BABA

Alibaba Group Holding Limited

53
Fundamentals36/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential23/ 100

BABA has a slight edge over LEGH overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger valuation.

LEGH

Legacy Housing Corporation

53
Fundamentals83/ 100
Valuation35/ 100
Upside potential39/ 100
Risk potential27/ 100

LEGH offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

BABA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Weak
Healthy

BABA's balance sheet is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.

LEGH Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Strong
Strong

LEGH's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.

BABA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.3x19x28x37x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.3x19x28x37x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap16x$69.66-26%
Fair20x$86.59-8.2%
Current21x$94.36—
Expensive26x$115+22%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BABA's PE is 21x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

LEGH PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE4.3x8.6x13x17x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE4.3x8.6x13x17x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap8.2x$21.99-23%
Fair11x$28.70+1.1%
Current11x$28.38—
Expensive13x$33.71+19%
Forward14x$28.38—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

LEGH has the edge over BABA in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

BABA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

BABA has the edge over LEGH on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.

LEGH Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Decline
Decline
Strongly weakening
Limited
High

Analysts expect LEGH's earnings and revenue to decline, with profitability weakening.

BABA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+33%$125.09
Downside-23%$72.35

Calculated from the latest close: $94.36 on Nov 12.

BABA has a better modeled risk to reward balance than LEGH, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

LEGH Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+17%$33.30
Downside-27%$20.76

Calculated from the latest close: $28.38 on Nov 12.

LEGH trails BABA on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

BABA Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $8.12Q4 2023: $6.04Q1 2024: $4.71Q2 2024: $4.29Q3 2024: $5.26Q4 2024: $7.47Q1 2025: $8.06Q2 2025: $9.27Q3 2025: $7.85Q4 2025: $5.79Q1 2026: $6.57Q2 2026: $4.42
Q3 2023: $8.12Q4 2023: $6.04Q1 2024: $4.71Q2 2024: $4.29Q3 2024: $5.26Q4 2024: $7.47Q1 2025: $8.06Q2 2025: $9.27Q3 2025: $7.85Q4 2025: $5.79Q1 2026: $6.57Q2 2026: $4.42
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$4.42-52%
Q1 2026$6.57-18%
Q4 2025$5.79-22%
Q3 2025$7.85+49%
Q2 2025$9.27+116%
Q1 2025$8.06+71%
Q4 2024$7.47+24%
Q3 2024$5.26-35%

BABA has the edge over LEGH on earnings, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

LEGH Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.17Q1 2024: $2.12Q2 2024: $2.17Q3 2024: $2.17Q4 2024: $2.48Q1 2025: $2.29Q2 2025: $2.24Q3 2025: $1.95Q4 2025: $1.74Q1 2026: $1.79Q2 2026: $2.18Q3 2026: $2.68Forward: $2.07
Q4 2023: $2.17Q1 2024: $2.12Q2 2024: $2.17Q3 2024: $2.17Q4 2024: $2.48Q1 2025: $2.29Q2 2025: $2.24Q3 2025: $1.95Q4 2025: $1.74Q1 2026: $1.79Q2 2026: $2.18Q3 2026: $2.68Forward: $2.07
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.07-23%
Q3 2026$2.68+37%
Q2 2026$2.18-2.7%
Q1 2026$1.79-22%
Q4 2025$1.74-30%
Q3 2025$1.95-10%
Q2 2025$2.24+3.2%
Q1 2025$2.29+8%
Q4 2024$2.48+14%

LEGH earned $2.68 per share over the past year, up 37% from the year before.

BABA Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $33.7BQ4 2023: $39.1BQ1 2024: $33.3BQ2 2024: $36.5BQ3 2024: $35.5BQ4 2024: $42BQ1 2025: $35.5BQ2 2025: $37.2BQ3 2025: $37.2BQ4 2025: $42.7BQ1 2026: $36.5BQ2 2026: $40.2B
Q3 2023: $33.7BQ4 2023: $39.1BQ1 2024: $33.3BQ2 2024: $36.5BQ3 2024: $35.5BQ4 2024: $42BQ1 2025: $35.5BQ2 2025: $37.2BQ3 2025: $37.2BQ4 2025: $42.7BQ1 2026: $36.5BQ2 2026: $40.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$40.2B+8.3%
Q1 2026$36.5B+2.9%
Q4 2025$42.7B+1.7%
Q3 2025$37.2B+4.8%
Q2 2025$37.2B+1.8%
Q1 2025$35.5B+6.6%
Q4 2024$42B+7.6%
Q3 2024$35.5B+5.2%

BABA's revenue has grown year over year for 16 quarters in a row: $40.2B last quarter, up 8.3% from the same quarter a year ago.

