BABA
Alibaba Group Holding Limited
BABA offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
MHK
Mohawk Industries, Inc.
MHK has a slight edge over BABA overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.
BABA Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Weak | |
| Healthy |
BABA's balance sheet is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.
MHK Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Healthy |
MHK's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.
BABA PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 16x | $69.66 | -26% |
| Fair | 20x | $86.59 | -8.2% |
| Current | 21x | $94.36 | — |
| Expensive | 26x | $115 | +22% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
BABA has the edge over MHK in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
MHK PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 9.3x | $79.26 | -46% |
| Fair | 15x | $126 | -14% |
| Forward | 16x | $147 | — |
| Current | 17x | $147 | — |
| Expensive | 21x | $182 | +24% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
MHK's PE is in its expensive range at 17x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 16x, in its fair range.
BABA Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
BABA has the edge over MHK on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.
MHK Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect MHK's earnings, revenue and profitability to hold roughly steady.
BABA Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $4.42 | -52% |
| Q1 2026 | $6.57 | -18% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.79 | -22% |
| Q3 2025 | $7.85 | +49% |
| Q2 2025 | $9.27 | +116% |
| Q1 2025 | $8.06 | +71% |
| Q4 2024 | $7.47 | +24% |
| Q3 2024 | $5.26 | -35% |
BABA's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $4.42 over the past year, against $9.27 in mid-2025. Its recent earnings include one-off gains.
MHK Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $9.11 | +6.8% |
| Q3 2026 | $8.53 | +27% |
| Q2 2026 | $7.56 | +0.4% |
| Q1 2026 | $6.68 | -13% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.93 | -27% |
| Q3 2025 | $6.73 | -24% |
| Q2 2025 | $7.53 | +$13.17 |
| Q1 2025 | $7.65 | +$14.17 |
| Q4 2024 | $8.14 | +$15.04 |
MHK has the edge over BABA on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
BABA Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $40.2B | +8.3% |
| Q1 2026 | $36.5B | +2.9% |
| Q4 2025 | $42.7B | +1.7% |
| Q3 2025 | $37.2B | +4.8% |
| Q2 2025 | $37.2B | +1.8% |
| Q1 2025 | $35.5B | +6.6% |
| Q4 2024 | $42B | +7.6% |
| Q3 2024 | $35.5B | +5.2% |
BABA has the edge over MHK on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 7.2% | -6.9 points |
| Q1 2026 | -0.3% | -12 points |
| Q4 2025 | 7.1% | -7.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 2.2% | -13 points |
| Q2 2025 | 14% | -0.7 points |
| Q1 2025 | 12% | +5.4 points |
| Q4 2024 | 15% | +6.1 points |
| Q3 2024 | 15% | 0 points |
BABA has the edge over MHK on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
MHK Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $2.8B | +1% |
| Q2 2026 | $3B | +6.8% |
| Q1 2026 | $2.7B | +8% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.7B | +2.4% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.8B | +1.4% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.8B | 0% |
| Q1 2025 | $2.5B | -5.7% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.6B | +1% |
MHK's revenue has grown year over year for six quarters in a row: $2.8B last quarter, up 1% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 6.7% | +1.8 points |
| Q2 2026 | 8.5% | +1.8 points |
| Q1 2026 | 4.1% | +0.3 points |
| Q4 2025 | 2.5% | -2.1 points |
| Q3 2025 | 5% | -2.8 points |
| Q2 2025 | 6.7% | -0.9 points |
| Q1 2025 | 3.8% | -1.7 points |
| Q4 2024 | 4.6% | -1.8 points |
MHK's operating margin was 6.7% last quarter, up 1.8 points from the same quarter a year ago.
BABA Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$6.7B | -$4.1B |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.7B | +$1.5B |
| Q4 2025 | $1B | -90% |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.2B | -254% |
| Q2 2025 | -$2.7B | -182% |
| Q1 2025 | -$4.2B | -12231% |
| Q4 2024 | $10.4B | -4.8% |
| Q3 2024 | $2.1B | -62% |
BABA's free cash flow has turned negative after years in the green: −$11.6B over the past year.
