BABA

Alibaba Group Holding Limited

53
Fundamentals36/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential23/ 100

BABA has the edge over LE overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger fundamentals.

LE

Lands' End, Inc.

44
Fundamentals34/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential60/ 100
Risk potential32/ 100

LE offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

BABA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Weak
Healthy

BABA's balance sheet is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.

LE Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Weak
Strong

LE's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.

BABA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.3x19x28x37x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.3x19x28x37x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap16x$69.66-26%
Fair20x$86.59-8.2%
Current21x$94.36—
Expensive26x$115+22%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BABA's PE is 21x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

LE PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE29x58x86x115x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE29x58x86x115x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current0.8x$8.92—
Cheap13x$142+1490%
Forward15x$8.92—
Fair38x$426+4674%
Expensive68x$765+8479%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

LE has the edge over BABA in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

BABA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

BABA has the edge over LE on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.

LE Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Strong decline
Stable
Weakening
Limited
Low

Analysts expect LE's earnings and profitability to decline, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

BABA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+33%$125.09
Downside-23%$72.35

Calculated from the latest close: $94.36 on Nov 12.

BABA trails LE on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

LE Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+47%$13.13
Downside-32%$6.07

Calculated from the latest close: $8.92 on Nov 12.

LE has a better modeled risk to reward balance than BABA, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

BABA Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $8.12Q4 2023: $6.04Q1 2024: $4.71Q2 2024: $4.29Q3 2024: $5.26Q4 2024: $7.47Q1 2025: $8.06Q2 2025: $9.27Q3 2025: $7.85Q4 2025: $5.79Q1 2026: $6.57Q2 2026: $4.42
Q3 2023: $8.12Q4 2023: $6.04Q1 2024: $4.71Q2 2024: $4.29Q3 2024: $5.26Q4 2024: $7.47Q1 2025: $8.06Q2 2025: $9.27Q3 2025: $7.85Q4 2025: $5.79Q1 2026: $6.57Q2 2026: $4.42
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$4.42-52%
Q1 2026$6.57-18%
Q4 2025$5.79-22%
Q3 2025$7.85+49%
Q2 2025$9.27+116%
Q1 2025$8.06+71%
Q4 2024$7.47+24%
Q3 2024$5.26-35%

BABA's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $4.42 over the past year, against $9.27 in mid-2025. Its recent earnings include one-off gains.

LE Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-3.92Q1 2024: $-4.09Q2 2024: $-4.24Q3 2024: $-4.16Q4 2024: $-0.66Q1 2025: $0.20Q2 2025: $0.13Q3 2025: $0.18Q4 2025: $0.37Q1 2026: $0.18Q2 2026: $11.01Q3 2026: $11.24Forward: $0.59
Q4 2023: $-3.92Q1 2024: $-4.09Q2 2024: $-4.24Q3 2024: $-4.16Q4 2024: $-0.66Q1 2025: $0.20Q2 2025: $0.13Q3 2025: $0.18Q4 2025: $0.37Q1 2026: $0.18Q2 2026: $11.01Q3 2026: $11.24Forward: $0.59
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.59-95%
Q3 2026$11.24+6144%
Q2 2026$11.01+8369%
Q1 2026$0.18-10%
Q4 2025$0.37+$1.03
Q3 2025$0.18+$4.34
Q2 2025$0.13+$4.37
Q1 2025$0.20+$4.29
Q4 2024-$0.66+$3.26

LE has the edge over BABA on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

BABA Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $33.7BQ4 2023: $39.1BQ1 2024: $33.3BQ2 2024: $36.5BQ3 2024: $35.5BQ4 2024: $42BQ1 2025: $35.5BQ2 2025: $37.2BQ3 2025: $37.2BQ4 2025: $42.7BQ1 2026: $36.5BQ2 2026: $40.2B
Q3 2023: $33.7BQ4 2023: $39.1BQ1 2024: $33.3BQ2 2024: $36.5BQ3 2024: $35.5BQ4 2024: $42BQ1 2025: $35.5BQ2 2025: $37.2BQ3 2025: $37.2BQ4 2025: $42.7BQ1 2026: $36.5BQ2 2026: $40.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$40.2B+8.3%
Q1 2026$36.5B+2.9%
Q4 2025$42.7B+1.7%
Q3 2025$37.2B+4.8%
Q2 2025$37.2B+1.8%
Q1 2025$35.5B+6.6%
Q4 2024$42B+7.6%
Q3 2024$35.5B+5.2%

