BABA
Alibaba Group Holding Limited
BABA has a slight edge over LOW overall, supported by stronger modeled upside.
LOW
Lowe's Companies, Inc.
LOW has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
BABA Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Weak | |
| Healthy |
BABA's balance sheet is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.
LOW Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Stable | |
| Stable |
LOW's revenue and profitability are currently healthy, and its cash flow and balance sheet are stable.
BABA PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 16x | $69.66 | -26% |
| Fair | 20x | $86.59 | -8.2% |
| Current | 21x | $94.36 | — |
| Expensive | 26x | $115 | +22% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
BABA's PE is 21x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.
LOW PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 17x | $206 | -9.6% |
| Forward | 18x | $227 | — |
| Current | 19x | $227 | — |
| Fair | 20x | $238 | +4.6% |
| Expensive | 23x | $268 | +18% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
LOW has the edge over BABA in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
BABA Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
BABA has the edge over LOW on the outlook, with more favorable revenue and profitability expectations.
LOW Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Moderate | |
| High |
Analysts expect LOW's earnings to grow, with its revenue and profitability holding steady.
BABA Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $4.42 | -52% |
| Q1 2026 | $6.57 | -18% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.79 | -22% |
| Q3 2025 | $7.85 | +49% |
| Q2 2025 | $9.27 | +116% |
| Q1 2025 | $8.06 | +71% |
| Q4 2024 | $7.47 | +24% |
| Q3 2024 | $5.26 | -35% |
BABA has the edge over LOW on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
LOW Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $12.71 | +7.5% |
| Q3 2026 | $11.83 | -3% |
| Q2 2026 | $11.83 | -2.2% |
| Q1 2026 | $11.85 | -3.1% |
| Q4 2025 | $12.08 | +0.4% |
| Q3 2025 | $12.19 | +0.7% |
| Q2 2025 | $12.09 | -3.2% |
| Q1 2025 | $12.23 | -7.3% |
| Q4 2024 | $12.03 | -8.4% |
LOW earned $11.83 per share over the past year, down 3% from the year before.
BABA Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $40.2B | +8.3% |
| Q1 2026 | $36.5B | +2.9% |
| Q4 2025 | $42.7B | +1.7% |
| Q3 2025 | $37.2B | +4.8% |
| Q2 2025 | $37.2B | +1.8% |
| Q1 2025 | $35.5B | +6.6% |
| Q4 2024 | $42B | +7.6% |
| Q3 2024 | $35.5B | +5.2% |
BABA has the edge over LOW on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 7.2% | -6.9 points |
| Q1 2026 | -0.3% | -12 points |
| Q4 2025 | 7.1% | -7.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 2.2% | -13 points |
| Q2 2025 | 14% | -0.7 points |
| Q1 2025 | 12% | +5.4 points |
| Q4 2024 | 15% | +6.1 points |
| Q3 2024 | 15% | 0 points |
BABA's operating margin was 7.2% last quarter, down 6.9 points from the same quarter a year ago.
LOW Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $26B | +8.3% |
| Q2 2026 | $23.1B | +10% |
| Q1 2026 | $20.6B | +11% |
| Q4 2025 | $20.8B | +3.2% |
| Q3 2025 | $24B | +1.6% |
| Q2 2025 | $20.9B | -2% |
| Q1 2025 | $18.6B | -0.3% |
| Q4 2024 | $20.2B | -1.5% |
LOW's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $26B last quarter, up 8.3% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 14% | -0.8 points |
| Q2 2026 | 11% | -0.8 points |
| Q1 2026 | 8.3% | -1.6 points |
| Q4 2025 | 12% | -0.7 points |
| Q3 2025 | 14% | -0.1 points |
| Q2 2025 | 12% | -0.5 points |
| Q1 2025 | 9.9% | +0.8 points |
| Q4 2024 | 13% | -0.6 points |
LOW has the edge over BABA on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
BABA Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$6.7B | -$4.1B |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.7B | +$1.5B |
| Q4 2025 | $1B | -90% |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.2B | -254% |
| Q2 2025 | -$2.7B | -182% |
| Q1 2025 | -$4.2B | -12231% |
| Q4 2024 | $10.4B | -4.8% |
| Q3 2024 | $2.1B | -62% |
BABA's free cash flow has turned negative after years in the green: −$11.6B over the past year.