MHK Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $390.3M | +26% |
| Q2 2026 | $228.2M | +81% |
| Q1 2026 | $7.8M | +$93.2M |
| Q4 2025 | $265.2M | +12% |
| Q3 2025 | $310.3M | +52% |
| Q2 2025 | $126.1M | -11% |
| Q1 2025 | -$85.4M | -188% |
| Q4 2024 | $236.2M | +322% |
MHK has the edge over BABA on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
BABA Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.5% | +11.1M shares |
| 1 year | +0.9% | +21.4M shares |
| 3 years | -6.2% | -161M shares |
| 5 years | -12% | -339M shares |
| Available history | -8.4% | -221M shares |
BABA has 2.4B diluted shares, up 0.9% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | $269.8M |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
BABA spent $270M buying back its own shares over the past year, after none the year before.
MHK Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -1.5% | -900K shares |
| 1 year | -3.7% | -2.3M shares |
| 3 years | -5.8% | -3.7M shares |
| 5 years | -13% | -8.9M shares |
| Available history | -17% | -12.3M shares |
MHK has the edge over BABA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $260.9M |
| Q2 2026 | $59.9M |
| Q1 2026 | $64.7M |
| Q4 2025 | $41.1M |
| Q3 2025 | $40.6M |
| Q2 2025 | $42.6M |
| Q1 2025 | $25.5M |
| Q4 2024 | $74.9M |
MHK spent $427M buying back its own shares over the past year, up 132% from the year before.
BABA Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.8x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q3 2024 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
BABA has the edge over MHK on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
MHK Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.8x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.9x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 1.0x | Healthy |
| Q4 2025 | 1.0x | Healthy |
| Q3 2025 | 1.2x | Healthy |
| Q2 2025 | 1.3x | Healthy |
| Q1 2025 | 1.3x | Healthy |
| Q4 2024 | 1.2x | Healthy |
MHK's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 1.2 years a year ago.
BABA Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 38.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 12.7 | Oversold |
BABA's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 13 (oversold).
MHK Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 64.4 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 84.5 | Overbought |
MHK's weekly RSI is 64 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 85 (overbought).
BABA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | BABA | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 21x | 18x | 19% above |
| PE % | 60 | 47 | 13 pts above |
BABA is trading at 21x earnings, a 19% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x, though its earnings don't support one.
MHK PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | MHK | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 17x | 18x | 4.6% below |
| PE % | 69 | 47 | 22 pts above |
MHK has the edge over BABA on valuation relative to its sector.
BABA Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $104.7 | 9.9% below |
| 20 week MA | $111.1 | 15% below |
| 50 week MA | $128.0 | 26% below |
| 100 week MA | $127.7 | 26% below |
| 200 week MA | $106.4 | 11% below |
BABA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 11% below its 200-week average.
MHK Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $131.4 | 12% above |
| 20 week MA | $127.9 | 15% above |
| 50 week MA | $117.5 | 25% above |
| 100 week MA | $116.8 | 26% above |
| 200 week MA | $115.1 | 27% above |
MHK has the edge over BABA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
BABA Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $215.5 | $222.0 | +3% |
| 2021 | $222.0 | $118.7 | -47% |
| 2022 | $118.7 | $85.7 | -28% |
| 2023 | $85.7 | $77.5 | -9.5% |
| 2024 | $77.5 | $85.1 | +9.7% |
| 2025 | $85.1 | $152.2 | +79% |
| 2026 YTD | $152.2 | $94.4 | -38% |
BABA has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 38% so far in 2026.
MHK Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $134.4 | $138.7 | +3.2% |
| 2021 | $138.7 | $171.2 | +23% |
| 2022 | $171.2 | $98.0 | -43% |
| 2023 | $98.0 | $103.5 | +5.7% |
| 2024 | $103.5 | $118.8 | +15% |
| 2025 | $118.8 | $110.2 | -7.2% |
| 2026 YTD | $110.2 | $146.6 | +33% |
MHK has the edge over BABA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.