BABA
Alibaba Group Holding Limited
BABA has the edge over LEN-B overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.
LEN-B
Lennar Corporation
LEN-B trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.
BABA Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Weak | |
| Healthy |
BABA's balance sheet is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.
LEN-B Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Strong |
LEN-B's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue, profitability and cash flow are stable.
BABA PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 16x | $69.66 | -26% |
| Fair | 20x | $86.59 | -8.2% |
| Current | 21x | $94.36 | — |
| Expensive | 26x | $115 | +22% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
BABA has the edge over LEN-B in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
LEN-B PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 5.4x | $28.56 | -65% |
| Fair | 8.2x | $43.53 | -47% |
| Expensive | 11x | $57.92 | -29% |
| Current | 15x | $81.63 | — |
| Forward | 18x | $81.63 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
LEN-B's PE is in its expensive range at 15x. Analysts expect earnings to fall, which would put today's price at 18x next year's earnings.
BABA Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
BABA has the edge over LEN-B on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.
LEN-B Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Deteriorating | |
| Decline | |
| Stable | |
| Weakening | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect LEN-B's earnings and profitability to decline, with its revenue holding steady.
BABA Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $4.42 | -52% |
| Q1 2026 | $6.57 | -18% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.79 | -22% |
| Q3 2025 | $7.85 | +49% |
| Q2 2025 | $9.27 | +116% |
| Q1 2025 | $8.06 | +71% |
| Q4 2024 | $7.47 | +24% |
| Q3 2024 | $5.26 | -35% |
BABA has the edge over LEN-B on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
LEN-B Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $4.59 | -13% |
| Q3 2026 | $5.28 | -48% |
| Q2 2026 | $6.38 | -47% |
| Q1 2026 | $6.95 | -49% |
| Q4 2025 | $7.98 | -44% |
| Q3 2025 | $10.09 | -33% |
| Q2 2025 | $12.06 | -18% |
| Q1 2025 | $13.70 | -3.8% |
| Q4 2024 | $14.31 | +4.2% |
LEN-B's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $5.28 over the past year, against $16.09 in early 2023.
BABA Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $40.2B | +8.3% |
| Q1 2026 | $36.5B | +2.9% |
| Q4 2025 | $42.7B | +1.7% |
| Q3 2025 | $37.2B | +4.8% |
| Q2 2025 | $37.2B | +1.8% |
| Q1 2025 | $35.5B | +6.6% |
| Q4 2024 | $42B | +7.6% |
| Q3 2024 | $35.5B | +5.2% |
BABA has the edge over LEN-B on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 7.2% | -6.9 points |
| Q1 2026 | -0.3% | -12 points |
| Q4 2025 | 7.1% | -7.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 2.2% | -13 points |
| Q2 2025 | 14% | -0.7 points |
| Q1 2025 | 12% | +5.4 points |
| Q4 2024 | 15% | +6.1 points |
| Q3 2024 | 15% | 0 points |
BABA has the edge over LEN-B on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
LEN-B Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $8B | -8.7% |
| Q2 2026 | $7.9B | -5.2% |
| Q1 2026 | $6.6B | -13% |
| Q4 2025 | $9.4B | -5.8% |
| Q3 2025 | $8.8B | -6.4% |
| Q2 2025 | $8.4B | -4.4% |
| Q1 2025 | $7.6B | +4.4% |
| Q4 2024 | $9.9B | -9.3% |
LEN-B's revenue has slid since its 2023 peak: $8B last quarter, down 8.7% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 5.7% | -2.2 points |
| Q2 2026 | 5% | -2.5 points |
| Q1 2026 | 3.3% | -5.8 points |
| Q4 2025 | 6.9% | -7.8 points |
| Q3 2025 | 7.9% | -5.7 points |
| Q2 2025 | 7.5% | -6.4 points |
| Q1 2025 | 9.1% | -3.2 points |
| Q4 2024 | 15% | -1.6 points |
LEN-B's operating margin was 5.7% last quarter, down 2.2 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the bottom of its range since 2019.