BABA has the edge over LE on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

LE Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $325MQ1 2024: $515MQ2 2024: $285MQ3 2024: $317MQ4 2024: $319MQ1 2025: $442MQ2 2025: $228MQ3 2025: $255MQ4 2025: $277MQ1 2026: $402MQ2 2026: $205MQ3 2026: $269M
Q4 2023: $325MQ1 2024: $515MQ2 2024: $285MQ3 2024: $317MQ4 2024: $319MQ1 2025: $442MQ2 2025: $228MQ3 2025: $255MQ4 2025: $277MQ1 2026: $402MQ2 2026: $205MQ3 2026: $269M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$268.9M+5.3%
Q2 2026$205.1M-9.9%
Q1 2026$402.3M-8.9%
Q4 2025$277.5M-13%
Q3 2025$255.3M-20%
Q2 2025$227.8M-20%
Q1 2025$441.7M-14%
Q4 2024$318.6M-1.9%

LE's revenue is recovering but still below its 2022 peak: $269M last quarter, up 5.3% from the same quarter a year ago.

BABA Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $5.4BQ4 2023: $11BQ1 2024: $34MQ2 2024: $3.2BQ3 2024: $2.1BQ4 2024: $10.4BQ1 2025: −$4.2BQ2 2025: −$2.7BQ3 2025: −$3.2BQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: −$2.7BQ2 2026: −$6.7B
Q3 2023: $5.4BQ4 2023: $11BQ1 2024: $34MQ2 2024: $3.2BQ3 2024: $2.1BQ4 2024: $10.4BQ1 2025: −$4.2BQ2 2025: −$2.7BQ3 2025: −$3.2BQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: −$2.7BQ2 2026: −$6.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026-$6.7B-$4.1B
Q1 2026-$2.7B+$1.5B
Q4 2025$1B-90%
Q3 2025-$3.2B-254%
Q2 2025-$2.7B-182%
Q1 2025-$4.2B-12231%
Q4 2024$10.4B-4.8%
Q3 2024$2.1B-62%

BABA's free cash flow has turned negative after years in the green: −$11.6B over the past year.

LE Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$24MQ1 2024: $88MQ2 2024: −$33MQ3 2024: $26MQ4 2024: −$28MQ1 2025: $50MQ2 2025: −$31MQ3 2025: $14MQ4 2025: −$22MQ1 2026: $60MQ2 2026: −$84MQ3 2026: −$26M
Q4 2023: −$24MQ1 2024: $88MQ2 2024: −$33MQ3 2024: $26MQ4 2024: −$28MQ1 2025: $50MQ2 2025: −$31MQ3 2025: $14MQ4 2025: −$22MQ1 2026: $60MQ2 2026: −$84MQ3 2026: −$26M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$26.1M-286%
Q2 2026-$84.4M-$53.7M
Q1 2026$59.5M+20%
Q4 2025-$22.4M+$5.4M
Q3 2025$14.1M-46%
Q2 2025-$30.7M+$1.8M
Q1 2025$49.7M-43%
Q4 2024-$27.8M-$4M

LE has the edge over BABA on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

BABA Total Shares

Q3 2023: 2.6BQ4 2023: 2.5BQ1 2024: 2.5BQ2 2024: 2.4BQ3 2024: 2.4BQ4 2024: 2.4BQ1 2025: 2.4BQ2 2025: 2.4BQ3 2025: 2.4BQ4 2025: 2.4BQ1 2026: 2.4BQ2 2026: 2.4B
Q3 2023: 2.6BQ4 2023: 2.5BQ1 2024: 2.5BQ2 2024: 2.4BQ3 2024: 2.4BQ4 2024: 2.4BQ1 2025: 2.4BQ2 2025: 2.4BQ3 2025: 2.4BQ4 2025: 2.4BQ1 2026: 2.4BQ2 2026: 2.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.5%+11.1M shares
1 year+0.9%+21.4M shares
3 years-6.2%-161M shares
5 years-12%-339M shares
Available history-8.4%-221M shares

BABA has 2.4B diluted shares, up 0.9% from a year ago.

