BABA
Alibaba Group Holding Limited
BABA offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
MGA
Magna International Inc.
MGA has a slight edge over BABA overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.
BABA Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Weak | |
| Healthy |
BABA's balance sheet is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.
MGA Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Healthy |
MGA's cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and profitability are stable.
BABA PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 16x | $69.66 | -26% |
| Fair | 20x | $86.59 | -8.2% |
| Current | 21x | $94.36 | — |
| Expensive | 26x | $115 | +22% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
BABA has the edge over MGA in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
MGA PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 8.3x | $62.37 | — |
| Cheap | 10x | $27.49 | -56% |
| Fair | 15x | $39.61 | -36% |
| Current | 23x | $62.37 | — |
| Expensive | 27x | $72.35 | +16% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
MGA's PE is in its expensive range at 23x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 8.3x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.
BABA Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
BABA has the edge over MGA on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.
MGA Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Stable | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect MGA's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.
BABA Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $4.42 | -52% |
| Q1 2026 | $6.57 | -18% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.79 | -22% |
| Q3 2025 | $7.85 | +49% |
| Q2 2025 | $9.27 | +116% |
| Q1 2025 | $8.06 | +71% |
| Q4 2024 | $7.47 | +24% |
| Q3 2024 | $5.26 | -35% |
BABA has the edge over MGA on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
MGA Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $7.53 | +179% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.70 | -37% |
| Q1 2026 | $2.38 | -41% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.95 | -16% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.66 | -2.1% |
| Q2 2025 | $4.26 | +24% |
| Q1 2025 | $4.00 | +14% |
| Q4 2024 | $3.51 | -17% |
| Q3 2024 | $3.74 | +3.6% |
MGA's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $2.70 over the past year, against $7.23 in mid-2021.
BABA Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $40.2B | +8.3% |
| Q1 2026 | $36.5B | +2.9% |
| Q4 2025 | $42.7B | +1.7% |
| Q3 2025 | $37.2B | +4.8% |
| Q2 2025 | $37.2B | +1.8% |
| Q1 2025 | $35.5B | +6.6% |
| Q4 2024 | $42B | +7.6% |
| Q3 2024 | $35.5B | +5.2% |
BABA has the edge over MGA on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 7.2% | -6.9 points |
| Q1 2026 | -0.3% | -12 points |
| Q4 2025 | 7.1% | -7.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 2.2% | -13 points |
| Q2 2025 | 14% | -0.7 points |
| Q1 2025 | 12% | +5.4 points |
| Q4 2024 | 15% | +6.1 points |
| Q3 2024 | 15% | 0 points |
BABA has the edge over MGA on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
MGA Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $10.7B | +0.7% |
| Q1 2026 | $10.2B | +1.7% |
| Q4 2025 | $11B | +3.6% |
| Q3 2025 | $10.5B | +1.8% |
| Q2 2025 | $10.6B | -3% |
| Q1 2025 | $10.1B | -8.2% |
| Q4 2024 | $10.6B | +1.7% |
| Q3 2024 | $10.3B | -3.8% |
MGA's revenue grew through 2023 and has held roughly level since: $10.7B last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 5.6% | +0.7 points |
| Q1 2026 | 4.3% | +1.2 points |
| Q4 2025 | 6.8% | +1 points |
| Q3 2025 | 9.2% | +3.8 points |
| Q2 2025 | 4.9% | 0 points |
| Q1 2025 | 3.1% | -0.6 points |
| Q4 2024 | 5.8% | +0.8 points |
| Q3 2024 | 5.4% | +5.4 points |
MGA's operating margin was 5.6% last quarter, up 0.7 points from the same quarter a year ago.
BABA Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$6.7B | -$4.1B |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.7B | +$1.5B |
| Q4 2025 | $1B | -90% |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.2B | -254% |
| Q2 2025 | -$2.7B | -182% |
| Q1 2025 | -$4.2B | -12231% |
| Q4 2024 | $10.4B | -4.8% |
| Q3 2024 | $2.1B | -62% |
BABA's free cash flow has turned negative after years in the green: −$11.6B over the past year.
