BABA
Alibaba Group Holding Limited
BABA has the edge over MCFT overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and lower modeled downside.
MCFT
MasterCraft Boat Holdings, Inc.
MCFT offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
BABA Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Weak | |
| Healthy |
BABA's balance sheet is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.
MCFT Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong |
MCFT's revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable.
BABA PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 16x | $69.66 | -26% |
| Fair | 20x | $86.59 | -8.2% |
| Current | 21x | $94.36 | — |
| Expensive | 26x | $115 | +22% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
BABA has the edge over MCFT in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
MCFT PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 6.7x | $1.21 | -94% |
| Fair | 9.3x | $1.67 | -92% |
| Expensive | 24x | $4.36 | -80% |
| Current | 120x | $21.59 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
MCFT's PE is in its expensive range at 120x.
BABA Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for BABA, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
MCFT Forward outlook
There aren't enough analyst estimates for MCFT to show an outlook.
BABA Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $4.42 | -52% |
| Q1 2026 | $6.57 | -18% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.79 | -22% |
| Q3 2025 | $7.85 | +49% |
| Q2 2025 | $9.27 | +116% |
| Q1 2025 | $8.06 | +71% |
| Q4 2024 | $7.47 | +24% |
| Q3 2024 | $5.26 | -35% |
BABA has the edge over MCFT on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
MCFT Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $0.18 | -81% |
| Q2 2026 | -$0.10 | -123% |
| Q1 2026 | $0.68 | +$1.05 |
| Q4 2025 | $0.96 | +$1.34 |
| Q3 2025 | $0.97 | +$1.18 |
| Q2 2025 | $0.44 | -4.3% |
| Q1 2025 | -$0.37 | -117% |
| Q4 2024 | -$0.38 | -112% |
MCFT's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.18 over the past year, against $4.04 in late 2023.
BABA Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $40.2B | +8.3% |
| Q1 2026 | $36.5B | +2.9% |
| Q4 2025 | $42.7B | +1.7% |
| Q3 2025 | $37.2B | +4.8% |
| Q2 2025 | $37.2B | +1.8% |
| Q1 2025 | $35.5B | +6.6% |
| Q4 2024 | $42B | +7.6% |
| Q3 2024 | $35.5B | +5.2% |
BABA's revenue has grown year over year for 16 quarters in a row: $40.2B last quarter, up 8.3% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 7.2% | -6.9 points |
| Q1 2026 | -0.3% | -12 points |
| Q4 2025 | 7.1% | -7.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 2.2% | -13 points |
| Q2 2025 | 14% | -0.7 points |
| Q1 2025 | 12% | +5.4 points |
| Q4 2024 | 15% | +6.1 points |
| Q3 2024 | 15% | 0 points |
BABA's operating margin was 7.2% last quarter, down 6.9 points from the same quarter a year ago.
MCFT Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $154.1M | +123% |
| Q2 2026 | $129.9M | +63% |
| Q1 2026 | $78.2M | +3% |
| Q4 2025 | $71.8M | +13% |
| Q3 2025 | $69M | +5.6% |
| Q2 2025 | $79.5M | +18% |
| Q1 2025 | $76M | -21% |
| Q4 2024 | $63.4M | -36% |
MCFT's revenue is recovering but still below its 2022 peak: $154M last quarter, up 123% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 7.8% | +2.3 points |
| Q2 2026 | -4.9% | -12 points |
| Q1 2026 | -1.7% | -7.1 points |
| Q4 2025 | 3.8% | +3.5 points |
| Q3 2025 | 5.5% | +3.9 points |
| Q2 2025 | 7.5% | +25 points |
| Q1 2025 | 5.4% | +1.2 points |
| Q4 2024 | 0.3% | -6.8 points |
MCFT has the edge over BABA on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
BABA Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$6.7B | -$4.1B |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.7B | +$1.5B |
| Q4 2025 | $1B | -90% |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.2B | -254% |
| Q2 2025 | -$2.7B | -182% |
| Q1 2025 | -$4.2B | -12231% |
| Q4 2024 | $10.4B | -4.8% |
| Q3 2024 | $2.1B | -62% |
BABA's free cash flow has turned negative after years in the green: −$11.6B over the past year.
