BABA
Alibaba Group Holding Limited
BABA has the edge over MBUU overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.
MBUU
Malibu Boats, Inc.
MBUU offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
BABA Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Weak | |
| Healthy |
BABA's balance sheet is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.
MBUU Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Stable |
MBUU's revenue is currently strong, and its profitability and balance sheet are stable, but its cash flow is under pressure.
BABA PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 16x | $69.66 | -26% |
| Fair | 20x | $86.59 | -8.2% |
| Current | 21x | $94.36 | — |
| Expensive | 26x | $115 | +22% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
BABA has the edge over MBUU in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
MBUU PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 6.8x | $20.35 | — |
| Cheap | 7.4x | $3.16 | -84% |
| Fair | 13x | $5.52 | -73% |
| Expensive | 26x | $11.27 | -45% |
| Current | 47x | $20.35 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
MBUU's PE is in its expensive range at 47x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 6.8x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.
BABA Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for BABA, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
MBUU Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for MBUU, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
BABA Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $4.42 | -52% |
| Q1 2026 | $6.57 | -18% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.79 | -22% |
| Q3 2025 | $7.85 | +49% |
| Q2 2025 | $9.27 | +116% |
| Q1 2025 | $8.06 | +71% |
| Q4 2024 | $7.47 | +24% |
| Q3 2024 | $5.26 | -35% |
BABA's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $4.42 over the past year, against $9.27 in mid-2025. Its recent earnings include one-off gains.
MBUU Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $3.01 | +600% |
| Q3 2026 | $0.43 | -56% |
| Q2 2026 | $0.09 | -88% |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.07 | +$0.33 |
| Q4 2025 | $0.72 | +$5.06 |
| Q3 2025 | $0.97 | +$4.94 |
| Q2 2025 | $0.76 | +$3.50 |
| Q1 2025 | -$0.40 | +$2.27 |
| Q4 2024 | -$4.34 | -239% |
MBUU has the edge over BABA on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
BABA Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $40.2B | +8.3% |
| Q1 2026 | $36.5B | +2.9% |
| Q4 2025 | $42.7B | +1.7% |
| Q3 2025 | $37.2B | +4.8% |
| Q2 2025 | $37.2B | +1.8% |
| Q1 2025 | $35.5B | +6.6% |
| Q4 2024 | $42B | +7.6% |
| Q3 2024 | $35.5B | +5.2% |
BABA's revenue has grown year over year for 16 quarters in a row: $40.2B last quarter, up 8.3% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 7.2% | -6.9 points |
| Q1 2026 | -0.3% | -12 points |
| Q4 2025 | 7.1% | -7.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 2.2% | -13 points |
| Q2 2025 | 14% | -0.7 points |
| Q1 2025 | 12% | +5.4 points |
| Q4 2024 | 15% | +6.1 points |
| Q3 2024 | 15% | 0 points |
BABA has the edge over MBUU on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
MBUU Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $252.9M | +30% |
| Q2 2026 | $295.5M | +43% |
| Q1 2026 | $235.7M | +3.1% |
| Q4 2025 | $188.6M | -5.8% |
| Q3 2025 | $194.7M | +13% |
| Q2 2025 | $207M | +30% |
| Q1 2025 | $228.7M | +12% |
| Q4 2024 | $200.3M | -5.1% |
MBUU's revenue is recovering but still below its 2023 peak: $253M last quarter, up 30% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 5.2% | +5.6 points |
| Q2 2026 | 3.2% | -0.1 points |
| Q1 2026 | -0.8% | -8.4 points |
| Q4 2025 | -1.9% | -3.4 points |
| Q3 2025 | -0.4% | +2.8 points |
| Q2 2025 | 3.3% | +19 points |
| Q1 2025 | 7.6% | +44 points |
| Q4 2024 | 1.6% | -5.4 points |
MBUU's operating margin was 5.2% last quarter, up 5.6 points from the same quarter a year ago.
