BABA
Alibaba Group Holding Limited
BABA's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.
MLCO
Melco Resorts & Entertainment Limited
MLCO has the edge over BABA overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger valuation.
BABA Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Weak | |
| Healthy |
BABA's balance sheet is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.
MLCO Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Strong | |
| Stable | |
| Weak |
MLCO's profitability is currently strong, and its revenue and cash flow are stable, but its balance sheet is weak.
BABA PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 16x | $69.66 | -26% |
| Fair | 20x | $86.59 | -8.2% |
| Current | 21x | $94.36 | — |
| Expensive | 26x | $115 | +22% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
BABA's PE is 21x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.
MLCO PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | 7x | $4.18 | — |
| Cheap | 9.5x | $5.68 | +36% |
| Fair | 30x | $17.78 | +325% |
| Expensive | 50x | $30.05 | +619% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
MLCO has the edge over BABA in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
BABA Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
BABA has the edge over MLCO on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.
MLCO Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Stable | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect MLCO's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
BABA Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $4.42 | -52% |
| Q1 2026 | $6.57 | -18% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.79 | -22% |
| Q3 2025 | $7.85 | +49% |
| Q2 2025 | $9.27 | +116% |
| Q1 2025 | $8.06 | +71% |
| Q4 2024 | $7.47 | +24% |
| Q3 2024 | $5.26 | -35% |
BABA's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $4.42 over the past year, against $9.27 in mid-2025. Its recent earnings include one-off gains.
MLCO Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $0.60 | +362% |
| Q1 2026 | $0.58 | +314% |
| Q4 2025 | $0.46 | +360% |
| Q3 2025 | $0.26 | +$0.53 |
| Q2 2025 | $0.13 | +$0.50 |
| Q1 2025 | $0.14 | +$0.62 |
| Q4 2024 | $0.10 | +$0.84 |
| Q3 2024 | -$0.27 | +$0.71 |
MLCO has the edge over BABA on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
BABA Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $40.2B | +8.3% |
| Q1 2026 | $36.5B | +2.9% |
| Q4 2025 | $42.7B | +1.7% |
| Q3 2025 | $37.2B | +4.8% |
| Q2 2025 | $37.2B | +1.8% |
| Q1 2025 | $35.5B | +6.6% |
| Q4 2024 | $42B | +7.6% |
| Q3 2024 | $35.5B | +5.2% |
BABA's revenue has grown year over year for 16 quarters in a row: $40.2B last quarter, up 8.3% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 7.2% | -6.9 points |
| Q1 2026 | -0.3% | -12 points |
| Q4 2025 | 7.1% | -7.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 2.2% | -13 points |
| Q2 2025 | 14% | -0.7 points |
| Q1 2025 | 12% | +5.4 points |
| Q4 2024 | 15% | +6.1 points |
| Q3 2024 | 15% | 0 points |
BABA's operating margin was 7.2% last quarter, down 6.9 points from the same quarter a year ago.
MLCO Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $1.3B | -5.6% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.4B | +11% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.3B | +8.6% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.3B | +11% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.3B | +15% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.2B | +11% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.2B | +8.9% |
| Q3 2024 | $1.2B | +16% |
MLCO's revenue is growing: $1.3B last quarter, down 5.6% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 10% | +0.9 points |
| Q1 2026 | 13% | +1.6 points |
| Q4 2025 | 11% | +3.2 points |
| Q3 2025 | 14% | +2.3 points |
| Q2 2025 | 9.4% | -1.3 points |
| Q1 2025 | 12% | +0.5 points |
| Q4 2024 | 8.1% | +17 points |
| Q3 2024 | 12% | +2.5 points |
MLCO has the edge over BABA on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
BABA Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$6.7B | -$4.1B |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.7B | +$1.5B |
| Q4 2025 | $1B | -90% |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.2B | -254% |
| Q2 2025 | -$2.7B | -182% |
| Q1 2025 | -$4.2B | -12231% |
| Q4 2024 | $10.4B | -4.8% |
| Q3 2024 | $2.1B | -62% |
BABA has the edge over MLCO on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
MLCO Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $0 | $0 |
| Q1 2026 | $0 | $0 |
| Q4 2025 | $0 | $0 |
| Q3 2025 | $0 | $0 |
| Q2 2025 | $0 | $0 |
| Q1 2025 | $0 | $0 |
| Q4 2024 | $0 | $0 |
| Q3 2024 | $0 | $0 |
MLCO's free cash flow was $0 over the past year, against $0 the year before.
