21x | 18x | 19% above |
| PE % | 60 | 47 | 13 pts above |
BABA has the edge over MLR on valuation relative to its sector.
MLR PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | MLR | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 32x | 18x | 80% above |
| PE % | 93 | 47 | 46 pts above |
MLR is trading at 32x earnings, a 80% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
BABA Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $104.7 | 9.9% below |
| 20 week MA | $111.1 | 15% below |
| 50 week MA | $128.0 | 26% below |
| 100 week MA | $127.7 | 26% below |
| 200 week MA | $106.4 | 11% below |
BABA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 11% below its 200-week average.
MLR Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $51.2 | 4.9% below |
| 20 week MA | $52.5 | 7.1% below |
| 50 week MA | $47.6 | 2.4% above |
| 100 week MA | $47.3 | 3% above |
| 200 week MA | $46.8 | 4.2% above |
MLR has the edge over BABA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
BABA Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $215.5 | $222.0 | +3% |
| 2021 | $222.0 | $118.7 | -47% |
| 2022 | $118.7 | $85.7 | -28% |
| 2023 | $85.7 | $77.5 | -9.5% |
| 2024 | $77.5 | $85.1 | +9.7% |
| 2025 | $85.1 | $152.2 | +79% |
| 2026 YTD | $152.2 | $94.4 | -38% |
BABA has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 38% so far in 2026.
MLR Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $37.2 | $36.8 | -1% |
| 2021 | $36.8 | $32.5 | -12% |
| 2022 | $32.5 | $26.4 | -19% |
| 2023 | $26.4 | $42.3 | +60% |
| 2024 | $42.3 | $65.7 | +55% |
| 2025 | $65.7 | $38.2 | -42% |
| 2026 YTD | $38.2 | $48.7 | +28% |
MLR has the edge over BABA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.