MCFT Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $2.9M | +$12.8M |
| Q2 2026 | $14.6M | -18% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.8M | -13% |
| Q4 2025 | $14M | +245% |
| Q3 2025 | -$9.9M | -5083% |
| Q2 2025 | $17.9M | +$31.4M |
| Q1 2025 | $4.3M | +$5.2M |
| Q4 2024 | $4M | -83% |
MCFT has the edge over BABA on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
BABA Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.5% | +11.1M shares |
| 1 year | +0.9% | +21.4M shares |
| 3 years | -6.2% | -161M shares |
| 5 years | -12% | -339M shares |
| Available history | -8.4% | -221M shares |
BABA has the edge over MCFT on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | $269.8M |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
BABA spent $270M buying back its own shares over the past year, after none the year before.
MCFT Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +51% | +8.2M shares |
| 1 year | +48% | +7.9M shares |
| 3 years | +39% | +6.8M shares |
| 5 years | +28% | +5.3M shares |
| Available history | +30% | +5.5M shares |
MCFT has 24M diluted shares, up 48% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $4.8M |
| Q2 2026 | $12,000 |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | $15,000 |
| Q3 2025 | $2.3M |
| Q2 2025 | $4.5M |
| Q1 2025 | $749,000 |
| Q4 2024 | $749,000 |
MCFT spent $5M buying back its own shares over the past year, down 42% from the year before.
BABA Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.8x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q3 2024 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
BABA's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).
MCFT Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -1.8x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -3.5x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -3.7x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -2.2x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -1.4x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -1.4x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -8.8x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -10.1x | Net Cash |
MCFT has the edge over BABA on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
BABA Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 38.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 12.7 | Oversold |
BABA's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 13 (oversold).
MCFT Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 49.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 32.4 | Neutral |
MCFT's weekly RSI is 49 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 32 (neutral).
BABA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | BABA | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 21x | 18x | 19% above |
| PE % | 60 | 47 | 13 pts above |
BABA has the edge over MCFT on valuation relative to its sector.
MCFT PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | MCFT | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 120x | 18x | 565% above |
| PE % | 100 | 47 | 53 pts above |
MCFT is trading at 120x earnings, a 565% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
BABA Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $104.7 | 9.9% below |
| 20 week MA | $111.1 | 15% below |
| 50 week MA | $128.0 | 26% below |
| 100 week MA | $127.7 | 26% below |
| 200 week MA | $106.4 | 11% below |
BABA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 11% below its 200-week average.
MCFT Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $20.4 | 6.1% above |
| 20 week MA | $22.3 | 3.2% below |
| 50 week MA | $22.1 | 2.4% below |
| 100 week MA | $20.5 | 5.2% above |
| 200 week MA | $22.0 | 1.8% below |
MCFT has the edge over BABA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
BABA Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $215.5 | $222.0 | +3% |
| 2021 | $222.0 | $118.7 | -47% |
| 2022 | $118.7 | $85.7 | -28% |
| 2023 | $85.7 | $77.5 | -9.5% |
| 2024 | $77.5 | $85.1 | +9.7% |
| 2025 | $85.1 | $152.2 | +79% |
| 2026 YTD | $152.2 | $94.4 | -38% |
BABA has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 38% so far in 2026.
MCFT Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $15.4 | $26.7 | +73% |
| 2021 | $26.7 | $26.3 | -1.6% |
| 2022 | $26.3 | $26.2 | -0.3% |
| 2023 | $26.2 | $22.6 | -14% |
| 2024 | $22.6 | $18.7 | -17% |
| 2025 | $18.7 | $19.5 | +4.1% |
| 2026 YTD | $19.5 | $21.6 | +11% |
MCFT has the edge over BABA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.