BABA Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.5% | +11.1M shares |
| 1 year | +0.9% | +21.4M shares |
| 3 years | -6.2% | -161M shares |
| 5 years | -12% | -339M shares |
| Available history | -8.4% | -221M shares |
BABA has 2.4B diluted shares, up 0.9% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | $269.8M |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
BABA spent $270M buying back its own shares over the past year, after none the year before.
MLCO Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -1.2% | -4.8M shares |
| 1 year | -6.9% | -29M shares |
| 3 years | -11% | -48.1M shares |
| 5 years | -19% | -90.6M shares |
| Available history | -19% | -92.4M shares |
MLCO has the edge over BABA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
MLCO hasn't bought back shares in the past year.
BABA Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.8x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q3 2024 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
BABA has the edge over MLCO on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
MLCO Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 5.4x | High |
| Q1 2026 | 5.0x | High |
| Q4 2025 | 5.2x | High |
| Q3 2025 | 5.7x | High |
| Q2 2025 | 6.1x | High |
| Q1 2025 | 6.2x | High |
| Q4 2024 | 6.3x | High |
| Q3 2024 | 7.5x | High |
MLCO's net debt is about 5.4 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 6.1 years a year ago.
BABA Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 38.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 12.7 | Oversold |
BABA's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 13 (oversold).
MLCO Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 37.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 25.9 | Neutral |
MLCO's weekly RSI is 37 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 26 (neutral).
BABA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | BABA | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 21x | 18x | 19% above |
| PE % | 60 | 47 | 13 pts above |
BABA is trading at 21x earnings, a 19% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x, though its earnings don't support one.
MLCO PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | MLCO | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 7x | 18x | 61% below |
| PE % | 2 | 47 | 45 pts below |
MLCO has the edge over BABA on valuation relative to its sector.
BABA Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $104.7 | 9.9% below |
| 20 week MA | $111.1 | 15% below |
| 50 week MA | $128.0 | 26% below |
| 100 week MA | $127.7 | 26% below |
| 200 week MA | $106.4 | 11% below |
BABA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 11% below its 200-week average.
MLCO Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $4.21 | 0.7% below |
| 20 week MA | $4.90 | 15% below |
| 50 week MA | $5.64 | 26% below |
| 100 week MA | $6.38 | 34% below |
| 200 week MA | $7.74 | 46% below |
MLCO is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 46% below its 200-week average.
BABA Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $215.5 | $222.0 | +3% |
| 2021 | $222.0 | $118.7 | -47% |
| 2022 | $118.7 | $85.7 | -28% |
| 2023 | $85.7 | $77.5 | -9.5% |
| 2024 | $77.5 | $85.1 | +9.7% |
| 2025 | $85.1 | $152.2 | +79% |
| 2026 YTD | $152.2 | $94.4 | -38% |
BABA has the edge over MLCO on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
MLCO Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $24.4 | $18.6 | -24% |
| 2021 | $18.6 | $10.4 | -44% |
| 2022 | $10.4 | $11.2 | +7% |
| 2023 | $11.2 | $8.87 | -21% |
| 2024 | $8.87 | $5.88 | -34% |
| 2025 | $5.88 | $8.01 | +36% |
| 2026 YTD | $8.01 | $4.18 | -48% |
MLCO has finished lower in four of the last six years. It's down 48% so far in 2026.