LEGH Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $34MQ1 2024: $43MQ2 2024: $42MQ3 2024: $44MQ4 2024: $54MQ1 2025: $36MQ2 2025: $50MQ3 2025: $40MQ4 2025: $38MQ1 2026: $34MQ2 2026: $66MQ3 2026: $70M
Q4 2023: $34MQ1 2024: $43MQ2 2024: $42MQ3 2024: $44MQ4 2024: $54MQ1 2025: $36MQ2 2025: $50MQ3 2025: $40MQ4 2025: $38MQ1 2026: $34MQ2 2026: $66MQ3 2026: $70M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$69.7M+72%
Q2 2026$66.3M+32%
Q1 2026$34.4M-3.7%
Q4 2025$38.3M-29%
Q3 2025$40.5M-8.6%
Q2 2025$50.2M+18%
Q1 2025$35.7M-18%
Q4 2024$54.2M+61%

LEGH's revenue is growing: $70M last quarter, up 72% from the same quarter a year ago.

BABA Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $5.4BQ4 2023: $11BQ1 2024: $34MQ2 2024: $3.2BQ3 2024: $2.1BQ4 2024: $10.4BQ1 2025: −$4.2BQ2 2025: −$2.7BQ3 2025: −$3.2BQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: −$2.7BQ2 2026: −$6.7B
Q3 2023: $5.4BQ4 2023: $11BQ1 2024: $34MQ2 2024: $3.2BQ3 2024: $2.1BQ4 2024: $10.4BQ1 2025: −$4.2BQ2 2025: −$2.7BQ3 2025: −$3.2BQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: −$2.7BQ2 2026: −$6.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026-$6.7B-$4.1B
Q1 2026-$2.7B+$1.5B
Q4 2025$1B-90%
Q3 2025-$3.2B-254%
Q2 2025-$2.7B-182%
Q1 2025-$4.2B-12231%
Q4 2024$10.4B-4.8%
Q3 2024$2.1B-62%

BABA's free cash flow has turned negative after years in the green: −$11.6B over the past year.

LEGH Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$11MQ1 2024: $10MQ2 2024: $2MQ3 2024: $9MQ4 2024: $6MQ1 2025: $4MQ2 2025: $4MQ3 2025: $5MQ4 2025: $16MQ1 2026: $5MQ2 2026: $12MQ3 2026: $7M
Q4 2023: −$11MQ1 2024: $10MQ2 2024: $2MQ3 2024: $9MQ4 2024: $6MQ1 2025: $4MQ2 2025: $4MQ3 2025: $5MQ4 2025: $16MQ1 2026: $5MQ2 2026: $12MQ3 2026: $7M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$7.4M+45%
Q2 2026$12.3M+235%
Q1 2026$5.4M+49%
Q4 2025$15.7M+161%
Q3 2025$5.1M-44%
Q2 2025$3.7M+114%
Q1 2025$3.6M-63%
Q4 2024$6M+$17.4M

LEGH has the edge over BABA on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

BABA Total Shares

Q3 2023: 2.6BQ4 2023: 2.5BQ1 2024: 2.5BQ2 2024: 2.4BQ3 2024: 2.4BQ4 2024: 2.4BQ1 2025: 2.4BQ2 2025: 2.4BQ3 2025: 2.4BQ4 2025: 2.4BQ1 2026: 2.4BQ2 2026: 2.4B
Q3 2023: 2.6BQ4 2023: 2.5BQ1 2024: 2.5BQ2 2024: 2.4BQ3 2024: 2.4BQ4 2024: 2.4BQ1 2025: 2.4BQ2 2025: 2.4BQ3 2025: 2.4BQ4 2025: 2.4BQ1 2026: 2.4BQ2 2026: 2.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.5%+11.1M shares
1 year+0.9%+21.4M shares
3 years-6.2%-161M shares
5 years-12%-339M shares
Available history-8.4%-221M shares

BABA has 2.4B diluted shares, up 0.9% from a year ago.

