BABA
Alibaba Group Holding Limited
BABA offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
LVS
Las Vegas Sands Corp.
LVS has a slight edge over BABA overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger valuation.
BABA Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Weak | |
| Healthy |
BABA's balance sheet is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.
LVS Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Stable |
LVS's profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its revenue and balance sheet are stable.
BABA PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 16x | $69.66 | -26% |
| Fair | 20x | $86.59 | -8.2% |
| Current | 21x | $94.36 | — |
| Expensive | 26x | $115 | +22% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
BABA's PE is 21x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.
LVS PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 14x | $39.33 | — |
| Current | 16x | $39.33 | — |
| Cheap | 17x | $40.68 | +3.4% |
| Fair | 23x | $55.10 | +40% |
| Expensive | 32x | $78.82 | +100% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
LVS has the edge over BABA in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
BABA Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
BABA has the edge over LVS on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.
LVS Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Weakening | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect LVS's profitability to weaken, with its earnings and revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
BABA Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $4.42 | -52% |
| Q1 2026 | $6.57 | -18% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.79 | -22% |
| Q3 2025 | $7.85 | +49% |
| Q2 2025 | $9.27 | +116% |
| Q1 2025 | $8.06 | +71% |
| Q4 2024 | $7.47 | +24% |
| Q3 2024 | $5.26 | -35% |
BABA's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $4.42 over the past year, against $9.27 in mid-2025. Its recent earnings include one-off gains.
LVS Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.87 | +18% |
| Q3 2026 | $2.44 | +10% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.57 | +30% |
| Q1 2026 | $2.70 | +50% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.34 | +19% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.21 | +9.4% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.98 | -7.5% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.80 | -13% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.97 | +23% |
LVS has the edge over BABA on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
BABA Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $40.2B | +8.3% |
| Q1 2026 | $36.5B | +2.9% |
| Q4 2025 | $42.7B | +1.7% |
| Q3 2025 | $37.2B | +4.8% |
| Q2 2025 | $37.2B | +1.8% |
| Q1 2025 | $35.5B | +6.6% |
| Q4 2024 | $42B | +7.6% |
| Q3 2024 | $35.5B | +5.2% |
BABA's revenue has grown year over year for 16 quarters in a row: $40.2B last quarter, up 8.3% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 7.2% | -6.9 points |
| Q1 2026 | -0.3% | -12 points |
| Q4 2025 | 7.1% | -7.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 2.2% | -13 points |
| Q2 2025 | 14% | -0.7 points |
| Q1 2025 | 12% | +5.4 points |
| Q4 2024 | 15% | +6.1 points |
| Q3 2024 | 15% | 0 points |
BABA's operating margin was 7.2% last quarter, down 6.9 points from the same quarter a year ago.
LVS Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $3.2B | -3.5% |
| Q2 2026 | $3.2B | -0.7% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.6B | +25% |
| Q4 2025 | $3.6B | +26% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.3B | +24% |
| Q2 2025 | $3.2B | +15% |
| Q1 2025 | $2.9B | -3.3% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.9B | -0.7% |
LVS's revenue is growing: $3.2B last quarter, down 3.5% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 19% | -2.4 points |
| Q2 2026 | 20% | -5.1 points |
| Q1 2026 | 25% | +3.9 points |
| Q4 2025 | 19% | -1 points |
| Q3 2025 | 22% | +2.8 points |
| Q2 2025 | 25% | +3.3 points |
| Q1 2025 | 21% | -2.9 points |
| Q4 2024 | 20% | -4 points |
LVS has the edge over BABA on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
BABA Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$6.7B | -$4.1B |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.7B | +$1.5B |
| Q4 2025 | $1B | -90% |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.2B | -254% |
| Q2 2025 | -$2.7B | -182% |
| Q1 2025 | -$4.2B | -12231% |
| Q4 2024 | $10.4B | -4.8% |
| Q3 2024 | $2.1B | -62% |
BABA's free cash flow has turned negative after years in the green: −$11.6B over the past year.
