BABA
Alibaba Group Holding Limited
BABA has a slight edge over LUXE overall, supported by lower modeled downside.
LUXE
LuxExperience B.V.
LUXE offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
BABA Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Weak | |
| Healthy |
BABA's balance sheet is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.
LUXE Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Weak | |
| Weak | |
| Strong |
LUXE's revenue and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak.
BABA PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 16x | $69.66 | -26% |
| Fair | 20x | $86.59 | -8.2% |
| Current | 21x | $94.36 | — |
| Expensive | 26x | $115 | +22% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
BABA's PE is 21x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.
LUXE PE Valuation
LUXE has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
BABA Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for BABA, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
LUXE Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Returning to profit | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect LUXE to return to profit, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
BABA Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $4.42 | -52% |
| Q1 2026 | $6.57 | -18% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.79 | -22% |
| Q3 2025 | $7.85 | +49% |
| Q2 2025 | $9.27 | +116% |
| Q1 2025 | $8.06 | +71% |
| Q4 2024 | $7.47 | +24% |
| Q3 2024 | $5.26 | -35% |
BABA has the edge over LUXE on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
LUXE Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$1.34 | -128% |
| Q1 2026 | $4.06 | +$4.55 |
| Q4 2025 | $4.28 | +$4.74 |
| Q3 2025 | $4.28 | +$4.76 |
| Q2 2025 | $4.76 | +$5.09 |
| Q1 2025 | -$0.49 | -$0.15 |
| Q2 2022 | -$0.10 | +$0.37 |
LUXE has swung to a loss: it lost $1.34 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.
BABA Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $40.2B | +8.3% |
| Q1 2026 | $36.5B | +2.9% |
| Q4 2025 | $42.7B | +1.7% |
| Q3 2025 | $37.2B | +4.8% |
| Q2 2025 | $37.2B | +1.8% |
| Q1 2025 | $35.5B | +6.6% |
| Q4 2024 | $42B | +7.6% |
| Q3 2024 | $35.5B | +5.2% |
BABA's revenue has grown year over year for 16 quarters in a row: $40.2B last quarter, up 8.3% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 7.2% | -6.9 points |
| Q1 2026 | -0.3% | -12 points |
| Q4 2025 | 7.1% | -7.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 2.2% | -13 points |
| Q2 2025 | 14% | -0.7 points |
| Q1 2025 | 12% | +5.4 points |
| Q4 2024 | 15% | +6.1 points |
| Q3 2024 | 15% | 0 points |
BABA has the edge over LUXE on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
LUXE Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $738.2M | +13% |
| Q1 2026 | $687.1M | +155% |
| Q4 2025 | $718.7M | +190% |
| Q3 2025 | $637.1M | +184% |
| Q2 2025 | $653M | +165% |
| Q1 2025 | $269.4M | +3.8% |
| Q4 2024 | $247.7M | +13% |
| Q3 2024 | $224.1M | +4.3% |
LUXE has the edge over BABA on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -3.8% | -106 points |
| Q1 2026 | -5% | -2.8 points |
| Q4 2025 | -1.9% | -0.7 points |
| Q3 2025 | -14% | +0.7 points |
| Q2 2025 | 102% | +103 points |
| Q1 2025 | -2.2% | -1.3 points |
| Q4 2024 | -1.1% | +1.3 points |
| Q3 2024 | -15% | -7.2 points |
LUXE's operating margin was −3.8% last quarter, down 106 points from the same quarter a year ago.
BABA Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$6.7B | -$4.1B |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.7B | +$1.5B |
| Q4 2025 | $1B | -90% |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.2B | -254% |
| Q2 2025 | -$2.7B | -182% |
| Q1 2025 | -$4.2B | -12231% |
| Q4 2024 | $10.4B | -4.8% |
| Q3 2024 | $2.1B | -62% |
BABA's free cash flow has turned negative after years in the green: −$11.6B over the past year.
LUXE Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$5.6M | +$14.8M |
| Q1 2026 | -$103.8M | -614% |
| Q4 2025 | $123.2M | +$130.3M |
| Q3 2025 | -$165.7M | -$134.7M |
| Q2 2025 | -$20.4M | -154% |
| Q1 2025 | $20.2M | +$38.5M |
| Q4 2024 | -$7.1M | -137% |
| Q3 2024 | -$31.1M | +$9.4M |
LUXE has the edge over BABA on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
BABA Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.5% | +11.1M shares |
| 1 year | +0.9% | +21.4M shares |
| 3 years | -6.2% | -161M shares |
| 5 years | -12% | -339M shares |
| Available history | -8.4% | -221M shares |
BABA has the edge over LUXE on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | $269.8M |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
BABA spent $270M buying back its own shares over the past year, after none the year before.
LUXE Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.1% | +100K shares |
| 1 year | +12% | +15M shares |
| 3 years | +62% | +53.8M shares |
LUXE has 140M diluted shares, up 12% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
LUXE hasn't bought back shares in the past year.
BABA Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.8x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q3 2024 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
BABA's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).
LUXE Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q1 2026 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | -0.5x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -0.7x | Net Cash |
LUXE has the edge over BABA on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
BABA Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 38.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 12.7 | Oversold |
BABA's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 13 (oversold).
LUXE Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 64.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 85.4 | Overbought |
LUXE's weekly RSI is 64 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 85 (overbought).
BABA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | BABA | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 21x | 18x | 19% above |
| PE % | 60 | 47 | 13 pts above |
BABA is trading at 21x earnings, a 19% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x, though its earnings don't support one.
LUXE PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
LUXE has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
BABA Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $104.7 | 9.9% below |
| 20 week MA | $111.1 | 15% below |
| 50 week MA | $128.0 | 26% below |
| 100 week MA | $127.7 | 26% below |
| 200 week MA | $106.4 | 11% below |
BABA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 11% below its 200-week average.
LUXE Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $9.83 | 7.8% above |
| 20 week MA | $8.76 | 21% above |
| 50 week MA | $8.52 | 24% above |
| 100 week MA | $8.54 | 24% above |
| 200 week MA | $6.64 | 60% above |
LUXE has the edge over BABA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
BABA Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $215.5 | $222.0 | +3% |
| 2021 | $222.0 | $118.7 | -47% |
| 2022 | $118.7 | $85.7 | -28% |
| 2023 | $85.7 | $77.5 | -9.5% |
| 2024 | $77.5 | $85.1 | +9.7% |
| 2025 | $85.1 | $152.2 | +79% |
| 2026 YTD | $152.2 | $94.4 | -38% |
BABA has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 38% so far in 2026.
LUXE Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $33.8 | $21.6 | -36% |
| 2022 | $21.6 | $8.98 | -58% |
| 2023 | $8.98 | $3.19 | -64% |
| 2024 | $3.19 | $7.06 | +121% |
| 2025 | $7.06 | $8.46 | +20% |
| 2026 YTD | $8.46 | $10.6 | +25% |
LUXE has the edge over BABA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.