BABA

Alibaba Group Holding Limited

53
Fundamentals36/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential23/ 100

BABA's fundamentals are weak: its operating margin fell 10 points to 4.2% and free cash flow turned negative, though revenue grew 4.3%. Its PE isn't a useful guide right now because of how its recent earnings were reported.

LOT

Lotus Technology Inc. American Depositary Shares

There isn't enough reported data to score LOT yet.

BABA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Weak
Healthy

BABA's balance sheet is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.

LOT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Unavailable
Under pressure
Weak
Unavailable

LOT's profitability and cash flow are currently under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its revenue and balance sheet.

BABA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.3x19x28x37x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.3x19x28x37x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap16x$69.66-26%
Fair20x$86.59-8.2%
Current21x$94.36—
Expensive26x$115+22%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BABA's PE is 21x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

LOT PE Valuation

LOT has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

BABA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

BABA has the edge over LOT on the outlook, with more favorable earnings expectations.

LOT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses steady
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect LOT's revenue to grow and its profitability to improve, with its earnings holding steady.

BABA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+33%$125.09
Downside-23%$72.35

Calculated from the latest close: $94.36 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare BABA and LOT's risk to reward.

LOT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknown—
DownsideUnknown—

Calculated from the latest close: $0.27 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare BABA and LOT's risk to reward.

BABA Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $8.12Q4 2023: $6.04Q1 2024: $4.71Q2 2024: $4.29Q3 2024: $5.26Q4 2024: $7.47Q1 2025: $8.06Q2 2025: $9.27Q3 2025: $7.85Q4 2025: $5.79Q1 2026: $6.57Q2 2026: $4.42
Q3 2023: $8.12Q4 2023: $6.04Q1 2024: $4.71Q2 2024: $4.29Q3 2024: $5.26Q4 2024: $7.47Q1 2025: $8.06Q2 2025: $9.27Q3 2025: $7.85Q4 2025: $5.79Q1 2026: $6.57Q2 2026: $4.42
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$4.42-52%
Q1 2026$6.57-18%
Q4 2025$5.79-22%
Q3 2025$7.85+49%
Q2 2025$9.27+116%
Q1 2025$8.06+71%
Q4 2024$7.47+24%
Q3 2024$5.26-35%

BABA has the stronger earnings trend. Trailing diluted EPS is down 52% for BABA versus LOT down 141%.

LOT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.00Q1 2024: $-1.23Q2 2024: $-1.26Q3 2024: $-1.57Q4 2024: $-1.73Q1 2025: $-1.54Q2 2025: $-1.43Q3 2025: $-1.22Q4 2025: $-0.71
Q4 2023: $-1.00Q1 2024: $-1.23Q2 2024: $-1.26Q3 2024: $-1.57Q4 2024: $-1.73Q1 2025: $-1.54Q2 2025: $-1.43Q3 2025: $-1.22Q4 2025: $-0.71
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q4 2025-$0.71+$1.02
Q3 2025-$1.22+$0.35
Q2 2025-$1.43-$0.17
Q1 2025-$1.54-$0.31
Q4 2024-$1.73-$0.73

LOT is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.71 per share over the past year, against $1.73 at its worst in late 2024.

BABA Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $33.7BQ4 2023: $39.1BQ1 2024: $33.3BQ2 2024: $36.5BQ3 2024: $35.5BQ4 2024: $42BQ1 2025: $35.5BQ2 2025: $37.2BQ3 2025: $37.2BQ4 2025: $42.7BQ1 2026: $36.5BQ2 2026: $40.2B
Q3 2023: $33.7BQ4 2023: $39.1BQ1 2024: $33.3BQ2 2024: $36.5BQ3 2024: $35.5BQ4 2024: $42BQ1 2025: $35.5BQ2 2025: $37.2BQ3 2025: $37.2BQ4 2025: $42.7BQ1 2026: $36.5BQ2 2026: $40.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$40.2B+8.3%
Q1 2026$36.5B+2.9%
Q4 2025$42.7B+1.7%
Q3 2025$37.2B+4.8%
Q2 2025$37.2B+1.8%
Q1 2025$35.5B+6.6%
Q4 2024$42B+7.6%
Q3 2024$35.5B+5.2%

LOT has the stronger quarterly revenue trend. Revenue is up 8.3% for BABA versus up 189% for LOT.

LOT Quarterly Revenue

Q2 2023: $111MQ3 2023: $274MQ4 2023: $364MQ1 2024: $173MQ2 2024: $225MQ3 2024: $255MQ4 2024: $272MQ1 2025: $93MQ2 2025: $127MQ3 2025: $137MQ4 2025: $163MQ2 2026: $268M
Q2 2023: $111MQ3 2023: $274MQ4 2023: $364MQ1 2024: $173MQ2 2024: $225MQ3 2024: $255MQ4 2024: $272MQ1 2025: $93MQ2 2025: $127MQ3 2025: $137MQ4 2025: $163MQ2 2026: $268M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$268.1M+112%
Q4 2025$163.3M-40%
Q3 2025$136.8M-46%
Q2 2025$126.6M-44%
Q1 2025$92.8M-46%
Q4 2024$271.5M-25%
Q3 2024$254.7M-7.2%
Q2 2024$225M+103%

LOT's revenue is recovering but still below its 2023 peak: $268M last quarter, up 189% from the same quarter a year ago.