LVS Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $589M | -34% |
| Q2 2026 | $350M | +$458M |
| Q1 2026 | $537M | +265% |
| Q4 2025 | $930M | +153% |
| Q3 2025 | $886M | +299% |
| Q2 2025 | -$108M | -120% |
| Q1 2025 | $147M | -72% |
| Q4 2024 | $368M | -46% |
LVS has the edge over BABA on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
BABA Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.5% | +11.1M shares |
| 1 year | +0.9% | +21.4M shares |
| 3 years | -6.2% | -161M shares |
| 5 years | -12% | -339M shares |
| Available history | -8.4% | -221M shares |
BABA has 2.4B diluted shares, up 0.9% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | $269.8M |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
BABA spent $270M buying back its own shares over the past year, after none the year before.
LVS Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -2.4% | -16M shares |
| 1 year | -6.6% | -45M shares |
| 3 years | -16% | -126M shares |
| 5 years | -16% | -124M shares |
| Available history | -17% | -131M shares |
LVS has the edge over BABA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $950M |
| Q2 2026 | $788M |
| Q1 2026 | $753M |
| Q4 2025 | $501M |
| Q3 2025 | $500M |
| Q2 2025 | $800M |
| Q1 2025 | $416M |
| Q4 2024 | $450M |
LVS spent $3B buying back its own shares over the past year, up 38% from the year before.
BABA Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.8x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q3 2024 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
BABA has the edge over LVS on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
LVS Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 3.0x | Moderate |
| Q2 2026 | 2.7x | Moderate |
| Q1 2026 | 2.7x | Moderate |
| Q4 2025 | 2.8x | Moderate |
| Q3 2025 | 3.0x | Moderate |
| Q2 2025 | 3.2x | Elevated |
| Q1 2025 | 3.0x | Moderate |
| Q4 2024 | 2.7x | Moderate |
LVS's net debt is about 3.0 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.
BABA Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 38.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 12.7 | Oversold |
BABA's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 13 (oversold).
LVS Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 40.3 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 29.3 | Neutral |
LVS's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 29 (neutral).
BABA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | BABA | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 21x | 18x | 19% above |
| PE % | 60 | 47 | 13 pts above |
BABA is trading at 21x earnings, a 19% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x, though its earnings don't support one.
LVS PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | LVS | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 16x | 18x | 11% below |
| PE % | 12 | 47 | 35 pts below |
LVS has the edge over BABA on valuation relative to its sector.
BABA Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $104.7 | 9.9% below |
| 20 week MA | $111.1 | 15% below |
| 50 week MA | $128.0 | 26% below |
| 100 week MA | $127.7 | 26% below |
| 200 week MA | $106.4 | 11% below |
BABA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 11% below its 200-week average.
LVS Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $37.8 | 4.2% above |
| 20 week MA | $42.4 | 7.2% below |
| 50 week MA | $50.5 | 22% below |
| 100 week MA | $49.2 | 20% below |
| 200 week MA | $50.0 | 21% below |
LVS has the edge over BABA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
BABA Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $215.5 | $222.0 | +3% |
| 2021 | $222.0 | $118.7 | -47% |
| 2022 | $118.7 | $85.7 | -28% |
| 2023 | $85.7 | $77.5 | -9.5% |
| 2024 | $77.5 | $85.1 | +9.7% |
| 2025 | $85.1 | $152.2 | +79% |
| 2026 YTD | $152.2 | $94.4 | -38% |
BABA has the edge over LVS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
LVS Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $69.7 | $57.0 | -18% |
| 2021 | $57.0 | $38.6 | -32% |
| 2022 | $38.6 | $46.5 | +21% |
| 2023 | $46.5 | $49.2 | +5.8% |
| 2024 | $49.2 | $51.9 | +5.4% |
| 2025 | $51.9 | $66.2 | +28% |
| 2026 YTD | $66.2 | $39.3 | -41% |
LVS is down 41% so far in 2026, after finishing higher in four of the previous six years.