LE Total Shares

Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 32MQ2 2024: 31MQ3 2024: 31MQ4 2024: 31MQ1 2025: 32MQ2 2025: 31MQ3 2025: 31MQ4 2025: 31MQ1 2026: 31MQ2 2026: 31MQ3 2026: 30M
Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 32MQ2 2024: 31MQ3 2024: 31MQ4 2024: 31MQ1 2025: 32MQ2 2025: 31MQ3 2025: 31MQ4 2025: 31MQ1 2026: 31MQ2 2026: 31MQ3 2026: 30M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-3.9%-1.2M shares
1 year-2.1%-635K shares
3 years-6.3%-2M shares
5 years-11%-3.6M shares
Available history-7.1%-2.3M shares

LE has the edge over BABA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

BABA Net Leverage

Q3 2023: -0.6xQ4 2023: -0.8xQ1 2024: -0.4xQ2 2024: -0.4xQ3 2024: -0.2xQ4 2024: 0.1xQ1 2025: 0.3xQ2 2025: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.8xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.5xQ2 2026: 0.5x
Q3 2023: -0.6xQ4 2023: -0.8xQ1 2024: -0.4xQ2 2024: -0.4xQ3 2024: -0.2xQ4 2024: 0.1xQ1 2025: 0.3xQ2 2025: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.8xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.5xQ2 2026: 0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20260.5xVery low
Q1 20260.5xVery low
Q4 20250.6xVery low
Q3 20250.8xVery low
Q2 20250.2xVery low
Q1 20250.3xVery low
Q4 20240.1xVery low
Q3 2024-0.2xNet Cash

BABA's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

LE Net Leverage

Q4 2024: 3.6xQ1 2025: 2.6xQ2 2025: 2.7xQ3 2025: 2.7xQ4 2025: 2.2xQ1 2026: 2.8xQ2 2026: -0.8xQ3 2026: -0.5x
Q4 2024: 3.6xQ1 2025: 2.6xQ2 2025: 2.7xQ3 2025: 2.7xQ4 2025: 2.2xQ1 2026: 2.8xQ2 2026: -0.8xQ3 2026: -0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.5xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.8xNet Cash
Q1 20262.8xModerate
Q4 20252.2xModerate
Q3 20252.7xModerate
Q2 20252.7xModerate
Q1 20252.6xModerate
Q4 20243.6xElevated

LE has the edge over BABA on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

BABA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI38.0Neutral
Stochastic12.7Oversold

BABA's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 13 (oversold).

LE Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI33.3Neutral
Stochastic3.0Oversold

LE's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 3 (oversold).

BABA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricBABASector medianRelative
PE21x18x19% above
PE %604713 pts above

BABA is trading at 21x earnings, a 19% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x, though its earnings don't support one.

LE PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricLESector medianRelative
PE0.8x18x96% below
PE %04747 pts below

LE has the edge over BABA on valuation relative to its sector.

BABA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$104.79.9% below
20 week MA$111.115% below
50 week MA$128.026% below
100 week MA$127.726% below
200 week MA$106.411% below

BABA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 11% below its 200-week average.

LE Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$9.788.8% below
20 week MA$10.918% below
50 week MA$12.730% below
100 week MA$12.428% below
200 week MA$11.623% below

LE is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 23% below its 200-week average.

BABA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$215.5$222.0+3%
2021$222.0$118.7-47%
2022$118.7$85.7-28%
2023$85.7$77.5-9.5%
2024$77.5$85.1+9.7%
2025$85.1$152.2+79%
2026 YTD$152.2$94.4-38%

BABA has the edge over LE on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

LE Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$17.6$19.8+13%
2021$19.8$19.1-3.6%
2022$19.1$7.21-62%
2023$7.21$9.56+33%
2024$9.56$13.4+40%
2025$13.4$14.6+9.2%
2026 YTD$14.6$8.92-39%

LE is down 39% so far in 2026, after finishing higher in four of the previous six years.

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