BABA Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $5.4BQ4 2023: $11BQ1 2024: $34MQ2 2024: $3.2BQ3 2024: $2.1BQ4 2024: $10.4BQ1 2025: −$4.2BQ2 2025: −$2.7BQ3 2025: −$3.2BQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: −$2.7BQ2 2026: −$6.7B
Q3 2023: $5.4BQ4 2023: $11BQ1 2024: $34MQ2 2024: $3.2BQ3 2024: $2.1BQ4 2024: $10.4BQ1 2025: −$4.2BQ2 2025: −$2.7BQ3 2025: −$3.2BQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: −$2.7BQ2 2026: −$6.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026-$6.7B-$4.1B
Q1 2026-$2.7B+$1.5B
Q4 2025$1B-90%
Q3 2025-$3.2B-254%
Q2 2025-$2.7B-182%
Q1 2025-$4.2B-12231%
Q4 2024$10.4B-4.8%
Q3 2024$2.1B-62%

BABA has the stronger cash trend. Its trailing FCF is down 158% versus its history, compared with LOT at down 239%.

LOT Free Cash Flow

Q2 2023: $325,639Q3 2023: $419MQ4 2023: −$604MQ1 2024: $0Q2 2024: $0Q3 2024: $0Q4 2024: −$906MQ1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q2 2026: --
Q2 2023: $325,639Q3 2023: $419MQ4 2023: −$604MQ1 2024: $0Q2 2024: $0Q3 2024: $0Q4 2024: −$906MQ1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q2 2026: --
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q4 2024-$905.9M-$302.1M
Q3 2024$0-100%
Q2 2024$0-100%
Q1 2024$0-100%
Q4 2023-$603.7M-$119.3M
Q3 2023$418.5M+$418.6M
Q2 2023$325.6K+$653.1K
Q1 2023$992.2K+$1.2M

LOT's free cash flow was −$906M over the past year, against −$184M the year before.

BABA Total Shares

Q3 2023: 2.6BQ4 2023: 2.5BQ1 2024: 2.5BQ2 2024: 2.4BQ3 2024: 2.4BQ4 2024: 2.4BQ1 2025: 2.4BQ2 2025: 2.4BQ3 2025: 2.4BQ4 2025: 2.4BQ1 2026: 2.4BQ2 2026: 2.4B
Q3 2023: 2.6BQ4 2023: 2.5BQ1 2024: 2.5BQ2 2024: 2.4BQ3 2024: 2.4BQ4 2024: 2.4BQ1 2025: 2.4BQ2 2025: 2.4BQ3 2025: 2.4BQ4 2025: 2.4BQ1 2026: 2.4BQ2 2026: 2.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.5%+11.1M shares
1 year+0.9%+21.4M shares
3 years-6.2%-161M shares
5 years-12%-339M shares
Available history-8.4%-221M shares

BABA has 2.4B diluted shares, up 0.9% from a year ago.

LOT Total Shares

Q2 2023: 673MQ3 2023: 574MQ4 2023: 475MQ1 2024: 558MQ2 2024: 675MQ3 2024: 676MQ4 2024: 671MQ1 2025: 659MQ2 2025: 677MQ3 2025: 648MQ4 2025: 628MQ2 2026: 646M
Q2 2023: 673MQ3 2023: 574MQ4 2023: 475MQ1 2024: 558MQ2 2024: 675MQ3 2024: 676MQ4 2024: 671MQ1 2025: 659MQ2 2025: 677MQ3 2025: 648MQ4 2025: 628MQ2 2026: 646M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+2.8%+17.4M shares
1 year-2.1%-13.8M shares
3 years-4.1%-27.9M shares

LOT has the edge over BABA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

BABA Net Leverage

Q3 2023: -0.6xQ4 2023: -0.8xQ1 2024: -0.4xQ2 2024: -0.4xQ3 2024: -0.2xQ4 2024: 0.1xQ1 2025: 0.3xQ2 2025: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.8xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.5xQ2 2026: 0.5x
Q3 2023: -0.6xQ4 2023: -0.8xQ1 2024: -0.4xQ2 2024: -0.4xQ3 2024: -0.2xQ4 2024: 0.1xQ1 2025: 0.3xQ2 2025: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.8xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.5xQ2 2026: 0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20260.5xVery low
Q1 20260.5xVery low
Q4 20250.6xVery low
Q3 20250.8xVery low
Q2 20250.2xVery low
Q1 20250.3xVery low
Q4 20240.1xVery low
Q3 2024-0.2xNet Cash

BABA's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

LOT Net Leverage

LOT's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

BABA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI38.0Neutral
Stochastic12.7Oversold

BABA's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 13 (oversold).

LOT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI23.5Oversold
Stochastic2.2Oversold

LOT's weekly RSI is 23 (oversold) and its Stochastic is 2 (oversold).

BABA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricBABASector medianRelative
PE21x18x19% above
PE %604713 pts above

BABA is trading at 21x earnings, a 19% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x, though its earnings don't support one.

LOT PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

LOT has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

BABA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$104.79.9% below
20 week MA$111.115% below
50 week MA$128.026% below
100 week MA$127.726% below
200 week MA$106.411% below

LOT has stronger trend alignment. BABA is above 0 of 5 weekly averages versus LOT above 0 of 4.

LOT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$0.5652% below
20 week MA$0.8568% below
50 week MA$1.0975% below
100 week MA$1.6383% below

LOT is in a downtrend: it's below all four of its weekly moving averages, and 83% below its 100-week average.

BABA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$215.5$222.0+3%
2021$222.0$118.7-47%
2022$118.7$85.7-28%
2023$85.7$77.5-9.5%
2024$77.5$85.1+9.7%
2025$85.1$152.2+79%
2026 YTD$152.2$94.4-38%

BABA has the edge over LOT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

LOT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2024$13.8$4.16-70%
2025$4.16$1.31-69%
2026 YTD$1.31$0.27-79%

LOT has finished every year since 2024 lower, and it's down 79% so far in 2026.

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