BABA Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$6.7B | -$4.1B |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.7B | +$1.5B |
| Q4 2025 | $1B | -90% |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.2B | -254% |
| Q2 2025 | -$2.7B | -182% |
| Q1 2025 | -$4.2B | -12231% |
| Q4 2024 | $10.4B | -4.8% |
| Q3 2024 | $2.1B | -62% |
BABA's free cash flow has turned negative after years in the green: −$11.6B over the past year.
LEN-B Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$96.3M | +$94.5M |
| Q2 2026 | -$303.2M | +$807M |
| Q1 2026 | -$463.5M | -$118.4M |
| Q4 2025 | $1.7B | +79% |
| Q3 2025 | -$190.8M | -124% |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.1B | -647% |
| Q1 2025 | -$345.1M | -217% |
| Q4 2024 | $933.1M | -63% |
LEN-B has the edge over BABA on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
BABA Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.5% | +11.1M shares |
| 1 year | +0.9% | +21.4M shares |
| 3 years | -6.2% | -161M shares |
| 5 years | -12% | -339M shares |
| Available history | -8.4% | -221M shares |
BABA has 2.4B diluted shares, up 0.9% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | $269.8M |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
BABA spent $270M buying back its own shares over the past year, after none the year before.
LEN-B Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -1.3% | -3M shares |
| 1 year | -7% | -17.8M shares |
| 3 years | -16% | -45.1M shares |
| 5 years | -23% | -69.5M shares |
| Available history | -25% | -80.7M shares |
LEN-B has the edge over BABA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $255.9M |
| Q2 2026 | $467.1M |
| Q1 2026 | $269.7M |
| Q4 2025 | $57,000 |
| Q3 2025 | $512.4M |
| Q2 2025 | $521.4M |
| Q1 2025 | $774.5M |
| Q4 2024 | $527.2M |
LEN-B spent $993M buying back its own shares over the past year, down 57% from the year before.
BABA Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.8x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q3 2024 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
BABA's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).
LEN-B Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.8x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -1.0x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -1.0x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | 0.8x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | -0.5x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -0.5x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -1.0x | Net Cash |
LEN-B has the edge over BABA on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
BABA Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 38.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 12.7 | Oversold |
BABA's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 13 (oversold).
LEN-B Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 46.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 70.3 | Neutral |
LEN-B's weekly RSI is 46 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 70 (neutral).
BABA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | BABA | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 21x | 18x | 19% above |
| PE % | 60 | 47 | 13 pts above |
BABA is trading at 21x earnings, a 19% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x, though its earnings don't support one.
LEN-B PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | LEN-B | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 15x | 18x | 14% below |
| PE % | 99 | 47 | 52 pts above |
LEN-B has the edge over BABA on valuation relative to its sector.
BABA Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $104.7 | 9.9% below |
| 20 week MA | $111.1 | 15% below |
| 50 week MA | $128.0 | 26% below |
| 100 week MA | $127.7 | 26% below |
| 200 week MA | $106.4 | 11% below |
BABA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 11% below its 200-week average.
LEN-B Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $81.3 | 0.4% above |
| 20 week MA | $82.1 | 0.6% below |
| 50 week MA | $90.3 | 9.6% below |
| 100 week MA | $102.9 | 21% below |
| 200 week MA | $115.3 | 29% below |
LEN-B has the edge over BABA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
BABA Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $215.5 | $222.0 | +3% |
| 2021 | $222.0 | $118.7 | -47% |
| 2022 | $118.7 | $85.7 | -28% |
| 2023 | $85.7 | $77.5 | -9.5% |
| 2024 | $77.5 | $85.1 | +9.7% |
| 2025 | $85.1 | $152.2 | +79% |
| 2026 YTD | $152.2 | $94.4 | -38% |
BABA has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 38% so far in 2026.
LEN-B Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $44.9 | $64.4 | +44% |
| 2021 | $64.4 | $91.9 | +43% |
| 2022 | $91.9 | $75.1 | -18% |
| 2023 | $75.1 | $134.1 | +78% |
| 2024 | $134.1 | $133.3 | -0.6% |
| 2025 | $133.3 | $97.4 | -27% |
| 2026 YTD | $97.4 | $81.6 | -16% |
LEN-B has the edge over BABA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.