LOW Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $3.1B | -17% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.8B | -1.1% |
| Q1 2026 | $964M | +166% |
| Q4 2025 | $90M | -88% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.7B | +37% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.9B | -26% |
| Q1 2025 | $363M | -26% |
| Q4 2024 | $728M | +50% |
LOW has the edge over BABA on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
BABA Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.5% | +11.1M shares |
| 1 year | +0.9% | +21.4M shares |
| 3 years | -6.2% | -161M shares |
| 5 years | -12% | -339M shares |
| Available history | -8.4% | -221M shares |
BABA has 2.4B diluted shares, up 0.9% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | $269.8M |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
BABA spent $270M buying back its own shares over the past year, after none the year before.
LOW Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | 0% | -- |
| 1 year | 0% | -- |
| 3 years | -4.3% | -25M shares |
| 5 years | -21% | -147M shares |
| Available history | -27% | -210M shares |
LOW has the edge over BABA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $3M |
| Q2 2026 | $363M |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | $98M |
| Q3 2025 | $1M |
| Q2 2025 | $112M |
| Q1 2025 | $1.4B |
| Q4 2024 | $751M |
LOW spent $464M buying back its own shares over the past year, down 79% from the year before.
BABA Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.8x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q3 2024 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
BABA has the edge over LOW on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
LOW Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 2.7x | Moderate |
| Q2 2026 | 3.0x | Moderate |
| Q1 2026 | 3.2x | Elevated |
| Q4 2025 | 3.2x | Elevated |
| Q3 2025 | 2.4x | Moderate |
| Q2 2025 | 2.6x | Moderate |
| Q1 2025 | 2.7x | Moderate |
| Q4 2024 | 2.7x | Moderate |
LOW's net debt is about 2.7 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 2.4 years a year ago.
BABA Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 38.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 12.7 | Oversold |
BABA's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 13 (oversold).
LOW Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 58.4 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 77.7 | Neutral |
LOW's weekly RSI is 58 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 78 (neutral).
BABA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | BABA | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 21x | 18x | 19% above |
| PE % | 60 | 47 | 13 pts above |
BABA is trading at 21x earnings, a 19% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x, though its earnings don't support one.
LOW PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | LOW | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 19x | 18x | 6.7% above |
| PE % | 38 | 47 | 9 pts below |
LOW has the edge over BABA on valuation relative to its sector.
BABA Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $104.7 | 9.9% below |
| 20 week MA | $111.1 | 15% below |
| 50 week MA | $128.0 | 26% below |
| 100 week MA | $127.7 | 26% below |
| 200 week MA | $106.4 | 11% below |
BABA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 11% below its 200-week average.
LOW Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $201.7 | 13% above |
| 20 week MA | $206.8 | 10% above |
| 50 week MA | $229.3 | 0.8% below |
| 100 week MA | $233.9 | 2.8% below |
| 200 week MA | $230.0 | 1.1% below |
LOW has the edge over BABA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
BABA Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $215.5 | $222.0 | +3% |
| 2021 | $222.0 | $118.7 | -47% |
| 2022 | $118.7 | $85.7 | -28% |
| 2023 | $85.7 | $77.5 | -9.5% |
| 2024 | $77.5 | $85.1 | +9.7% |
| 2025 | $85.1 | $152.2 | +79% |
| 2026 YTD | $152.2 | $94.4 | -38% |
BABA has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 38% so far in 2026.
LOW Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $120.2 | $162.8 | +35% |
| 2021 | $162.8 | $250.1 | +54% |
| 2022 | $250.1 | $201.9 | -19% |
| 2023 | $201.9 | $222.6 | +10% |
| 2024 | $222.6 | $248.3 | +12% |
| 2025 | $248.3 | $244.5 | -1.6% |
| 2026 YTD | $244.5 | $227.5 | -7% |
LOW has the edge over BABA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.