MGA Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $654M | +72% |
| Q1 2026 | $458M | +$649M |
| Q4 2025 | $1.5B | +21% |
| Q3 2025 | $645M | +157% |
| Q2 2025 | $381M | +61% |
| Q1 2025 | -$191M | +$41M |
| Q4 2024 | $1.2B | +89% |
| Q3 2024 | $251M | +74% |
MGA has the edge over BABA on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
BABA Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.5% | +11.1M shares |
| 1 year | +0.9% | +21.4M shares |
| 3 years | -6.2% | -161M shares |
| 5 years | -12% | -339M shares |
| Available history | -8.4% | -221M shares |
BABA has 2.4B diluted shares, up 0.9% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | $269.8M |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
BABA spent $270M buying back its own shares over the past year, after none the year before.
MGA Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -1.8% | -4.9M shares |
| 1 year | -3% | -8.5M shares |
| 3 years | -4.6% | -13.1M shares |
| 5 years | -10% | -30.4M shares |
| Available history | -12% | -37.5M shares |
MGA has the edge over BABA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $465M |
| Q1 2026 | $440M |
| Q4 2025 | $86M |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | $961,376 |
| Q1 2025 | $51M |
| Q4 2024 | $202M |
| Q3 2024 | — |
MGA spent $991M buying back its own shares over the past year, about four times what it spent the year before.
BABA Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.8x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q3 2024 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
BABA has the edge over MGA on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
MGA Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 1.5x | Healthy |
| Q1 2026 | 1.5x | Healthy |
| Q4 2025 | 1.5x | Healthy |
| Q3 2025 | 1.6x | Healthy |
| Q2 2025 | 1.6x | Healthy |
| Q1 2025 | 1.6x | Healthy |
| Q4 2024 | 1.5x | Healthy |
| Q3 2024 | 1.9x | Healthy |
MGA's net debt is about 1.4 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 1.6 years a year ago.
BABA Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 38.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 12.7 | Oversold |
BABA's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 13 (oversold).
MGA Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 46.9 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 10.9 | Oversold |
MGA's weekly RSI is 47 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 11 (oversold).
BABA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | BABA | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 21x | 18x | 19% above |
| PE % | 60 | 47 | 13 pts above |
BABA has the edge over MGA on valuation relative to its sector.
MGA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | MGA | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 23x | 18x | 28% above |
| PE % | 70 | 47 | 23 pts above |
MGA is trading at 23x earnings, a 28% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
BABA Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $104.7 | 9.9% below |
| 20 week MA | $111.1 | 15% below |
| 50 week MA | $128.0 | 26% below |
| 100 week MA | $127.7 | 26% below |
| 200 week MA | $106.4 | 11% below |
BABA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 11% below its 200-week average.
MGA Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $64.0 | 2.5% below |
| 20 week MA | $65.9 | 5.3% below |
| 50 week MA | $61.6 | 1.2% above |
| 100 week MA | $51.2 | 22% above |
| 200 week MA | $51.2 | 22% above |
MGA has the edge over BABA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
BABA Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $215.5 | $222.0 | +3% |
| 2021 | $222.0 | $118.7 | -47% |
| 2022 | $118.7 | $85.7 | -28% |
| 2023 | $85.7 | $77.5 | -9.5% |
| 2024 | $77.5 | $85.1 | +9.7% |
| 2025 | $85.1 | $152.2 | +79% |
| 2026 YTD | $152.2 | $94.4 | -38% |
BABA has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 38% so far in 2026.
MGA Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $55.3 | $70.6 | +28% |
| 2021 | $70.6 | $79.5 | +13% |
| 2022 | $79.5 | $55.5 | -30% |
| 2023 | $55.5 | $59.1 | +6.5% |
| 2024 | $59.1 | $42.2 | -29% |
| 2025 | $42.2 | $54.0 | +28% |
| 2026 YTD | $54.0 | $62.4 | +16% |
MGA has the edge over BABA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.