BABA
Alibaba Group Holding Limited
BABA has a slight edge over MBLY overall, supported by lower modeled downside.
MBLY
Mobileye Global Inc.
MBLY offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
BABA Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Weak | |
| Healthy |
BABA's balance sheet is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.
MBLY Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Weak | |
| Stable | |
| Strong |
MBLY's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue and cash flow are stable, but its profitability is weak.
BABA PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 16x | $69.66 | -26% |
| Fair | 20x | $86.59 | -8.2% |
| Current | 21x | $94.36 | — |
| Expensive | 26x | $115 | +22% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
BABA's PE is 21x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.
MBLY PE Valuation
MBLY has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
BABA Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for BABA, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
MBLY Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for MBLY, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
BABA Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $4.42 | -52% |
| Q1 2026 | $6.57 | -18% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.79 | -22% |
| Q3 2025 | $7.85 | +49% |
| Q2 2025 | $9.27 | +116% |
| Q1 2025 | $8.06 | +71% |
| Q4 2024 | $7.47 | +24% |
| Q3 2024 | $5.26 | -35% |
BABA has the edge over MBLY on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
MBLY Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $0.41 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$4.94 | -$4.52 |
| Q2 2026 | -$4.98 | -$1.33 |
| Q1 2026 | -$5.03 | -$1.35 |
| Q4 2025 | -$0.48 | +$3.34 |
| Q3 2025 | -$0.42 | +$3.22 |
| Q2 2025 | -$3.65 | -$3.38 |
| Q1 2025 | -$3.68 | -$3.48 |
| Q4 2024 | -$3.82 | -$3.79 |
MBLY lost $4.94 per share over the past year, a bigger loss than the year before.
BABA Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $40.2B | +8.3% |
| Q1 2026 | $36.5B | +2.9% |
| Q4 2025 | $42.7B | +1.7% |
| Q3 2025 | $37.2B | +4.8% |
| Q2 2025 | $37.2B | +1.8% |
| Q1 2025 | $35.5B | +6.6% |
| Q4 2024 | $42B | +7.6% |
| Q3 2024 | $35.5B | +5.2% |
BABA has the edge over MBLY on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 7.2% | -6.9 points |
| Q1 2026 | -0.3% | -12 points |
| Q4 2025 | 7.1% | -7.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 2.2% | -13 points |
| Q2 2025 | 14% | -0.7 points |
| Q1 2025 | 12% | +5.4 points |
| Q4 2024 | 15% | +6.1 points |
| Q3 2024 | 15% | 0 points |
BABA has the edge over MBLY on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
MBLY Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $492M | -2.4% |
| Q2 2026 | $508M | +0.4% |
| Q1 2026 | $558M | +27% |
| Q4 2025 | $446M | -9% |
| Q3 2025 | $504M | +3.7% |
| Q2 2025 | $506M | +15% |
| Q1 2025 | $438M | +83% |
| Q4 2024 | $490M | -23% |
MBLY's revenue fell from its 2023 peak and has held roughly level since: $492M last quarter, down 2.4% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -17% | +5 points |
| Q2 2026 | -5.9% | +8.7 points |
| Q1 2026 | -698% | -672 points |
| Q4 2025 | -31% | -14 points |
| Q3 2025 | -22% | +556 points |
| Q2 2025 | -15% | +6.8 points |
| Q1 2025 | -27% | +73 points |
| Q4 2024 | -18% | -29 points |
MBLY's operating margin was −17% last quarter, up 5 points from the same quarter a year ago.
BABA Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$6.7B | -$4.1B |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.7B | +$1.5B |
| Q4 2025 | $1B | -90% |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.2B | -254% |
| Q2 2025 | -$2.7B | -182% |
| Q1 2025 | -$4.2B | -12231% |
| Q4 2024 | $10.4B | -4.8% |
| Q3 2024 | $2.1B | -62% |
BABA's free cash flow has turned negative after years in the green: −$11.6B over the past year.
MBLY Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $72M | -50% |
| Q2 2026 | $114M | -43% |
| Q1 2026 | $45M | -53% |
| Q4 2025 | $86M | -55% |
| Q3 2025 | $143M | +38% |
| Q2 2025 | $199M | +3217% |
| Q1 2025 | $95M | +428% |
| Q4 2024 | $191M | +122% |
MBLY has the edge over BABA on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
BABA Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.5% | +11.1M shares |
| 1 year | +0.9% | +21.4M shares |
| 3 years | -6.2% | -161M shares |
| 5 years | -12% | -339M shares |
| Available history | -8.4% | -221M shares |
BABA has the edge over MBLY on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | $269.8M |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
BABA spent $270M buying back its own shares over the past year, after none the year before.
MBLY Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.7% | +6M shares |
| 1 year | +1.2% | +10M shares |
| 3 years | +1.7% | +14M shares |
| 5 years | +3.5% | +28.1M shares |
MBLY has 824M diluted shares, up 1.2% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $9.5M |
| Q2 2026 | $23.5M |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q2 2022 | — |
| Q1 2022 | — |
| Q4 2021 | — |
| Q3 2021 | — |
| Q2 2021 | $2M |
BABA Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.8x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q3 2024 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
BABA's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).
MBLY Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q4 2023 | -202.0x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2023 | -12.5x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2022 | -3.7x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2022 | -2.5x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2022 | 5.8x | High |
| Q1 2022 | -2.3x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2021 | -2.3x | Net Cash |
MBLY has more cash than debt.
BABA Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 38.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 12.7 | Oversold |
BABA's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 13 (oversold).
MBLY Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 28.6 | Oversold |
| Stochastic | 13.5 | Oversold |
MBLY's weekly RSI is 29 (oversold) and its Stochastic is 14 (oversold).
BABA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | BABA | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 21x | 18x | 19% above |
| PE % | 60 | 47 | 13 pts above |
BABA is trading at 21x earnings, a 19% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x, though its earnings don't support one.
MBLY PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
MBLY has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
BABA Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $104.7 | 9.9% below |
| 20 week MA | $111.1 | 15% below |
| 50 week MA | $128.0 | 26% below |
| 100 week MA | $127.7 | 26% below |
| 200 week MA | $106.4 | 11% below |
BABA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 11% below its 200-week average.
MBLY Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $6.71 | 16% below |
| 20 week MA | $7.90 | 29% below |
| 50 week MA | $8.68 | 35% below |
| 100 week MA | $11.9 | 53% below |
| 200 week MA | $21.6 | 74% below |
MBLY is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 74% below its 200-week average.
BABA Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $215.5 | $222.0 | +3% |
| 2021 | $222.0 | $118.7 | -47% |
| 2022 | $118.7 | $85.7 | -28% |
| 2023 | $85.7 | $77.5 | -9.5% |
| 2024 | $77.5 | $85.1 | +9.7% |
| 2025 | $85.1 | $152.2 | +79% |
| 2026 YTD | $152.2 | $94.4 | -38% |
BABA has the edge over MBLY on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
MBLY Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | $27.0 | $34.0 | +26% |
| 2023 | $34.0 | $43.3 | +27% |
| 2024 | $43.3 | $20.0 | -54% |
| 2025 | $20.0 | $10.4 | -48% |
| 2026 YTD | $10.4 | $5.64 | -46% |
MBLY has finished lower in two of the last four years. It's down 46% so far in 2026.