BABA Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$6.7B | -$4.1B |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.7B | +$1.5B |
| Q4 2025 | $1B | -90% |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.2B | -254% |
| Q2 2025 | -$2.7B | -182% |
| Q1 2025 | -$4.2B | -12231% |
| Q4 2024 | $10.4B | -4.8% |
| Q3 2024 | $2.1B | -62% |
BABA's free cash flow has turned negative after years in the green: −$11.6B over the past year.
MBUU Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$39.5M | -1871% |
| Q2 2026 | $16.9M | +20% |
| Q1 2026 | $15.5M | +77% |
| Q4 2025 | $8.2M | -64% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.2M | +$19.3M |
| Q2 2025 | $14.1M | +214% |
| Q1 2025 | $8.8M | -24% |
| Q4 2024 | $22.8M | -56% |
MBUU has the edge over BABA on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
BABA Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.5% | +11.1M shares |
| 1 year | +0.9% | +21.4M shares |
| 3 years | -6.2% | -161M shares |
| 5 years | -12% | -339M shares |
| Available history | -8.4% | -221M shares |
BABA has the edge over MBUU on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | $269.8M |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
BABA spent $270M buying back its own shares over the past year, after none the year before.
MBUU Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +3.1% | +596K shares |
| 1 year | +3.1% | +604K shares |
| 3 years | -3.6% | -744K shares |
| 5 years | -5.6% | -1.2M shares |
| Available history | -3.7% | -761K shares |
MBUU has 20M diluted shares, up 3.1% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | $13.1M |
| Q4 2025 | $20.8M |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | $5.7M |
| Q1 2025 | $10.1M |
| Q4 2024 | $9.7M |
| Q3 2024 | $10.5M |
BABA Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.8x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q3 2024 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
BABA has the edge over MBUU on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
MBUU Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 2.1x | Moderate |
| Q2 2026 | 1.9x | Healthy |
| Q1 2026 | 2.8x | Moderate |
| Q4 2025 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -0.3x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -0.3x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2023 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
MBUU's net debt is about 2.1 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), after holding more cash than debt a year ago.
BABA Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 38.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 12.7 | Oversold |
BABA's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 13 (oversold).
MBUU Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 36.3 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 14.6 | Oversold |
MBUU's weekly RSI is 36 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 15 (oversold).
BABA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | BABA | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 21x | 18x | 19% above |
| PE % | 60 | 47 | 13 pts above |
BABA has the edge over MBUU on valuation relative to its sector.
MBUU PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | MBUU | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 47x | 18x | 163% above |
| PE % | 96 | 47 | 49 pts above |
MBUU is trading at 47x earnings, a 163% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
BABA Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $104.7 | 9.9% below |
| 20 week MA | $111.1 | 15% below |
| 50 week MA | $128.0 | 26% below |
| 100 week MA | $127.7 | 26% below |
| 200 week MA | $106.4 | 11% below |
BABA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 11% below its 200-week average.
MBUU Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $22.2 | 8.3% below |
| 20 week MA | $25.2 | 19% below |
| 50 week MA | $27.1 | 25% below |
| 100 week MA | $29.7 | 32% below |
| 200 week MA | $38.4 | 47% below |
MBUU is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 47% below its 200-week average.
BABA Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $215.5 | $222.0 | +3% |
| 2021 | $222.0 | $118.7 | -47% |
| 2022 | $118.7 | $85.7 | -28% |
| 2023 | $85.7 | $77.5 | -9.5% |
| 2024 | $77.5 | $85.1 | +9.7% |
| 2025 | $85.1 | $152.2 | +79% |
| 2026 YTD | $152.2 | $94.4 | -38% |
BABA has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 38% so far in 2026.
MBUU Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $40.8 | $67.0 | +64% |
| 2021 | $67.0 | $66.6 | -0.7% |
| 2022 | $66.6 | $53.9 | -19% |
| 2023 | $53.9 | $54.8 | +1.7% |
| 2024 | $54.8 | $36.6 | -33% |
| 2025 | $36.6 | $29.3 | -20% |
| 2026 YTD | $29.3 | $20.4 | -31% |
MBUU has the edge over BABA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.