LEGH Total Shares

Q4 2023: 25MQ1 2024: 25MQ2 2024: 25MQ3 2024: 25MQ4 2024: 25MQ1 2025: 25MQ2 2025: 25MQ3 2025: 24MQ4 2025: 24MQ1 2026: 24MQ2 2026: 24MQ3 2026: 24M
Q4 2023: 25MQ1 2024: 25MQ2 2024: 25MQ3 2024: 25MQ4 2024: 25MQ1 2025: 25MQ2 2025: 25MQ3 2025: 24MQ4 2025: 24MQ1 2026: 24MQ2 2026: 24MQ3 2026: 24M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-29.6K shares
1 year-2.7%-649K shares
3 years-5.3%-1.3M shares
5 years-2.1%-499K shares
Available history-2.7%-653K shares

LEGH has the edge over BABA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

BABA Net Leverage

Q3 2023: -0.6xQ4 2023: -0.8xQ1 2024: -0.4xQ2 2024: -0.4xQ3 2024: -0.2xQ4 2024: 0.1xQ1 2025: 0.3xQ2 2025: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.8xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.5xQ2 2026: 0.5x
Q3 2023: -0.6xQ4 2023: -0.8xQ1 2024: -0.4xQ2 2024: -0.4xQ3 2024: -0.2xQ4 2024: 0.1xQ1 2025: 0.3xQ2 2025: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.8xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.5xQ2 2026: 0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20260.5xVery low
Q1 20260.5xVery low
Q4 20250.6xVery low
Q3 20250.8xVery low
Q2 20250.2xVery low
Q1 20250.3xVery low
Q4 20240.1xVery low
Q3 2024-0.2xNet Cash

BABA's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

LEGH Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.4xQ1 2024: 0.2xQ2 2024: 0.2xQ3 2024: 0.0xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: -0.0xQ3 2025: -0.2xQ4 2025: -0.1xQ1 2026: -0.3x
Q4 2023: 0.4xQ1 2024: 0.2xQ2 2024: 0.2xQ3 2024: 0.0xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: -0.0xQ3 2025: -0.2xQ4 2025: -0.1xQ1 2026: -0.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q1 2026-0.3xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.2xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q3 20240.0xVery low
Q2 20240.2xVery low
Q1 20240.2xVery low

LEGH has the edge over BABA on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

BABA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI38.0Neutral
Stochastic12.7Oversold

BABA's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 13 (oversold).

LEGH Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI57.6Neutral
Stochastic35.9Neutral

LEGH's weekly RSI is 58 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 36 (neutral).

BABA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricBABASector medianRelative
PE21x18x19% above
PE %604713 pts above

BABA is trading at 21x earnings, a 19% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x, though its earnings don't support one.

LEGH PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricLEGHSector medianRelative
PE11x18x41% below
PE %4747Same percentile

LEGH has the edge over BABA on valuation relative to its sector.

BABA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$104.79.9% below
20 week MA$111.115% below
50 week MA$128.026% below
100 week MA$127.726% below
200 week MA$106.411% below

BABA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 11% below its 200-week average.

LEGH Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$28.60.8% below
20 week MA$28.01.2% above
50 week MA$24.217% above
100 week MA$24.217% above
200 week MA$23.620% above

LEGH has the edge over BABA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

BABA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$215.5$222.0+3%
2021$222.0$118.7-47%
2022$118.7$85.7-28%
2023$85.7$77.5-9.5%
2024$77.5$85.1+9.7%
2025$85.1$152.2+79%
2026 YTD$152.2$94.4-38%

BABA has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 38% so far in 2026.

LEGH Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$16.8$14.9-11%
2021$14.9$25.8+74%
2022$25.8$17.8-31%
2023$17.8$25.2+41%
2024$25.2$24.8-1.7%
2025$24.8$19.8-20%
2026 YTD$19.8$28.4+43%

LEGH has the edge over BABA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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